NFL Trends Week 9

SAN DIEGO vs. WASHINGTON
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

TENNESSEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

NEW ORLEANS vs. NY JETS
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing New Orleans

MINNESOTA vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota

KANSAS CITY vs. BUFFALO
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

ATLANTA vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing Atlanta

TAMPA BAY vs. SEATTLE
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. OAKLAND
Philadelphia is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games
Philadelphia is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
Oakland is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games

BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

PITTSBURGH vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home

INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
Indianapolis is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Houston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

CHICAGO vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Green Bay's last 11 games when playing Chicago

Atlanta at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 10-2 ATS away off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more
Carolina: 19-5 Under off a road win against a division rival

Minnesota at Dallas, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 11-4 under as dogs of 7 or more points
Dallas: 7-1 ATS favorites of 7 or more points

New Orleans at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 10-2 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
NY Jets: 1-10 ATS after playing over in their last game

Tennessee at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 40-21 ATS in non-conference games
St. Louis: 9-1 Over against AFC South division opponents

Kansas City at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 46-16 ATS off back-to-back home wins
Buffalo: 8-0 ATS off a road loss over

San Diego at Washington, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 10-2 ATS away against NFC East division opponents
Washington: 7-0 Over home vs. non-conference opponents

Philadelphia at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Philadelphia: 7-0 OVER after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
Oakland: 3-14 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog

Tampa Bay at Seattle, 4:05 ET
Tamap Bay: 14-4 Over after playing a game at home
Seattle: 13-4 ATS in the second half of the season

Baltimore at Cleveland, 4:25 ET
Baltimore: 26-13 Over after a loss by 3 or less points
Cleveland: 16-6 ATS after SU loss and ATS win

Pittsburgh at New England, 4:25 ET
Pittsburgh: 19-9 Under after the first month of the season
New England: 10-2 ATS off a win against a division opponent

Indianapolis at Houston, 8:30 ET
Indianapolis: 12-4 ATS after the first month of the season
Houston: 13-3 OVER home after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games

Monday, November 4

Chicago at Green Bay, 8:40 ET
Chicago: 9-2 Over in road games
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game

2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Sunday, November 3

Atlanta 8-0 as dogs off SU loss...Smith: 16-1 off loss 6 > pts
CAROLINA 9-1 as div favs Games 5-8... 9-2 off 3+ ATS wins vs div opp...0-5 H off SU div win...0-6 off DD ATS win Game 7 opp
DALLAS 6-0 as favs of 10 pts...6-1 SU Game 8
NEW YORK JETS 5-1 O/U Game 9...1-5 off DD ATS loss vs.500> opp off SUATS win... 0-9 as non-conf dogs 4 > pts

Tennessee Teams w/rest 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 vs Rams off BB losses... 4-12 SU and 3-12-1 ATS non-div RF's 3 > pts vs <.500 opp
ST. LOUIS Series: 0-3 L3... 8-4 HD off H... Fisher: 6-3 as dog < 5 pts vs < .500 opp

Kansas City 0-9 vs AFC East...2-7 off SU win but ATS loss
BUFFALO Series: 6-0 L 6... 0-6 as dogs 6 opp

San Diego Series: 3-1-1 L5...4-0-1 L5 vs NFC East...2-4 as RF after bye
WASHINGTON 5-1 before Thursday game... 7-0 O/U L7 home vs non conf opp... 1-5 as non-div HD's 7 < pts

Philadelphia 7-2-1 SU and 8-2 ATS after NYG vs < .500 opp off win... 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS vs AFC W... 2-8 SUATS off SU loss vs .450 opp... 0-5 vs NFC E opp off BB losses

Tampa Bay Series: 3-1 L4 A ... 0-3 SUATS L3 vs NFC W... 5-0 O/U vs .600 > non-div opp
SEATTLE 7-1 as non-div favs 8 > pts... 5-0 home off SU win vs pts...0-4 away vs div opp after score 35 > pts
HOUSTON Series: 6-1 L7H...5-1 as div dog 14 pts... Monday: 7-2 A vs div... 0-9 O/U as dogs after score 35 > pts
GREEN BAY 10-1 as favs off SU win vs opp w/rest...17-2 vs .650 < opp in Game 12 < vs div opp... Monday: 7-3 H / 7-3 vs div

ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

StatFox Super Situations

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND
Play On - Road favorites (BALTIMORE) off a road loss, in November games 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )

CHICAGO at GREEN BAY
Play On - Any team vs the money line (GREEN BAY) good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored 45-16 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.8% 0.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% 0.0 units )

ATLANTA at CAROLINA
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games 59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% 30.4 units )

INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) good team - outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored 45-16 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.8% | 0.0 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

Atlanta @ Carolina

The Falcons are 44-59 ATS as a dog of 3½ to 9½ points, 7-12 ATS on the road, 2-8 ATS versus winning teams and 5-8 ATS versus divisional opponents. Carolina is 9-3 ATS as a favorite of 7½ to 10 points, 11-4 ATS versus losing teams, 20-10 ATS on grass, 9-2 ATS off 3 or more consecutive wins versus divisional opponents and 7-1 ATS as a favorite versus losing teams. Note in this series the favorite is 7-3 ATS the last 10 and the home team is 7-3 ATS the last 10.

Minnesota @ Dallas

The Vikings are 78-99 ATS on the road, 3-7 ATS the last 10, 1-4 ATS in November and 0-5 ATS playing on turf. However, the Vikings are are 6-0 ATS off back to back losses versus a .500 foe. Dallas is 8-15 ATS in the favorite role, 7-13 ATS at home and 5-11 ATS versus losing teams. Note in this series that Minnesota is 7-1 ATS the last 8 versus Dallas and the favorite is 9-0 ATS the last 9 meetings, however, the underdog in Dallas games is a dynamite 34-12 ATS the last 46.

New Orleans @ NY Jets

The Saints are 15-5 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 26-15 ATS overall, 21-9 ATS as a favorite, 21-7 ATS versus AFC East opponents, 20-8 ATS when playing on turf, 10-3 ATS in November and 8-2 ATS off a straight up win of 14 points or more. The NY Jets are 76-91 ATS at home, 4-8 ATS versus winning teams, 1-5 ATS in November, 4-13 ATS after allowing 35 points or more and 1-9 ATS as an underdog of 4 points or more versus NFC opponents.

Tennessee @ St Louis

The Titans are 4-9 ATS as a favorite, 6-10 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, but they’re also 9-3 ATS versus NFC West opponents and 40-21 ATS overall versus NFC opponents. St Louis is 16-22 ATS at home and 2-4 ATS as an underdog, but the Rams are also 8-3 ATS versus losing teams, 6-1 ATS non-divisional road favorite versus losing teams and a huge 17-1 ATS versus an opponent off 3 straight losses.

Kansas City @ Buffalo

The Chiefs are 4-8 ATS as a favorite , 5-10 ATS versus losing teams, 13-33 ATS versus AFC East squads and 37-49 ATS when playing in November. Buffalo is 18-21 ATS overall, 12-15 ATS as an underdog and 0-6 ATS as a dog of 6 points or less versus a winning opponent. However, the Bills are also 11-7 ATS at home and 15-5 ATS versus AFC opponents. Note in the series that Buffalo is 6-0 ATS versus Kansas City.

San Diego @ Washington

The Chargers are 14-7 ATS versus NFC East opponents, 6-1 ATS on the road, but they’re also 1-6 ATS in November and 2-8 ATS the last 10 versus an NFC opponent. Redskins are 31-46 ATS versus AFC opponents, 70-95 ATS at home. 13-17 ATS on grass, 2-6 overall this year and 0-5 ATS in week 9.

Philadelphia @ Oakland

The Eagles are 7-13 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 8-16 ATS as a favorite , 9-17 ATS versus AFC West opponents, 1-7 ATS playing in November and 10-19 ATS on grass. The Raiders are 8-17 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less, 31-66 ATS versus losing teams, 1-10 ATS versus an opponent off back to back losses and 1-6 ATS in week 9.

Tampa Bay @ Seattle

The Buccaneers are 14-28 ATS overall the last 38, 11-16 ATS as an underdog, 2-9 ATS after a divisional game and 3-16 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses. However, Tampa Bay is a solid 16-5 ATS on the road versus a winning team. Seattle is 28-13 ATS , 21-8 ATS versus NFC opponents, 19-9 ATS when playing on turf, 16-4 ATS the last 20 overall, 7-2 ATS as a double digit favorite and 7-0 ATS at home versus a team off a straight and ATS loss.

Baltimore @ Cleveland

The Ravens are 4-10 ATS versus losing teams, but 14-6 ATS off abye week, 5-1 ATS in November, 4-1 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less and 9-2 ATS as a favorite versus an opponent playing with revenge. The Browns are 10-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses, 10-4 ATS when playing with revenge, but just 2-11 ATS at home in November. Note the home team is 8-1 ATS the last 9 in Baltimore games, but the Ravens are 8-3 ATS the last 11 in this series and the road team is 7-1 ATS the last 8 meetings.

Pittsburgh @ New England

The Steelers are 6-14 ATS on the road, 10-19 ATS versus AFC opponents, 3-6 ATS as an underdog and 15-24 ATS overall the last 39 games. New England is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of 3½ to 9½ points, 12-2 ATS off a divisional game, but just 1-4 ATS versus AFC North opponents. Note in this series that the underdog is a money making 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings.

Indianapolis @ Houston

The Colts are 22-10 ATS as road favorites of 3 points or less, 8-2 ATS versus an opponent off abye week and 6-1 ATS after scoring 34 points or more versus and opponent off a loss. Houston is 8-2 ATS when the line is 3 points or less, 8-4 ATS versus divisional opponents, 22-11 ATS when playing on grass, 5-1 ATS in November, 36-18 ATS off 2 or consecutive losses and 12-6 ATS versus winning teams. Note in this series that Houston is 5-2 ATS versus Indianapolis in Houston and the home team is 6-0 ATS the Last 6 meetings.

Chicago @ Green Bay

The Bears are just 15-22 ATS overall, 4-10 ATS in the underdog role, 10-19 ATS versus NFC opponents, 4-11 ATS versus divisional foes, 12-17 ATS when playing on grass and 4-10 ATS versus winning teams. The Packers are 9-4 ATS as a double digit favorite, 23-13 ATS overall as a favorite, 16-5 ATS at home, 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 10½ to 14 points, 20-11 ATS versus NFC opponents and 13-2 ATS versus divisional opponents. Note in this series that the home team is 12-2 ATS in Green Bay games and the Packers are 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 versus Chicago.

Gridiron Angles - Week 9
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

The Saints are 14-0 ATS since November 24, 2008 after a game in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

The Raiders are 0-11 ATS since October 07, 2001 at home when facing a team that has averaged less than 28:12 of possession time season-to-date.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

Tony Romo is 0-10 OU since December 2007 after a game where he threw no more than 40 passes for less than 260 yards, and completed no more than 59% of them.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Colts are 0-11 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since December 2002 after a game where they scored less than 45 points and their opponent committed at least 11 penalties.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

Teams that scored at least 27 points while gaining less than 255 yards last game are 77-52-6 OU. Active on Minnesota and New England.

NFL O/U TREND:

The Rams are 11-0 OU since September 25, 2005 at home after a game in which they sacked the opposing quarterback at least 4 times.

PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP:

We often hear how the NFL is a quarterback driven league and in an effort to protect one of its biggest assets, they have rewritten the book on player safety with strict rules about how, when and where a QB can be hit. Occasionally the walls still come crumbling down and for teams like Miami (4.4), Oakland (4.3) and Pittsburgh (3.9), the league’s offensive leaders in QB sacks per game, it happens more often than they would like to admit.

One trend we are seeing this season for teams after watching their QB get trampled is the ability for play callers to make adjustments. With the right conditions it’s produced a highly profitable situation for bettors and so far in Week 9 the Dolphins have already padded this profile’s stats with their 22-20 win over Cincinnati.

Home teams playing immediately off a loss where their QB was sacked four times (or more) have a 15-6 straight-up record, covering the spread at a rate of 80-percent (16-4-1 ATS).

The favorites are 8-1-1 ATS on an average line of -5.5 while home dogs have cashed eight of 11 tickets, two of the losses thanks to Jacksonville and one of those being a neutral site game in London. Buffalo (+3) and the Jets (+6) are “live” this Sunday with tough matchups against undefeated Kansas City and NFC super power New Orleans. Consider this angle as one part of your handicapping process and good luck.