Hey guys,
I guess I really don't understand the Sagarin system (bet against "fade?" any team with a sos of 60 or less) because I can't find a single bowl team with a strength of schedule rank less than 60. The worst SOS teams were Temple at 62 and Northern Illinois at 60 and Rescue has no plays on their opponents. I've marked Rescue's 13 plays, but following his ??? ??? ??? directions arrive me at "I must be stupid" because I come up with zero Sagarin Bowl system plays this year.
Please enlighten my stupidity...
Here is how the system works.
Of the top 60 Saragin rated teams, FADE EVERY team ATS whose SOS is 60 or worse unless they are facing a team whose SOS rating is even lower than theirs.
The first bowl game is the New Mexico Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have WYOM vs FRSST.
WYOM is not ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, WYOM is ranked # 99. FRSST is ranked in the top 60 Saragin list, FRSST is ranked # 53.
The SOS for WYOM is 69.62 - the SOS for FRSST is 68.12.
So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is WYOM +10.5 pts.
Next game, St. Petersburg Bowl, Sat, Dec. 19 - we have CENFL vs RUTG.
CENFL is ranked 61 on the current list, again not in the top 60. RUTG is ranked # 52 on the current list.
The SOS for CENFL is 66.69 - the SOS for RUTG is 64.23.
So the play here would be to take the higher SOS team which is CENFL +2.5 pts.
I will do one more game where both are in the top 60.
Tuesday, Dec. 22, we have BYU vs OREST
BYU is ranked #29 in the current Saragin top 60 list - OREST is ranked #15.
BYU has an SOS of 68.04 - OREST has an SOS of 74.59.
So the play here would be on OREST -2.5 pts. Using the current top 60 Saragin rated list both teams are ranked. Both teams have an SOS that is hihger than 60, however we play on the team who has the higher SOS which is OREST.
Here are the plays, 4Frogster included games he liked which weren't actual system plays so I won't include those.
Play on WYOM + 10.5 W
Play on RUTG - 2.5 W
lay on OREST -2.5 L
Play on CAL - 3.5 L
Play on NEV - 15
Play on HOU - 4
Play on MISOU - 6.5
Play on LSU + 2.5
Play on ORE -3.5
Play on TCU - 7
Play on CMICH - 3.5
Thanks for clarifying Blade. It must be a bit confusing because Rescue also has plays on Air Force and Miami U. and Frogster has different teams under this system as well. I will have to check myself now that I know how it works.
Thanks for making sense of it!
Your welcome and never a bad move to check the games for yourself.