Just trying to help with info here you go....let’s win some games today !
12 p.m. ET: Auburn (2-1, ranked 15th) at South Carolina (1-2)
On paper, this looks like an easy win and cover for Auburn. After all, the Tigers are ranked and have a winning record while South Carolina is unranked and has a losing record. But a closer look at the line movement tells a different story. Auburn opened as a 3-point road favorite. Roughly two-thirds of bets are backing the Tigers as a short favorite. However, we've seen this line either remain frozen at 3 or fall slightly to 2.5. This signals smart money hitting South Carolina as a live home dog. South Carolina has value as a contrarian conference dog with a line move in their favor. Sharp money has also hammered the over, pushing the total up from 51.5 to 53.
3:30 p.m. ET: Mississippi (1-2) at Arkansas (1-2)
Both of these SEC teams are 1-2 and looking to get back to .500. Ole Miss just put forth a valiant effort against Alabama, losing 63-48 but covering as 24-point dogs. Mississippi is averaging 42 PPG on offense and giving up 52 PPG on defense. Similarly, Arkansas battled hard against Auburn, losing 30-28 but covering 13.5-point dogs. Arkansas has averaged 20 PPG on offense while giving up 27 PPG on defense. This line opened with Ole Miss listed as a 3-point road favorite. Just under two-thirds of bets are backing Ole Miss, yet we've seen this line fall from 3 to 1.5. This sharp reverse line movement is a dead giveaway that pros got down on home dog Arkansas, dropping the line in their favor. Keep an eye on the weather in this game. The forecast calls for 15 to 20 MPH winds. The public is hammering hte over, yet the total hasn't budged off of 76.5. This lack of upward movement signals windy under liability.
4 p.m. ET: Virginia (1-2) at Wake Forest (1-2)
Both of these ACC teams are 1-2 and looking to get back to .500 with a victory. Virginia won their season opener against Duke but has since dropped two straight, most recently falling to NC State 38-21, losing straight up as 7-point favorites. Wake Forest started the season 0-2 but then crushed Campbell 66-14, easily covering as 34-point favorites. This line opened with Virginia listed as a 3-point road favorite. Spread bets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to take. However, we've seen this line fall from Virginia -3 to -1.5. This signals pro money grabbing Wake at home, causing sharp reverse line movement in their favor. Sharps have also gotten down hard on this under, dropping it from 62.5 all the way to 56.
8 p.m. ET: Georgia (3-0, ranked 3rd) at Alabama (3-0, ranked 2nd)
This primetime SEC showdown features two of the best teams in the country going head-to-head. Georgia is coming off a 44-21 win over Tennessee, covering as 12-point favorites. The Bulldogs are undefeated and have outscored their opponents by an average margin of 36-12. Meanwhile, Alabama just beat Ole Miss 63-48, failing to cover as 24-point favorites. The undefeated Crimson Tide have outscored their opponents by an average margin of 51-30. This line opened with Alabama listed as a 6-point home favorite. The public is all over Alabama as a relatively short home favorite. However, despite two-thirds of bets laying the points, we've seen this line fall from Bama -6 to -4.5. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Bulldogs, with pros grabbing Georgia and the points. We've also seen some sharp money hit this total. It opened at 56.5 and has been bet up to 58 despite over/under bets being split down the middle. This signals pro money hitting the over. A big x-factor here is Alabama coach Nick Saban. He tested positive for COVID-19 and it's unclear whether he will be coaching in person or not. One big edge to Georgia: when two top-5 teams go head-to-head, the dog has covered at roughly a 60% clip over the past decade.
More notable line moves
Mississippi State + 6.5 to + 5 vs Texas A&M
Miami -10.5 to -13 vs Pitt
Navy-ECU Under 59.5 to 54.5
UNC -10 to -13.5 at FSU
Virginia Tech -10.5 to -13 vs BC
Temple -10 to -13 vs USF
South Alabama -2 to -3.5 vs Texas State
Georgia Southern -28 to -31 vs UMass
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Dave Price
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Temple
Play on: Temple -10½ -113 at betonline
Game Analysis
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Temple -10.5
The Key: The Temple Owls deserved to beat Navy in their first and only game of the season last week. But they lost 29-31 despite outgaining the Midshipmen by 108 yards. They’ll bounce back in a big way this weekend and get their first win of the season in blowout fashion over South Florida. The Bulls are one of the worst teams in the country. They are 1-3 this year all 3 losses coming by 20 points or more and their only win coming against FCS foe The Citadel. They lost 52-0 at Notre Dame, 7-28 at Cincinnati and 24-44 at home to East Carolina in a game where they were actually 5.5-point favorites. Temple has beaten USF by double-digits each of the last 2 seasons and this is the worst USF has been in years. Charlie Strong really put the dagger in this program, and now it’s up to first-year head coach Jeff Scott to try and get it turned around. It has been an ugly start to his first campaign and it’s going to get worse before it gets better. Take Temple.
Jimmy Boyd
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Pittsburgh vs Miami-FL
Play on: Pittsburgh +10½ -110 at Draft Kings
Game Analysis
1* Free Pick on Pittsburgh +10½ -110
Steve Janus
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 10:00 AM in 2h
Soccer | Burton Albion vs Bristol Rovers
Play on: Bristol Rovers +149 at betonline
Doc's Sports
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Liberty vs Syracuse
Play on: Syracuse +3½ -106 at pinnacle
Brandon Lee
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Temple
Play on: Temple -10½ -110 at William Hill
Game Analysis
PICK - Temple Owls -10.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 116
I had a premium play on Temple -3 last week against Navy. While the Owls lost that contest 29-31, it was a very misleading score. Temple outgained 407 to 299. They just made some costly mistakes that kept them from winning. If those two teams played again this week, I would 100% take Temple -3 again.
The good news from that result, is I believe it has the Owls laying a shorter number than they should be against a bad South Florida squad. The Bulls come into this game just 1-3 with their only victory coming against The Citadel. USF was trounced 52-0 at Notre Dame and then lost by 21 at Cincinnati and by 20 last week as a 5.5-point favorite against ECU.
Defensively the Bulls are really weak up front. They come in allowing 220 ypg and 4.6 yards/carry vs the run. The ability to pick up big chunks of yards on the ground, should really open up things for Temple's offense.
Temple did give up 251 rushing yards to Navy, but the Midshipmen run an option attack. They rushed 60 times in that game and attempted just 2 passes for 48 yards. Temple has been a great team to back off a game where their opponent only looked to run. Owls are 19-2 ATS in their last 21 after playing a game where their opponent threw for 75 or fewer yards. Give me the Owls -10.5.
Bryan Leonard
Game Details
Oct 18 '20, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Browns vs Steelers
Play on: OVER 50½ -110
Game Analysis
261 Cleveland at Pittsburgh
The Browns defense had a big week because of the fragile nature of Phillip Rivers. He has no mobility and is easy to take to the ground, as well as intimidate. That won't be the case this week against Big Ben, who is one of the hardest quarterbacks to sack and rattle because of his size and strength. Cleveland has injury concerns in the back seven, which should lead to those Steelers receivers having a big day.
Many feel that Pittsburgh has a good defense, but it can be exploited. And the Browns have just the weapons to do so. Despite the loss of Chubb, the running game has more breakout ability with the speedy Hunt getting most of the runs. We look for this to be a high scoring affair.
PLAY OVER
Will Rogers
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 4:38 PM in 9h
MLB | Braves vs Dodgers
Play on: Braves +1½ -143 at pinnacle
Game Analysis
The set-up: I like the Braves chances to finally close out this series today. They won this starting pitching matchup in Game 1 by a score of 5-1. Both teams can hit. Both teams have great bullpens. Max Fried of Atlanta and Walker Buehler of the Dodgers for all intents and purposes are a "wash" when we break this one down.
The pick: The Braves bounced back big with a 10-2 win after suffering their first loss in this series and I expect them to do that again here. Note that ATL is 7-2 in its last nine after allowing six or more runs in a three runs or greater loss to an opponent in its previous outing. In a game which appears as if it will be decided late, or even in extra frames, I'm going to recommend a second look at ATL on the run-line in Game 6.
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the BRAVES on the RUN-LINE.
Jack Jones
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 1:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Army vs UTSA
Play on: Army -7½ -104 at pinnacle
Game Analysis
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Army -7.5
This is a good time to ‘buy low’ on Army off a bad performance, and ‘sell high’ on UTSA off a great performance. Army is 4-1 this season with its only loss to Cincinnati, but it is coming off a shaky 14-9 win over The Citadel as a 31-point favorite.
UTSA has certainly overachieved this season with a 3-2 start. But keep in mind those three wins came against Texas State, Stephen F. Austin and Middle Tennessee. But they did hang with UAB and BYU in their last two games, including just a 20-27 loss to the Cougars as 34-point underdogs.
These teams have a common opponent in Middle Tennessee. Army crushed Middle Tennessee 42-0, while UTSA only beat them 37-35. I have no doubt Army is the superior team here and it’s not really even close, so we are getting the Black Knights at a bargain as only 7.5-point favorites due to last week’s results.
Army was not very good last year and still beat UTSA 31-13. They gained 340 rushing yards in that game and held UTSA to just 260 total yards. And UTSA only has one week to prepare for the triple-option, which is a big disadvantage. I also question their level of focus after coming so close to upsetting a ranked BYU team last week. It’s definitely a ‘hangover’ spot for the Roadrunners.
While both offenses have put up similar numbers, there’s a big difference between these teams on the defensive side of the football. Army gives up just 264 yards per game and 4.8 yards per play on the season. UTSA allows 452 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play.
UTSA has zero home-field advantage and is just 4-14-1 ATS in its last 19 home games. The Roadrunnders are 0-7 ATS in home games after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers over the last three seasons. UTSA is 1-8 ATS in home games off a road game over the last three years. Bet Army Saturday.
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John Martin
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | Georgia vs Alabama
Play on: Alabama -4 -110 at William Hill
Game Analysis
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Alabama -4
This line has dropped since the news broke that Nick Saban has tested positive for Covid-19 and will not be on the sidelines Saturday. But this is an overreaction in my opinion, and the Crimson Tide will want to win this one for their head coach. Mac Jones has certainly looked the part of the next great Alabama quarterback this season. He is completing a ridiculous 79.5% of his passes for 1,101 yards and eight touchdowns against only one interception while averaging 13.0 yards per attempt. Alabama has the more explosive offense, and that is going to be a problem for a Georgia team that has played a soft schedule to this point. The Bulldogs haven’t been able to beat the Crimson Tide in big games in recent seasons, and that doesn’t change here even with Saban not on the sidelines. Give me Alabama.
Rob Vinciletti
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Kentucky vs Tennessee
Play on: UNDER 45½ -105
Game Analysis
$$ Saturday Featured Free Play $$
The football Comp play for Saturday is on Under in the Kentucky vs Tennessee game at 12 noon eastern. The game fits a 194-312 long term under system that pertains to divisional games with a total under 50. Kentucky took down Miss. St on Saturday with a great defense but their offense has been inept.Tennessee had played well up until Saturday where they allowed 44 at Georgia. They will certainly do better here at home, however they wont be able to steam roll on Kentucky. In the series the last 2 have stayed under with just 30 and 31 points scored. Look for this game to stay under. r. For the Free play. Go under Kentucky vs Tennessee. RV- GC Sports
Joseph D'Amico
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 8:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | Georgia vs Alabama
Play on: Alabama -4½ -108 at betonline
Game Analysis
This Saturday, I have my best college football card this season in my BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH, last month I gave you an EASY WINNER with Baylor in my BIG 12 GOM, This one is even stronger. I also have my 58-21-1 TOUCHDOWN PLAY, my 24-4 ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE, and my 18-3 SKY'S THE LIMIT. Get them all and get paid.
Saturday's FREE WINNER: Alabama Crimson Tide
Game 166.
5:00 pm pst.
With word that Head Coach, Nick Saban won't be on the sidelines due to covid-19, this line dropped a bit. Saban will be in his living room with a headset and 'Bama has as many assistant coaches as they do players LOL. Obviously, I'm joking but Sarkisian and Golding the offensive and defensive coordinators each make over a million bucks a year for a reason. And either way, it doesn't matter. Let's put aside the fact that Kirby Smart should be nervous here as Nick Saban coached teams, now after beating Jimbo Fischer and Lane Kiffen the last two weeks, is 21-0 vs. former assistants. OK, Smart has people talking about the Georgia defense, granted. But, Arkansas, Auburn, and Tennessee (their three 2020 opponents) are not Alabama. The loaded Crimson Tide, led by quarterback, Mac Jones, just might be the best offensive unit in the nation. They can pass. They can rush. And, they are the top-scoring unit in college football, averaging over 51.0 PPG. If you recall, the last time a highly-rated Smart defense faced an offense like this, they were demoralized in a 37-10 loss to LSU in last December's SEC title game. With the Tide offense keeping the Bulldogs defense busy and on the field, that's less time the Georgia offense has to match Alabama score for score. The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS the last nine as a road underdog and 2-6 ATS the last eight following an ATS win. The Crimson Tide are 4-1 the last five at home and 6-0 ATS the last six following an ATS loss. The Alabama Crimson Tide shows just who owns the SEC. Take 'Bama here. Thank you.
Larry Ness
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 7:30 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Florida State
Play on: Florida State +14 -120 at YouWager
Game Analysis
My free play is on Florida St at 7:30 ET.
Mack Brown began his coaching career at Appalachian St (one season )and then three at Tulane, before arriving in Chapel Hill beginning in 1988. He went 1-10 his first two seasons but then led North Carolina to EIGHT consecutive winning season, the last six ending with a bowl appearance. His final season (1997) saw North Carolina finish 10-1 and ranked fourth in the AP's final poll. He began at Texas in 1998 and ripped off 12 consecutive winning season, winning at least 10 games from 2001 through 2009. His 2005 team won the national championship in that classic 41-38 Rose Bowl win over USC, which gave the Longhorns their first national title in 34 years. He returned to the BCS title game in 2009 but lost to Nick Saban's Alabama team. Brown's 2010 team went 5-7, his only losing season at Texas. However, mediocre years of 8-5, 9-4 and 98-45, he resigned in 2013. He found a home in the TV studio but then surprised most be returning to coach at North Carolina in 2019. A 6-6 regular season was followed by a Military Bowl win, giving the Tar Heels a 7-6 record. Big things were expected for North Carolina in 2020, as the Tar Heels were ranked 18th in the AP's preseason poll. Carolina has opened 3-0 and this past Sunday, was ranked No. 5 in the latest AP poll, the school's highest ranking since 1997 (Brown left for Texas in 1998).
Mike Norvell was introduced as the 24th head football coach of the Memphis Tigers on Dec 4, 2015, making him the youngest FBS head coach in the nation at the time of his hiring (aged 34). Norvell had overseen one of the nation's most explosive offenses at Arizona State under Todd Graham. The Tigers would go 8-5, 10-3 and 8-6 his first three season and then in 2019, he delivered one of the best seasons in the program's history, as the Tigers went 11–1 in the regular season and then won the AAC championship game over Cincy. As the highest ranked Group of 5 team in the final CFP poll, they were awarded a New Years' 6 bowl berth to the Cotton Bowl against Penn State. However, Norvell didn't wait, accepting the head coaching job at Florida State the day after winning the AAC title game. FSU has seen a 'revolving door' of head coaches since Jimbo Fisher left and Norvell took over a team off back-to-back losing seasons Not much has gone right for the Seminoles in 2020, who are 1-3 with that lone win coming over Jacksonville St.
North Carolina QB Howell has been solid (68.7% for 777 yards with six TDs and three INTs) but the offense is led by a running game that has averaged 245.0 YPG on 6.3 YPC. Carter has 413 (on 10.3 YPC) plus Williams has 283 yard (on 6.3 YPC) with SIX touchdowns. Carolina D allowed just 28 points in its first two wins but allowed 45 points on 495 yards last Saturday to Va Tech, getting 'bailed out' by an offense that r=scored 56 points while rolling up 656 yards. FSU has used three QBs so far, with the trio completing just 57.7% with four TDs and six INTs. The running game is solid, averaging 169.0 YPG, led by current starting QB Travis, who has 235 yards on 5.5 YPC, Three more RBs have chipped in between 133 and 164 yards, The receiving corps is also VERY average. As for the defense, it's facing its third ranked opponent of the season and has been overwhelmed by first Miami (allowed 52 points on 517 yards) and then Notre Dame (allowed 42 points on 554 yards).
Maybe I'm "nuts" taking the points in this one but redshirt sophomore Jordan Travis had 204 passing yards and 96 rushing yards against Notre Dame in his first career start. The transfer from Louisville displayed playmaking skills. and let's NOT forget, North Carolina allowed 45 points and almost 500 yards vs Va Tech. Maybe I'm making too much of this but Brown, a Florida State alumnus, is 0-9 vs his alma mater (0-3 with Tulane, 0-6 with North Carolina). I'm taking the big points and hoping Brown will be happy with ANY sort of win and that Travis builds on his performance vs Notre Dame.
Good luck...Larry
Kyle Hunter
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 4:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Texas A&M vs Mississippi State
Play on: Mississippi State +5½ -110 at William Hill
Game Analysis
*3 Star Free Pick* The Texas A&M Aggies haven't been a consistent team under Jimbo Fisher. That is especially the case on the road. Kellen Mond can look great at times, but at other times he can look extremely ordinary.
Texas A&M is actually -0.12 yards per play on the season. The Aggies were fortunate to win last week at home against Florida. The Aggies special teams are a major weakness as well, and that will cost them a game or two this season.
Mississippi State is -9 in turnover margin this year. The Bulldogs are +1.20 yards per play this season. If they can be even decent in the turnover category, brighter days are coming for them. The 3-3-5 defense of Zach Arnett is doing a great job so far this year. They should make it tough on Texas A&M to run the ball here.
Mike Leach's team is in a nice bounce back spot here, while Texas A&M is coming off a big win over a highly ranked opponent. I'll grab the points with Mississippi State.
*Now 5-0 in my last 5 plays after BYU cashed in on Friday night. 11-4 last 15 college football plays.
Chip Chirimbes
Game Details
Oct 17 '20, 12:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Navy vs East Carolina
Play on: East Carolina +3 -110 at sportsbook
Game Analysis
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Navy at East Carolina 12:00 ET
Pirates (+) over Midshipmen- Navy moves to 2-0 in ACC play after defeating Temple 31-29 (Chip Shot winner) combined with their comeback win over Tulane. The Middies have won last four meetings going 4-0 ATS against East Carolina who posted their first win last week against pushover South Florida. The key to this one is that Navy is headed 'south' while the Pirates are up and coming and coaching. EC's first year coach Mike Houston has had a decade of triple-option experience and brought his staff with him. Most schools have difficulty with the option but Navy isn't running it as they have the past. Pirates are 5-1 L-6 as underdogs. Take EAST CAROLINA!