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Picks: Free Service Plays for Thursday, January 25, 2018

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, January 25, 2018 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : January 24, 2018 11:36 pm
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Cappers Club
Jan 25 '18, 11:00 PM in 13h
NCAA-B | BYU vs St. Mary's
Play on: BYU +8½ -110 at betonline

Byu +8.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The BYU Cougars and the St. Mary's Gaels face off on Wednesday night and in this game the Cougars have the value.

On paper these two teams are very similar, and 8.5 points seems like too much. The Gaels are a good offensive team but in the last two games they have been playing in the 70's.

For the Cougars they have put up at least 82 points in three of the last four games. With this game probably being played in the 70's that should be enough.

The Cougars probably won't win, but they will do enough to keep this close.

Some trends to note. Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Gaels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games following three or more consecutive road games.

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 10:17 am
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Larry Ness
Jan 25 '18, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Wizards vs Thunder
Play on: Wizards +5½ -105 at Bovada

My 1* Free Play Is on the Washington Wizards (8:05 EST).

The Wizards are going to be desperate here as they enter having lost three of their last four, most recently a listless 98-75 setback on the road in Dallas on Monday.

Conversely, the surging home side could easily be caught looking past their lowly non-conference opponent today after winning five straight, most recently a much closer than expected 109-108 victory over the Nets on Tuesday.

Washington averages 106.5 PPG and it concedes 105.3. John Wall averages 19.3 points and 9.2 assists per game, while Bradley Beal adds 23.6 points per contest.

OKC averages 105.4 PPG and it concedes 101.4. Russell Westbrook leads the nightly charge with 24.9 points, 9.6 boards, ten assists and 2.02 steals per game, while Paul George adds 20.9 points, 5.6 boards and 2.11 steals a night.

I’ll point out though that Washington has excelled in this spot for bettors, going 5-0 ATS already this year after a loss by ten points or more and 5-1 ATS in its last six after scoring 85 points or less in its previous contest, while the Thunder have struggled in this position by going just 13-27 ATS as the favorite this season and only 7-13 ATS against teams with winning records.

OKC’s performance against Brooklyn (another non-conference, lesser skilled team) was poor, which doesn’t bode well in facing this hungry Wizards side.

An outright upset? Clearly it’s not out of the question. But in a game which I envision being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend grabbing the points.

Good luck…Larry

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 10:18 am
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Scott Spreitzer
Jan 25 '18, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Purdue
Play on: Michigan +11½ -115 at betonline

I'm recommending a play on Michigan plus the points on Thursday. Michigan took both meetings last season and have covered four of the last five meetings, overall, including as a short underdog in a 70-69 home loss to the Boilermakers on January 9. Michigan out-rebounded Purdue and turned the ball over just nine times, but couldn't overcome Purdue's 12 of 21, 57.1 percent night from behind the arc. Purdue shoots well, no doubt about it, but Michigan allows just 5 made 3's per game on the road and you can rest assured John Beilein will have his team ready for their deep perimeter defensive assignments this time. The Boilermakers have won their last three games by an average of more than 28 points per game, but the level of competition increases tonight. The blowout wins, along with Michigan's ugly second half at Nebraska a couple games ago has given us the number we want. We're recommending a play on Michigan plus the points on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 10:18 am
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Kenny Walker
Jan 25 '18, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | SMU vs Connecticut
Play on: SMU -5½ -115 at BMaker

Free Pick on SMU -5½

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 10:19 am
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Jesse Schule
Jan 25 '18, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B | James Madison vs NC-Wilmington
Play on: NC-Wilmington -2½ -110 at betonline
James Madison vs UNC Wilmington Free Pick January 25, 2018

The UNC Wilmington Seahawks last game was a home win over Towson, and they were an eight point underdog in that game. Not only did I bet the Seahawks plus the points, I actually called for the outright win: "Towson won and covered as a 10 point favorite at home versus the Seahawks earlier this season, but they are asked to cover almost as many points here on the road in the rematch. Don't be surprised if the home team wins this game outright." The Seahawks are now 18-4 in their last 22 home games, and they come into tonight's game against James Madison averaging a whopping 80.8 points per game at home this season. The Dukes have lost seven of eight road games this season, and they could be shorthanded in tonight's game. Senior guard Joey McLean is questionable with an ankle injury and has not played in the last five games. The Dukes have won back to back home games, one in overtime and the other by just two points. Heading out on the road isn't going to be easy, especially against a Seahawks team that they have struggled against in the past. The Dukes have failed to cover the spread in seven straight meetings between the two teams.

Take UNCW.

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 10:20 am
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Scott Rickenbach
Jan 25 '18, 8:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Wizards vs Thunder
Play on: UNDER 214 -115

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Game #704 Thursday Free Pick UNDER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards @ 8:05 ET - The Wizards are coming off of a 98-75 loss at Dallas Monday. Washington has stayed under 4 of the last 6 times they've scored 85 points or less. Also, the Wizards have stayed under in 6 of 9 games this season when playing with 2 days of rest between games. 16 of Washington's 23 road games this season have resulted in an under. Also, 14 of the Wizards 20 non-conference games have stayed under the total. Oklahoma City enters this match-up on a 5-game winning streak and the under has cashed in 34 of 51 times when the Thunder are on a winning streak of 3 or more games. Also, 13 of OKC's 20 games versus teams with a winning record this season have resulted in an under. More of the same here. Free Pick on UNDER the total in Oklahoma City

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 10:20 am
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Tommy Brunson

After scoring only 75-points in their last game at Dallas earlier this week, look for Washington to return to their triple-digit scoring ways tonight in Oklahoma City. Prior to Monday's 98-75 setback against the Mavericks, the Wizards had netted 122 at Detroit in a game that went Over the total, and 109 in a game at Charlotte that also landed Over the posted price.

The Wizards enter this Thursday affair with Overs played in 5 of their last 7 games, and they have scored 102 points or more in 12 of their last 15 games overall.

OKC has played Over the total in their last pair, that after their 4 games previously had held Under the total. The real key to why I like the Over to come through tonight on Thunder hardwood are the series numbers between the teams which show both meetings a season ago landing Over, and the Over on a 5-1 run the last 6 times these East/West rivals have jumped ball.

Washington has responded well (points-wise) when playing off a straight up loss, as they are 6-0-1 Over the total their last 7 games after losing straight up the game prior.

With both teams having been off the night before, and off tomorrow night as well, expect some fresh legs and some fast points being put up on the scoreboard.

Wizards-Thunder Over at Chesapeake Energy Arena this Thursday night.

3* WASHINGTON-OKLAHOMA CITY OVER

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 11:13 am
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Joey Juice

Strictly the numbers on this one:

When the Wizards lose outright, the usually come out firing the following game,
which makes those games tend to go Over. That's why the over is 6-0-1 in the Wizards last 7 games following a straight up loss, and 5-1 following a ATS loss.

OKC tends to go over whenever they play the Southeast Division, the Over is 4-1 in their last 5 vs the Southeast. OKC also shoots the ball much better at home causing their home games to go over, the over is 6-2 last 8 at home for the Thunder.

Most importantly, when these 2 teams meet lately, Over has a tremendous advantage, the Over is 5-1 last 6 head-to-head matchups.

The Over is the Free Play.

4* WASHINGTON-OKLAHOMA CITY OVER

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 11:14 am
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Free Selection from Mike Wynn

Free Play: Free Pick Long Beach St -2 Over Cal Poly

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Posted : January 25, 2018 11:56 am
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Free Selection from Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, January 25, 2017

1/25 04:35 PM PT / 7:35 PM ET

NBA (501) SACRAMENTO KINGS VS (502) MIAMI HEAT
TAKE : MIAMI HEAT

 
Posted : January 25, 2018 11:56 am
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Free Selection from Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: Take JAMES MADISON +3 over NC-Wilmington
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Posted : January 25, 2018 11:57 am
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Free Selection from Totals4U

Thursday's Free Selection: Utah/Arizona State under 156 1/2
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Posted : January 25, 2018 11:57 am
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Free Selection from Jeff Allen Sports

Thursday's Free Selection is on the Boston Bruins
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Posted : January 25, 2018 11:59 am
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Roz's Thursday, January 25, 2018, Free Pick

1/25 05:05 PM NBA (503) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (504) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Take : Wizards
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Posted : January 25, 2018 11:59 am
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