Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Sunday, February 4th
2018 Super Bowl LII Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Philadelphia/New England under 48 1/2
Please note: due to the discount, guarantees do not apply to this package
February's NBA East Daytime Dominator of the Month!!!!!
Milwaukee/Brooklyn over 209
NBA Best Bets
Atlanta/New York over 212
Memphis/Toronto under 208
Los Angeles/Oklahoma City over 214
Charlotte/Phoenix over 219
February's NCAA Basketball on FOX Total of the Month!!!!!
Seton Hall/Villanova under 157
NCAA Best Bets
Georgia Tech/Boston College under 135 1/2
Illinois/Ohio State over 143
Wisconsin/Maryland under 132 1/2
Arizona State/Washington State over 157 1/2
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JM
NBA system bets for February 4:
Portland {B} bet - This is a confirmed official bet.
Charlotte {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet.
All the best,
The Champ Team
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SSI Wins Picks
Risked 5 units to win 4.95*Philadelphia Eagles +4 -101*vs New England Patriots
Risked 5 units to win 8.75*Philadelphia Eagles +175*vs New England Patriots
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GALIN DRAGIEV 'THE DRAGON'
NEW ENGLAND -5 (-105)
When two teams at entirely different talent levels meet in the Super Bowl, the result is usually a line that's pushed closer than it should be because the underdog gets a lot of credit simply for making it to the Super Bowl. But this Eagles team isn't nearly as talented as the Patriots, who have been here before. The quarterback play will make all the difference here, and you can't expect Nick Foles to repeat his performance from last week. Lay the points, the Patriots win in convincing fashion.
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NORTHCOAST:
Released TODAY THURSDAY 2/1/18
MARQUEE SINGLE: Total Players With Rush Attempts (O/U 8.5 Players): OVER -140
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Will There Be a Special Teams or Defensive TD? YES +170
MARQUEE SINGLE: Team With Most Rushing Yards in Super Bowl: Eagles (-9.5 yds, Even)
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Team With Longest Kickoff Return in Super Bowl: Patriots (-120)
MARQUEE SINGLE: Receiving Yards for NE’s Danny Amendola (O/U 56.5 Yards) OVER -110
MARQUEE TRIPLE: Will There Be a 2-point Conversion Attempt? YES +135
Released Tuesday 1/30/18
MARQUEE SINGLE: Most Net Yards in the Super Bowl: Eagles +110
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Team to Score Last in the First Half: Patriots -115
MARQUEE SINGLE: Will New England’s Trey Flowers record a sack? NO -140
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Shortest Made Field Goal in Super Bowl (O/U 26.5 Yards): OVER -110
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Dave Essler
3* Philadelphia Eagles
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Steve Merril
No official play on the full game, but I do have a light opinion on the total. Best value is with the 8 prop bets listed below.
(1% opinion) OVER 48.5 (Eagles/Patriots) - 6:30 pm ET (NBC) #101
-Philadelphia’s offense broke out in the NFC Championship with 38 points on 456 total yards
-offense averages 28.5 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 21.6 points per game
-Eagles' defense was much worse on the road; giving up 11.1 points more per game (23.5-12.4)
-New England has scored 23 points or more in 15 of their 18 games; expect more of the same
-offense is averaging 28.7 points per game vs. defenses that only allow 22.2 points per game
-Patriots' defense gives up 5.9 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 5.5 yards per play
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No opinion on the side. The key to this game is how well backup QB Nick Foles plays for the Eagles. He has been solid in his two playoff games so far, but he is now playing away from home and on a much bigger stage. Using all games this season would make the Patriots just a 1-point favorite, however adjusting for Foles at quarterback (instead of Wentz) makes New England a 3.5-point favorite, so while I expect the Patriots to win the game, the pointspread is too high. This game will likely be close throughout as the teams trade points back and forth. New England has a history of winning close Super Bowls with their five victories coming by just 3, 3, 3, 4 and 6 point (OT) margins.
Super Bowl Props
Below are my Prop bet recommendations for Super Bowl 52. I recommend playing each prop as 2% of bankroll as some are correlated and dependent on similar outcomes, therefore you must be careful not to overexpose your bankroll. These lines will vary at each sportsbook, so be sure to shop around for the best numbers.
Will there be 3 straight scores from one team?
YES (-185) … This prop has a strong history of cashing in the Super Bowl. In fact, a team has scored 3 straight times in 36 of the 51 Super Bowls (71%), including seven of the last nine games. Last year, both teams had 3 straight unanswered scores in Super Bowl 51 (Falcons/Patriots). Also, it has already happened in three of the four playoff games this year involving the Patriots and Eagles.
Total Receptions by Danny Amendola (Patriots):
OVER 4.5 (-140) … New England will employ a pass-heavy attack, and their focus should be routes across the middle of the field where the smaller and quicker Patriots' receivers have a major edge. Without Julian Edelman on the field, Brady’s go-to receiver has been Danny Amendola. We expect many targets to Amendola on quick, short routes.
Total Receptions by Chris Hogan (Patriots):
OVER 2.5 (-155) … Chris Hogan will be a sneaky weapon for the Patriots in this game. The Eagles' defense struggled mightily in covering inside slot receivers all season, and while Amendola normally lines up in the slot, we expect Hogan to run some quick-hitting routes as well.
Total Receiving Yards by Dion Lewis (Patriots):
OVER 30.5 (-120) … Once Lewis makes a catch out of the backfield, he will have plenty of open space in front of him simply because of the design of New England’s passing offense. The Eagles have slow-footed linebackers, so Lewis will gain plenty of yards after each catch.
Longest Reception by Rob Gronkowski (Patriots):
OVER 25.5 (-120) … Philadelphia's secondary has a major weakness in the deep middle of the field. When New England sends Rob Gronkowski deep, it’s usually down the middle on a linebacker. The Patriots will try to exploit this weakness multiple times, and we only need one successful catch to cash this prop.
Total Receiving Yards by Jay Ajayi (Eagles):
OVER 21.5 (-110) … Since Nick Foles took over at quarterback, Jay Ajayi has been a major weapon out of the backfield. New England's defense has struggled defending pass-caching running backs this season. Ajayi will get a lot of targets out of the backfield in this game, especially since play caller and head coach Doug Pederson has been excellent in attacking an opponent's defensive weakness this season.
Longest Reception by Jay Ajayi (Eagles):
OVER 10.5 (-110) … This goes hand and hand with the Jay Ajayi prop listed above. Once Ajayi makes a catch out of the backfield, he will have plenty of open space in front of him. The Patriots' linebackers have little chance to contain him, so Ajayi will gain plenty of yards after each catch.
2nd Half + OT is higher scoring (vs. 1st half)
YES (-165) … The first quarter has been low scoring and the fourth quarter has been high scoring in many previous Super Bowls which gives this prop value. Teams are also more conservative early in the game as they do not want to make mistakes, but then the team trailing in the second-half takes more chances which often leads to quick scores, returns for TD, etc. The Patriots have a history of slow starts and have not scored in the first quarter in any of the seven Super Bowls during the Tom Brady/Bill Belichick era.
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NBAclub info
Toronto Raptors - Memphis GrizzliesOver 208 (O/U) @ 1.961
Boston Celtics - Portland Trail Blazers
Over 201 (O/U) @ 1.970
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MidAmerican Sports
NFL - Eagles
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Rockdeman Sports
NFL - 7 point teaser - Eagles & Over
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Don Johnson Advantage One System
February Record (6-8, Yesterday 1-4)
NBA (3-4) , NCAA (2-4), NFL (1-0)
2* Eagles +4.5
2* Eagles Under 48.5
1* Parlay Eagles +4.5 & Under 48.5
SUPER BOWL PROPS
1* L. Blount scores a TD +200
1* J. White pass receptions over 3.5 +100
1* Gronkowski Over 89 yards +125
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Wayne Root
Patriots-4, Patriots-7.5 (+145), Patriots-10.5 (+200).
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Sports Cash System
Main: Eagles +4.5 (3)
Extras:
Hornets -4 (1)
Bucks -3 (2)
Knicks -3.5 (1)
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Tony Finn
FINN SUPER BOWL 52 PICKS/PROP REPORT I
Game: (101) Philadelphia Eagles at (102) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Feb 4 2018 6:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Plays: New England Patriots -4.5 (-103)
Total OVER 48.5
RECOMENDED SUPER BOWL 52 PROPS
1. TEAM TO RECORD MORE FIRST DOWNS
New England Patriots -3 (-115)
2. TOTAL TEAM POINTS - PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
UNDER 21 (EVEN)
3. TOTAL TEAM POINTS - NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
OVER 27 (-135)
4. FIRST TOUCHDOWN SCORER
Danny Amendola (NE) +1000
5. FIRST TOUCHDOWN SCORER FOR THE EAGLES
LeGarrette Blount +500
6. TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS FOR THE PATRIOTS
OVER 3 (-125)
7. LONGEST TOUCHDOWN YARDAGE IN THE GAME
UNDER 43.5 (-115)
8. TEAM TO SCORE THE SHORTEST TOUCHDOWN OF THE GAME
Eagles -115
9. MARGIN OF VICTORY
Patriots by 7-12 points +400
10. MARGIN OF VICTORY
Patriots by 19-24 points +900
11. TOTAL PASSING YARDS FOR TOM BRADY
OVER 289.5 (-150)
12. TOTAL INTERCEPTIONS THROWN FOR TOM BRADY
OVER 0.5 (+120)
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Executive Sports Group
NE -4
Bost Coll -2
Seton Hall +13
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