Notifications
Clear all

NFL Week 5 Trends

7 Posts
1 Users
0 Reactions
919 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

NY GIANTS vs. HOUSTON
NY Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games on the road
Houston is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Houston is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

DENVER vs. BALTIMORE
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Denver
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

ST. LOUIS vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

CHICAGO vs. CAROLINA

Chicago is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Carolina is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games at home

ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games

GREEN BAY vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Kansas City is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home

JACKSONVILLE vs. BUFFALO
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games
Buffalo is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games

TAMPA BAY vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

NEW ORLEANS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

SAN DIEGO vs. OAKLAND
San Diego is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing San Diego
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

TENNESSEE vs. DALLAS
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. NY JETS
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Minnesota
NY Jets are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games

 
Posted : October 5, 2010 11:59 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DENVER (2 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 1)

Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 2) at BUFFALO (0 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

KANSAS CITY (3 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ST LOUIS (2 - 2) at DETROIT (0 - 4)

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 108-140 ATS (-46.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 108-140 ATS (-46.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 78-109 ATS (-41.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
DETROIT is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ATLANTA (3 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) at CINCINNATI (2 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHICAGO (3 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 0-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

GREEN BAY (3 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NY GIANTS (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 1)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW ORLEANS (3 - 1) at ARIZONA (2 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (1 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE (2 - 2) at DALLAS (1 - 2)

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PHILADELPHIA (2 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MINNESOTA (1 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 1)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : October 5, 2010 12:03 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DENVER at BALTIMORE
DENVER: 2-13 ATS off an Over
BALTIMORE: 10-2 ATS at home off SU win as road dog

JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO
JACKSONVILLE: 1-11 ATS after a division game
BUFFALO: 20-8 Under after allowing 35+ points

KANSAS CITY at INDIANAPOLIS
KANSAS CITY: 2-7 ATS vs. Indianapolis
INDIANAPOLIS: 16-4 Over off outright div loss as favorite

ST LOUIS at DETROIT
ST LOUIS: 6-0 Under in conference road games
DETROIT: 33-53 ATS as favorite

ATLANTA at CLEVELAND
ATLANTA: 1-8 ATS off back to back wins
CLEVELAND: 9-0 Under vs. NFC South

TAMPA BAY at CINCINNATI
TAMPA BAY: 10-2 Under off home loss by 21+ pts
CINCINNATI: 0-6 ATS as home favorite

CHICAGO at CAROLINA
CHICAGO: 5-1 Under off double digit loss
CAROLINA: 6-0 Under off back to back losses

GREEN BAY at WASHINGTON
GREEN BAY: 41-18 Over after gaining 99 or less rushing yards BB games
WASHINGTON: 0-3 ATS vs. Green Bay

NY GIANTS at HOUSTON
NY GIANTS: 2-8 ATS vs. AFC South
HOUSTON: 6-1 Under after gaining 175+ rushing yards

NEW ORLEANS at ARIZONA
NEW ORLEANS: 17-5 Over Away off home division win
ARIZONA: 7-0 Over after gaining 200 or less yards/game L2 games

SAN DIEGO at OAKLAND
SAN DIEGO: 14-4 ATS at Oakland
OAKLAND: 9-26 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less

TENNESSEE at DALLAS
TENNESSEE: 34-15 ATS in non-conf games
DALLAS: 16-5 Under off SU win as road dog

PHILADELPHIA at SAN FRANCISCO
PHILADELPHIA: 14-4 Over off an Under
SAN FRANCISCO: 0-4 ATS vs. NFC East

MINNESOTA at NY JETS
MINNESOTA: 22-9 Over Away off BB home games
NY JETS: 4-0 ATS vs. Minnesota

 
Posted : October 5, 2010 12:06 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

2–MINUTE HANDICAP

Denver 1-5 dogs 7 > pts… 1-5 Game Five
BALTIMORE SERIES: 6-1 L7/4-0 L4 H… 1-5 H aft Steelers… HARBAUGH: 8-0 H vs opp off dog role/9-1 fav vs non div opp… 0-6 O/U Game Five

Jacksonville 14-3 bef Titans… OCT: 2-9 favs vs opp off HG… 6-1 O/U Game Five
BUFFALO SERIES: 3-1 L4… GAILEY: 7-3 L10 H)… 1-3 Game Five

Kansas City 4-0 A off non conf… 14-6 L20 dogs 8 > pts… OCT: 1-8 dogs 3 > pts off SUATS win… 5-0 O/U Game Four
INDIANAPOLIS SERIES: 8-2 L10/3-1 L4 H… 7-0 vs opp off SU dog win… 9-3 L12 favs (2-1 this year pending this week vs Jax)… CALDWELL: 7-1 vs opp off SUATS win

St. Louis SERIES: 3-1 L4… OCT: 22-5 vs < .500 opp… 3-1 Game Five… 2-21 SU L23 as dogs
DETROIT 0-10 SU Game Five… 1-7 L8 vs NFC West

Atlanta 1-7 A vs .250 opp off non div… 12-2 aft Bengals… 6-1 dogs 6 pts (0-1 this year)
HOUSTON 0-7 Game Five… 2-5 O/U L7 vs NFC East

New Orleans SERIES: 5-1 L6/5-2 L7 A… 8-2 Game Six… 1-6-1 1st of BB RG's
ARIZONA 7-0 dogs 6 < pts… 1-8 vs NFC South (0-1 this year)… 5-1 O/U Game Five

San Diego SERIES: 11-3 L14 / 7-1 L8 A…
OAKLAND 5-1 L6 HD w/revenge

Tennessee SERIES: 3-1 L4 A… 5-1 vs opp w/rest… 14-3 SU L17 vs NFC East
DALLAS 6-0 w/rest… OCT: 8-1 H off non div vs opp off home…

Philadelphia SERIES: 4-0 L4/3-0 L3 A… 7-0 aft Redskins… OCT: 10-1 vs opp (1-0 this year)

Minnesota 6-1-1 w/rest… 1-6 aft allowing 10 opp
NY JETS SERIES: 5-0 L5… 6-1 L7 vs NFC North… RYAN: 10-3 fav or dog < 4 pts (2-1 this year)

 
Posted : October 5, 2010 12:13 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tech Trends - Week 5
By Bruce Marshall

DENVER at BALTIMORE... Ravens have covered 6 of past 7 since 2000 vs. Denver, winning and covering last four meetings at M&T Bank Stadium by 11 or more. Last 4 in series "under" as well. John Harbaugh 10-4 vs. line as home chalk since ‘08 (but 0-1 TY). Broncos "over" 8-1 last 9 since late LY. Tech edge-Ravens and "over," based on recent team and "totals" trends.

JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO... Jags on 11-25 ATS run since beginning of ‘08 season (1-2 TY). Jags also "under" 8-4 last 12 away (though "over" 1-0 on road TY). Tech edge-slight to Bills, based on recent Jag woes.

KANSAS CITY at INDIANAPOLIS... Teams haven’t met since ‘07. Chiefs have covered their last 5 since late LY, all as dogs, winning the last four of those SU. Chiefs 17-8 as road dog since ‘07. Tech edge-slight to Chiefs, based on team trends.

ST. LOUIS at DETROIT... Rams won their only game of ‘09 at Lions’ expense, 17-10! Lions 3-1 vs. line TY but just 7-11 since ‘09. St. Louis has covered last 23 in 2010. Rams also "under" 7-2 their last 9 away. Tech edge-Rams and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

ATLANTA at CLEVELAND... Falcs 7-4 vs. line as “chalk” since LY, they’re also 13-7 overall vs. number since ‘09. Tech edge-Falcons, based on recent trends.

TAMPA BAY at CINCINNATI... Marvin Lewis 1-1 as “chalk” TY but 5-18 last 23 in role, and just 3-10 last 13 as home favorite. TB "under" 12-7 for Raheem Morris since LY. Tech edge-Bucs and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

CHICAGO at CAROLINA... Panthers "under" 14-7 last 21. Tech edge-"Under," based on recent team and "totals" trends.

GREEN BAY at WASHINGTON... Pack 37-19 vs. line last 56 on board since late ‘06. Pack also 22-9 last 31 vs. number on road. Note Pack "under" first 3 TY after "over" 32-19 the previous three years. Skins 9-18-1 vs. number last 28 at FedEx Field (1-1 for Shan). Tech edge-Packers, based on team trends.

NY GIANTS at HOUSTON... Giants 1-5 vs. line last 6 on road. G-Men also "over" 13-6 since beginning of ‘09. Tech edge-"Over" and Texans, based on "total" and team trends.

NEW ORLEANS at ARIZONA... Rematch of Saints’ 45-14 playoff win LY. Saints no covers first 4 TY and just 4-12-1 last 17 on board. Cards 6-1 last 7 as home dog for Whisenhunt. Tech edge-slight to Cards, based on recent trends.

SAN DIEGO at OAKLAND... Bolts had covered 7 straight at Oakland before failing to get number in LY’s opener. Norv also 14-7 "over" last 21 since late ‘08. Raiders 14-34 vs. line last 48 at home. Tech edge-Chargers and "over," based on extended series and "totals" trends.

TENNESSEE at DALLAS… The old Oilers vs. Cowboys. Jeff Fisher dog marks not as impressive as earlier in career (15-14 in role since 2005). Wade Phillips only 27-27 vs. line with Cowboys, but he is 10-5 vs. line last 15 as host. Tech edge-slight to Cowboys, based on team trends.

PHILADELPHIA at SAN FRANCISCO... Eagles have won and covered last 4 meetings since ‘05. If 49ers getting points, note Singletary 9-1 last 10 as dog. Tech edge-slight to Eagles, based on series trends.

MINNESOTA at NY JETS... Favre returns to face the Jets. Note Vikes "under" first 3 in 2010. Vikes 2-1-1 as dog with Favre at controls. Jets have won and covered big last 3 TY. Tech edge-"Under," based on recent Vikings "totals" trends.

 
Posted : October 5, 2010 12:15 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

NFL Bye Week Trends
By: StatFox

If you’ve been around StatFox the last few seasons, you’ve probably been anxiously awaiting the annual articles highlighting the top team trends for pre- and post-bye week games. Those of you who subscribe to The Platinum Sheet were tipped off to the following top two trends from this past Sunday:

SEATTLE at ST. LOUIS
HOME TEAMS have won eight of the last nine SEATTLE pre-bye week games, and those teams are 6-3 ATS over that span.
Play on: ST. LOUIS SU & ATS

BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 ATS in the last eight PITTSBURGH pre-bye week games.Play on: BALTIMORE ATS

For those of you who may have missed both of those winners, the good news is that there are five bye-week angles for this coming week, which we’re giving to you right here, free of charge. Our next issue of The Platinum Sheet will contain a feature listing top handicapping angles for NFL Weeks 6, 7 and 8, so you’ll want to be sure not to miss that. In the meantime, here are the Week 5 angles that boast winning percentages over 65 percent:

TAMPA BAY at CINCINNATI
ROAD TEAMS are 6-3 ATS in CINCINNATI pre-bye week games since 2001.
Play on: TAMPA BAY ATS

JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO
BUFFALO has not won a pre-bye week game since 1999 and is 2-8-1 ATS over that span.
Play on: JACKSONVILLE SU & ATS

CHICAGO at CAROLINA
UNDERDOGS have covered 12 of the last 13 CAROLINA pre-bye week games.
Play on: CAROLINA ATS

NEW ORLEANS at ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-1-1 OVER the total in its last seven pre-bye week games.
Play on: OVER the total

MINNESOTA at NEW YORK JETS

MINNESOTA is 10-2 OVER the total since 1998 in post-bye week games.
MINNESOTA is on a 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS run overall in post-bye week games.
Play on: MINNESOTA SU & ATS and OVER the total

 
Posted : October 6, 2010 7:53 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Nellys Sportsline

Denver is 1-6 vs. Baltimore since 2000
Baltimore is 13-7 as favorites since 2008

Jacksonville is 3-7 vs. Buffalo since 1996
Buffalo is 21-13 as favorites since 2004

Kansas City is 23-15 as dogs of seven or more since 1989
Indianapolis is 36-46-1 as favorites of seven or more since 1987

St. Louis is 26-17-3 off back-to-back wins since 1980
Detroit is 2-8-1 as favorites since 2006

Atlanta is 12-8-1 as road favorites since 1998
Cleveland is 7-3 in the last ten as home dogs

Tampa Bay is 5-1 in the last six road games
Cincinnati is 1-10 in the last 11 as home favorites

Chicago is 4-11 in the last 15 road games
Carolina is 24-17-1 in the last 42 as home dogs

Green Bay is 12-6-1 in the last 19 as road favorites
Washington is 4-11-1 in the last 16 at home

NY Giants are 19-8 on the road since 2007
Houston is 1-5-1 as home favorites since 2009

New Orleans is 9-4 in the last 13 as road favorites
Arizona is 9-3 as home dogs since 2006

San Diego is 11-3 vs. Oakland since 2003
Oakland is 16-30-1 as home dogs since 1995

Tennessee is 20-10-1 as underdogs since 2006
Dallas is 10-5 in the last 15 as home favorites

Philadelphia is 5-1 vs. San Francisco since 2002
San Francisco is 12-24-3 in the last 39 as favorites

Minnesota is 16-22-3 as underdogs since 2005
NY Jets are 53-90-5 as home favorites since 1980

 
Posted : October 8, 2010 10:30 am
Share: