Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 1/6/19
Chargers @ Ravens- Baltimore outgained Chargers 361-198 in 22-10 win at LA two weeks ago; Ravens outrushed Bolts 159-51, holding Chargers without a play longer than 17 yards. Ravens are 6-1 with rookie Jackson at QB; he is averaging 17 carries/game; they’ve run ball for 229.9 yards/game in Jackson’s starts. Baltimore won its last four home games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or fewer points. Chargers won 11 of last 13 games after a 1-2 start; Bolts are 8-0 outside LA this season, with only road loss vs Rams in Coliseum. Chargers have only three TD’s on 22 drives in last two games; two of those were on drives of 16-17 yards. LA is in playoffs for first time since ’13, 2nd time since ’09. Ravens are in playoffs for first time since ’14.
Eagles @ Bears— Chicago is in playoffs for first time since 2010; they’ve won/covered nine of last ten games, losing at NYG in game when backup QB Daniel played. Bears won/covered their last five home games- their only home loss this year was 38-31 to Patriots in Week 7. Chicago is 9-3 vs spread as a favorite this year. Two head coaches worked together for seven years, in KC/Philly; Eagles won last three series games, pounding Bears 31-3 in Philly LY. Iggles won six of their last eight visits to the Windy City. Philly is defending Super Bowl champ; they’ve won five of last six games, are 1-2 vs spread as an underdog. Eagles won four of last six road games. Three of last four Philly games went over total; last four Chicago games stayed under.
Sunday, January 6, 2019
AFC – L.A. Chargers at Baltimore – 1:00 p.m. (CBS)
Opening Line (12/30/18): Baltimore -3, 41 ½
L.A. Chargers Road Record: 7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS
Baltimore Home Record: 6-2 SU, 3-5 ATS
Head-to-Head: The Ravens defeated the Chargers 22-10 in Week 16 as four-point road underdogs in a primetime game played on a Saturday from Los Angeles. Prior to this encounter, the pair split two regular season games from Baltimore in 2014 and 2015 and the outcomes were decided by a combined four points (29-26, 34-33).
Playoff Notes: The Chargers haven’t been in the playoffs since the 2013 regular season. They went 1-1 in the playoffs, winning the Wild Card game at the Bengals before losing to the Broncos in the Divisional Playoff round. QB Philip Rivers is 4-5 all-time in the playoffs but make a note that Los Angeles is 3-0 in Wild Card games.
This will be the first trip to the playoffs for Baltimore since the 2014 regular season. The Ravens went 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS in that postseason. Ravens head coach John Harbaugh owns a 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS all-time playoff record and what’s really impressive is that only two of those games were at home, both victories.
Total Notes: The Chargers saw their total results split evenly (8-8) this season but they had a 5-3 ‘over’ lean on the road. Los Angeles averaged slightly more points on the road (26.9 PPG) this season than at home (26.6 PPG). The Bolts made three trips to the Eastern Time Zone this season and scored 31, 36 and 33 points. Along with winning each game, the ‘over’ connected in all three as well.
Baltimore watched the ‘under’ go 9-7 this season which included a 4-4 total record from M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens defense (17.9 PPG) is ranked second in scoring and including the first meeting with the Chargers, they only allowed 17 PPG in four games versus the AFC West this season.
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Sunday, January 6, 2019
NFC – Philadelphia at Chicago – 4:40 p.m. (NBC)
Opening Line (12/30/18): Chicago -5 ½, 42
Philadelphia Road Record: 4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS
Chicago Home Record: 7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS
Head-to-Head: The Eagles and Bears didn't match up this season, but Philadelphia destroyed Chicago in 2017 at Lincoln Financial Field, 31-3. Chicago has lost three consecutive meetings with Philadelphia since 2013, while these clubs last dueled in the playoffs back in 2001. The Eagles cruised past the Bears at Soldier Field, 33-19 to advance to the NFC Championship.
Playoff Notes: Chicago finished at the bottom of the NFC North in the previous four seasons prior to capturing the division title in 2018. The Bears last reached the playoffs in 2010 when they advanced to the NFC Championship before falling to the rival Packers. Chicago last participated in the Wild Card round back in 1994 when it routed Minnesota, as the Bears own a 4-5 record in the playoffs the last 25 seasons.
The Eagles picked up their first Super Bowl title last season by knocking off the Patriots, while winning all three games as an underdog. Philadelphia has lost in past three opportunities in the Wild Card round since 2009, while last playing a road playoff game in 2009 against Dallas in a 34-14 defeat.
Total Notes: The Eagles posted a 9-7 mark to the 'under,' while going 5-3 to the 'over' away from Lincoln Financial Field. During last season's Super Bowl run, Philadelphia cashed the 'over' in two of three victories.
Chicago closed the season with four consecutive 'unders,' as the Bears limited those four opponents to 17 points or less in each contest. The total was a toss-up at Soldier Field as the Bears went 4-4 to the 'over,' but Chicago allowed 22 points or less in seven of eight home games.
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NFL
Long Sheet
Sunday, January 6
LA CHARGERS (12 - 4) at BALTIMORE (10 - 6) - 1/6/2019, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
LA CHARGERS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
LA CHARGERS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (9 - 7) at CHICAGO (12 - 4) - 1/6/2019, 4:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games this season.
CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CHICAGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CHICAGO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NFL
Wildcard Round
Trend Report
Sunday, January 6
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Chargers is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 10 games
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Chargers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Philadelphia's last 24 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Chicago is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
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NFL's Top ATS Teams (based on cover %):
1. Bears 12-4 ATS
2. Seahawks 9-5-2 ATS
t3. Saints 10-6 ATS
t3. Browns 10-6 ATS
5. Chiefs 9-6-1 ATS
t6. 6 teams tied at 9-7 ATS (Chargers, Pats, Cowboys, Bengals, Washington, Lions)
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NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):
t31. 49ers 5-11
t31. Falcons 5-11
30. Jets 5-10-1
29. Jaguars 5-9-2
28. Raiders 6-10
t26. Packers 6-9-1
t26. Broncos 6-9-1
t25. 3 teams tied at 7-9 (Bills, Panthers, Eagles)
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NFL's Top OVER Teams (based on Over %):
1. Chiefs 10-5-1
2. Jets 10-6
t3. Falcons 9-7
t3. Giants 9-7
t3. 49ers 9-7
t3. Seahawks 9-7
t3. Buccaneers 9-7
8. Bengals 8-6-2
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NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):
1. Broncos 12-3-1
2. Patriots 11-5
t3. Lions 10-6
t3. Jaguars 10-6
t3. Vikings 10-6
t4. 8 teams tied at 7-9 (Cardinals, Ravens, Bills, Cowboys, Texans,Saints, Eagles, Redskins)
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