Pick Wiz Plays 12/28 Part II

Texas A&M vs Kansas St +3

Texas A&M comes into the Texas Bowl having lost three out of their final four games. The Aggies defense had an inconsistent season and struggled in the second half of the season, still overall the Texas A&M defense still only allowed an average of 23.8 points per game, placing them 37th in the FBS. Meanwhile Kansas State come into the game on a roll, wining their final three games of the regular season, all against conference opponents. I think the fact that K-St leads the Big 12 in picks (15) becomes a factor here for Knight, who missed most of November. The trends slightly favor A&M in this game but I'm bucking the trends and expect K St to come away with an outright win. Take the points with confidence. This is my highest rated Bowl play of the year.

PICK: K. St.
AMNT: 1050/1000

Parlay K. St. / Umass 500/1341
Parlay K. St. / Nova 500/1341
Parlay K. St. USC 500/1341
Parlay K. St. / UNC Wil 500/1341
Parlay K. St. / Cin -5.5 500/1341

USC @ Oregon St. +11

This USC team looked past a solid Wyoming team and nearly lost last time out but opening PAC12 play Trojans will not make same mistake twice. Oregon State has been very bad to start this season and don't see even the home court making a difference against a far better/more talented USC. Lay the points.

Trends:

USC:

7-1 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game

Oregon State:

3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5
1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win
2-11 ATS in their last 13 Wednesday games
0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win

PLAY: USC -11
AMNT: 1100/1000

UNC Willmington @ Clemson -9

Trends:

UNC Wilmington

5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5
13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog

Clemson

2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win

PICK: UNC Wil
AMNT: 1100/1000

Cincinnati @ Temple -5.5

PICK: Cin
AMNT: 550/500

6, $300, 2 Team Round Robin Parlay: UNC Wil, Cin, Umass, USC 1800/4572

(If the Houston game isn't circled with your service/site.. replace that game with Cin in the RR. Mine has is capped and can't be included in a Parlay... evidence that the house thinks LV is wrong on this game too.

BOL fellas... should be a profitable one. Go KANSAS ST!