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Picks: Free Premium Service Plays for Wednesday, January 10, 2018

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Stephen Nover

3*

Charlotte -6

Analysis:
Charlotte is poised to make a move. The Hornets are coming off a 3-1 West Coast trip highlighted by a victory against the Warriors. Charlotte is feeling confident and rested having last played on Friday.

The Hornets are just 15-23, but they also have played the toughest schedule in the NBA in terms of opponent's winning percentage.

Charlotte's schedule lightens up starting here. Dallas is playing for the fifth time in eight days and without rest. The Mavericks just defeated the Magic, 114-99, at home last night.

Dallas has beaten some good teams - Spurs, Wizards, Raptors, Bucks and Thunder - but is 9-20 the past 29 times when facing opponents with a losing record, including 4-11 during the last 15 instances.

The Hornets average 105 points a game. Dallas is 3-20 when giving up triple-digits. The Mavericks are vulnerable to Dwight Howard being one of the worst rebounding teams in the league. Howard ranks fourth in the league in rebounding.

1*
Arkansas - 9

Analysis:
Arkansas is in stop-the-pain mode following road losses to Mississippi State and Auburn.

But now the Razorbacks return home where they have won the past 11 times dating back to last season, covering five of their last six at Bud Walton Arena. They catch LSU in a letdown spot.

The Tigers are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 69-68 road upset of then No. 11 ranked Texas A&M. LSU achieved this victory by coming back from a five-point deficit with 12.4 seconds left.

LSU immediately lost following big wins against Michigan in the Maui Invitational, Houston at home and Memphis on the road. This is a pattern with the Tigers, who are 6-15-1 ATS following a victory.

The Razorbacks lead the SEC in scoring and field goal percentage. They hold a tremendous home-court advantage.

2*

Uconn

Analysis:
There are a lot of ebbs and flows to the college basketball season. Connecticut was going through a low period. But I see a~ buy sign now on the Huskies following their 70-65 win against East Carolina especially being home. The Huskies have won the last seven times against Central Florida.

Central Florida plays great defense, but their offense is woeful especially from beyond the arc. So the Huskies can pack in their defense and get away with it.
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Posted : January 10, 2018 3:01 pm
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Goodfella

3*

Total of Month

TRAIL BLAZERS/ROCKETS OVER 213 (-120)
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Posted : January 10, 2018 3:02 pm
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Greg shaker

2*

Temple / Southern Methodist under 135.5

3*
Texas / Tcu over 141.5

Analysis:
Two very different teams in this match-up with the Frogs being strong Offensive Power to this court and Texas doing the same on defense. Tempo is what like TCU likes to do as well and somewhat of a change from what they have done in previous seasons. Some will be frightened to find out that Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings and all of those meetings except the last one featured a lower Posted Number. However, the Frogs have rarely not had their way this season with their style of play and I see no reason why they will not tonight. The Texas OE is strong enough to hang with this team and they will not pass up opps to run the court when given the chance. Both Models LOVE this play and we do too. You can play 3% here at 146 or better..
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Posted : January 10, 2018 3:02 pm
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Maddux

#711 - NBA - 10 units on Orlando & Milwaukee Over 217.5
#785 - NCAAB - 10 units on Cal Poly Slo +8.5
#756 - NCAAB - 10 units Valparaiso -3
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Posted : January 10, 2018 4:15 pm
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Worlds Worst Picker CBB
Peabody's picks
Kansas st
Xavier
LSU

Fade plays
Ok st
Villanova
Arkansas
Bol guys the fade has been killing it lately
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Posted : January 10, 2018 4:16 pm
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Picks 2 Play

Valparaiso -5
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Posted : January 10, 2018 4:51 pm
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SportsPicksDaily Sports

NBA
Top Play - Over Nuggets/Hawks
Thunder
Bucks
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Posted : January 10, 2018 4:52 pm
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HCPicks

CBB
LaSalle
UConn
Texas

NBA
Under Charlotte/Dallas
Under Milwaukee/Orlando
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:09 pm
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Vegas Killers
/2018

Game: Hawks/Nuggets

Pick: Over 216 (-110)

Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

2.2 Units
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:10 pm
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Dr. Bob
Wednesday, January 10

*Dallas (+7 ½) over CHARLOTTE

Rotation #705 – 4:05 pm Pacific

I have Dallas pegged as an underrated team and I really like the Mavericks as an underdog, as they are 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 games getting points. Tonight, I favor Charlotte by just 4 ½ points even with the rest advantage that the Hornets have, and I’ll take Dallas in a 1-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.

*DENVER (-9) over Atlanta

Rotation #720 – 6:05 pm Pacific

It’s no secret that I think the Nuggets are an underrated team with their current rotation, which excludes the horrendous Emmanuel Mudiay and his -135 plus-minus number. The Nuggets have outscored their opponents by 197 points this season (+7.2 points per 48 minutes) when Mudiay has not been on the floor and I rate Denver at 5 ½ points better than an average team with their current rotation. Atlanta is still hopeless offensively and I expect Denver to be focused defensively after consecutive losses in their trip to the Bay Area. Denver is 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 games and I still see enough value to play them tonight. I’ll take Denver in a 1-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.

Opinion – VILLANOVA (-9 ½) over Xavier

Rotation #764 – 5 pm Pacific

As I’ve mentioned before, Villanova is tough to beat when coach Jay Wright has 2 or more days off to prepare his team and the Wildcats are 94-51-4 ATS in all such games since the 2012-13 season, including 62-23-2 ATS as a favorite of less than 16 points. Xavier, meanwhile, isn’t as good on the road as they are at home, relatively, and the Musketeers are just 1-8 straight up and 1-8 ATS under coach Chris Mack when facing Villanova. I’ll lean with Villanova at -10 points or less based on their tendency to perform above expectations after a 2 or more days off between games.
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:29 pm
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Millerlocks

7:00 PM EST NCAAB

GEORGE WASHINGTON VS. DAVIDSON

PICK: OVER 137.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

7:00 PM EST NCAAB
CENTRAL FLORIDA VS. CONNECTICUT

PICK: CONNECTICUT (-117)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:08 PM EST NBA
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS VS. HOUSTON ROCKETS

PICK: OVER 214 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:00 PM EST NCAAB
TEMPLE VS. SMU

PICK: SMU -10.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:00 PM EST NCAAB
TCU VS. TEXAS

PICK: OVER 142.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:00 PM EST NCAAB
GEORGIA VS. MISSOURI

PICK: GEORGIA +5.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:00 PM EST NCAAB
GEORGIA VS. MISSOURI (1ST HALF)

PICK: OVER 64.5 (-105)

RISK: 11 UNITS

10:38 PM EST NBA
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

PICK: OVER 226 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:30 pm
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FEZZIK

3* Charlotte -6.5
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:31 pm
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CleInsidersports

NBA
Bulls +5

NCAAB
George Mason +5
Colorado State +8
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:32 pm
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DMZ locks

Ncaab
4u Duke -20
3u Michigan st over 134.5
3u Florida -9
3u UCF under 124.5
3u Evansville under 125.5
3u Florida st -6
4u UNLV -9
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Posted : January 10, 2018 5:32 pm
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tommy burston #60

georiga +6

 
Posted : January 10, 2018 5:32 pm
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