Strike Points
5 Wisc
3 C. Mich
3 K. State
4 TCU
4 Ark St
4 C. Fla.
3 Fla
4 Over 52 Oh St/Purdue
4 Teaser ( Georg & Cincin)
Point Wise Phone
4 FSU
4 LSU
3 CLEMSON
3 MIZZO
3 WYOMING
3 VANDY
3 BALL ST
3 UAB
3 GEORGIA
3 BAYLOR
2 CINCY
2 PENN ST
Tom Scott Date: Saturday, October 06, 2007
Tom Scott has a stone winner on Saturday's early card.. Not only does this game fit a PERFECT 33-0 angle, it has a PERFECT 23-0 team trend and an extra dose of motivation for our side.
TOM SCOTT'S FIVE STAR PERFECT SYSTEM PLAY!
BALL STATE over Central Michigan by 23
All during spring practice and the autumn two-a-days, the Cardinals were looking to one game to define their season. This is it. Three times in the last three years Central has gotten the best of the Cardinals and the Muncie Maulers are sick of it. They come into this game with an offense that is 108 yards better than CMU's and a defense that is 129 yards better than the Chip stop unit and they are one game behind the Chippewas in the MAC standings. The angle is good enough but these numbers make it a cinch play. Central is allowing 36 points per game (three defeats by a combined 98 points). With that number in mind, note that Ball State is 23-0 ATS in its last 23 SU wins when scoring 28 or more.
PREDICTION: BALL STATE 46 - Central Michigan 23
Asa
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4* Wyoming -3
3* Clemson -5 1/2
4* Rutgers -4
Wild Bill
Rutgers -3 1/2 (5 units)
Bowling Green +20 1/2 (1 unit)
Texas A&M -6 1/2 (1 unit)
Ala-Bir'ham +19 1/2 (5 units)
Kansas State -3 (5 units)
La Tech +13 1/2 (1 unit)
Baylor +9 (1 unit)
Oklahoma -10 1/2 (1 unit)
NC State +18 (2 units)
Over 56 1/2 Georgia-Tenn (4 units)
Alabama -10 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 59 Stanford - USC (1 unit)
Oregon St -3 1/2 (4 units)
East Carolina +4 1/2 (1 unit)
Florida +9 (5 units)
Over 53 1/2 Ohio St-Purdue (1 unit)
Notre Dame +20 1/2 (2 units)
Air Force -5 1/2 (3 units)
Washington St +8 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 69 Utah St-Hawaii (4 units)
So. Florida -15 1/2 (5 units)
UL-Monroe +2 1/2 (2 units)
North Texas +7 1/2 (1 unit)
Troy -18 (1 unit)
Middle Tenn +10 1/2 (4 units)
Alex Smart
Game: Cincinnati Bearcats at Rutgers Oct 6 2007 8:00PM
Prediction: Rutgers
Reason: Cincinnati @ Rutgers
Sat,Oct 6/2006
The 24th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats enter into this contest against their host the 21st ranked Rutgers Scarlet Knights, having won 8 straight games dating back to last season. The above mentioned streak began with a upset win over these same Scarlet Knights on Dec 18th/2006 at home by a score of 30-11 as 5 point home underdogs. In that game Cincinnati caught Rutgers in a let down situation after a huge 28-25 comeback win against the Louisville Cardinal in their previous contest. Its now interesting to note , that Rutgers got caught looking ahead to this contest, last week , against Maryland losing for the first time at home, in 11 games. Previous to last weeks upset loss the Knights had won 10 straight home games, outscoring their opponents during that span , by an average of 30 points per game. Bottom line: Rutgers has proven to be solid after a loss in the recent past , going 3-0 last season under those circumstances. With revenge as an incentive, look for Rutgers to abruptly end the Bearcats undefeated season! Final notes & Trends: Rutgers plays very well against above. 500 teams, covering 6 straight , and have beat these top tier teams by an average of 8.2 PPG. Play on Rutgers
Alex Smart
Game: Vanderbilt at Auburn Oct 6 2007 12:30PM
Prediction: Auburn
Reason: The young Auburn Tigers have really progressed as a team with each game this season, and proved it last week when they went into Florida and came out with a 20-17 upset win over the Gators as 17 point underdogs. With a full head of steam, and a boat load full of confidence look for the Tigers, to come out here, with all guns blazing against visiting Vanderbilt Commodores team they have dominated in the past, as is evident by 12 straight win this series, including 6 in a row at home by an average of 17.2 PPG. Final notes & Trends: Auburn is 15-4 L/19 SU against SEC East opposition and are 15-4 ATS in their L/19 October games.Play on Auburn Tigers
Brian Gabrielle
Temple football is a joke, right?
Right?
Actually, not as much as it used to be. Having joined the MAC, the Owls are looking a little better. Don't get me wrong: they haven't done anything crazy like win a game yet this year. But they've shown up. They gave Navy, UConn and Bowling Green much better games than oddsmakers believed they would, and have shown new hope on offense. Adam DiMichele has played pretty well at quarterback (223 pass yards per game), and center Alex Derenthal was preseason all-MAC, and is a finalist for the Rimington Trophy (honoring the nation's top center). Don't get me wrong: this team's rushing attack is a mess, and they're not world-beaters by any stretch. But they've got some things going for 'em Saturday.
First off, they're coming off the third game of a three-game road stretch, the last of which was a predictable sleepwalking loss to Army. This is homecoming for the Owls, the second straight visiting homecoming into which Northern Illinois will walk. And now UNI is playing the third game of a three-game road stretch. It's a definite look-ahead kind of game for the Huskies, who have a revenge game against Western Michigan next week. So the schedule very much favors Temple here.
Trends-wise, this is also an intriguing match-up for Temple. They've been just awful straight up the last couple years, as we all know, yet they're 4-0 against the spread in their last four as a home underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last six conference games. Meanwhile Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in their last five overall and 1-5 ATS in their last six as a favorite. This UNI team is known by bettors because of its MAC success over the last half-decade and the two bowls in which it's played in the last three years. But the '07 version of the Huskies isn't nearly in the same class as its predecessors.
As I mentioned last week (when I picked Central Michigan to thump UNI), Garrett Wolfe is gone, and Justin Anderson is a fine player, but not NFL-caliber. (This year's supposed No. 1 back, Montell Clayton, is out for the year with a knee injury.) This team's youth is also a problem, as reflected in the multiple turnovers and red-zone mistakes they made last week. Finally, there's the defense: it was supposed to be the strength of this team, but it's just not there anymore. Linebacker Tim McCarthy was the heart and soul of that unit, and he's done for the season with a torn knee ligament; without him, UNI has given up 21, 45 and 35 points, and a combined 816 pass yards in those three games. They haven't generated much of a rush, they've been soft in the middle against the run, and the biggest news every week seems to be speculation about why former Notre Dame quarterback Demetrius Jones transferred to Cincinnati instead of UNI.
I know it's risky backing a team and a school that don't know how to win. But Temple really hasn't played that poorly this year, and if they can give DiMichele just a little more protection (he's been sacked 15 times), the Huskies' pass defense can be had. The last time Temple won a game outright was last year's homecoming game against Bowling Green. Heck, they don't have to win this one outright; they're home underdogs. But I give them a better-than-even chance to take their first victory of 2007, and their first-ever win as a MAC member.
Take Temple (+4) at home over Northern Illinois.
Lenny Del Genio | CFB Side
triple-dime bet361 Georgia -1.0 (-110) Bodog vs 362 Tennessee
Analysis: Mark Richt's road record at Georgia is truly amazing. He's gone 23-3 SU in opponents' stadiums, including a 16-3 mark in SEC games! That includes a 3-0 record at Tennessee against Phillip Fullmer, with two of the three wins coming by 27 and 13 points! Georgia owns a 4-1 record with the only loss coming against a South Carolina team which ranked 11th nationally entering the week but has already knocked off No. 8 Kentucky, 38-23!. Meanwhile, the Vols are 2-2, beating only Southern Miss and Ark St, while coming up pathetically short against Cal and Florida. The Tennessee D allowed 45 points and 471 yards versus Cal and 59 points and 554 yards versus Florida. It's not just the D which has struggled, as Tennessee has already allowed two punt return TDs and Ark St set a school record for KO return yardage versus the Vols. Georgia QB Matthew Stafford (10-3 as a starter) is getting better each game and he's got two excellent RBs in Moreno (432 YR / 5.5) and Brown (393 YR / 5.6). Defensively, the Georgia front-seven is improving week by week and on the year, the Bulldogs are allowing a respectable 17.2 ppg. Erik Ainge of Tennessee is off to a good start (66.2% and a 10-2 ratio) but he has nowhere near the help from his running game. While Georgia is a great road team, the Vols are 3-9 ATS as a home favorite since 2005 and 0-10 ATS the last 10 times when favored (anywhere) in an SEC game. The 'kicker' is Georgia's revenge motive. LY in Athens, the Bulldogs led 24-7 but four turnovers led to a huge turnaround for Tennessee, as the Vols went on to win 51-33! My 20* Revenge GOY is on Georgia
Tom Stryker
BOSTON COLLEGE
This is an excellent spot to step out on the Boston College Eagles. Quietly, since the 1999 season, BC has posted a remarkable 43-10 SU and 33-16 ATS home record including 15-4 ATS in this set matched up against an opponent that enters off a straight up win. With those two parameters applied and the Eagles priced as a favorite down to pick, this team trend zips to a nearly perfect 10-1 SU and ATS! There are other technical reasons to back Boston College too. In their last 36 laying -16 points or more, the Eagles have soared notching a stellar 25-11 ATS mark including a spotless 7-0 SU and ATS in this set facing a foe that enters off a straight up victory. Also, since 2002, BC is a golden 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS versus MAC competition including an undefeated 4-0 SU and ATS at home in this role. Please note: Those four home victories have come by margins of 43, 24, 38 and 41 points respectively. For a while there, the MAC was making some noise against some of college football's best. But, that has changed dramatically. Since 2002, MAC guests on the non-conference road are a soft 75-94 ATS including a dismal 51-71 ATS in this situation priced as an underdog of +10 or more. Off a non-conference affair in this set, MAC schools dip to a pathetic 33-54 ATS and a currently on a disturbing 19-39 ATS run in this set since the 2004 season. As a guest off back-to-back straight up wins, Bowling Green has cashed only five of their last 13 tries. The Eagles have too much power for the Falcons and they'll pull away in the end. Take Boston College. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
CappersAccess
(Sat) NORTH CAROLINA +7
(Sat) LSU -7
(Sat) OHIO STATE -7
(Sat) UNLV +5
Big Als late Phone Service
At 8:25 pm, our SEC Game of the Year is on the Florida Gators plus the points over LSU. Urban Meyer is not a coach I would ever bet against, much less if I had to lay points against his team. He's 58-11 straight-up with Bowling Green (2 years), Utah (1 year) and Florida (2 1/2 years), including a perfect 3-0 ATS as an underdog of more than seven points. And in two of those three games where his team was better than a TD underdog, he won the game straight-up. Urban Meyer has also faced 10 unbeaten teams in his career, and he's 8-2 SU and also 8-2 ATS in those 10 games. Last week, Florida was upset by Auburn, 20-17, and defending National Champions are a solid 23-2 SU and 18-7 ATS in the regular season since 1985 off an upset loss, including 9-1 ATS vs. a foe off a win, and a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS away from home! The Gators are 10-2 ATS at LSU since 1980, and a perfect 5-0 ATS as underdogs vs. LSU. Finally, Florida falls into one of my most reliable College Football systems which plays on certain conference road underdogs off an upset loss. This system is a solid 76-22 ATS since 1980. Take the generous spot with the Gators. 4*
At 7 pm, our Big 12 Game of the Month is on the Baylor Bears plus the points over Colorado. Last week, our Big 12 Game of the Month for September was Colorado +23 over Oklahoma, and Dan Hawkins' Buffaloes rewarded us with a 27-24 win as a 23-point underdog. But that upset win sets up this week's big play, as teams that take to the road following an upset win as a dog of +6 or more points are a horrid 36% ATS since 1980 when matched against a foe whose win percentage is less than .750, provided our 'play-against' team is NOT getting more than six points in this current game. Also, Colorado is 0-8 ATS since December 2004 away from home off a straight-up win. Take Baylor.
At 3:30 pm, on ABC TV, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes plus the points over Penn State, as Kirk Ferentz' men fall into a 68-12 ATS system of mine that plays on certain teams off an upset loss (last week, Iowa fell 38-20 to the Hoosiers). Penn State also lost last week (27-20 at Illinois), and now the Nittany Lions fall into a negative 36-57 ATS system which plays AGAINST any single digit home favorite in conference games off back to back SU/ATS road losses. With PSU also off a 14-9 upset loss at Michigan two games back, we'll fade Joe Paterno's crew in Happy Valley on Saturday.
Washington St -- At 4 pm, on Fox Sports Net TV, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars plus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils come into Pullman, Washington with a 5-0 record, but since 1980, College Football teams with a 5-0 record are a dismal 0-9 ATS in Game 6 as favorites of -10 or less vs. conference foes, provided our 5-0 squad covered by 10+ its last game, and its foe is off a SU/ATS loss. Last week, ASU won 41-3 as a 14.5-point favorite over Stanford, while Wazzu lost 48-20 as 2.5-point underdogs at Arizona. Look for QB Alex Brink to lead the Cougars to a mild upset. Take the points.
At 3:30 pm, on ABC TV, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns plus the points over Oklahoma. Last week, the Sooners were shocked in Boulder by the Buffaloes, 27-24 as 23-point favorites, and fell from the ranks of the unbeaten. Unfortunately for Coach Bob Stoops' crew, teams don't bounce back from upset losses if they were favored by 18 or more points. Since 1980, these teams have only covered the spread 19 of 72 times, if they were favored by 20 or less points in their next game, including 2-16 ATS the last 18 qualifying games. This Red River rivalry has also seen the underdog fare well, going 16-11 ATS since 1980. Under Mack Brown, the Longhorns are 8-5 ATS as underdogs, and 12-7 ATS off a loss (including 7-2 ATS away from home off a loss). And they're a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS off a game where they lost by 10+ and also failed to cover by 10+ points. With the 'Horns off a 41-21 defeat to K-State as a 14.5-point favorite, we'll back Texas as underdogs here. Take the Longhorns.
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ga Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Maryland, as the Terrapins fall into a negative 22-74 ATS system of mine that plays AGAINST certain unrested teams off an upset win on the road if they were favored by seven or more points in that game, and they're NOT laying 4+ points in the current game. Last week, Maryland went into Rutgers and upset Greg Schiano's Knights 34-24 as 17.5-point underdogs. But the Terps may have suffered a big loss in that game, as QB Jordan Steffy suffered a slight concussion and is questionable to play in this game. Georgia Tech, however, got its best player back last week when RB Tashard Choice returned from injury, and the Yellow Jackets snapped their 2-game losing streak to upend Clemson 13-3. Look for him to key a Georgia Tech victory. Lay the small number.
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys, who play this game after having last week off to rest and prepare. This year, rested college football teams have done quite well, including 10-1 ATS off a straight-up win. And since 1984, rested teams off a win are a solid 30-6 ATS at home vs. unrested Class B (.500 to .750 win pct) Conference foes off a win, if our rested team has revenge, and is not laying more than 5 points. Last year, Wyoming lost 26-3 to these Horned Frogs, and will avenge that defeat with a blowout win on Saturday afternoon. Take Wyoming.
At 7:30 pm, our Conference USA Game of the Year is on Central Florida minus the points over East Carolina. Like Maryland, the Pirates pulled an upset last week, winning 37-35 at Houston as 13-point underdogs. And, like Maryland, the Pirates now fall into that negative 22-74 ATS system. This will be a very difficult game for East Carolina, as Central Florida's offense features the rushing of Kevin Smith, who leads the nation with 178.25 yards per game, and 10 rushing touchdowns for the season. And this is made even more impressive when one considers that Smith was held out of the second half of UCF's 56-20 win over Memphis, and the final quarter of last week's 37-19 victory over Louisiana-Lafayette. East Carolina was destroyed 48-7 by another great rushing team, West Virginia, and they'll go down to defeat at home vs. the Knights. Take Central Florida.
Kelso Sat
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10 units UNLV +5.5 v. Air Force
5 units Clemson -5.5 v. Va Tech
4 units Okla -11.5 playing Texas
3 units Purdue +7.5 v. OSU
Brandon Lang
SATURDAY
30 DIME
CINCINNATI BEARCATS
10 DIME
Vanderbilt
5 DIME
Illinois
Indiana
Clemson
Maryland
Free Pick - Missouri - (For analysis see Daily video)
CINCINNATI
Today is the day everyone finds out just how real this Cincy team is.
They come into this game 5-0 SU and 4-0 ATS. They have scored 59, 34, 47, 40 and 52 in their 5 games this year.
They may not have faced really tough opponents but folks, they have just dominated every single one. I mean, dominant.
Their margin of victories have been by 56, 31, 37, 26 and 29.
Now the problem facing Rutgers today is the fact they are seeing a better offense this week than the one they saw last week with Maryland.
Now if Maryland can beat Rutgers and put up 34 points on Rutgers with over 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing, they are in trouble defending this Cincy offense.
Was I suprised to see Rutgers lost last week? No I was not because it's not like they have really played anybody prior to the Maryland.
They played Buffalo, Navy and Norfolk St. The game that showed me Rutgers was living off their reputation of last year was the Navy game.
Navy may have lost by 17 but they had to INT's in the endzone and rushed for over 225 yards.
Rutgers had a dream season last year. This program will be a force for years to come. However, today they just run into a team that is better than them.
Simple as that.
Cincinnati is on an 11-2-1 ATS run and 5-0-1 last 6 as an underdog. If that doesn't grab your attention, maybe this will.
Cincy head coach Brian Kelly was the head coach at Central Michigan last year, the #1 ATS team in college football last year.
In fact, Kelly coached teams are an incredible 21-5-3 ATS run since 2005. He not only wins but he covers the number and that makes people money.
I love Cincinnati tonight. They drilled this team last year on Saturday night and Cincy has only gotten better while Rutgers dropped a bit.
My biggest College release of the year is Cincinnati and don't be suprised to see them win the game outright.
Cincinnati remains perfect on the year.
VANDERBILT
Live dog here.
Just because Auburn beat a Florida team that was looking ahead to Lsu, the linemaker has inflated this number bigtime.
Let us not forget this is an Auburn team that lost to South Florida and Mississippi State at home.
The Commodores are 9-2 ATS last 11 on the road since 2005 which includes an outstanding 8-1 as a road dog.
This is as bad a flat spot as you could ask for Auburn, coming off that big win at Floriday.
Under Tommy Tuberville, the Tigers are just 3-8 ATS last 11 as a home chalk.
I like the way Vandy matches up here and I will call for this to be possible the 3rd big upset of Auburn this year.
Vandy is my dog shocker.
ILLINOIS
The jinx of the #5 team in the country will befall on Wisconsin today.
It was the first week of College football when then #5 Michigan lost to Applachian St. It was 2 weeks ago then #5 W.Virginia lost to South Florida.
Today, #5 Wisconsin flat out gets beat by a better team. It really is as simple as that.
Illinois got revenge on Penn State last week and they will do the same t Wisconsin here.
You see, last year when Illinois went into Penn State, they dominated every facet of that game only turnover hurt them and cost them dearly.
They atoned for those sins with that big win last week.
Well, here they are again, facing a Wisconsin team that they had beat in Madison last year. They were almost dead even in every category.
Ron Zook has a squad folks and there is a reason the linemaker has seen fit to make them the favorite in this game today.
Iliinois is supposed to win and they will win.
Illinois is flat out the better team and with homefield advantage, they will extract a bit of revenge on the 2nd team they should have beaten last year, Wisconsin.
Illinois is the play.
INDIANA
Talk about a team just flying under the radar.
Indiana comes into this game today with only one blemish on their record, Illinois.
The Hoosiers are 4-1 SU and 3-1 ATS with as balanced an offense as we have in the country.
In their 5 games this year, they have amassed over 400 yards total offense in every game.
What is even more appealing is the fact they have done it rushing and passing.
Against Indiana St, 217 rushing and 299 passing. Western Michigan 221 rushing and 221 passing. Akron 338 rushing 137 passing. Illinois 134 rushing 263 passing. Iowa 73 rushing 322 passing.
Great balance and when you start blowing out Iowa on the road by 18, I am confident you can take care of Minnesota by that margin and more.
I mean, this is a Gopher team that is 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS but trust me, this team should be 0-5.
I went against them and used Florida Atlantic as a 5 point home dog and they beat them outright 42-39.
Of the 5 Minnesota opponents this year, they have all gotten over 500 yards total offense with exception of Ohio State, who only got 452.
Lay this number and wait to collect. Hoosiers roll.
CLEMSON
One road game this year for Virginia Tech. Just one.
They were destroyed by Lsu 48-7.
Bottom line is when you start struggling against the likes of North Carolina at home, you are not going to be able to stay within single digits of Clemson.
Not with a freshman QB who will experience a long night in Clemson.
Seriously folks, V'Tech is 0-4 ATS this year. I am talking 0-4 folks and I am quite confident it will be 0-5 ATS after Clemson gets their swagger back with a big home win.
Hey, so they can't beat G'tech in G'tech, but that doesn't mean you get off them tonight.
This is the perfect spot to jump on them and I will most certainly to that.
I went against V'tech when Lsu crushed them and I will go against them again tonight.
Clemson is the play.
MARYLAND
How impressive is this team.
They have a gut wrenching loss of all losses 2 weeks ago to Wake Forest, a game they led 24-7 late 3rd and were going in for the 31-7 lead with a first and goal at the 5.
Well, a 100 yard INT returned for a TD got Wake back in it and not only did they get back in it, they scored with 3 seconds in regulation and them covered the 3 with a td in OT.
Not only did they rally bigtime, they went into Rutgers as a 16 point road dog and won outright 34-24.
That is the character of a real team folks and that is enough to get me on them as a home dog tonight.
Last time Tech was laying points on the road they lost outright to Virginia and in my opinion, Maryland is the better team.
Big Ralph Friedgen has a squad folks. They played W.Virginia very tough and at home tonight, they will beat G'tech.
Get on Maryland as they get another huge ACC win.
Lenny Stevens
20* oklahoma
20* Georgia
10* Illinois
10* arizona ST
10* Tulsa
Leroys Money talks:
Marc Lawrence's Selections
================================================== ==================
New Orleans Saints - 3 over Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons + 8 over Tennessee Titans
St Louis Rams + 3 1/2 over Arizona Cardinals
U of Houston + 11 over Alabama
Purdue + 7 1/2 over Ohio State
Florida & LSU UNDER 47
BEST BET -- Florida + 7 over LSU
Paul Stone' Selections
================================================== ===================
Georgia - 1 over U of Tennessee
Oklahoma - 12 over Texas
Missouri - 6 over Nebraska
TCU & Wyoming UNDER 40 1/2
Iowa & Penn State UNDER 39
U of Houston & Alabama OVER 57 1/2
##### BEST BET -- Oregon - 6 1/2 over California #####
James Manos' Selections
================================================== ==================
Maryland + 3 1/2 over Georgia Tech
UNLV + 5 over Air Force
** Purdue + 7 1/2 over Ohio State **
Wake Forest & Duke OVER 48
Illinois - 2 1/2 over Wisconsin
U of Cincinnati + 4 over Rutgers
BEST BET -- Vanderbilt + 8 over Auburn
Frank B's Selections
================================================== ===================
Detroit Lions & Washington Redskins UNDER 46
Atlanta Falcons + 8 over Tennessee Titans
** Purdue + 7 1/2 over Ohio State **
Chicago Bears & Green Bay Packers UNDER 41
Green Bay Packers - 3 over Chicago Bears
Kansas State - 3 1/2 over Kansas
BEST BET -- U of Cincinnati & Rutgers UNDER 52 1/2