NFL Trends Week 5

TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games ,on the road
Philadelphia is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

ATLANTA vs. NY GIANTS
Atlanta is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Atlanta
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

CLEVELAND vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Tennessee is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Tennessee is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games

HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
Houston is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Houston is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

BUFFALO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

PITTSBURGH vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

CHICAGO vs. CAROLINA
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

BALTIMORE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games

ARIZONA vs. DENVER
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games

NY JETS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets

KANSAS CITY vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

CINCINNATI vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New England is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati

SEATTLE vs. WASHINGTON
Seattle is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Chicago at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game
Carolina: 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Cleveland at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 19-8 UNDER after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games
Tennessee: 30-14 OVER after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game

St. Louis at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) against NFC East division opponents
Philadelphia: 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points

Atlanta at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game
NY Giants: 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) off an upset win as a road underdog

Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
New Orleans: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5

Houston at Dallas, 1:00 ET
Houston: 17-5 UNDER (+11.5 Units) in road games after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
Dallas: 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games after having won 3 out of their last 4 games

Buffalo at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a road loss
Detroit: 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games

Baltimore at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 22-8 UNDER (+13.2 Units) against AFC South division opponents
Indianapolis: 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 92-63 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Jacksonville: 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Arizona at Denver, 4:05 ET
Arizona: 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games
Denver: 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

Kansas City at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
Kansas City: 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against NFC West division opponents
San Francisco: 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

NY Jets at San Diego, 4:25 ET
NY Jets: 34-19 OVER (+13.1 Units) after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse
San Diego: 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off 1 or more straight overs

Cincinnati at New England, 8:30 ET
Cincinnati: 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5
New England: 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

NFL Betting Trends for Monday, Oct. 6th

Seattle at Washington, 8:35 ET
Seattle: 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Washington: 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse

Chicago @ Carolina
The Bears are 5-14 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 13-22 ATS overall, 5-10 ATS as underdogs, 6-18 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 34-52 ATS overall with a total of 42½ to 49 points, 7-19 ATS versus NFC opponents, 10-17 ATS playing on grass and 2-5 ATS in October. Chicago is 14-6 Over when the line is 3 points or less, 24-12 Over overall, 10-5 Over as an underdog, 14-4 Over playing on the road, 18-10 Over on the grass, 5-2 Over in October and 5-1 Over on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points. The Panthers are 17-11 ATS on grass and 3-0 ATS versus NFC North opponents. Carolina is 14-7 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 12-7 Under as a favorite, 17-11 Under versus NFC opponents, 18-11 Under playing on grass, 12-7 Under at home, 5-1 Under as home favorite of 3 points or less and 16-8 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points.

Cleveland @ Tennessee
The Browns are 0-2 ATS versus AFC South opponents. Cleveland is 9-1 Under versus losing teams, but 11-7 Over after a bye week. The Titans are 2-6 ATS off a divisional game, 2-5 ATS off a divisional loss, but 6-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Tennessee is 43-23 Over in October and 7-3 Over after 2 or more consecutive losses. In this series Cleveland is 6-3 ATS playing at Tennessee and 6 of those 9 games went Over the total.

St Louis @ Philadelphia
The Rams are 10-23 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 13-20 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 12-27 ATS versus NFC East opponents and 51-72 ATS versus winning teams, but the Rams are 13-8 ATS after a bye week. St Louis is 24-15 Under versus NFC East teams, but 14-9 Over after a bye week. The eagles are 2-8 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 13-23 ATS overall, 7-14 ATS playing as a favorite, 4-14 ATs at home, 9-17 ATS versus NFC opponents, 10-18 ATS on grass and 5-16 TS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. Philadelphia is 75-51 Under versus losing teams and 14-8 Under at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. In this series Philadelphia is 8-1-1 ATS includinh 5-0-1 ATS at home against St Louis. 7 of the last 9 meetings have gone Over the total including 5 of 6 at Philadelphia.

Atlanta @ NY Giants
The Falcons are 4-1 ATS versus NFC East opponents and 53-29 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Atlanta is 6-2 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 33-24 Under as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points including 3-0 Under lately and 4-1 Under on the road with a total of 49½ points or more. The Giants are 6-2 ATS in October and 61-44 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins. New York is 17-10 Under versus NFC opponents, but 8-2 Over off a divisional win. In this series Atlanta is 5-1 ATS at New York and 7 of the last 9 meetings have gone Under the total.

Tampa Bay @ New Orleans
The Buccaneers are 11-4 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ tp 49 points, 10-16 ATS versus NFC opponents and 32-49 ATS playing in Oactober. Tampa Bay is 8-0 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 2-0 Over on the road this season. The Saints are 12-5 ATS at home, 7-3 ATS versus losing teams and 5-0 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. New Orleans is 57-39 Over in weeks 5 through 9.

Houston @ Dallas
The Texans are 5-9 ATS underdogs, 19-27 ATS versus NFC opponents, 20-30 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 11-23 ATS on turf including 1-7 lately. The Cowboys are 6-12 ATS favorites. 6-3 ATS versus AFC opponents and 6-2 ATS in October, but just 7-11 ATS at home. In this series the Under is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings.

Buffalo @ Detroit
The Bills are 6-12 ATS on the road, 3-6 ATS versus NFC opponents, but 7-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. Buffalo is 4-0 Under this year and 6-1 Under on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points, but 5-1 Over playing in October. The Lions are 24-44 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 50-72 ATS overall in the favorite role, 16-23 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 7-14 ATS under a dome and 8-14 ATS playing on turf. Detroit is 72-51 Over playing as a favorite, 54-32 Over versus AFC opponents and 31-16 Over off 2 or more consecutive wins. In this series Detroit is 2-0 ATS versus Buffalo at home and 4 of the last 5 have gone Over the total.

Baltimore @ Indianapolis
The Ravens are 3-1 ATS this year and 23-13 ATS as a road dog of 3 points or less, but they’re 11-18 ATS versus AFC South opponents. Baltimore is 10-6 Over playing as underdogs, but 22-8 Under versus AFC South opponents and 11-5 Under playing on turf. The Colts are 24-14 ATS overall, 12-5 ATS as favorites, 14-5 ATS at home, 8-0 ATs at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 7-2 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 16-8 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points. Indianapolis is 17-12 Under versus AFC opponents icnluding 3-0 lately, but they’re 4-0 Over this season. In this series 4 of the last 5 meetings in Indianapolis have gone Over the total.

Pittsburgh @ Jacksonville
The Steelers are 10-17 ATS versys AFC South opponents and 9-14 ATS as favorites, but they’re 50-31 ATS playing in October and 58-35 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Pittsburgh is 6-1 Under in October, but 3-1 Over this season. The Jaguars are 3-14 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 11-23 ATS overall including 0-4 this season, 6-14 ATS home underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 3-12 ATS at home, 10-19 ATS playing on grass and 5-10 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points. Jacksonville is 14-7 Over as home underdogs of 3½ to 7 points and 6-2 Over in weeks 5 through 9. In this series Jacksonville is 9-2 ATS versus Pittsburgh playing in Jacksonville.

Arizona @ Denver
The Cardinals are 10-6 ATS on the road 9-4 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, but 9-18 ATS versus AFC West opponents and 2-7 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Arizona is 18-9 Over versus AFC West opponents, but 14-8 Under off a bye week, 4-1 Under as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 6-2 Under in October and they’re 3-0 Under this season. The Broncos are 16-6 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 21-11 ATS overall favorites including 2-0 this year, 4-0 ATS home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 12-7 ATs at home, 19-8 ATS on grass and 20-8 ATS after a bye week. Denver is 110-72 Over at home, 83-53 Over as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 24-14 Over overall, 146-97 Over overall, 106-61 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 19-8 Over versys NFC West, 8-34 Over versus NFC opponents, 98-51 Over versus winning teams and 7-1 Over in weeks 5 through 9. In this series Denver is 4-1 ATS the last 5 and all 5 meetings over the total.

Kansas City @ San Francisco
The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, but 18-6 ATS versus NFC West opponents and 50-35 ATS versus NFC opponents. Kansas City is 22-15 Over as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 21-13 Over on the road with a total of 42½ to 45 points and 15-8 Over versus NFC West opponents, but 7-2 Under off 2 ore more consecutive wins. The 49ers are 25-16 ATS overall, 13-7 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 21-13 ATS overall favorites, 16-10 ATS on grass, 7-2 ATS versus AFC opponents and 6-2 ATS in October. San Francisco is 2510 Over as a home favorite of 3½ to 7 points and 6-3 Over versus AFC opponents. In this series Kansas City is 5-1 ATS including 2-0 ATS in San Francisco.

NY Jets @ San Diego
The Jets are 19-12 ATS on road with a total of 42½ to 45 points and 6-3 ATS in weeks 5 through 9, but 21-27 ATS versus AFC West opponents. New York is 7-3 Over with a total of 42½ to 49 points and 5-1 Over in weeks 5 through 9. The Chargers are 28-20 ATS home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 16-10 ATS versus AFC opponents, 61-42 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins and they’re 4-0 ATS this year. San Diego is 3-0 Over as a home favorite of 3½ to 7 points. In this series the Jets are 6-3 ATS versus the Chargers including 4-1 ATS at San Diego. 6 of the last 9 meetings have gone Over the total.

Cincinnati @ New England
The Bengals are 22-13 ATS overall including 3-0 this year, 4-0 ATS on the road with a total of 45½ to 49 points, 15-7 ATS playing on turf, 16-11 ATS road favorites of 3 points or less, but they’re just 33-50 ATS playing in October. Cincinnati is 16-5 Under on the road with a total of 5½ to 49 points, 17-10 Under versus AFC opponents and 10-4 Under off 2 or more consecutive wins. The Patriots are 80-48 ATS underdogs and 10-3 ATS home dogs of 3 points or less, 17-12 ATS playing on turf, but they’re just 11-26 ATS at home with a total of 45½ to 49 points. New England is 24-16 Over overall, 13-7 Over at home, 18-10 Over onn a shot week of practice, 10-4 Over versus winning teams, 7-2 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 19-10 Over playing on turf. In this series Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS while New England is 7-3 straight up including the Bengals 3-1 ATS at New England and the patriots 4-0 straight up in this 4 games.

Seattle @ Washington
The Seahawks are 11-3 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 28-12 ATS overall, 19-11 ATS favorites, 21-8 ATS versus NFC opponents, 7-2 ATS on grass, 15-6 ATS with a total of 42½ to 49 points, but thye’re just 7-18 ATS off abye week and 28-53 ATS playing in October. Seattle is 9-5 Over as a road favorite of 3½ to 7 points, 16-10 Over off a bye week and 54-29 Over in weeks 5 through 9. The Redskins are 64-46 ATS dogs of 3½ to 9½ points, but 73-99 ATs at home, 9-16 ATS on Monday night, 1-6 ATs off a divisional loss and 0-3 ATS versus NFC West opponents. Washington is 15-7 Under as home dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 8-3 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses, 83-57 Under versus winning teams and 15-9 Under playing on Monday night.

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Gridiron Angles - Week 5
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL USER TREND:

The Rams are 17-1-1 ATS since November 27, 2005 on the road against a non-divisonal opponent that had less than 200 passing yards in their last game.

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Bills are 11-0 ATS (7.7 ppg) since December 20, 1997 as a 7+ dog when they lost and failed to cover their last two games

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Jaguars are 0-10 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since September 30, 2012 when facing a team that ha s allowed more than 4.4 yards per carry season-to-date.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

The Lions are 0-12-1 ATS (-7.3 ppg) past week one when Calvin Johnson had at least seven receptions in a loss the last time they faced this team.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Steelers are 0-10 ATS as a road favorite by at least six points.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams that lost by a TD in overtime last game are 43-34-3 ATS. Active on Denver.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Eagles are 12-0 OU (10.2 ppg) since November 27, 2008 on artificial turf after a loss as a dog.