NFL Trends Week 4

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Green Bay is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games ,
Chicago is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. NY JETS
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Jets are 3-5-2 ATS in their last 10 games
NY Jets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Tennessee is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 18 games when playing Tennessee

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. HOUSTON
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Houston is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
Houston is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. PITTSBURGH
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

4:05 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing San Diego
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games

4:25 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

4:25 PM
ATLANTA vs. MINNESOTA
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games at home
Minnesota is 6-13-1 SU in its last 20 games ,

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Monday, September 29

8:30 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
New England is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New England is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England

Miami at Oakland, 1:00 ET
Miami: 36-16 ATS against AFC West division opponents
Oakland: 16-36 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games

Green Bay at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 101-69 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Chicago: 1-8 ATS off a non-conference game

Buffalo at Houston, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home
Houston: 0-6 ATS off a road loss

Tennessee at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 11-2 ATS after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games
Indianapolis: 41-23 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games

Carolina at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 20-8 ATS after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game
Baltimore: 18-3 UNDER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite

Detroit at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 6-17 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
NY Jets: 3-13 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 22-9 ATS in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
Pittsburgh: 46-25 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

Jacksonville at San Diego, 4:05 ET
Jacksonville: 5-13 ATS as an underdog
San Diego: 59-39 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
Philadelphia: 157-123 ATS against conference opponents
San Francisco: 18-5 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite

Atlanta at Minnesota, 4:25 ET
Atlanta: 18-38 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game
Minnesota: 36-17 OVER after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game

New Orleans at Dallas, 8:30 ET
New Orleans: 16-6 OVER as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Dallas: 9-2 ATS in the first half of the season

Monday, Sept. 29th

New England at Kansas City, 8:35 ET
New England: 27-12 ATS in road games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game
Kansas city: 15-33 ATS against AFC East division opponents

StatFox Super Situations

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO
Play Under - Any team against the total in a game involving two poor teams (outgained by 40-100 YPG), after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game 87-44 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 38.6 units )

BUFFALO at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (BUFFALO) after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game against opponent after gaining 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game 35-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 85.4% | 0.0 units )

TAMPA BAY at PITTSBURGH
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) good passing team (230-265 PY/game) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/game), after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game 29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

Miami @ Oakland
The Dolphins are a dynamite 36-16 ATS versus AFC West opponents, 3-0 ATS playing on a neutral field, but 47-67 ATS against teams with a losing record. Miami is 17-7 Under versus AFC opponents, 8-2 Under against losing teams, 3-0 Under on neutral fields, 32-12 Under versus AFC West opponents and 5-1 Under as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points. The Raiders are a lowly 33-69 ATS versus losing teams and 8-16 ATS playing on grass. Oakland is 12-6 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 9-5 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses. In this series Miami is 12-3 straight up and 10-5 ATS. Do note they are playing this game in London.

Green Bay @ Chicago
The packers are just 2-7 ATS in September and 7-11 ATS on the road, but they’re 9-5 ATS versus divisional opponents. Grren bay is 9-5 Under versus divisional opponents and 10-3 Under off a divisional game, but they’re 12-7 Over on the road, 7-3 Over in September and still 29-19 Over after a divisional loss despite going Under in the last 3. The Bears are 5-13 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 13-21 ATS overall, 5-9 ATS as underdogs, 4-12 ATS at home, 2-5 ATS when the total is 49½ or higher, 7-18 ATS versus NFC opponents, 2-10 ATS versus divisional opponents and 4-8 ATS against losing teams. Chicago is 27-11 Under as a home dog of 3 points or less, but 23-12 Over overall, 10-2 Over versus losing teams, 7-3 Over in September and 17-10 Over playing on grass. In this series Green Bay is 28-16 ATS including 17-6 ATS when playing at Chicago.

Buffalo @ Houston
The Bills are just 11-23 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 6-11 ATS overall on the road and 9-14 overall in the underdog role. Buffalo is 3-0 Under this year, 24-13 Under as road dogs of 3 points or less and 64-48 Under playing on grass. The Texans are 2-5 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points and 2-0 ATS on grass this year. Houston is 40-22 Over when the line is 3 points or less, but 27-16 Over playing in September. In this series the Over is 4-2 the last 6 meetings.

Tennessee @ Indianapolis
The Titans are 5-14 ATS when the total is between 42½ and 49 points and 2-8 ATS versus divisional opponents, but 6-2 ATS off 2 or more straight up losses. Tennessee is 3-0 Under this year, 14-4 Under on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 63-42 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 17-9 Under in the domes and 27-19 Under playing on turf. The Colts are 6-1 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 23-14 ATS overall, 11-5 ATS home favorites, 13-5 ATS at home, 7-0 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 15-8 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 18-10 ATS versus AFC opponents, 10-2 ATS versus divisional opponents, 14-6 ATS in domes and 12-3 ATS versus losing teams. Indianapolis is 14-8 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 17-11 Under versus AFC opponents, 9-4 Under versus divisional opponents and 10-5 Under against losing teams, but they’re 3-0 Over this season. In this series the Colts are 4-0 straight up and 3-0-1 ATS the last 4 and these 2 teams are 12-3 Over when playing at Indianapolis.

Carolina @ Baltimore
The Panthers are 11-6 ATS as underdogs and 3-1 ATS as road underdogs of 3 points or less. Carolina is 29-21 Over on the road with a total of 38½ to 42 points, but 40-24 Under playing in September. The Ravens are 6-2 ATS off a divisional win and 80-63 ATS at home, but 4-7 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins. Baltimore is 73-56 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 14-8 Under as favorites, 25-17 Under at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 11-4 Under on turf, 41-27 Under off a divisional game and 55-33 Under off 2 or more consecutive wins. In this series Carolina is 3-1 straight up and ATS the last 4.

Detroit @ NY Jets
The Lions are 13-21 ATS overall, 50-72 ATS favorites despite being 2-0 this year, 4-13 ATS road favorites of 3 points or less, 6-11 ATS overall on the road, 7-14 ATS on turf, 20-32 ATS off a divisional win and 1-6 ATS versus losing teams. Detroit is 72-51 Over playing as a favorite, 13-5 Over as road favorites of 3 or less, 25-16 Over on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points and 54-31 Over versus AFC opponents including 7-1 lately. the Jets are 18-13 ATS athome with a total of 42½ to 45 points, 16-6 ATS after playing on Monday night and 14-9 ATS versus NFC North opponents. New York is 18-12 Over at home with atotal of 42½ to 45 points and 6-3 Over versus winning teams.

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh
The Buccaneers are 4-8 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 0-3 ATS this year and 4-11 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses. Tampa Bay is 18-6 Under versys AFC North opponents an 51-30 Under in September including 8-3 lately. The Steelers are 92-62 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 21-12 ATS home favorites of 7½ to 10 points, 6-1 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points and 9-3 ATS versus NFC South opponents, but just 2-8 ATS in Spetember. Pittsburgh is 11-6 Under at home, but 6-3 Over versus NFC opponents. In this series Pittsburgh is 4-1 straight up and ATS the last 5 and 4 of those 5 went Over the total.

Jacksonville @ San Diego
The Jaguars are 13-9 ATS as underdogs of 10 points or more, but 11-22 ATS overall including 0-3 this year, 5-9 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 10-18 ATS on grass, 1-9 ATS in September and 25-35 ATS off a divisional loss. Jacksonville is 12-6 Over on the road, 3-0 Over this year, 22-16 Over versus AFC West opponents and 22-13 Under on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points. The Chargers are 7-13 ATS favorites of 10 points or more, but a huge 23-3 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 9-1 ATS in September, 3-0 ATS this year and 60-42 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. San Diego is 12-8 Under as a facvorite of 10 points or more, but 15-10 Over versus AFC South opponents and 77-52 Over versus losing teams. In this series 5 of the last 6 have gone Over the total.

Philadelphia @ San Francisco
The Eagles are 13-22 ATS overall but 2-1 this year, 3-7 ATS in September, and 2-6 ATS after 2 or more wins, but 24-15 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points and 28-17 ATS versus NFC West despite the 0-2 lately. Philadelphia is 3-0 Over this year, 10-4 Over as an underdog and 9-3 Over on the road with a total of 49½ points, but they’re also 74-51 Under versus losing teams and 83-63 Under off a divisional game. The 49ers are 12-7 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 24-16 ATS overall and 20-13 ATS as a favorite. San Francisco is 25-17 Over as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, but 3-0 Under versus NFC East opponents. In this series Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS at San Francisco and 6 of the last 9 meetings in San Francisco have gone Over the total.

Atlanta @ Minnesota
The Falcons are 28-21 ATS versus NFC North opponents including 2-0 lately, but they’re 28-42 ATS off a divisional win. Atlanta 8-4 Under off a divisional game and 4-1 Under off a divisional win. The Vikings are 9-4 ATS when the line is 3 or less, 5-1 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, 10-5 ATS overall at home, 27-16 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points and 41-28 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses, but they’re 10-15 ATS versus NFC South opponents including 0-3 lately. Minnesota is 5-2 Over off 2 or more consecutive losses. In this series Atlanta is 3-1 straight up and ATS at Minnesota and 6 of the last 9 meetings have gone Under the total.

New orleans @ Dallas
The Saints are 14-8 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, but 7-13 ATS overall on the road. New Orleans is 16-6 Over as road favorites of 3 points or less and 75-56 Over versus winning teams. The Cowboys are 11-6 ATS underdogs, 10-6 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, but 1-4 ATS versus NFC South opponents, 4-8 ATS versus losing teams and 6-11 ATS overall at home. Dallas is 5-0 Over after 2 or more consecutive wins, but 7-3 Under in September and 76-52 Under versus losing teams. In this series New Orleans is 8-2 ATS versus Dallas including 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS at Dallas. These 2 have playd Over is 3 of the last 4 at Dallas.

New England @ Kansas City
The Patriots are 13-6 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 17-11 ATS playing on Monday night and 102-77 ATS on the road. New England is 14-6 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 23-16 Over overall, 20-13 Over as a favorite, 18-12 Over versus AFC opponents and 8-3 Over against losing teams. The Chiefs are 5-12 ATS at home, 1-4 ATS at home with a total of 42½ to 45 points and a dismal 15-33 ATS versus AFC East. Kansas City is 15-9 Under on Monday night and 47-34 Under in September. In this series New England is 7-3 ATS versus Kansas City including 4-1 straight up and ATS at Kansas City.

Gridiron Angles - Week 4
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Saints are 11-0 ATS (9.7 ppg) since September 28, 2008 as a favorite versus any team with more wins.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Cowboys are 0-13 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since December 25, 2010 coming a win versus any team with fewer wins.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

Jeremy Maclin is 0-10 ATS (-15.1 ppg) in his career coming off a home game where he had at least six receptions.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Raiders are 0-12 ATS as a dog when they covered by 10+ points last week.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

Jeremy Maclin is 0-10 ATS (-15.1 ppg) in his career coming off a home game where he had at least six receptions.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Ravens are 0-12 OU (-9.75 ppg) since Jan 13, 2007 as a favorite when they won and covered their last two games.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams which are 1-2 after winning at least nine games last season are 35-55-2 ATS. Active against Indianapolis, San Francisco, New Orleans and Kansas City.