Saturday Football Service Picks:

SATURDAY

NORTHCOAST

Early-Bird Play-O-Week 4-1 this year/13-5 last 2 years/94-47 67% last 11 years.

Mississippi St. -16.5 (over U.A.B.)

HQ Report Newsletter

5* GOW KENT ST over MIAMI OHIO by 21 Saturday October 6th
3* PURDUE (+) over OHIO STATE Saturday October 6th
3* ARIZONA STATE over WAHINGTON ST 17 Saturday October 6th
3* AIR FORCE over UNLV by 13 Saturday October 6th

A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems)
FREE PLAY BALL STATE OVER CENTRAL MICHIGAN

HQREPORT.COM UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK
FREE PLAY KANSAS (+) over KANSAS ST

Pointwise ---

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
MISSOURI over Nebraska RATING: 1
CINCINNATI over Rutgers RATING: 1
OHIO STATE over Purdue RATING: 2
ILLINOIS over Wisconsin RATING: 3
KENTUCKY over South Carolina RATING: 4
KANSAS over Kansas State RATING: 4
BOISE STATE over New Mexico State RATING: 5
ARIZONA STATE over Washington St RATING: 5
__________________

doc's sports college..confirmed

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7* GOY released at 10 eastern sat.
5* clemson -5.5
5* san jose st -7
4* bowling green +20
4* Mizz -7
4* wyoming -3
4* minn +14
4* houston +11

rob ferringo

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THURSDAY'S SELECTION
2-Unit Play. Take #306 South Carolina (-4) over Kentucky (7:45 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 4)
The Gamecocks have the best pass defense in the nation and I think they’ll exploit Kentucky’s 104th ranked rush defense. Kentucky is a very, very good team. But with home games against LSU and Florida coming up next I don’t think they’ll play their best game against South Carolina this week. USC is 8-3 ATS against the Wildcats in the last 11 meetings.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
6-Unit Play. Take #316 Illinois (-2.5) over Wisconsin (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 6)
Note: This is our Gridiron Game of the Week.

The Illini have played better competition and looked better doing it to this point. Having seen the Badgers in person I can honestly say I'm not impressed. I think Illinois' speed will baffle the Badgers and they is 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings. Illinois was actually up 18 points in last year’s meeting, with most of the same players and facing a better Badgers team, and I think they’ll finish the job this time around. The Illini are 30th in the country in rush defense and I think if they neutralize P.J. Hill they win this one by two touchdowns. Finally, and most importantly, I think it’s a HUGE red flag when the No. 5 team in the country is an underdog on the road to an unranked team.

4.5-Unit Play. Take #338 Wyoming (-3) over Texas Christian (2 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Cowboys are particularly tough in Laramie, and TCU’s unsteady offense is going to have to deal with the No. 4 defense in the country. Wyoming dominated Virginia and held Boise State to just 300 yards and 24 points already this year. Throw in the fact that there is supposed to be cold, inclement weather and I think the rougher, tougher, home team is the play here.

4-Unit Play. Take #391 Tulsa (-3) over Texas El-Paso (9 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Hurricanes have won four of five in this series and are 5-2 all-time at the Sun Bowl. I have no idea how UTEP keeps winning other than to state the obvious – they’ve been ridiculously lucky. They were outplayed by both New Mexico and SMU, yet won both games. Their defense is suspect and their offense is spotty with uneven play from both QBs. Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in the L5 meetings and 6-1 ATS at the Sun Bowl. UTEP is 2-15 ATS as a home dog of less than a touchdown.

4-Unit Play. Take #346 Kansas State (-3) over Kansas (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 6)
This is a big time revenge game for the Wildcats, and that will prevent the letdown from last week’s big upset of Texas. The home team has won four straight and Kansas is just 1-9 in its first road game of the season over the past decade. The Jayhawks have inflated value because they’ve been blowing out nobodies at home. Now they’re on the road, where they are 2-20 SU in conference play. Kansas State is 6-0 ATS against KU in Manhattan.

3.5-Unit Play. Take #335 Eastern Michigan (+31) over Michigan (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Wolverines have shown that they’re not good enough to simply show up and blow out opponents. EMU is not a top MAC team, but they are not terrible either. They have a ton of experience and this game will be their Super Bowl. This is a battered UM squad, and one that will be with a gimpy Chad Henne and will be without Mario Manningham (suspension). The Manningham injury is big because he has the type of breakaway speed that could turn this into a rout. I wouldn’t expect 40 carrier from Mike Hart either, as Lloyd Carr knows that he needs to save his horse for the Big 10.

3-Unit Play. Take #327 Vanderbilt (+8) over Auburn (12:30, Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Commodores are catching the Tigers at the right time. Auburn is coming off a huge win against Florida and has key road games against Arkansas and LSU on the horizon. This is the perfect time for an underrated Vandy squad to slide in for the upset. Vandy has the best player on the field in Earl Bennett and I think their ability will surprise an Auburn team that they haven’t faced in over three years.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #313 Cincinnati (+3.5) over Rutgers (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Bearcats were better than the Scarlet Knights last year, as evidenced by their 30-11 win, and they are the better team this year. Cincy brought back 16 starters from that team (compared to just 11 for Rutgers) and with the nation’s No. 17 rush defense I think they can force the Scarlet Knights into having to beat them with the pass. I’m not convinced that they can do that. The Bearcats have played better competition to this point and have looked more impressive. We’ll take the points and the better team.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #376 Western Michigan (-8) over Akron (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
The Broncos have won eight of nine games against the Zips at home and they are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings overall. This game fits into a system that has hit at a 64.2-percent rate over the past 10 years and I think we’re backing the much better squad. Akron is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games and 1-7 ATS on the road. WMU won 17-0 at Akron last year. Also, Akron is going with Chris Jacquemain at quarterback and this will be his first road start. Not good.

2-Unit Play. Take #384 LSU (-7.5) over Florida (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
I though the Tigers were the better team last year, but LSU was done in on the road by some dropped passes and fluke interceptions. Well, I think there’s no question who the better team is this year. The Gators struggled at Ole Miss and were beat by Auburn. I think the air of invincibility is gone. This line should be at least 10.0 and there is value on LSU. The Tigers have already beaten a pair of Top 15 teams in Va. Tech (by 31) and South Carolina (by 12). The Gators normally overwhelm teams with their speed. I get the feeling LSU won’t be intimidated.

1-Unit Play. Take #356 Missouri (-6.5) over Nebraska (9 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 6)
I’ll take Chase Daniels in this one against a defense that has had a ton of trouble to this point in the season. The home team has covered five straight in this series and I just think that the Tigers are the better team here.

NFL SELECTIONS
5-Unit Play. Take #412 Washington (-3.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
3-Unit Play. Take First Half: #412 Washington (-2) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The Redskins have been significantly better in the first half of games than in the second half this year. I think that Detroit is poised for a letdown this week against a rested, more physical team. Chicago didn’t take advantage of Detroit’s weak run defense and I think Washington will, controlling the ball and the tempo in this one. The home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the Redskins are 9-2 ATS following a bye week.

3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 40.5 New York Jets at New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
This is part of a system play that’s hit at over 61 percent over the last decade and I think it’s going against the grain a bit. All anyone has talked about is the Giants defensive resurgence and the Jets offensive incompetence. I look for both trends to reverse themselves. Also, if the Jets can give up 17 points to Trent Edwards and the Bills last week I think the Giants can hang 20+ on them. The ‘Over’ is 11-5-1 in the Jets’ last 17 games as an underdog and 6-1 in the Giants’ last seven as a favorite. Also, the ‘over’ is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game.

3.5-Unit Play. Take First Half: #418 Pittsburgh (-3) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #418 Pittsburgh (-6) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
I like to jump on West Coast teams – particularly ones that play on turf – coming into the Eastern Time Zone. I think the Steelers are still smarting a bit from their loss in Arizona last week while the Seahawks may be primed for a bit of a letdown after their impressive divisional win over San Fran. Seattle is 5-22 ATS in its last 27 October games, 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games, and is 2-14 ATS (0-9 on the road) in October after two straight wins.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 39.0 Seattle at Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The ‘over’ is 12-3-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 16 home games and 36-15-2 in their last 53 home games. Also, the ‘over’ is 15-6 in Seattle’s last 21 road games and 21-6 in their last 27 games on grass. We’re below some key numbers here and we have two very competent passing attacks. These have been two of the better defenses in the league this year, but I see both shutting down the run and that leading to more throwing.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #429 Baltimore (-3) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The Ravens are 23-11-1 ATS following a SU loss and the 49ers are 2-10-1 ATS after home loss by 14 or more points. San Francisco is missing some key offensive pieces and I think the Ravens defense will play with a chip on its shoulder

Gator Report

Premium Newsletter

Gator's NCAA Game of the Week Report

Each week in this section Gator will provide his College Games of the Week which will include his Conference, Steamroller and Underdog PLUS Bonus Selections during the season.

SEC GOW (1-1 -0.1)(Saturday): Georgia +1.5

Big 12 GOW (0-1 -1.1)(Saturday): Texas A&M -6

Big 10 GOW (1-0 +1.00)(Saturday): pass

Steamroller GOW (1-2 -1.2)(Saturday): pass

Underdog GOW (1-0 +1.0)(Saturday): Vanderbilt +7.5

Gator's NFL "Tech" Game of the Week

Each week Gator releases his Top "Technical" Game of the Week, in football, basketball and baseball.

NFL Technical Game of the Week Selection (1-3 -2.30):

Game: Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Technical Set: We know that teams that started the season 3-0 and suffered their first loss of the season last week have posted a record of 7-1 Over in their next game and if their opponent is off a SU win it's a perfect 4-0 Over the last four qualifying games. We also have a super situation that has posted a record of 57-23 Over the last 5 years and it says to Play Over on road teams after allowing 3 or less points in the first half of their last game facing an opponent that scored 14 or less points in their last game. Seattle is 29-11 Over versus defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game since 1992, 18-7 Over in road games versus teams averaging >=130 rushing yards/game since 1992, 6-0 Over after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons, 8-0 Over after allowing 3.5 or less yards/play in their previous game since 1992. Pittsburgh 15-2 Over as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons, 7-0 Over as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons, 11-2 Over in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons, 15-2 Over in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Selection: SEATTLE / PITTSBURGH OVER 38

Gator's Super System Selections

Each week during the football, basketball and baseball season's we will post our Top Rated System Selections along with the qualifying system.

NCAA System GOW (1-3 -2.30)

Game: Colorado vs. Baylor

System:

Play AGAINST a road favorite of 1½-20½ points off a SU win as an underdog of 14+ points vs. an opponent off a SU loss. 0-20 ATS since 1982.

Selection: BAYLOR +8.5

Gator's 70% Situational Report

NCAA (Saturday):

Game: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech

Play Against NCAA Underdogs of 21.5 to 31 points off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival facing an opponent off a home win by 28 points or more 35-11 ATS since 1992 PLAY: TEXAS TECH -24.5

__________________________________________________ _____________

Game: Wisconsin vs. Illinois

Play Under NCAA teams when the total is between 49.5 and 56 after allowing 7.25 or more yards per play in their previous game, with an inexperienced QB as starter. 53-21 Under since 1992. PLAY: WISCONSIN / ILLINOIS UNDER 51.5

__________________________________________________ _________

NFL (Monday Night Football):

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills

Play Over NFL road teams when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points with a team scoring 27 or more points per game, after allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games, 27-7 Over since 1983. PLAY: DALLAS / BUFFALO OVER 44.

bob

4 Star Selection
*UCLA (-20.5) 39 Notre Dame 6
05:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll take UCLA in a 4-Star Best Bet at -21 points or less, for 3-Stars from -21 ½ to -24 points and for 2-Stars from -24 ½ to -26 points.

3 Star Selection
Georgia Tech (-2.5) 27 MARYLAND 16
09:00 AM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll take Georgia Tech in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less and I’ll make them a 2-Star at -3 ½ or -4 points.

3 Star Selection
Georgia 34 TENNESSEE (-1.0) 24
12:30 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll take Georgia in a 3-Star Best Bet as an underdog or pick and for 2-Stars from -1 to -2 points.

3 Star Selection
Florida 25 LSU (-7.5) 24
05:25 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
With a strong situation and line value on our side I’ll take Florida in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 ½ points or more and for 2-Stars from +7 to +6 points.

3 Star Selection
***Nebraska 38 MISSOURI (-7.0) 37
06:15 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll take Nebraska in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 2-Stars at +6 ½ or +6 points (strong opinion at +5 ½ or +5 points.

2 Star Selection
**MICHIGAN ST. (-14.5) 40 Northwestern 17
09:00 AM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll take Michigan State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -16 points or less and for 3-Stars at -14 points or less.

2 Star Selection
**Arizona 31 OREGON ST. (-4.0) 26
01:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll take Arizona in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more (strong opinion from +1 to 2 ½).

Strong Opinion
Utah 26 LOUISVILLE (-14.5) 35
05:00 PM Pacific, 05-Oct-07
I’ll favor Utah plus the points.

Strong Opinion
AUBURN (-7.5) 28 Vanderbilt 14
09:30 AM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Auburn a Strong Opinion at -9 points or less and I’d take Auburn in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.

Strong Opinion
Arizona St. (-8.0) 37 WASHINGTON ST. 23
01:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Arizona State a Strong Opinion at -9 points or less and I’d take ASU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.

Strong Opinion
Fresno St. 26 NEVADA (-3.5) 24
01:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Fresno State a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more despite the negative team trends.

Strong Opinion
Virginia Tech 20 CLEMSON (-5.5) 21
03:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
’ll consider Virginia Tech a Strong Opinion at +5 points or more and I’d make Virginia Tech a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more.

Strong Opinion
Colorado (-8.5) 33 BAYLOR 19
04:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Colorado a Strong Opinion at -10 or less and I’d take Colorado in a 2-Star Best Bet at - 7 points or less.

Strong Opinion
MIDDLE TENN 23 Virginia (-10.5) 27
04:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Middle Tennessee State a Strong Opinion at +10 points or more and I’d make Middle Tennessee a Best Bet at +11 points or more.

Strong Opinion
Ohio St. (-7.0) 31 PURDUE 19
05:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Ohio State a Strong Opinion at -7 points or less and I’d take Ohio State in a 2- Star Best Bet at -5 or less.

Strong Opinion
RUTGERS (-3.5) 34 Cincinnati 24
05:00 PM Pacific, 06-Oct-07
I’ll consider Rutgers a Strong Opinion at -5 points or less and I’d take Rutgers in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.

Ben Burns' SEC GAME OF THE YEAR (3-0 YTD!)
Big Game Expert Ben Burns is already a SWEET 3-0 with this season's Conference "Game of the Year" selections, easily cashing tickets with his ACC GOY, WAC GOY and his BIG 10 GOY.

Tennessee (-3 or better)

**ALERT** Burns Non-Conference MAIN EVENT *75% YTD
Last week's winner on Florida State over Alabama brought Ben Burns to 75% PERCENT (3-1) with his "Main Events" this football season. Looking back further and we find The Man at an OUTSTANDING 34-19 (64%) with his L53 "ME's

FAU (+14 or better)

**BLOWOUT ALERT** Ben Burns' ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK
Ben Burns began last Saturday by cashing his ESPN Game of the Month as Tulane EASILY COVERED vs. LSU. Burns returns with another ESPN BEAUTY this week and this one's got R-O-U-T written all over it

Rutgers

Ben Burns 3-Game EXECUTIVE REPORT **SPECIAL OFFER!
Last month, Ben Burns released his WAC Conf. GOY and +28 LA Tech took Hawaii all the way to overtime, before losing by a single point. If you enjoyed that 27-POINT WINNER you'll LOVE Ben's October WAC G.O.M

Baylor (+7 or better) - Big 12 GOW

Fresno State - WAC GOM

East Carolina

Marc Lawrence

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Here Are The Picks you have Purchased:

Marc Lawrence CFB Super Pick Super Play - Saturday 10/6:
Play On: Vanderbilt
Note: Commodores visit Auburn in a key SEC clash catching the Tigers off last week's huge upset win over Florida with a revenge game waiting on deck with Arkansas. With Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville 2-7 ATS in his career at home off an upset win when facing a sub .800 opponent, and Vanderbilt owning the better offense and the better defense, we'll grab the points in this letdown/lookahead special.

Marc Lawrence's highly sought after No. 1 College Football Favorite, Underdog and Revenge Games of the Week plays cashed once again as promised last week, making it three winning weeks out of four this football season. Get all three of this week's No. 1 College Football Favorite, Underdog and Revenge Games of the Week plays (in amazing 42-0 ATS winning situations) from the 2005 STARDUST INVITATIONAL CHAMPION now and pay only after they profit for you

Norm Hitzges

NCAAF 50-40 YTD

NCAA

Double Play--OU -10.5 vs Texas
Double Play--Indiana -13 vs Minnesota
Double Play--Colorado -8.5 vs Baylor
Double Play--Arizona +4 vs Oregon State
Illinois -2.5 vs Wisconsin
Miami, Fl -7 vs North Carolina
Ball State -13 vs Central Michigan
Vanderbilt +7.5 vs Auburn
Wyoming -3 vs TCU
Texas A&M -6.5 vs Oklahoma State
Florida State -18 vs NC State
Georgia +2 vs Tennessee
Nevada -3.5 vs Fresno
USC -38.5 vs Stanford
UCLA -20.5 vs Notre Dame
North Texas +7 vs ULaLa
Troy -19 vs Florida Atlantic

Teddy Coverson 20* GOY is Purdue +7.5.

The Gold Sheet Late Telephone Releases

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a.k.a. Nationwide Publishing, here's their late telephone releases for this weekend:

SUPER POWER 7 = 2 units = #346 KANSAS STATE @ - 3

TOP PLAY = 1 1/2 units = #378 MARYLAND @ + 3 1/2

REGULAR PLAYS = 1 unit = #321 MIAMI (Florida) @ - 7
#350 BAYLOR @ + 9
#356 MISSOURI @ - 6
#434 BOISE STATE @ - 24 1/2 (Sunday)

Greg Shaker
Wyoming -3 (triple dime bet)
Tulane, Army over 43.5 (double dime bet)

Lem Banker

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Syracuse, Wisconsin, NC State