Seattle fell short for us Thursday but also fell out of superdog status before game time.
Once again, were looking to back dogs getting less than 40% of the cash take. Ideally, we want to find favorites that are getting serious cash and a large % of the tickets and go against them. The public isn't wrong all the time, but more often than not the dog gets the cover, 62% or something like that. Just think of those fancy Vegas sportsbooks, they didn't build those to loose $$.
The only problem with time of year is you find the dogs giving up too early in the game with little at stake.
Anyway, Indy fills the bill today. The Vikings are grabbing serious cash and tickets.
As always, good luck.
Thank you for the info. What site do you use get the money percentages?
Freezerqueen, I use multiple sites as no one site will have the info consistently.
Some of the sites I use are:
Wagertalk
Pregame
Sportsbook review
Among a few others
Even this site has a tab for public bets under the NFL tab.
Some sites will only give you the cash amounts, others might give you cash and ticket amounts.
Just remember the books and casinos are looking to fleece the most amount of people and their bets at least most of the time. They let the public be right some of the time.
Indy made it interesting but we will take it with the 1/2 point!
Similar set up with the Dolphins as the Indy pick.
Massive $$ on Bills something like 5:1.
As far as percentages go, they don't mean shit you follow the money
As far as percentages go, they don't mean shit you follow the money
Definitely, we are following the percentages of the money.
Hightide I just want to say thank you for all your input on the late games as my bookie shut down at 7:30 which meant I had to put my late games in at that time. So I wasn't able to get Timmys input. I did have Miami marked as a bet but after seeing your info I increased my bet.. which made me a very happy old ice cream lady. Thanks again,
Glad I could help. We won't get them all the time but we will take what we can get.