PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at MIAMI (3 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI (2 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
JACKSONVILLE (3 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA (4 - 2) at TENNESSEE (4 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WASHINGTON (3 - 3) at CHICAGO (4 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CLEVELAND (1 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BUFFALO (0 - 5) at BALTIMORE (4 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 5) at CAROLINA (0 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ST LOUIS (3 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (3 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 109-141 ATS (-46.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 109-141 ATS (-46.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 78-110 ATS (-43.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA (3 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND (4 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND (2 - 4) at DENVER (2 - 4)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (2 - 3) at GREEN BAY (3 - 3)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS (4 - 2) at DALLAS (1 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO vs. BALTIMORE
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
PITTSBURGH vs. MIAMI
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
CINCINNATI vs. ATLANTA
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
JACKSONVILLE vs. KANSAS CITY
Jacksonville is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games
Washington is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Chicago is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
CLEVELAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home
PHILADELPHIA vs. TENNESSEE
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
ST. LOUIS vs. TAMPA BAY
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games
Tampa Bay is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games at home
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CAROLINA
San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
Carolina is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
ARIZONA vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
OAKLAND vs. DENVER
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
NEW ENGLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing New England
San Diego is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
Green Bay is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
NY Giants are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Giants last 11 games
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games
PITTSBURGH at MIAMI
PITTSBURGH: 23-10 ATS Away off a home division win
MIAMI: 4-14 ATS at home off a win by 3 or less
CINCINNATI at ATLANTA
CINCINNATI: 26-43 ATS in October games
ATLANTA: 6-0 ATS after a loss by 10 or more
JACKSONVILLE at KANSAS CITY
JACKSONVILLE: 2-11 ATS off a division game
KANSAS CITY: 5-1 UNDER off 2 straight road losses
PHILADELPHIA at TENNESSEE
PHILADELPHIA: 33-17 ATS off 2 straight overs
TENNESSEE: 7-3 OVER off a road win
WASHINGTON at CHICAGO
WASHINGTON: 25-11 UNDER vs. NFC North division
CHICAGO: 19-8 OVER at home after a loss by 6 or less
CLEVELAND at NEW ORLEANS
CLEVELAND: 10-0 UNDER vs. NFC South division
NEW ORLEANS: 26-11 UNDER after a 2 game road trip
BUFFALO at BALTIMORE
BUFFALO: 7-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
BALTIMORE: 6-0 UNDER after covering the spread 2 out of L3 games
SAN FRANCISCO at CAROLINA
SAN FRANCISCO: 5-18 ATS Away after allowing 9 points or less
CAROLINA: 11-2 ATS after scoring 6 points or less
ST LOUIS at TAMPA BAY
ST LOUIS: 19-39 ATS off a non-conference game
TAMPA BAY: 22-9 ATS after being outrushed by 100+ yards last game
ARIZONA at SEATTLE
ARIZONA: 7-0 ATS in road games off 4+ Overs
SEATTLE: 14-29 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 pts
NEW ENGLAND at SAN DIEGO
NEW ENGLAND: 74-45 ATS as an underdog
SAN DIEGO: 8-1 OVER at home off road game
OAKLAND at DENVER
OAKLAND: 6-15 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
DENVER: 7-1 OVER off a home loss
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
MINNESOTA: 4-13 ATS Away after a win by 3 or less
GREEN BAY: 66-43 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses
NY GIANTS at DALLAS
NY GIANTS: 6-0 OVER versus division opponents
DALLAS: 15-3 ATS in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4
2-MINUTE HANDICAP
Pittsburgh SERIES: 3-1 L4/3-1 L4 A... 5-0 favs H w/rev vs opp off div... 0-7 Game Six... 1-9 vs .750 > non div opp... 1-8 H off SU dog win (0-1 this year)... HD's 4 H vs < .500 opp... 4-1 favs vs opp off SU fav loss... 4-1 Game Seven... SMITH: 6-0 off DD SU loss/10-2 H off non div (1-0 this year)
Jacksonville 6-2 vs AFC West (1-1 this year)...1-3 Game Six...0-7 vs opp off BB RG's
KANSAS CITY 0-6 H off BB non div games... HALEY: 1-5 H off SU loss... 7-1 O/U Game Six
Philadelphia SERIES: 5-2 L7... 13-0 RD's off BB non div vs non div opp... 7-0 dogs off BB SUATS wins... 1-5 non conf dogs 9 home vs .500 > opp
Washington SERIES: 7-2 L9/6-0 L6... 0-7 Game Seven
CHICAGO 7-0 Game Seven... 5-1 off SU fav loss vs .500 > opp... 0-5 favs in 2nd BB HG's
Cleveland 6-1 A vs opp off BB RG's (1-0 this year)... OCT: 1-9 off SU loss vs opp off DD SU win... 3-12 non div DD dogs vs opp off SUATS win... MANGINI: 9-0 off div & BB SU losses (1-0 this year)... 1-4 O/U Game Seven
NEW ORLEANS 5-1 off SU win 21 > pts... 0-8 off DD SU win vs opp off BB SU losses... 1-4 Game Seven... PAYTON: 1-8 HF vs opp off BB SU losses (0-1 this year)
Buffalo 8-0 off BB SU losses vs opp w/rev... 4-1 w/rest... GAILEY: 0-10 A vs non div opp (0-1 this year)... 1-6 O/U Game Six
BALTIMORE SERIES: 3-1 L4/3-0 L3 H... 10-0 H vs opp off DD SU home fav loss... 10-3 DD HF's vs opp off SU loss (0-1 this year)... OCT: 8-1 w/rev vs opp off DD SU loss... 6-1 Game Seven... 1-5 vs conf opp off DD SU loss (0-1 this year)
San Francisco 1-8 L9 as RF's (0-2 this year)... 1-6 w/rev vs opp off BB SU losses
CAROLINA SERIES: 10-1 L11/5-0 L5 H... 8-2 dogs vs .333 < opp... 0-6 dogs vs opp w/rev... OCT: 11-3 vs favs w/rev... CARROLL: 0-8 off SU dog win (0-2 this year)
New England 10-0 off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SU losses... 1-5 dogs vs AFC West... BELICHICK: 17-1 w/rev vs opp off SU fav loss (1-0 this year)
SAN DIEGO 8-1 off DD ATS loss (2-1 this year)... 8-2 off SU fav loss vs non div opp (2-1 this year)
Oakland SERIES: 6-2 L8/4-0 L4 A... 1-9 vs div opp w/rev... CABLE: 0-8 vs < .500 opp (0-2 this year)
DENVER 9-0 HF's pts vs .666 < div opp... OCT: 0-7 < .500 dogs vs opp off SU loss... 1-10 vs div opp off SU fav loss w/rev... 1-7 dogs vs opp off SU fav loss
GREEN BAY MCCARTHY: 7-2 vs div opp off SU win (0-1 this year)
NY Giants SERIES: 4-1 L5... 7-0 A off BB SU wins vs div opp off SU loss... OCT: 12-2 off BB SU wins vs opp off non div... 1-5 Monday night dogs
DALLAS 6-0 H off BB SUATS losses... OCT: 9-1 H off SU loss vs opp off SU win... 12-3 1st BB HG's vs div opp
NFL Tech Trends - Week 7
By Bruce Marshall
PITTSBURGH at MIAMI... Interestingly, the road team has covered in Miami’s first five games TY (Dolphins 0-2 at home). Miami now 6-20 vs. line at home since late ‘06 (5-14 for Sparano). Dolphins also "over" 9-1 last 10 at home. Steelers have won and covered first two on road TY. Tech edge-Steelers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
CINCINNATI at ATLANTA... Cincy just 10-16 vs. line away since ‘07. Falcons 14-8 vs. number since start of 2009 season. Atlanta also "under" 7-3 last 10 at Georgia Dome. Tech edge-Falcons and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
JACKSONVILLE at KANSAS CITY... Even after loss on Monday vs. Titans, Jags have made a bit of a recovery this season, now 3-3 vs. line after 5-11 a year ago and 9-23 the previous two seasons. Jags also "over" 5-2 since late LY. Chiefs also improved with 4-1 spread marks. Tech edge-slight to "over," based on recent Jags "totals" trends.
PHILADELPHIA at TENNESSEE... Birds have won SU their first 3 away TY (2-1 vs. line) and lost their first two at home. Note Andy Reid was 0-3 as road dog LY, but even so, counting last week’s cover at SF, Philly 11-4 last 15 in role. Titans just 4-8 last 12 as home chalk. Also "over’ 12-6 last 18 at LP Field. Tech edge-Eagles and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.
WASHINGTON at CHICAGO... Lovie "under" first two at Solider Field TY, now "under" 8-3 last 11 as host. Bears just 5-10 as home chalk since ‘07 (0-1m TY). Tech edge-"Under," based on Bears home "totals" trends.
CLEVELAND at NEW ORLEANS... Saints 5-13-1 last 19 on board since mid ‘09. Browns 6-2-1 vs. line last 8 on road, and Brownies "under" 14-7-1 last 22 away since late ‘07. Tech edge-Browns and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
BUFFALO at BALTIMORE... Bills 1-4 vs. line TY. John Harbaugh 11-4 as home chalk. Baltimore "over" first 2 at home TY but "under" 4-2 overall, and "under" 20-11 last 31 on board. Tech edge-Ravens and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at CAROLINA... Panthers no covers yet at home (0-3). John Fox "under" first three at home TY and 9-2 last 11 at home, and "under" 20-7 at Charlotte since ‘07. Tech edge-49ers and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
ST. LOUIS at TAMPA BAY... Bucs 1-9-1 vs. line at home for Raheem Morris, also "under" 14-8 overall since Morris arrived LY. Rams have covered 4 of last 5, all as dog, TY, and "under" 7-3 away since Spagnuolo arrived LY. Tech edge-Rams and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
ARIZONA at SEATTLE... Seattle 2-0 SU and vs. line a home, 1-2 SU and vs. line away. Seahawks actually 9-3 vs. line last 12 as host. Cards, though, have won and covered last 4 and 6 of last 7 in series. Whisenhunt 1-2 as dog TY but 11-3 last 14 in role. Tech edge-slight to Cards, based on Whisenhunt dog mark.
NEW ENGLAND at SAN DIEGO... Belichick only 8-7 as dog since ‘05. Norv 2-0 SU and vs. line at home TY, also "over" first two and "over" 9-4 last 13 as host. Tech edge-"Over," based on "totals" trends.
OAKLAND at DENVER... This has turned into a very odd visitor-oriented series the past two years, with road team winning and covering all four meetings since ‘08. In fact, Raiders have covered last 4 at Denver. Broncos also "over" 5-1 TY and10-1 last 11 since late LY. Tech edge-"Over" and Raiders, based on series and "totals" trends.
MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY... Vikings won and covered both meetings with Favre LY after Pack had covered previous 4. Last four "over" in series. Pack only 6-7 vs. line last 12 as host. Tech edge-slight to Vikings and "over," based on recent series trends.
NY GIANTS at DALLAS (Monday, October 25)...Giants won and covered both meetings LY and 4 of last 5 in series. Last 2 and 5 of last 7 "over" in series. Wade Phillips 0-2 vs. line at home TY, also "over" first 2 as host. Giants "over" 6-3 on road since LY and "over" 14-7 last 21 overall. Tech edge-"Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.
Historically Speaking Football Trends
Nelly's Sportsline
Pittsburgh is 9-5 vs. Miami since 1985
Miami is 5-14 in the last 19 as home underdogs
Cincinnati is 10-16-1 on the road since 2007
Atlanta is 10-5 as home favorites since 2007
Jacksonville is 4-9 in the last 13 road games
Kansas City is 0-6-1 as favorites since 2007
Philadelphia is 19-12 on the road since 2007
Tennessee is 4-8 at home since 2009
Washington is 10-4 vs. Chicago since 1987
Chicago is 7-14-1 in the last 22 as home favorites
Cleveland is 6-3 in the last nine road games
New Orleans is 4-16 as double-digit favorites since 1987
Buffalo is 7-3-1 in the last eleven as dogs of 7 or more
Baltimore is 14-5 as double-digit favorites since 2000
San Francisco is 1-9 in the last 10 as road favorites
Carolina is 24-17 in the last 41 as home dogs
St. Louis is 4-9 vs. Tampa Bay since 1984
Tampa Bay is 2-11 in the last 13 home games
Arizona is 6-1 S/U & ATS in the last seven vs. Seattle
Seattle is 13-7 in the last 20 as favorites
New England is 32-18-1 as dogs since 2000
San Diego is 28-19-3 as home favorites since 2003
Oakland is 6-2 vs. Denver since 2006
Denver is 5-20 as home favorites since 2006
Minnesota is 12-7 vs. Green Bay since 2001
Green Bay is 2-5 as favorites this season
NY Giants are 11-5-1 vs. Dallas since 2002
Dallas is 10-6 in the last 16 home games