NFL Trends Week 8

DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

SEATTLE vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Carolina is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home

CHICAGO vs. NEW ENGLAND
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games

MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 1-11-1 SU in its last 13 games ,on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing Minnesota

HOUSTON vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Tennessee is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

ST. LOUIS vs. KANSAS CITY
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
NY Jets are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Buffalo

MIAMI vs. JACKSONVILLE
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Jacksonville's last 15 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home

BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games at home
Cincinnati11-1-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. ARIZONA
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

INDIANAPOLIS vs. PITTSBURGH
Indianapolis is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Indianapolis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

OAKLAND vs. CLEVELAND
Oakland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

GREEN BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games

WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing Washington

Detroit at Atlanta, 9:30 AM ET
Detroit: 7-21 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins
Atlanta: 0-7 ATS in road games in the first half of the season

Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 14-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Tampa Bay: 10-22 ATS in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored

Chicago at New England, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 25-43 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
New England: 55-36 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games

St Louis at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 2-11 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games
Kansas City: 29-14 ATS in home games in non-conference games

Seattle at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 18-6 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points
Carolina: 79-55 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Buffalo at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 31-15 ATS after a win by 3 or less points
New York: 3-13 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog

Miami at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Miami: 10-27 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better
Jacksonville: 5-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Houston: 1-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road
Tennessee: 6-16 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

Baltimore at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 60-39 UNDER off a home win
Cincinnati: 10-2 ATS in home games

Philadelphia at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Philadelphia: 7-0 ATS in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
Arizona: 40-22 OVER after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh, 4:25 ET
Indianapolis: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite
Pittsburgh: 60-36 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

Oakland at Cleveland, 4:25 ET
Oakland: 26-13 ATS in road games off a non-conference game
Cleveland: 50-28 UNDER after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game

Green Bay at New Orleans, 8:30 ET
Green Bay: 77-51 ATS after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
New Orleans: 10-24 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games

Washington at Dallas, 8:30 ET
Washington: 4-13 ATS as an underdog
Dallas: 8-1 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins

StatFox Super Situations

BUFFALO at NY JETS
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

INDIANAPOLIS at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) with a terrible defense - allowing 5.7 or more yards/play, after outgaining opp by 200 or more total yards in their previous game 26-12 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

HOUSTON at TENNESSEE
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

DETROIT at ATLANTA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

MIAMI at JACKSONVILLE
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

Detroit & Atlanta in London England
The Lions are 24-45 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 15-23 ATS overall, 50-74 ATS favorites overall, 12-17 ATS versus NFC opponents, 3-7 ATS versus losing teams, 0-4 ATS versus NFC South opponents and 20-27 ATS after 2 or more wins including 0-4 lately. Detroit is 16-10 Over as a favorite, 18-11 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points and 31-17 Over off 2 or more wins. The Falcons are 3-6 ATS playing in October and 0-2 ATS versus NFC North opponents this year. Atlanta is 8-2 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 12-7 Under as underdogs and 8-3 Under in weeks 5 through 9. In this series Atlanta is 10-4 ATS versus the Lions.

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay
The Vikings are 9-5 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 18-12 ATS as underdogs and 7-2 ATS off or more losses, but just 3-7 ATS playing in October and 1-3 ATS versus NFC South opponents. The Buccaneers are 27-17 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less, but 18-27 ATS at home with a total of 38½ to 42 points, 3-7 ATS overall when the total is 35½ to 42, 11-16 ATS versus NFC opponents, 11-16 ATS after a bye week and 5-11 ATS after 2 or more losses. Tampa Bay is 30-18 Under at home as favorites of 3 points or less, but 10-0 Over in weeks 5 through 9. In this series Tampa Bay is 9-3 ATS the last 12 meetings in Tampa and the Over was 8-3-1 in those games.

Chicago @ New England
The Bears are 14-24 ATS overall, 6-11 ATS underdogs, 21-30 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 3-7 ATS playing in October, 4-8 ATS versus winning teams and 3-6 ATS when the total is 49½ points or more. Chicago is 25-14 Over overall, 11-6 Over as an underdog, 15-5 Over on the road and 8-3 Over versus AFC opponents. The Patriots are 13-7 ATS favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 6-1 ATS home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 23-14 ATS when the total is 49½ or more, 11-2 ATS off a divisional game and 8-2 ATS off a divisional win. New England is 27-16 Over overall, 15-6 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 22-13 Over as a favorite, 15-7 Over at home, 13-4 Over at home when the total is 49½ or more including 8-0 lately, 22-10 Over playing on turf, 10-3 Over versus winning teams, 10-2 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 12-7 Over off 2 or more wins.

St Louis @ Kansas City
The Rams are 10-24 ATS road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 39-57 ATS dogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 7-13 ATS versus AFC West opponents, but 4-1 ATS after a divisional win and 4-0 ATS on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points. St Lous is 13-7 Over when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 9-3 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 6-2 Over versus AFC opponents, but 4-1 Under after a divisional win. The Chiefs are 6-12 ATS at home and 1-4 ATS at home when the total is 42½ to 45 points, but a solid 18-7 ATS versus NFC West opponents. Kansas City is 15-9 Over versus NFC West opponents as well. In this series Kansas City is 5-1 ATS the last 6 meetings.
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Seattle @ Carolina
The Seahawks are 29-14 ATS overall, 12-5 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 20-13 ATS overall favorites, 22-10 ATS versus NFC opponents, 16-8 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 17-11 ATS versus NFC South opponents and 8-2 ATS playing on grass, but they’re a dismal 29-55 ATS playing in October. Seattle is 10-6 Over as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points and 25-12 Over on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points, but 4-1 Under after a divisional loss. The Panthers are 8-13 ATS home dogs of 3½ to 7 points, but 20-13 ATS at home when the total is 42½ to 45 points, 62-42 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 18-11 ATS versus NFC opponents, 18-12 ATS playing on grass and 8-4 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Carolina is 19-11 Under at home when the total is 42½ to 45 points and 5-1 Under versus NFC West opponents, but 5-1 Over this year when the total is 42½ to 49 points and 7-3 Over in October. In this series the last 4 meetings in Carolina went Under the total.

Buffalo @ NY Jets
The Bills are 11-24 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 7-12 ATS overall on the road, 4-8 ATS versus losing teams and 4-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Buffalo is 11-5 Under hwne the line is 3 points or less, 6-1 Under this year and 25-13 Under as road dogs of 3 points or less. The Jets are 0-4 ATS at home this year, 2-8 ATS after a divisional game and 16-22 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less. New York is 5-2 Over as home favorites of 3 points or less, 7-2 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 8-4 Over versus divisional opponents, but 6-3 Under at home when the total is 38½ to 42 points. In this series the Jets are 13-9 ATS playing in New York including 2-0 the last 2.

Miami @ Jacksonville
The Dolphins are 26-19 ATS on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points. Miami is 11-6 Under on the road, 5-2 Under as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 27-18 Under on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points, 67-43 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 15-8 Under versus AFC South opponents and 8-3 Under against losing teams. The Jaguars are 13-24 ATS overall, 13-23 ATS as underdogs, 5-15 ATS as dogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 2-7 ATS home dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 4-13 ATS at home, 14-20 ATS at home when the total is 42½ to 45 points and 1-4 ATS versus AFC East opponents. Jacksonville is 14-9 Over as home dogs of 3½ to 7 points and 22-15 Over at home when the total is 42½ to 45 points, but 12-6 Under at home and 12-7 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points overall.

Houston @ Tennessee
The Texans are 6-3 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, but 2-5 ATS after playing on Monday night and 9-14 ATS on the road when the total is 42½ to 45 points. Houston is 42-23 Over when the line is 3 points or less and 5-2 Over after playing on Monday night. The Titans are 14-20 ATS overall, 5-10 ATS at home, 6-16 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points and 2-10 ATS versus divisional opponents. Tennessee is 19-7 Over as a home dog of 3 points or less and 44-25 Over playing In October. In this series Houston is 3-1 straight up and ATS.

Baltimore @ Cincinnati
The Ravens are 22-14 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less and 10-6 ATS versus inning teams. Baltimore is 10-6 Under on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points, 10-5 Under versus divisional opponents and 13-5 Under playing on turf. The Bengals are 13-6 ATS at home, but 3-9 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 13-19 ATS at home when the total is 45½ to 49 points. Cincinnati is 19-13 Under when the total is 45½ to 49 points and 18-11 Under versus AFC opponents.

Philadelphia @ Arizona
The Eagles are 15-23 ATS overall but 4-2 this season, 2-7 ATS off 2 or more wins and 4-8 ATS versus winning teams, but they’re also 14-9 ATS on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points, 18-9 after a bye week and 30-18 ATS versus NFC West opponents. Philadelphia is 4-0 Under on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points and 20-7 Under coming off a bye week. The Cardinals are 8-4 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 16-11 ATS versus NFC opponents, 4-0 ATS versus NFC East opponents and 11-5 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points, but they’re 5-9 ATS versus winning teams, 4-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 1-3 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or less. Arizona is 10-3 Under when the line is 3 points or less, 16-11 Under versus NFC oppoents and 18-11 Under playing on turf, but they’re 9-5 Over versus winning teams.

Indianapolis @ Pittsburgh
The Colts are 27-14 ATS overall, 12-5 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 15-5 ATS as favorites, 24-10 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, 22-10 ATS versus AFC opponents, 10-3 ATS on grass, 10-2 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 18-8 ATS when the total is 42½ to 49 points. Indianapolis is 23-15 Over as road favorites of 3 points or less and 27-16 Over on the road when the total is 45½ to 49 points, but 19-13 Under versus AFC opponents. The Steelers are 67-48 ATS as underdogs and 60-36 ATS in weeks 5 through 9, but 12-17 ATS versus AFC South opponents. Pittsburgh is 13-8 Over as home dogs of 3 points or less, but 17-12 Under versus AFC opponents and 9-3 Under in weeks 5 through 9. In this series Pittsburgh is 8-2 straight up and 6-1 straight up at home. 5 of the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh have gone Over the total.

Oakland @ Cleveland
The Raiders are 8-13 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 9-18 ATS playing on grass and 6-10 ATS off 2 or more losses, but a solid 25-12 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points. Oakland is 13-8 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points and 24-12 Under versus AFC north opponents. The Browns are are 3-6 ATS as favorites and 3-7 ATS versus losing teams, but they’re 3-1 ATS versus AFC West opponents. Cleveland is 24-13 Over as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 13-8 Over as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, but 13-8 Under when the total is 42½ to 49 points, 17-12 Under versus AFC opponents and 10-2 Under versus losing teams. In this series Cleveland is 7-2 ATS the last 9 meetings.

Greenn Bay @ New Orleans
The Packers are 2-9 ATS as underdogs, 0-4 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or less, 4-9 ATS playing on turf, 4-8 ATS versus losing teams and 11-16 ATS versus NFC South opponents, but they’re 9-3 ATS in weeks 5 through 9. Green Bay is 14-7 Over on the road, 23-16 Over when the total is 49½ points or more and they’re 6-1 Over this year. The Saints are 12-6 ATS at home, 22-14 ATS at home when the total is 49½ or more and 4-0 ATS versus NFC North opponents. New Orleans is 5-1 Over this season, 34-19 Over versus NFC North opponents, 7-3 Over in weeks 5 through 9 and 23-14 Over at home when the total is 49½ points or more. In this series the Over is 7-1 the last 8 meetings.

Washington @ Dallas
The Redskins are 11-16 ATS as underdogs, 5-9 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 4-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 and 9-17 ATS playing on Monday night. Washington is 69-43 Under as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 16-9 Under as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points, 16-9 Under on Monday night, but they’re 12-7 Over on the road. The Cowboys are 3-6 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 7-13 ATS a favorites and 8-12 ATS at home, but 8-3 ATS playing in October. Dallas is 7-3 Under after a divisional game and 6-2 Under after a divisional win, but 8-1 Over after 2 or more wins and 17-12 Over playing on turf.

Gridiron Angles - Week 8
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Bills are 18-0 ATS (+10.6 ppg) when one team is favored by at least three poins after beating a non-divisional opponent by 1-3 points last week, if they were not shutout in the 4th quarter.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Rams are 0-11 ATS (-13.68 ppg) since November 5, 1995 as a road dog the week after a game as a dog in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than their season-to-date average.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

The Lions are 0-14-1 ATS (-6.9 ppg) past the season opener, when facing a team they lost to last meeting in a game where Calvin Johnson had at least seven catches.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Rams are 0-11 OU on the road after a win in which they rushed for a TD.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Browns are 13-0 OU (13.3 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 when facing a team that has forced an average of fewer than 4.1 punts per game season-to-date.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Team coming off a regulation loss where they held the ball for at least 35:49. Active against NY Jets.