GREEN BAY (5 - 8) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
DETROIT (0 - 13) at INDIANAPOLIS (9 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
WASHINGTON (7 - 6) at CINCINNATI (1 - 11 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TAMPA BAY (9 - 4) at ATLANTA (8 - 5)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 8) at MIAMI (8 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
MIAMI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SEATTLE (2 - 11) at ST LOUIS (2 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO (6 - 7) at NY JETS (8 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE (12 - 1) at HOUSTON (6 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
TENNESSEE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
TENNESSEE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
TENNESSEE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TENNESSEE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games this season.
TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 5-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 5-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH (10 - 3) at BALTIMORE (9 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DENVER (8 - 5) at CAROLINA (10 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SAN DIEGO (5 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (8 - 5) at ARIZONA (8 - 5)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND (8 - 5) at OAKLAND (3 - 10)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NY GIANTS (11 - 2) at DALLAS (8 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NY GIANTS are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NY GIANTS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-3 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Monday, December 15
CLEVELAND (4 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (7 - 5 - 1)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
NY Jets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
DETROIT vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Indianapolis is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
GREEN BAY vs. JACKSONVILLE
Green Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
SAN DIEGO vs. KANSAS CITY
San Diego is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
San Diego is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games
SAN FRANCISCO vs. MIAMI
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
TAMPA BAY vs. ATLANTA
Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Tennessee is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee
WASHINGTON vs. CINCINNATI
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 1-11-1 SU in its last 13 games
MINNESOTA vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
DENVER vs. CAROLINA
Denver is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NEW ENGLAND vs. OAKLAND
New England is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
NY Giants are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NY Giants are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Monday, December 15
CLEVELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Green Bay at Jacksonville
Green Bay: 9-0 ATS off non-conference game
Jacksonville: 0-6 ATS in home games
Detroit at Indianapolis
Detroit: 9-2 Over vs. AFC
Indianapolis: 5-1 ATS after allowing 9 points or less
Washington at Cincinnati
Washington: 8-0 Under L8 games
Cincinnati: 8-22 ATS off loss by 21+ points
Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Tampa Bay: n/a
Atlanta: 5-0 ATS off road division loss
San Francisco at Miami
San Francisco: 0-6 ATS Away off ATS win
Miami: 0-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Seattle at St. Louis
Seattle: 8-2 ATS off BB ATS losses
St. Louis: 3-11 ATS off division game
Buffalo at NY Jets
Buffalo: 0-6 ATS off an Under
NY Jets: 8-2 ATS off DD loss
Tennessee at Houston
Tennessee: 6-0 ATS as road favorite
Houston: 10-1 Over vs. division opponents
Pittsburgh at Baltimore
Pittsburgh: 7-2 Over vs. AFC
Baltimore: 8-2 ATS vs. AFC
Denver at Carolina
Denver: 5-17 ATS off SU win
Carolina: 3-0 ATS vs. NFC
San Diego at Kansas City
San Diego: 13-3 ATS off home win by 21+ points
Kansas City: 1-5 ATS off an Under
Minnesota at Arizona
Minnesota: 1-6 ATS off SU win
Arizona: 18-5 Over off ATS win
New England at Oakland
New England: 17-7 ATS in road games
Oakland: 3-11 ATS in home games
NY Giants at Dallas
NY Giants: 8-1 ATS vs. NFC
Dallas: 1-8 ATS L4 Weeks of regular season
Monday, December 15th
Cleveland at Philadelphia
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS off a road loss
Philadelphia: 7-0 Under as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points
Packers (5-8) @ Jaguars (4-9)-- Jax lost four in row, six of its last seven games, scoring 17 or less points last four weeks (six TDs on 48 drives in last four games, with nine turnovers in last three). Jags lost five of their six home games this season, losing last four. Packers lost last three in a row, giving up 61-35-24 points, losing last two by combined total of 7 points. Packers lost last three rtoad games, by 3-1-22 pts. NFC North favorites are 6-7 out of division, 2-2 on road. AFC South dogs are 6-3 vs spread; this is first time this year an AFC South team is home dog in non-divisional game.
Lions (0-13) @ Colts (9-4)-- Detroit may be winless, but they covered last four road games; their road losses this season are by 13-18-2-7-4-9 points, so tough to lay 17 with Indy club that has won two games this season by more than six points. Colts are 2-4 as home favorite this year, winning last four at home by 28-3-6-32 points. Lions were outscored in second half of last seven games by 102-33 margin. NFC North road dogs are 8-5 vs spread. AFC South home favorites are 5-11 vs spread. Over is 6-1-1 in Lions' last eight games, 0-3 in last three Indianapolis contests.
Redskins (7-6) @ Bengals (1-11-1)-- Lot of turmoil in Washington this week, with Portis criticizing the coach, and both tackles getting hurt last Sunday night in Baltimore; Skins lost four of last five games, winning by FG at 2-11 Seattle. Bengals lost last two games by combined 69-3 score, so you can make argument they're in tank for season-- in their last eight games, Cincinnati was outscored 143-16 in second half. NFC East faves are 17-9 vs spread, 6-5 on road; AFC North home dogs are 4-2 against the spread. Under is 8-0-1 in last nine Washington games.
Buccaneers (9-4) @ Falcons (8-5)-- Atlanta lost 24-9 in Tampa back in Week 2 (-7.5), getting outrushed 164-105, as Ryan's offense went 3/out on 6 of 11 drives in his first road start, averaging 3.5 yards/pass attempt. Falcons are 5-1 at home, losing to Denver, winning games by 13-24-14-2-17 points (3-1 as home favorite). Bucs gave up 299 rushing yards in loss at Charlotte Monday; they're 3-4 on road, winning at Bears, Lions and Chiefs. Six of last nine Buc games stayed under the total. NFC South home favorites are 8-2 vs spread in non-divisional games.
49ers (5-8) @ Dolphins (8-5)-- Niners won three of last four games, are 4-1 vs spread with Singletary as coach; they're 3-3 as road dog, losing on foreign soil by 14-12-5-13 points, winning at Seattle, Buffalo. Miami is 6-1 in its last seven games, depsite scoring 17-16-16 points in last three wins. Dolphins are 1-4 as home favorite this year- this is their last home game of '08, unless they win AFC East. Miami hasn't allowed a TD in last two games, after giving up 48 pointso to Patriots in Week 12 loss. NFC West road underdogs are 5-11 vs spread; AFC East home favorites are 6-11. Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.
Seahawks (2-11) @ Rams (2-11)-- St Louis lost last seven games (1-5 vs spread in last six); they scored two TDs on 37 drives in losing last three at home. Seattle lost last six games, though they did put up good fight at home vs Patriots last week, losing 24-21. Rams (+9) lost 37-13 at Seattle back in Week 3, giving up 245 rushing yards- they actually have a better record than Hawks since then, are -15 in turnovers in the last six games, coughing ball up 21 times. Under is 5-1 in the last six Seattle games, 5-2 in the last seven Ram games. Faves are 6-2 vs spread in NFC West tilts, 3-0 on road.
Bills (6-7) @ Jets (8-5)-- Buffalo is about to join short list of NFL clubs that started season 4-0, but missed playoffs; they'e 1-6 in last seven, 0-6 vs spread in the six losses (by 9-9-10-2-7-13 points)- they're without a TD on 18 drives in last two games (two FGAs). Jets won first meeting 26-17 at Buffalo, getting five sacks, three takeaways (+3), one of which was a long defensive TD that turned game in Jets' favor. Gang Green lost to Denver, 49ers in last two games, running ball 31 times, dropping back to pass 79. Jets are 3-3 as home favorite, Bills 1-3 as a road underdog.
Titans (12-1) @ Texans (6-7)-- Houston won last three games, allowing 14.7 ppg, after giving up 34 ppg in three games before that; Texans lost first meeting 31-12 in Week 3, when their lives had been disrupted by a hurricane (their Week 2 game was postponed). Houston won four of last five home games, covered five of last six as an underdog. Tennessee won all six road games (6-0 vs spread); they're 9-2 vs spread as favorite this season. AFC South home teams are 3-5 vs spread in division games, 1-2 as underdog. Titans held four of their last five opponents under 4.3 ypa.
Steelers (10-3) @ Ravens (9-4)-- First place in AFC North on line, with undercurrent of Ravens having rumored bounty on Hines Ward. Ravens lost first meeting 23-20 in OT at Heinz (+5), blowing 13-3 halftime lead. Steelers won last four games, covered last three; they're 3-1 as underdog this season, 5-1 SU on road, losing 15-6 at Philly in Week 3. Ravens are 7-1 in last eight games, losing only to Giants; they outscored last three opponents 94-20 since that loss (57-10 in second half), are 5-1 at home, losing only to 12-1 Titans. Home faves are 2-3 vs spread in AFC North.
Broncos (8-5) @ Panthers (10-3)-- Carolina knows it gets home field in NFC playoffs if they win out, but short week for them here, with trip to Swamp to play Giants in primetime next week, so they better not look past Denver team that won four of last five games, with underdogs 6-0 vs spread in their last six. Panthers are 7-0 at home (4-2-1 as home fave), winning by 3-15-34-23-4-9-15 points. Denver is 4-2 on road, winning its last three games on foreign soil. NFC South home favorites are 8-5 vs the spread in non-league games; AFC West road underdogs are 8-6 vs spread
Chargers (5-8) @ Chiefs (2-11)-- San Diego escaped with 20-19 win in first meeting, when Chiefs scored in last minute, but went for a winning 2-point conversion and failed, rather than kick simple game-tying PAT, which would have forced OT. Chiefs don't win much, but they're 5-2 vs spread in last seven games- they're 1-5 at home, 3-3, as home dog, with home losses by 15-24-3-10-23 points. Chargers had three extra days to prepare after beating Raiders, just their second win in last seven games- they're 1-5 on road, and were down 15-0 in game they won, at Oakland.
Vikings (8-5) @ Cardinals (8-5)-- Arizona clinched first division title in 33 years last week; they're 5-1 at home, losing only to Giants, are 6-1 vs spread as favorite this season. Minnesota won three in row, five of last six. Last I heard (this is on Wednesday) was that Frerotte didn't practice Wednesday, making Jackson likely starter Sunday. Cardinals allowed 24 or less points in all eight wins, an average of 38.4 in their losses. Vikes have six INTs in last three games, after having total of six in their first 10 games. Seven of last ten Arizona games, five of last seven Viking games went over the total.
Patriots (8-5) @ Raiders (3-10)-- Father of QB Cassel passed away this week; he has left team, will update when/if he returns. Backups QB have no NFL experience (O'Connell, Gutierrez). Oakland lost six of last seven games, beating Broncos in Denver- they're 1-5 at home, beating Jets but losing games by 27-10-24-11-7 points. Patriots are staying in California this week after winning in Seattle Sunday; they're 4-2 on road, winning by 9-9-20-3 points, losing at San Diego, Indy. AFC East road favorites are 2-5 vs spread. AFC West home underdogs are 2-5 against spread.
Giants (11-2) @ Cowboys (8-5)-- Desperate times for Dallas squad in fight for playoff life; they lost first meeting 35-14 (+8.5) in Week 9, the last game Romo missed. Giants had 200 rushing yards in that game, but Jacobs (knee) is banged up, and Cowboys need this game more. Giants gained just 211 yards in loss to Eagles last week, their first loss in eight games. Home teams are just 2-6 vs spread in NFC East divisional games. Dallas is 5-1 at home, losing only to Eagles; they scored 35-34 points in last two home games. Under is 3-1 in last four games for both games.
Monday, December 15
Browns (4-9) @ Eagles (7-5-1)-- Philly won last two games, close with Redskins/Cowboys, so they can make playoffs if they run table- they're 4-2 as home favorite, with home wins by 35-9-13-28 points. Cleveland is down to Dorsey at QB; in their last three games, they've scored 6-6-9 points (no TDs/nine TOs/11 3-outs/30 drives). AFC North road dogs are 10-7 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 11-4 against the spread. Last three Cleveland games, four of six Eagle home games stayed under total. Two of Browns' wins this season came on Monday night (against Giants, Bills).
Green Bay @ Jacksonville- two very disappointing teams with combined record 9-17…Jags on 4 game skid…just 1-5 SU at home this season after 18-6 home record ‘05-’07…have won only 2 games since Sept…J’ville has scored less than 20 pts in 6 of last 7 games…Fred Taylor now on IR…Packers have lost 3 straight, allowing 110 pts during that stretch…G Bay allowing 4.8 ypc…Packer secondary features 3 DB’s with 5 INT’s
Detroit @ Indianapolis- Colts have won 6 in a row…C Saturday and S Sanders expected back in lineup…RB Addai no practice, likley out…Najeh Davenport signed to backup Rhodes…Lions allowing league-worst 32 ppg…have lost by at least 13 points 7 times…have lost by3+ TD’s 4 times…Detroit has not scored more than 25 pts in any game this season…reached 20 pt mark only 6 times…Orlovsky to start at QB for Lions
Washington @ Cincinnati- Bengals lone win 21-19 vs Jax Nov 2nd…QB Fitzpatrick 2-7 ATS as starter…only 4 rushing TD’s…minus 8 turnover margin…Wsahington has lost 4 of last 5, scoring more than 10 points once!…’Skins 1-7 ATS last 8…QB Campbell started season 8 TD, 0 INT…sicne then, 3 TD, 6 INT
Buffalo @ NY Jets- Bills have won only 2 games since September…are 2-6 SU since bye week, scoring 17 pts or less in 5 of those 8 games…Buffalo has scored 3 pts in each of last two games…Losman to start at QB…Jets D allowing just 83 ypg rushing…have registered 37 sacks (17 players have at least one-half of a sack)…Jets won 26-17 as 5 pt dog in Buff Nov 2nd
San Diego @ Kansas City- Chiefs just 3-11 SU last 14 at Arrowhead…KC has allowed most pts in AFC, third most in league…Chiefs stop unit only 6 sacks this year!…Chargers 3-1 in division…slim playoff hopes still alive…at home vs Denver Week 17…that terrible call by referee Week 2 in Denver looms ever larger
Minnesota @ Arizona- Vikings have won 3 straight and 4 of last 5…last 4 opponents have not reached 20 points…DT’s Williams & Williams to play…DE Allen questionable…QB Frerotte likely out…Jackson likely to start…Cards averaging 75 rushing yards per game, worst in league…Warner 69%, 4000+, 25 TD, 12 INT
NY Giants @ Dallas- RB Jacobs questionable for NYG…Big Blue D has 36 sacks…team is plus 5:30 in TOP…plus 10 TO margin…G-Men have covered 13 of last 14 road games…10-3 ATS this season…Cowboys minus 8 TO margin…DeMarcus Ware 16 sacks!!!
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta- Falcons only team in NFC South to hold every opponent under 30 points…Atlanta 8-5 SU & ATS…Bucs won 24-9 as 7 pt home favorite Week 2…6 of 13 T Bay games decided by either 3 or 4 pts…Garcia questionable (check status)
Denver @ Carolina- Broncos allowing 4.9 ypc…minus 12 TO margin…RB Hillis now on IR…Tatum Bell to start, Selvin Young behind him…Denver has won last 3 road games…have scored at least 4 TD’s in 4 straight games…Broncos OL has allowed only 8 sacks this season!!!…Carolina letdown possible…off HUGE win over T Bay on Monday…at NYG next week, possibly for #1 seed in NFC
Week 15: Five Stats You Need to Know
Scott Rickenbach
Heading into Week 15 of the NFL please note these stats (all are ATS – against the spread, unless otherwise noted) are definitely items to consider as you look at the deep NFL card. However, this does not mean these are “plays” in the true sense of the word. That said, the hope is that the ATS information below helps you as you “traverse” this week’s NFL card! As always, best of luck in all your sports gaming from Scott Rickenbach
1) This season the Bills are a now “perfect” 0-4 ATS in divisional play after another loss last week when the Dolphins beat Buffalo in Toronto. The field they played on had already been complained about in terms of lighting (it’s a dome) as well as the turf (issues with seams) but it was still Miami that overcame the obstacles while the Bills once again failed to get the cash in a divisional match-up. In other words, it might be wise to stay away from the Bills or possibly even take a look at going against them this week as they travel to face another divisional opponent. This time it’s the Jets. New York is coming off of a poor effort at San Francisco last week but is 3-1 ATS in divisional play and the Jets should be fired up and ready to roll at home.
2) Green Bay is 6-1 ATS when facing an AFC opponent. Last week they were hosting a Houston team and lost but they are now on the road at Jacksonville and the Packers are 8-4-1 ATS their last 13 road games against non-conference opposition. Jacksonville is now a “perfect” 0-6 ATS at home this season! The Jaguars are simply having an awful season after losing again by double digits at Chicago last week. Also, as you can see from the above, playing at home hasn’t helped the Jags this season. Hosting a Green Bay team that is 4-2 ATS on the road this season is unlikely to help matters for the stumbling Jaguars.
3) Houston is just 2-5 ATS as a home dog when facing divisional opposition. This week they must face the “cream of the crop” as the Titans are in town. Unlike the Texans, Tennessee has had no trouble with divisional opponents. The Titans are now 14-2 ATS in their last 16 against AFC South opponents. Of course most people know that the Titans have been one of the hottest teams in the league this season (11-2 ATS!) but many may not realize how far back their road success goes. They are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games! Houston will be highly motivated for this game though as they always are for the Titans but can the above numbers be ignored?
4) St Louis is now on a 0-6 run in divisional play. Last week the Rams traveled to Arizona and got drilled once again! Also, St Louis is facing a divisional opponent that has been doing just fine against NFC West competition. The Seahawks have covered seven of their last nine divisional match-ups. St Louis lost by 24 points last week while the Seahawks battled hard against the Patriots before coming up just three points short against New England. The Hawks could certainly carry some momentum forward from their effort against the Pats while the Rams can’t feel too good about last week’s 34 to 10 loss!
5) New England is on a 20-8 ATS run when favored on the road. Last week the Patriots were visiting a Seahawks team that just hadn’t seemed able to snap their season-long funk. Though the Pats got the win they did not get the cover but their still worth a look again in a very similar spot this week. The Raiders have covered just six of their last twenty games at home! Also, Oakland is only 8-23 ATS in their last 31 games against a team from outside the AFC West. The Raiders got pummeled by 27 points at San Diego last week and there simply appears to be no end to Oakland’s futility this season. This includes their offensive ineptitude which leaves them very susceptible to another big loss this week!