Sunday, October 3
DENVER (1 - 2) at TENNESSEE (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BALTIMORE (2 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (0 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 53-76 ATS (-30.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (2 - 1)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA (0 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-43 ATS (-28.3 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 3) at ATLANTA (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
ATLANTA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE (2 - 1) at ST LOUIS (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 20-46 ATS (-30.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 51-74 ATS (-30.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 77-109 ATS (-42.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (0 - 3)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (2 - 1) at OAKLAND (1 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (2 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 136-96 ATS (+30.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (3 - 0) at NY GIANTS (1 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Monday, October 4
NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Sunday, October 3
SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
St. Louis is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
DENVER vs. TENNESSEE
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Tennessee is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
DETROIT vs. GREEN BAY
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 4-13-2 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Baltimore
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
NY JETS vs. BUFFALO
NY Jets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
INDIANAPOLIS vs. JACKSONVILLE
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games at home
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
CHICAGO vs. NY GIANTS
Chicago is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Chicago is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Giants last 8 games
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Monday, October 4
NEW ENGLAND vs. MIAMI
New England is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
Sunday, 10/3/2010
DENVER at TENNESSEE
DENVER: 6-0 Over Away off loss
TENNESSEE: 12-26 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
BALTIMORE: 7-1 ATS as road dog of 3 pts or less
PITTSBURGH: 72-49 Over after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND
CINCINNATI: 1-8 ATS as favorite
CLEVELAND: 6-0 Under off an Over
DETROIT at GREEN BAY
DETROIT: 5-1 Over off div road loss
GREEN BAY: 13-4 ATS at home vs. Detroit
CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS
CAROLINA: 80-55 ATS as an underdog
NEW ORLEANS: 19-43 ATS at home vs. division
SAN FRANCISCO at ATLANTA
SAN FRANCISCO: 11-0 Over Away after allowing 450+ yds
ATLANTA: 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
SEATTLE at ST LOUIS
SEATTLE: 0-8 ATS off home game
ST LOUIS: 2-11 ATS vs. division
NY JETS at BUFFALO
NY JETS: 4-0 ATS off SU div win as underdog
BUFFALO: 1-5 ATS after scoring 30+ points
INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE
INDIANAPOLIS: 18-5 ATS off 2 straight DD wins
JACKSONVILLE: 4-14 ATS in home games
HOUSTON at OAKLAND
HOUSTON: 12-1 Under after allowing 400+ total yards/game L3 games
OAKLAND: 9-25 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less
ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO
ARIZONA: 6-0 ATS in October
SAN DIEGO: 45-27 Over vs. NFC
WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON: 6-0 Over off 2 straight losses
PHILADELPHIA: 7-0 Over off an Under
CHICAGO at NY GIANTS
CHICAGO: 3-0 ATS at Giants
NY GIANTS: 13-4 Over off home game
Monday, 10/4/2010
NEW ENGLAND at MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND: 5-1 Over after allowing 30+ points
MIAMI: 4-1 ATS after allowing 30+ points
NFL Tech Trends - Week 4
By Bruce Marshall
DENVER at TENNESSEE... Denver "over" 7-1 last 8 sine late '09. Titans just 4-10 their last1 4 as chalk. Tech edge-"Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and team trends.
BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH... These two "over" 6-2 their last 8 meetings. If chalk, note Tomlin just 6-11 last 17 in role. Tech edge-Ravens and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND... Browns lost both meetings LY but managed covers in each. Four of last five "under" in series. Cincy 5-17 last 22 as chalk, 1-7 last 8 as road favorite. Tech edge- Browns and "under," based on team and series trends.
DETROIT at GREEN BAY... Lions have lost 9 in a row SU vs. Pack and are just 1-7 vs. line last 8 against GB. Pack 10-5 as chalk since LY and 35-18 vs. number last 53 on board since late ‘06. Tech edge-slight to Pack, based on series trends.
CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS... Saints have only covered 4 of last 16 on board (4-12-1), and they’ve dropped their last four spread decisions vs. Panthers. But Carolina off to very slow in 2010 (0-3 SU and vs. line). Carolina "under" 13-7 last 20 as well. Tech edge-slight to Saints, based on recent team trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at ATLANTA... 49ers were wiped out 45-10 by Falcs LY, but Singletary is 8-1 last 9 as dog. Falcs, however, 7-2 vs. number at Georgia Dome since LY. Tech edge-49ers, based on team trends.
SEATTLE at ST. LOUIS... Seahawks have won and covered last 6 in series, but they’re only 1-8 vs. number last 9 away. Tech edge-Rams, based on Seahawk road woes.
NY JETS at BUFFALO... Bills 1-6 last 7 as Orchard Park dog, also "under" 13-7 last 20 since late ‘08. Tech edge-slight to Jets and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE... Note road team has covered last 6 in series, including Colts’ last 3 trips to JV. Jags 4-14 vs. line at home since ‘08, 10-24 overall vs. llne that span. Colts also "over" 7-3 last 10 since late LY. Tech edge-Colts and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
HOUSTON at OAKLAND... Raiders only 5-9 vs. line last 14 at home, 15-35 vs. line last 50 as host. Kubiak 9-4 vs. line last 13 away. Kubiak also "over" last 4 since late LY. Tech edge-Texans and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO... Norv still in first five games of season, in which he is just 6-11-1 vs. line since ‘07 (1-1 TY). Whisenhunt 7-2 last 9 as road dog but 0-1 in role TY. Tech edge-slight to Cards, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA... McNabb returns to Linc! Skins have covered last 3 trips to Linc, and Andy Reid just 11-13 vs. line at home since ‘07. Tech edge-slight to Skins, based on series trends.
CHICAGO at NY GIANTS... Coughlin just 3-11 last 14 on board, and "over" 13-5 last 18. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Bears, based on "totals" and team trends.
NEW ENGLAND at MIAMI... Sparano covered both LY and Dolphins 4-1 vs. line last 5 in series. Sparano just 5-12 vs. line at home since ‘08, however. Tech edge-slight to Dolphins, based on series trends.
2–MINUTE HANDICAP
Sunday, Oct. 3rd
Denver SERIES: 3-1 L4… OCT: 8-0 < .500 dogs (7-0 A)… 5-0 off DD SU loss vs opp off SU dog win
TENNESSEE 5-0 off DD SU win vs pts aft Vikings… OCT: 2-12 off BB SU losses vs .500 > opp… 1-4 vs opp off Monday Night… SCHWARTZ: 0-5-1 vs div (pending this week vs Minnesota)… 4-1 O/U Game Four
GREEN BAY SERIES: 7-1 L8/3-1 L4H... OCT: 10-2 vs opp off dog role… 1-5-1 H aft Bears… 2-9 H vs opp w/rev off SU loss… 4-1 O/U Game Four
Carolina SERIES: 3-1 L4/8-1 L9A… 10-1 A vs div opp off div w/rev… OCT: 12-2 A vs opp off fav role… 0-6 dogs vs opp w/rev… 1-9 O/U Game Four
NEW ORLEANS 4-1 Game Four… 2-16 div favs 7 > pts… OCT: 2-11 favs opp… 7-0 off SU fav loss (1-0 this year)… 2-12 w/non div conf revenge… 1-6 Game Four
ATLANTA 5-1 Game Four… 4-1 favs vs opp off SU fav loss… 0-8 H off BB SUATS wins… 0-5 favs 5 > pts off BB SU wins
Seattle SERIES: 6-0 L6/3-0 L3A… 7-0 vs … CARROLL: 1-9 vs 3 pts
JACKSONVILLE 8-0 H off BB SU losses… 0-9 off SU loss vs opp off BB SU wins 7 > pts… OCT: 2-11 off SUAT loss w/rev… 3-1 O/U Game Four
Houston 6-2 Game Four… 0-5 A off SU H loss vs non div opp… 1-6 favs vs opp w/rev
OAKLAND SERIES: 1-4 L5
Arizona SERIES: 4-0 L4A… 8-3 non div RD’s 5 > pts (0-1 this year)… OCT: 1-9 off SU non div win vs opp off SU loss
SAN DIEGO 6-0 off DD ATS loss… 6-1 off SU fav loss vs non div opp… 6-1 bef Raiders… 6-2 Game Four
Washington SERIES: 3-1 L4/3-0 L3A… 4-0 A vs div opp off SUATS win… 4-1 Game Four
PHILADELPHIA 0-4 H aft allowing 7 < pts… 1-9 HF’s 9 3 pts w/rev (1-0 this year)… 4-0 O/U Game Four
NY GIANTS 6-0 Game Four
Monday, Oct. 4th
New England 5-1 Game Four… OCT: 1-7 off div vs .500 > div opp… BELICHICK: 16-1 w/rev vs opp off SU fav loss
MIAMI SERIES: 4-1 L5… 5-0 vs .666 > div opp… OCT: 1-7 H vs opp off fav role w/rev
Gridiron Angles - Week 4
By Vince Akins
Jets at Bills – The Bills are 9-0 ATS (11.2 ppg) The Bills are 8-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since September 30, 2007 after a straight up loss on the road as a TD+ dog. The Jets are 0-9 ATS (-8.9 ppg) since 1994 when they played the Dolphins last week, in the first four weeks of the year. The Jets are 0-7 OU (-8.3 ppg) since December 31, 2006 as a favorite when their opponent is on a 3+ game losing streak. The Jets are 0-6 OU (-14.0 ppg) since October 01, 1989 as a favorite the week before playing on Monday Night. The Bills are 0-6 OU (-17.6 ppg) since December 17, 2006 after they scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average.
Bengals at Browns – The Bengals are 0-11 ATS (-17.0 ppg) since September 22, 1991 when its week four and they were away last week. The Bengals are 0-7 ATS (-13.7 ppg) since October 28, 1990 on the road after they allowed at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average on the road. The Bengals are 0-6-1 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since October 15, 2006 as a favorite when facing a team that has averaged at least six punts per game season-to-date. The Browns are 7-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since November 18, 2001 the week after a loss in which they committed no turnovers. The Bengals are 0-8-1 OU (-9.1 ppg) since November 19, 2006 when their rushing yards increased in each of the last two weeks. The Bengals are 0-8-1 OU (-9.1 ppg) since November 19, 2006 when their rushing yards increased in each of the last two weeks.
Cardinals at Chargers – The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) since November 19, 2006 when they committing three or more turnovers at home last game. The Cardinals are 0-6 ATS (-7.2 ppg) since November 06, 1994 on the road the week after a straight up win at home in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Chargers are 0-8-1 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since September 27, 1998 at home the week after a game in which they committed at least four turnovers. The Cardinals are 9-0 OU (7.8 ppg) since November 21, 2004 as a dog the week after in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than their season-to-date average. The Cardinals are 8-0 OU (11.6 ppg) since December 15, 2002 as a road dog when facing a team that has passed the ball on at least 60% of their offensive plays, season-to-date.
Redskins at Eagles – The Redskins are 7-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since January 07, 2006 as a dog when they have had a positive dpa in each of their last two games. The Eagles are 0-9 ATS (-14.5 ppg) since 2005 at home when they never had to defend a first-and-goal last week.The Redskins are 0-8 OU (-8.0 ppg) since October 13, 1997 as a dog the week after on the road in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Redskins are 0-6-1 OU (-8.0 ppg) since September 24, 2000 on the road when one game under 500 after a straight up loss.
49ers at Falcons – The 49ers are 9-0-1 ATS (6.3 ppg) since December 14, 2006 when they were a favorite last game and had two or fewer sacks. The 49ers are 9-0 ATS (19.1 ppg) since September 24, 1989 on the road the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards on the road as a favorite. The 49ers are 0-7 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since December 08, 2002 on the road the week after in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average. The Falcons are 0-9-1 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since September 26, 2004 when they won last week and the total was 44.5 or higher. The Falcons are 0-9 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since November 22, 1998 at home when they won and covered their last two games. The Falcons are 0-6-1 ATS (-6.4 ppg) since November 22, 1998 as a 7+ favorite off a SU and ATS win last week vs a team that is off a SU and ATS loss last week. The Falcons are 0-9 OU (-8.7 ppg) since November 21, 1993 the week after as a dog in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average. The Falcons are 0-7 OU (-16.1 ppg) since October 20, 1991 as a favorite the week after a win in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing.
Bears at Giants – The Bears are 0-10-1 ATS (-7.8 ppg) since December 01, 2002 as a dog when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak. The Giants are 10-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) since January 13, 2008 when they controlled the ball more than their opponent last game and had zero or one sacks. The Giants are 0-7 ATS (-16.1 ppg) since December 08, 1991 as a home favorite the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards as a favorite. The Giants are 7-0-1 OU (11.9 ppg) since December 05, 1999 when one game under 500 after playing at home. The Giants are 6-0-2 OU (8.2 ppg) since January 05, 2003 when they get a team off a Monday Night game.
Colts at Jaguars – The Colts are 10-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since November 09, 2008 on the road after a straight up win as a favorite. The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS (-13.5 ppg) since November 23, 2008 after playing at home when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The Colts are 0-10-1 OU (-8.5 ppg) since October 15, 1989 on the road when they allowed at least 100 more yards passing last week than their season-to-date average. The Jaguars are 8-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since September 24, 1995 as a home dog after a game in which they allowed at least four sacks.
Lions at Packers – The Lions are 0-13-1 ATS (-9.6 ppg) since October 31, 2004 when they were down at half last week and allowed less points than expected. The Packers are 8-0-1 ATS (12.5 ppg) since November 22, 2007 as a favorite when facing a team that has allowed at least 65% completions season-to-date. The Packers are 7-0-1 ATS (10.4 ppg) since September 24, 2006 versus the Lions. The Packers are 7-0 ATS (13.2 ppg) since December 31, 2006 when facing a team that has benefited from an average of at least 2.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Packers are 10-0 OU (14.7 ppg) since October 08, 1989 when facing a team with no wins after week 3.
Texans at Raiders – The Texans are 9-0-1 ATS (6.2 ppg) since November 11, 2002 when they punted four or fewer times last week game. The Raiders are 0-8 ATS (-4.7 ppg) since October 24, 2004 at home when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. The Raiders are 6-0 ATS (12.0 ppg) since October 18, 2009 as a dog after a straight up loss. The Raiders are 0-8 OU (-10.4 ppg) since November 21, 2004 at home when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.75 yards per carry season-to-date. The Raiders are 0-6 OU (-7.5 ppg) since September 13, 1998 at home the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they committed 100+ yards of penalties.
Seahawks at Rams – The Seahawks are 0-9 ATS (-12.0 ppg) since December 16, 2007 after a straight up win at home. The Seahawks are 0-9 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since December 19, 2004 on the road when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Rams are 8-0 ATS (8.1 ppg) since December 09, 2001 at home when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Seahawks are 0-10-1 OU (-4.3 ppg) since November 13, 2005 when they allowed at least 100 more yards passing last week than their season-to-date average. The Rams are 0-7 OU (-12.3 ppg) since December 27, 2004 within 3 of pick when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25.
Panthers at Saints – The Panthers are 10-0 ATS (+10.2 ppg) since Thanksgiving 2002 after a home loss in which they had at least two minutes fewer of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Saints are 0-11 ATS (-8.0 ppg) since 1989 as a 6+ favorite vs a divisional opponent before playing on the road. The Saints are 0-10 ATS (-12.1 ppg) since September 11, 1994 as a home favorite when facing a team with no wins after week 1. The Saints are 0-8 ATS (-14.1 ppg) since October 24, 1993 as a home 7+ favorite when facing a team that has an average turnover margin of at least +1 per game, season-to-date. The Panthers are 0-7 OU (-10.4 ppg) since October 27, 2002 as a 7+ dog after a straight up loss as a dog. The Saints are 7-0 OU (7.6 ppg) since December 20, 1993 at home when they lost 1-3 points last week against a divisional opponent. The Saints are 7-0 OU (5.6 ppg) since September 22, 1996 at home when facing a team with no wins after week 3.
Ravens at Steelers – The Ravens are 0-9 ATS (-5.8 ppg) since October 4, 2009 when they controlled the ball more than their opponent did last game. The Steelers are 0-10-1 ATS (-8.5 ppg) since November 20, 2005 when they scored at least 10 points more than expected when they committed less than five penalties. The Steelers are 0-11 ATS (-9.3 ppg) since September 30, 2007 as a favorite when facing a team that has benefited from an average of less than 1.25 turnovers per game season-to-date. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since November 11, 2007 as a favorite when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date. The Ravens are 7-0 OU (15.4 ppg) since October 06, 2002 as a dog vs a divisional opponent with non-divisional opponents in each of the next two weeks. The Steelers are 10-0 OU (9.1 ppg) since September 07, 2003 at home when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season.
Broncos at Titans – The Broncos are 8-0-2 ATS (8.8 ppg) since October 18, 1992 as a dog when their rushing yards decreased in each of the last two weeks. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS (15.9 ppg) since October 16, 1995 as a dog when their passing yards increased in each of the last two weeks. . The Titans are 0-7 ATS (-9.4 ppg) since September 10, 2006 at home when they play on the road in each of the next two weeks. The Broncos are 8-0-1 OU (12.3 ppg) since December 10, 2006 on the road after a straight up loss at home. The Titans are 0-7 OU (-9.8 ppg) since December 14, 2008 when facing a team that has completed at least 65% of their passes season-to-date.
Patriots at Dolphins – The Patriots are 0-10-1 ATS (-8.2 ppg) when they controlled the ball longer than their opponent last game as a double-digit favorite. The Patriots are 9-0 ATS (14.1 ppg) since January 02, 1994 within 3 of pick the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing. The Patriots are 6-0 ATS (10.6 ppg) since October 30, 2006 on the road when they had fewer than ten incompletions last week. The Patriots are 0-7 OU (-7.2 ppg) since January 14, 2007 on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30.
Historically Speaking Football Trends
Nelly's Sportsline
Denver is 2-6 in the last 8 games as dogs
Tennessee is 27-34-1 as home favorites since 2000
Baltimore is 13-20-2 vs. Pitt since 1994
Pittsburgh is 10-22-3 as favorites of 3 or less since 2001
Cincinnati is 9-3 S/U vs. Cleveland since 2004
Cleveland is 11-7 as home underdogs since 2006
Detroit is 1-7 vs. Green Bay since 2006
Green Bay is 6-13-2 after Chicago games since 1999
Carolina is 6-1 in the last 7 vs. New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-9 as double-digit home favorites since 1987
San Francisco is 24-14-1 vs. Atlanta since 1984
Atlanta is 10-4 as home favorites since 2007
Seattle is 4-9 in the last 13 as road favorites
St. Louis is 2-8 in the last ten vs. Seattle
NY Jets are 4-9 in the last 13 vs. Buffalo
Buffalo is 3-8-1 in the last twelve home games
Indianapolis is 7-2 as road favorites since 2009
Jacksonville is 12-6 in the last 18 as home dogs
Houston is 1-4-1 as road favorites since 2007
Oakland is 11-21 as home dogs since 2004
Arizona is 10-2 as underdogs since 2009
San Diego is 10-5 in the last 15 after a S/U loss
Washington is 12-5-1 in the last 18 as dogs of 6 or more
Philadelphia is 9-5 as home favorites since 2008
Chicago is 3-10 in the last 13 road games
NY Giants are 2-6 in the last eight at home
New England is 4-8 at Miami since 1998
Miami is 5-13 in the last 18 as home dogs