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Picks: Free Service Plays for Monday, December 4th, 2017

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(@shazman)
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John Martin
Dec 04 '17, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Pistons +3½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Pistons +3.5

The San Antonio Spurs are in a tough spot here after losing 87-90 in Oklahoma City last night. They will now be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and won’t have much energy left to face the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons are have been one of the best teams in the NBA up to this point, going 14-8 SU & 14-7-1 ATS in their 22 games. They will be hungry after losing two straight road games to Washington and Philadelphia coming in, and they are the fresher team after having yesterday off. The Pistons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%. Give me Detroit.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:51 am
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Andre Ramirez
Dec 04 '17, 8:30 PM in 10h
NFL | Steelers vs Bengals
Play on: Bengals +6 -120

NFL 75 DIME INSIDE MOVE GOW

BENGALS +6

Both teams are coming in with heavy injuries, but the Steelers will be light!

For the Steelers, two players have already been ruled out for this prime-time game, Joe Haden(fibula) and Vance McDonald (ankle). There were a pair of starters dealing with ankle injuries, and Mike Mitchell has been listed as doubtful for the AFC grudge match.

The biggest injury to watch will be the toe injury of Antonio Brown. After being a full participant in the team’s first practice of the week, he missed the following practices and is officially listed as questionable. While many are suggesting the injury is minor, toe injuries have been known to linger and cause a major roadblock to players getting back on the field.

Not all the news was bad for the Steelers, and the good news was that Ryan Shazier (ankle) and JuJu Smith-Schuster (hamstring) were not on the final report, meaning they’ll be in the lineup when the two division rivals kickoff.

The extra week to prepare and rest up is a big plus for Cincinnati in this matchup, while home-field advantage serves as a nice bonus for Pittsburgh. Defensively, these teams are about as evenly matched as you can get. But the Steelers should have the edge on offense if they place an emphasis on getting the football into the hands of Le’Veon Bell as much as possible. That should make the difference as Pittsburgh earns another close, hard-fought, win in this storied rivalry on Sunday.

This game will be close, and will be decided by a field goal.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:52 am
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Jack Jones
Dec 04 '17, 8:35 PM in 10h
NBA | Nuggets vs Mavs
Play on: Mavs -3 -105

Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Dallas Mavericks -3

The Dallas Mavericks are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have blowout home wins over Milwaukee (by 32), Oklahoma City (by 16) and the LA Clippers (by 26) during this stretch.

Now they face a Denver Nuggets team that is reeling with the losses of their two best players. Both Paul Millsap and Nikola Jokic are out indefinitely with wrist and ankle injuries, respectively. Wilson Chandler is also questionable with a back injury. You just can’t replace two players the caliber of Millsap and Jokic.

Denver is 0-7 ATS off a win by 10 points or more this season. It is coming back to lose by a whopping 14.9 points per game on average in this spot. The Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six trips to Dallas. The home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Plays on home favorites (Dallas) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points are 61-27 (69.3%) ATS since 1996. Bet the Mavericks Monday.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:54 am
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Scott Spreitzer
Dec 04 '17, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Wolves vs Grizzlies
Play on: Wolves -2½ -105

We're going against the Grizzlies again. The team is in free-fall and we don't expect improvements until Mike Conley returns from an achilles injury. Minnesota played and won last night and we look for another strong effort on Monday. Memphis has dropped 11 straight games (1-9-1 ATS) and averaged just 89 ppg before a 116-111 loss to Cleveland over the weekend. We don't put much into the 111 point effort when we consider the Cavs could have won that game by 30+ if they didn't let off the gas. The Grizzlies have lost eight in a row ATS at home and we'll go against them again. I'm recommending a play on Minnesota minus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:55 am
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Red Dog Sports
Dec 04 '17, 6:30 PM
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Ohio State
Play on: Ohio State -1½ -110

Ohio State -1.5

These two Big Ten rivals meet on the basketball court Monday night. Home court is surely worth a few points to the Buckeyes. I think we see Ohio State win a close game

Michigan 64

Ohio State 69

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:56 am
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Scott Rickenbach
Dec 04 '17, 8:05 PM
NHL | Bruins vs Predators
Play on: Bruins +119

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Monday Free Pick Boston Bruins Money Line (+) @ Nashville Predators @ 8:05 ET - Nashville has a big game with division rival Dallas tomorrow night. The Predators are also coming off of a win over Anaheim and that was a big game as they had battled the Ducks in the Western Conference Finals last season. This is a classic flat spot for the Preds here given the scheduling situation while the Bruins don't play again until Thursday at home against Arizona. Rest assured there is no lookahead for Boston here given that the league-worst Coyotes await 3 days away. The Bruins have won 6 of 7 and I love the small dog price here as many will grab the "bait" and take the Predators on home ice laying a small price. Nashville has lost 18 of 30 (-$12,000) in December action. The Bruins have won 30 of 48 (+$14,400) road games with a posted total of 5.5 goals. Free Pick on BOSTON

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:57 am
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Dave Price
Dec 04 '17, 7:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Suns vs 76ers
Play on: Suns +10½ -108 at betonline

Dave’s Monday Free Play:

1* on Phoenix Suns +10.5

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are starting to get too much love from oddsmakers. They are now double-digit home favorites over the Phoenix Suns tonight. This is a Suns team that went into Boston on Saturday and nearly pulled the upset, losing just 111-116 as 12.5-point dogs. I have no doubt they can hang around with the 76ers as well. The Suns are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. a team with a winning record. The Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Philadelphia. Take Phoenix.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:58 am
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immy Boyd
Dec 04 '17, 9:00 PM
NCAA-B | Florida State vs Florida
Play on: Florida -9 -110

Free pick on Florida -

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 10:59 am
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Dustin Hawkins
Dec 04 '17, 7:05 PM
NBA | Suns vs 76ers
Play on: 76ers -10½ -112

Free Play on 76ers -10½ -112

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:00 am
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Ben Burns
Dec 04 '17, 8:35 PM
NBA | Pistons vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs -3½ -110

Gregg Popovich is already starting to rest players. With a tough matchup against the Pistons and big man Andre Drummond on tap for tonight, LaMarcus Aldridge was held out of Sunday night’s game against Oklahoma City. The Spurs still played the Thunder tough (losing by 3), but it should pay benefits against the Pistons. Heading into Sunday, San Antonio had won four straight, and now the Spurs have held opponents to under 100 points in 7 of the last 10 games – and that’s without their best defensive player, injured forward Kawhi Leonard. SA should have enough to cover the 3.5.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:01 am
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Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, December 4, 2017

12/04 05:35 PM PT / 8:35 PM ET

NBA (519) DETROIT PISTONS VS (520) SAN ANTONIO SPURS

Take: UNDER

Reason: Your free play for Monday, December 4, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the Detroit Pistons and the San Antonio Spurs. Detroit is having an excellent season at 14-8 S/U and 14-7-1 ATS. Tonight they face San Antonio (15-7 S/U, 11-10-1 ATS) which had to play last night at Oklahoma City. This makes the Spurs in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here while Detroit had a day off. Anytime a team plays the 2nd of a back-to-back spot I look for them to slow down the next game. The Pistons have been a very good Under team. They are 1-7 O/U their last eight road games and 1-11-1 their last 13 against the Southwest division. These teams have gone UNDER in four of their last five meetings. That's just what I will be looking for tonight, take the UNDER.

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:03 am
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Pittsburgh at CINCINNATI (43'un, -110)
By Tommy Brunson

Monday night comp play is the Over in your Pittsburgh-Cincinnati game.

The Steelers have been on a little bit of an offensive "spree" the past couple of weeks, as they have scored 71-points and have played Over the total in their last pair of games, coming against Green Bay and Tennessee.

The Bengals just topped the total last weekend against Cleveland, and 2 of Cincinnati's last 3 games have also landed Over the posted price.

The season's first meeting between the teams on October 22nd saw the Steelers win it 29-14 in a game that landed Over the posted price.

The Monday night lights tend to see the points add up, as the Over stands at 6-0-1 the past 7 Monday night contests!

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati inch Over tonight.

4* PITTSBURGH-CINCINNATI OVER

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:05 am
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Milwaukee at BOSTON (-6)
By Joey Juice

Both Milwaukee and Boston are coming off of underachieving, easy wins that should have been much easier.

Let's face it, the Celtics are a superpower this year, the only surprise is that it has been their defense not their offense that is responsible for this success.

Milwaukee is on an uptick ever since they added Bledsoe to their starting lineup. However that won't be enough to stop this Boston team at home where they are so very tough and determined to win in front of their faithful .

A quick look inside the numbers confirms a Boston victory is most probable.

Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Boston is the free play.

3* BOSTON

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:07 am
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Mike Francesca

Cincy +6

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:10 am
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Arthur Ralph Sports

Mon Bengals + 5

 
Posted : December 4, 2017 11:11 am
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