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SATURDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Ok guys the tech guys got all the bugs worked out so here are today's plays sorry for the inconvience and trouble today

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 5:38 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

RON RAYMOND

5* Minnesota Wild -120

PPP

5% Mich St, Baylor
4% Fla St, St Bonny, Harvard, Portland U
3% W Va, BYU, Prov, Utah St, Ark St

PREFERRED PICKS

4* AIR FORCE
3* Texas Tech
3* Wright State

CHARLIE

Ravens @ Titans Under 34' (500*)
Panthers -9 (30*)
Titans -3 (20*)
Cards @ Panthers Over 48' (20*)
Northern Illinois -1' (10*)
Michigan St -6' (10*) free play

TEDDY JUNE

NFL
Tennessee Titans

CBB
West Virginia Mountaineers
Miami FL Hurricanes

Matt Fargo

9* CBB 81.1% TOP Revenge Play *BLOWOUT*

UL Lafayette +2

PlatinumPlaysWin

Over 34 Titans
Over 48.5 Panthers
Under 188 Pistons
Warriors+13
Bowling Green-3.5

Cal Sports

4* Ball St, Okla
3* SC, Ariz St, Hofstra

Las Vegas Sport Picks

1* Titans Over 34
2* Panthers -9

1* Avs -110

2* Bobcats +3

1* Samford pk
1* William & Mary -1
2* Marquette -2

ATS Sports Club

Ice-Melter Winner:

Hurricanes / Bruins Over 5.5

Hoops Blowout Winner:

Michigan State -4

NBA Side Winner:

Utah Jazz -8

NFL Playoffs Total Winner

Cardinals / Panthers Over

NCAA Hoops Blowout Winner

Cleveland State -9

Cokin

Auburn (hat)
Va (hat)
Seton Hall
Ball St
Wofford
Utah (ncaa)
Stan
LB St
E Ill
Butler
W Kentucky
UTEP

Gameday

4* Mich St
3* Fla
2* Fla St, E Carol, LSU, St Bonny

Alatex

Nebraska

Lenny Stevens

10* Carolina

20* BYU
10* Notre Dame

Spritzer

Knicks
Butler
BYU
Va
Richmond
Cal
Sd St
W Va

RAS

Dayton over 129

Score

400 Caro
300 Tenn

Executive

400 Marquette

Blazer

4* Rhode Island
3* Marquette
3* California

Rainman

5* Carolina
3* Baltimore
1* Baltimore/Tenn Over

Nick Parsons

Panthers

Opposite Action Plays

Cardinals/Panthers Over

JB Sports

Titans

Knicks

Mike Lineback

Cardinals

Lenny Del Genio

Nebraska

Tony George

Cardinals

Rocketman

George Washington

Roundball

4* Milw
3* Jazz

3* Providence
3* Vandy
3* Citadel

Fastbreak

4* Boston College
3* Air Force
3* Utah
3* Stanford

Pure Lock

Carolina -9.5

Maddux Sports

Baltimore & Tennessee Under 34

Feist

5* Arizona

RAS

Georgia State -2
Wilmington +6
New Mexico State -.5
Montana State -3

All 1 unit plays

Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take Marquette (-1.5) over West Virginia

4.5-Unit Play. Take Oklahoma (Pk) over Kansas State
Note: This is our Game of the Week.

2.5-Unit Play. Take Detroit (+20) over Butler

3-Unit Play. Take Missouri (-2.5) over Nebraska

3-Unit Play. Take UNLV (-3.5) over TCU

2.5-Unit Play. Take Portland (+23) over Gonzaga

2.5-Unit Play. Take Murray State (-4.5) over Austin Peay

2-Unit Play. Take Richmond (+1.5) over George Washington

2-Unit Play. Take Auburn (+7.5) over South Carolina

2-Unit Play. Take Arkansas-Little Rock (-1) over New Orleans

1.5-Unit Play. Take Toledo (+1.5) over Northern Illinois

1.5-Unit Play. Take San Diego State (-3.5) over Utah

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Stanford (+7) over Washington State AND Take Cal (+10) over Washington

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Take Marshall (-2) over East Carolina AND Take UTEP (-1) over SMU

Root

Millionaire Tenn
Chairman Caro

No Limit - No Iowa
Insiders Circle- Houston Cougars
Perfect Play- So Illinois

Scott Spreitzer

Conference CBB GOY

Florida -14

Dave Malinsky

5* Marquette -1
4* G'town -11
4* Oklahoma -1
4* Oklahoma Under 146.5
4* Richmond 1
4* St Bony 1
6* Florida -13.5
4* Uconn/Cincy Under 139

Heisman Trophy Club

Carolina/Arizona Over

Bob Akmens

10* Tenn
10* Arz/Tenn Over

Dr. Canada

Red Wings/Sabres Over 5.5 -130

Montreal Canadiens -125

Maple Leafs/Flyers Over 6 -140

Teddy Covers

20* Eagles/Giants Under

15* Baltimore

Sports Unlimited

7* Tennessee -3

John Fina

2.5 units Chicago Bulls -8.5

3 units Baltimore/Tennessee Over 33.5

3 units Arizona Cardinals +10.5

2-Team NFL Parlay (Risk: 1 Unit - Payout: 2.5 Units)
-Baltimore/Tennessee Over 33.5
-Arizona Cardinals +10.5

Sebass

300 Carolina
30 Balt
20 Balt Under

50 Richmond
50 Auburn
50 Virgina
20 S Fla
30 K State
20 NC St

AntonWins

4 units Baltimore +3

Dr Bob

Michigan State (-5 1/2) 2-Stars at -6 or less.
Rhode Island (+1 1/2) 2-Stars at -1 or better.
Drexel (+2 1/2) 3-Stars at +2 or more, 2-Stars down to -1

Brandon Lang

25 Dime Titans

5 Dime Cardinals/Panthers Over

Paul Leiner

300* Ravens +3

50* Char/Wash Over 180.5

25* AZ/Car Over 48

25* Villanova -2

10* Kansas +7

Stu Feiner

10000 Dime High Roller Club
Pro Football Divisional Playoff GOY
2-0 with these ULTRA rare plays this year!

Carolina

2500 Dime High Roller Club Mismatch

Tennessee

Drew Gordon

300,000* Titans

50,000* Panthers

Tim Trushel

20* Tenn -3

Al DeMarco

10 Dime - Titans

Special K

20* Villanova

Bob Balfe

Ravens/Titans Under 34

Panthers -9.5 over Cardinals

Smooth 44

Tennessee -3 POD
Carolina Over 48 -120

Louisville +2
Notre Dame -14 -120
Depaul -6 -120
Duquesne -1

Eddie Mush

8 Units
Drexel +2
E. Kentucky -5.5
Santa Barbara -4.5

6 Units
Hofstra +14
Okl. St. -6.5
Hawaii +10

4 Units
Kansas +7.5
Illinois -18

Kirkwins

4* Carolina vs Arizona OVER 48.5

3* Tennessee -3 vs Baltimore

2* Tennessee vs Baltimore UNDER 34.5

2* Carolina -9.5 vs Arizona

NCAA Basketball

4* Georgetown -11 vs. Providence

4* St. Bonaventure +1 vs Duquesne

3* Murray St. -5.5 vs. Austin Peay

3* San Diego St. -3.5 vs BYU

Ben Burns

Baylor Blowout GOW

Titans/Ravens Under Blue Chip

Arizona/Carolina Under Main Event

Dave Cokin

Window Baltimore

3* Carolina

BIG AL

3* Washington Huskies

3* Carolina UNDER

1* Tennessee Titans

Gold Sheet

1* Arizona

Eecutive

350 Tenn

350 Arz/Car Over

System Sports Guaranteed Selections

88-52 ATS COLLEGE HOOPS SYSTEM WINNER

George Mason -5.5

Handicapping Prophets

5* Tenn -3

3.5* Carolina -9.5

KBHOOPS

NFL
5* Titans ML -140 **POD** and 2* Titans -3 +100
4* Carolina -9.5

NCAAB
5* Missouri -2
5* Kansas State +1.5
5* Evansville +3.5

NBA
4* Minnesota -1.5

Executive

600 Kansas St
300 St Joe
250 Miss St,Texas A&M

Tom Freese

10* Vandy

Indian Cowboy

6 Units Carolina Panthers -10

Sports Bank

400 Tenn Titans

500 Creighton

VEGAS LINE

100* Tenn -3

100* Ariz/Car Under 49.5

PPP

3% Arz/Car Over

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections

8000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER

Northern Iowa -6

Psychic
3 units Baltimore +3
5 units Arizona +9.5
WISEGUY

DA STICK
10 units over 34.5 Baltimore
10 units Baltimore +3
10 units Arizona over 48

Tony Wright

5* Balt/Tenn Ov

Directors Sports

Tenn
Tenn Und
Carl
Carl Ov

Pointspread Maven

10* Carolina

Alatex

Titans

PowerPlayWins

Play Of The Day

Carolina Panthers -9.5

Don Wagner

3* Arizona Cardinals

Tony Smith

100* CARDS/PANTHERS OVER 49

Scotty Spreitzer

25* Bailout Blowout

Stanford

Brian King

300 DIME BALT +3

Alex Smart

6* Panthers Over 49 Playoff Goy

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 5:39 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Brandon Lovell

Blank Check Game of my Career

Cardinals vs Panthers UNDER 48.5

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 5:45 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Cajun-Sports Executive

Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers
Pick: Carolina Panthers -10

After earning their first postseason victory in a decade, the Cardinals now take their show on the road for a Semi-Final clash with the Panthers.

Arizona lost seven times during the regular season, with five of those defeats coming on cross-country trips. Included in that string of futility was a 47-7 shellacking at the hands of New England on a snowy Sunday in late December. Since the 2003 season, Arizona has gone just 2-19 when playing in the Eastern Time Zone, and now they face some chilly weather on the road in an NFL Playoff Game.

The Cardinals suffered a 27-23 loss to the Panthers in late October, as Arizona blew a 14-point in the second half. QB Kurt Warner threw for 381 yards and two touchdowns, with wide receiver Anquan Boldin hauling in both of the scoring strikes, and Arizona rolled up 425 total yards and 25 first downs on the afternoon. Boldin also hooked up with Warner for a key 71-yard touchdown that spurred the fourth-seeded Cardinals to a 30-24 home ousting of Atlanta in last weekend's Wild Card round. However, the Pro Bowl wideout strained his left hamstring on the play, and his status for Saturday's showdown will likely be in question right up until game time. Even if he can’t play, he doesn’t figure to 100% and is in danger of worsening the injury every time he runs a pass pattern.

Last week's victory was Arizona's first in a postseason game since a 20-7 decision over Dallas in a 1998 NFC Wild Card Playoff. Obtaining a second straight playoff win figures to be a tall order, since the Panthers were the only NFL team this season to record an 8-0 record at home. Five of those decisions were by 15 points or more. Additionally, we note that the Panthers have won their last FIVE meetings with Arizona.

The Cardinals amassed the second-most passing yards in the NFL during the regular season, and the Panthers got a first-hand look at how dangerous the Cardinals can be through the air in the teams' Week 8 encounter.

Although the Cardinals have been overly reliant on the pass this season, the offense has been able to show greater balance in recent weeks. Running back Edgerrin James, freshened up by a lengthy benching in favor of rookie Tim Hightower, came through with a 14-carry, 100-yard effort versus Seattle in Week 17 and followed up by rushing for 73 yards on 16 touches in the Wild Card win. Arizona averaged a league-worst 73.6 rushing yards per game and a sub-par 3.5 yards per attempt in the regular season, but managed a more respectable 86 yards on the ground against Atlanta last week. This new-found “love affair” with running the ball is likely to last about as long as a Hollywood marriage.

The Cardinals had major troubles running the ball in their late-October meeting with Carolina, with James and Hightower combining for a meager 20 yards on 13 carries. To make matters worse for Arizona, the Panthers’ massive defensive tackle Maake Kemoeatu and fellow interior plugger Damione Lewis are slated to return after missing some playing time the past 2 games.

Whereas the Cardinals are more proficient at beating the opposition through the air, Carolina's offensive strength is a highly-effective running game that has produced an average of 152.3 yards per game. DeAngelo Williams delivered a superb season in which the shifty third-year pro had seven 100-yard outings over the final nine games. Rookie Jonathan Stewart has been a very good backfield complement for a Panthers club that is 12-2 this year when gaining over 100 rushing yards in a game.

Arizona's defense will be hoping to repeat its success of a week ago, when the unit limited Atlanta's potent ground attack to a mere 60 yards on 24 tries, but that will tough, as the Panthers possess many more weapons for the Cards to defend than did the Falcons.

The Panthers also possess one of the NFL's most feared game-changers in wide receiver Steve Smith who burned Arizona for 117 yards and two touchdowns, including a go-ahead 65-yard score late in the third quarter, in Carolina's Week 8 victory. Quarterback Jake Delhomme completed 20-of-28 passes for 248 yards in that game and is a proven playoff performer, having thrown for 11 touchdowns and just five interceptions in seven prior postseason tilts. Arizona gave up a league-worst 36 touchdown via the air and an average of 220 passing yards per game, “good” for 22nd overall in the NFL. Arizona did a solid job last Saturday against Atlanta; however, The Cardinals won’t get the benefit of facing a rookie QB in his playoff debut this week like they did against the Falcons last week.

Even special teams play should favor the hosts here. PK Kasay has been practically automatic on field goals, with the longtime Panther having converted 28-of-31 tries in the regular season and all 15 of his attempts at home. Kickoff specialist Rhys Lloyd has booted a league-best 30 touchbacks to further aid a solid coverage unit, while Mark Jones came through with a strong year as well handling returns.

Arizona has struggled in special teams coverage, having surrendered poor averages of 13.1 yards per punt return and 25 yards on kickoffs in the regular season. The team also ranked next-to-last in the NFL in net punting.

The Cardinals were able to capitalize on mistakes by a young Atlanta team a week ago, but likely won't get those opportunities from the Panthers, who are playoff-tested and haven't lost on their home grounds all year long. Arizona is set up to return to earth with a thud here, as they are 0-6 SU (-20.7 ppg) & 0-6 ATS (-16.2 ppg) as a road underdog and not off a BYE. They are also 0-12 ATS (-12.8 ppg) with a TOTAL over 34 points and not an underdog of more than 10 points vs. opponents off a BYE week, while Carolina is 3-0 ATS off a bye since 2003, including a Super Bowl ATS win.

The Cards did allow 24 points last week, which is quite a few, especially for a home game, and teams that struggled defensively in a Playoff victory have become the victim in their next outing under the conditions outlined by an NFL Playoff POWER SYSTEM of ours that reads:

Play AGAINST a non-division Playoff underdog of 13 points or less/pick 'em off a Playoff SU win allowing 22+ points in its last game and not seeking same-season revenge for a SU loss allowing less than 26 points in the last matchup.

Since 1996, these teams are 0-10 SU (-15.7 ppg) & 9-0-1 ATS (-11.2 ppg).

Teams like the Panthers, that ended the regular season with a couple of spread losses, have been phenomenal in their first playoff game under the conditions described by a final POWER SYSTEM:

Play ON a team in its First Playoff Game off a regular season ATS loss in its last game (not a division SU loss), an ATS loss before that and not playing its 3rd straight non-Monday home game vs. an opponent not off a regular season non-conference SU win or a WildCard SU & ATS win as a home favorite of 9+ points/road favorite in its last game.

In one of our strongest Playoff POWER SYSTEM, these teams have gone an amazing 27-0 ATS since 1984, crushing the spread by nearly 16 points per game on average.

While some are expecting another close game between these teams, fans forget (or weren’t aware) that the Panthers were without two starting linemen - right tackle Jeff Otah and center Ryan Kalil — in the last meeting with the Cardinals and still scored 27 points. Obviously with both players back, the Panthers hope to improve on that number this week and extend their streak of scoring 28 points or more to eight games. Against the leaky Arizona defense it shouldn’t be a problem.

Instead of Carolina getting behind by 2 TDs and scrambling to get back into the game, it should be quite a different story here, as the Panthers should be very sharp from the opening kickoff and grab the lead this time. Ultimately, Arizona will have to abandon the run game allowing Julius Peppers & Company to make life miserable for Warner and the Cardinals.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: CAROLINA 35 ARIZONA 14

State vs. Arkansas
Pick:Arkansas -6.5

Bud Walton Arena will be the site of tonight’s SEC clash between the host Arkansas Razorbacks and the visiting Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Bulldogs enter tonight’s game with a record of 10-5 SU and 4-5 ATS. Arkansas is 12-1 SU and a money-making 5-2 ATS on the year.

The Bulldogs are 2-3 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road so far this season averaging 67.6 points per game against teams that allow 70.5 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor they are allowing opponents to score 70.8 points per game with teams that would normally only score 68.9 points per game.

Their leading scorer is forward Jarvis Varnado who is averaging 12.8 points per game and pulling down 9.9 rebounds. The Bulldogs floor general is guard Dee Bost who scores 9.1 points per game but has struggled with turnovers with 3.3 per contest.

The Razorbacks have taken down the Oklahoma Sooners 96 to 88 as a 5 point home underdog and in their last game they defeated Texas 67 to 61 as a 4.5 point home dog. They did not suffer any type of letdown after their defeat of Oklahoma and Texas came into their meeting with Arkansas knowing what had happened to the Sooners six days earlier and could do nothing to stop this Arkansas team.

The Hogs are 10-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at Bud Walton this season and they are 5-0 SU and 3-0 ATS over their last five games. The Hogs are averaging 83.7 points per game versus teams that allow 71.0 points per game. They have accomplished this shooting better than 46% from the field. Defensively the Hogs are allowing 67.4 points per game against teams that would normally score 70.2 points per game. They have held their opponents to 40% shooting from the field.

The Hogs are led by forward Michael Washington who is averaging 17.8 points per game and grabbing 10.3 boards per contest. Their second leading scorer is freshman guard Courtney Fortson who is averaging 15.1 points per game and has really surprised SEC scouts with his maturity and ability to step right in this role and produce at such a high level. Another huge plus for this Hogs team is their bench as head coach John Pelphrey has 10 players that average double-digit minutes per contest.

On the technical front we see that the Hogs are 6-0-1 ATS off a SU and ATS win in their last two games if the line range for their current game is 3 to 7 points. If this is a conference game the record is 5-0-1 ATS. The Bulldogs after going “Over” in their last game and are now playing on the road with a line range of 3 to 7 points they are 1-7 ATS. We have a couple CBB Systems that are active for this game as well. CBB teams at home for their last five games and are now a division home favorite of 3 to 7 points have posted a record of 5-0-1 ATS. CBB teams that have played their last four games at home and are now installed as a conference favorite of 3 to 7 points are 92-58-2 ATS. If they are a home favorite that record is 46-27-2 ATS.

With solid fundamental, technical and situational support for the host we will back the Hogs here as they get another win and cover at Bud Walton on Saturday night. Lay the chalk with the Hogs as our CBB SEC Game of the Week.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (5*) Arkansas 81 Mississippi State 69

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 5:50 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

INDIANCOWBOY

5 Unit Play (28-6 Lifetime).Take Carolina Panthers -10 over Arizona Cardinals

As an individual who leans on the Dogs, I am playing a heavy favorite this weekend in the NFL Playoffs. Why? Well, is it that impossible to believe that the Carolina Panthers aren't capable of blowing this team out? After all, these are the same Panthers that defeated the Denver Broncos by 20 points at home through a score of 30-10. These are the same Panthers that also defeated the Tampa Bay Bucs by 15 by a score of 38-23. These are also the same Panthers that defeated the New Orleans Saints at home by 23, by a final score of 30-7. This is important considering that New Orleans's offense is very similar to that of the Arizona Cardinals, except that New Orleans is even better. The Carolina Panthers thrive against teams that live on the passing attack. Remember, considering that NO actually has a running attack, the Arizona Cardinals don't even have that as they are 28th in the league in rushing yards. They will live and die on the pass and Carolina will simply drop back and have a field day with these receivers. You don't think the Panthers learned a ton by watching the Falcons play this Cardinals team? The last time these two teams met, the final score was determined by 4 points. But, Carolina is a team that makes adjustments extremely well as Foxx is one of the best coaches in the league of doing so. The Cardinals are the same team that went on the road to lose by scores of 7-47 against New England and 20-48 against Philadelphia. When the Arizona Cardinals play tough defenses such as the New England Patriots or Philadelphia Eagles, they simply are not effective. The Panthers sport a top 10 defense and top 5 in points allowed on top of that. Combine that with the fact the Panthers have a rushing attack and a passing attack while the Cardinals only have a one element offense, this could end up being a burial. Tack on the fact the Cardinals defense is highly impotent when they face a two dimensional team and have to head on the highway to play this game, this could very well be similar to when the Panthers hosted the Saints and beat them 30-7. Let me be frank, any team in the NFC South currently could defeat the Cardinals at home by this margin. I firmly believe that. So, why would the Carolina Panthers not be able to do so by a margin of 15-20 points considering they have done it already at home against the likes of the Saints, Falcons, Broncos and Bucs? We have the more efficient offense, the better rushing team, the better defense, the better special teams, the home field advantage and the Panthers are simply versatile in so many ways as they are itching to play the Cardinals at home. I have this game at a 33-10 typ of final. The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 contests as road underdogs. The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.

4 Unit Play. Take Minnesota -1.5 over Milwaukee Bucks

Note, I was very close to either ride OKC first half or OKC for the game, but decided to go with the Timberwolves at home to get it done for us with our POD selection. We have won 11 of 16 days in the NBA for a 11-5 run with the PODs and we will look to keep that streak going here. Look, with Kevin McHale leading this team, the Twolves are playing great right now. Frankly, I would not want to play this team at this point. Slowly, the Twolves have built confidence and have rejuvenated their productivity. The Bucks defeated the Nets at home but will have Bogut unlikely for this game. Now, that didn't affect them in winning SU against the Nets at home but it will affect them when they are on the road at Minnesota and offense will be at a premium. These Timberwolves not only play great defense but are shooting lights out. Milwaukee is the same team that lot 92-102 to Charlotte on the road and although the Bucks have their moments, the Twolves have covered their last 6 straight and 8 of their last 9. This includes a 42 point win over OKC at home, winning Outright at Memphis by 7, defeating the Bulls on the road by 10 Outright, defeating GS at home by 7 and defeating Memphis at home in overtime as well as the Knicks on the road Outright. Folks, the Twolves are good. Look, this team has won 4 in a row and considering before they had won 6 games all year, this is incredibly significant. I don't care that the Bucks are doing well ATS this year as this is a bad spot for them as they hit the road not complete healthy and the Twolves from start to finish will play strong as they have done the last 8 of 9 games they have covered and unless the Bucks plan on shooting lights out, they can get blown out of the building as the Twolves will be fired up to play with the likes of Smith, Gomes, Telfair, Jefferson and Foye.

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 5:51 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider (11-5 reg season)

The Cards went 6-0 in their own division this year (the pathetic NFC West), going 3-7 outside it, losing four games by 21 points or more. However, the franchise hosted its first home playoff game since 1947 last Saturday (can't make that up!) and beat the Falcons, 30-24. That being said, it sure helped that the Cards faced a rookie QB (Matt Ryan) and rookie head coach (Mike Smith) in that game. QB Warner was good (not great) and EJ had a second straight good game, following his 100-yard effort in Week 17 with 73 yards (16 carries) vs the Falcons. The Arizona defense "came up big" vs Atlanta's Michael Turner (held the Falcons to ) and a pass rush which had just 10 sacks over its last eight games, sacked Ryan three times. This week however, the Cards are "heading East," where they went 0-5 SU (1-4 ATS), while getting outscored 202-102. Arizona fans will note that the team's Week 8 game at Carolina was its best game in five trips to the Eastern time zone and they would be correct. Warner threw for 375 yards in that game (one of just two QBs to top 300 yards vs Carolina TY), as the Cards took a 17-3 lead before losing 27-23. Warner's had a superb season (67.1 percent / 4,583 yards / 30-14 ratio / 96.9 QB rating), topping 300 yards seven times. In Fitzgerald, Boldin and Breaston he's got three 1,000-yard receivers, although Boldin is not 100 percent. For some reason people are making a big deal of James' re-birth but let me point out that the Cards, the NFL's worst rushing team during the regular season (73.6 YPG / 3.5 YPC), gained just 86 yards vs the Falcons (3.5 YPC). The Panthers went 12-4 this year and own the NFL's only unbeaten home record (8-0 SU and 5-2-1 ATS). Jake Delhomme made a miraculous comeback from "Tommy John surgery" at QB. He threw for 3,288 yards (59.4 percent) with 15 TDs and 12 INTs (84.7 QB rating). However, it was the team's running game which 'fueled' the turnaround (7-9 LY and 8-8 in '06). DeAngelo Williams(1,515 YR / 5.5 YPC / 18 TDs) and Jonathan Stewart (836 YR / 4.5 YPC / 10 TDs) led an offense which finished third in the NFL in rushing (152.3 YPG / 4.8 YPC). The team's 30 rushing TDs were an NFL-best and Williams DOMINATED the second half of the season, topping 100 yards in SEVEN of his last nine games, while scoring 16 of his 18 rushing TDs in that span (the OL allowed just 20 sacks). WR Steve Smith caught 78 passes (18.2 YPC / 6 TDs) despite sitting out the season's first two games (suspension) while 'prodigal son' Muhammad caught 65 (14.2 YPC). Then there is John Kasay, who is a terrific kicker, having made 28-of-31 FGs this year (27-of-28 inside 50 yards). Let's get down to the "nitty gritty." The Cards are NOT a quality team, as their regular season record proves. Meanwhile, the Panthers were a missed 50-yard FG by Kasay (at the NYG) away from owning the NFC's best record. Carolina's offense (especially its running game) improved over the season's second half (offense ranked 10th overall but 5th over its final eight games) and this home playoff game is just the second in franchise history. The first came back in 2003, when the Panthers dominated the Cowboys, winning 29-10. Head coach John Fox is 5-2 SU (6-1 ATS) in the playoffs in his career (in '03 and '05), while Arizona's Whisenhunt coaches his first playoff road game. The Cards a phony team, as I've already pointed out with the team's regular season record outside of the NFC West. Now consider this stat. Since the 1970 merger (now 39 seasons), there have been 78 teams which have finished last or next-to-last in rushing yards during the regular season (Cards finished last in '08). It should come as no surprise that only 12 of those 78 teams actually reached the playoffs, with TY's Cards being one of them. Arizona joined the '78 Falcons as the only two of those 12 teams to win playoff game. The '78 Falcons bowed out in their next game and I expect the Cards to suffer a similar fate here, as they get 'exposed.'

Las Vegas Insider on the Car Panthers

7* Bailout Blowout

Stan ***** led Arkansas to back-to-back NCAA tournaments in '06 and '07 but was fired anyway. Arkansas had trouble finding a new coach prior to last season, as some big names turned Arkansas down and then a lesser name accepted the job, only to give it up day later. The Razorbacks finally settled on John Pelphrey, a former Kentucky player who was at South Alabama. Pelphrey turned out to be a good 'fit' in Fayetteville, as the Razorbacks went 'dancing' for a third straight year in '08 and won 23 games, including a first round NCAA game. Over in Starkville, Ms, Rick Stansbury has spent 10 years at MSU winning 208 games. Like Arkansas, MSU won 23 games LY, which also included a first round NCAA victory. Entering this season, both schools had lots of question marks. Stansbury expected to lose junior Gordon (16.7.2-6.6-4.9) and the 6-8 Rhodes (17.4-7.8) was a senior but he was not expecting Ben Hansbrough (10.5-3.8-2.6) to transfer to Note Dame. The 6-9 Varnado (12.8-9.9) is back as is guard Stewart (10.6) but overall, the Bulldogs look nowhere close to the team which went 12-4 in the SEC West last year. Bost (9.3-4.3 APG) is a freshman PG and swingman Johnson (12.5-3.9) has been solid but after a 5-0 start, the Bulldogs have split their last 10 games and will open SEC play at 10-5. Arkansas lost Weems (15.0-4.5), Townes (12.1-5.5), Beverly (12.1-6.6), Ervin (9.5-3.8 APG) and Thomas (9.2-4.5) off LY's team. It's really quite a tribute to Pelphrey that some are calling Arkansas the SEC's best team. Arkansas lost at Missouri St in its third game of this season and that's it! The Bears scored the final six points to win 62-57 in that game in Springfield but the Razorbacks haven't lost since. Included in the team's 13 wins TY, are a 96-88 win over then-No. 4 Oklahoma on Dec 30 (Sooners' lone loss to-date) and a 67-61 win over No. 7 Texas this past Tuesday. Expect no "let down" here, as this is the team's SEC opener plus I'm pretty sure Arkansas didn't think the Texas win was much of an upset. This Arkansas team is good and the Razorbacks (and coach Pelphrey) know it! Two juniors, guard Welsh (14.0-3.8-2.4) and the 6-9 Washington (17.8-10.3) have been better than expected (TY especially Washington!) and the freshman have been fabulous. Fortson (15.1-5.8-7.1) is just 5-11 but "what a player!" Fellow freshman guard Clarke (12.2) isn't 'far' behind. Then there is 6-8 redshirt freshman Sanchez (6.9-4.5) plus one wonders how much better this team would be if swingmen Henry (7.0) and McDonald (4.5-5.3) could stay healthy. As is, Arkansas is clearly "the team to beat" in the West, as the Razorbacks are averaging 81.5 PPG and allowing only 68.3. Arkansas beat MSU last year on this court 78-58 and I'm not sure the slumping Bulldogs will stay any closer tonight.

Bailout Blowout on Arkansas

8* ACC Game of the Month

Al Skinner of BC knows more than a little about coaching college basketball. The move from the Big East to the ACC didn't slow him or his team down as prior to LY's 14-17 'flop,' the Eagles have made four consecutive NCAA appearances. With only one starter gone from last season, Skinner liked his team's chances of regaining its "mojo" this year and BC enters this game 13-3 (1-0) and ranked 17th in the nation. Miami's Frank Haith led Miami to an NCAA berth last year (his fourth at the school), winning 23 games which included a first-round win in the "Big Dance." Haith has lots of depth TY with seven players averaging between 4.0 and 9.0 points. Guard McClinton (17.3) is the team's leading scorer, while the 6-8 Collins (12.0-7.9) is its best inside player. Miami is 11-3 (0-1) but the Hurricanes are still without a 'signature win,' dropping their first two games against ranked opponents TY. That includes a 91-72 loss to then-No. 25 Clemson (which is now ranked 11th at 15-0) in their ACC opener on Dec 21. However, the 'Canes have won all four games since then, holding all four of those teams under 40 percent shooting and winning the four games by an average of 29.3 PPG. Miami would likely have preferred to play BC right after its upset of then-No. 1 North Carolina but the Hurricanes get no such luck. The Eagles' won their 10th straight game last Sunday, upsetting North Carolina, 85-78, as more than a three-TD underdog. However, the inevitable "let down" came just a few days later (this past Weds), as the Eagles lost at home to Harvard, as more than two-TD favorites! The Eagles looked like a completely different team on Wednesday, allowing Harvard to shoot 50.0 percent from the field while turning the ball over 16 times. Rice (17.1-4.0-6.3), the team's best player and its senior leader, drew Skinner's wrath after the loss. He had scored 25 points against North Carolina but he managed only 14 against the Crimson, while also matching a season-low with three assists and adding five turnovers before fouling out. However, I fully expect Rice to bounce back here. He's teamed with a freshman in the backcourt (Jackson, who is averaging 7.9 PPG) and BC has size and talent in the frontcourt. The 6-8 Trapani (13.6-6.8) and the 6-10 Southern (6.1-5.9) are joined by the 6-6 Raji (12.6-7.1) and the 6-5 Sanders (11.6-4.4) to give the Eagles and impressive inside game (ask North Carolina, not Harvard). Miami has had very little success on the ACC road (just 9-23 in ACC road play since joining the conference) and that includes a 2-6 away from home mark in league games last season, when Miami had its best season since joining the ACC. The Hurricanes have lost six straight at Chestnut Hill, although they did ended a 13-game overall losing streak to BC with a 74-61 home win last March 5. Remember, these teams used to be Big East rivals before both switched to the ACC. BC remembers and "wins this one from memory," erasing the 'bad taste' of that Harvard loss by moving to 2-0 ACC play.

ACC Game of the Month on Boston College

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 5:55 pm
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C-Stars Sports

5000 Units NFL Playoff Total Of The Year! Arizona/Carolina over the total

When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Playing on grass surface - After a conference game - Coming off a 1 under 12-2 O/U in this spot. When ARIZONA CARDINALS team played as a Road team - Last 5 years - Coming off a 1 under 10-1 O/U in this spot. When CAROLINA PANTHERS team played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - After a conference game - Coming off 1 ATS win 8-2 O/U in this spot.

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:02 pm
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PICKENS PICKS

100 UNIT NFC DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR

The Arizona Cardinals shocked alot of people, except Picken's sportshandicapping as we nailed the Cards and the over, by running the football more than expected with EJ. Tonight in Carolina that won't happen. The Cardinals are going to have a play a near perfect game to keep this within a touchdown, and for a team that has been flat out miserable on the road against solid teams it simply will not happen with Carolina off a bye. Oh, and Anquan Bolden isn't near 100%. Now for the biggest reason the Panthers cover this spread- DeAngelo Williams. The Cardinals did a fantastic job against the run last week, but lets face it- you don't turn into a world beating defense over night. If the Panthers have less than 150 yards rushing by the end of the night I'll walk to Carolina and whistle dixie the entire way. Carolina wins this easily.

PLAY ON PANTHERS -10

50 UNIT- NFC DIVISIONAL GAME EAGLES @ GIANTS

The Philadelphia Eagles are my choice in this matchup. Without the presence of Burress the Giants have quickly become a one trick pony. You know what is coming, but can you stop it? With Jim Johnson on the other side of the field, and an Eagles defense that looks as good as any in the McNabb era, I think Philadelphia matches up very well against the Gmen. Little has changed since the last meeting between these 2 teams....a meeting where the Eagles flat out DOMINATED the game from beginning to end. If anything the only thing that has changed is a healthy Brandon Jacobs (which is big) but the Eagles also have a massive amount of momentum. Come the end of this game I expect the Eagles defense to force many 3 and outs with 8 men in the box and let the best secondary in the NFL shut down Eli's passing game to his now very average WR corp minus Burress. The Eagles did a great job against AP last week against the Vikings and no matter what anyone says- AP is better than all 3 of the Giants backs any day of the week. I would prefer to matchup against 3 larger slower backs than 1 AP any day of the week. The Giants on the other hand have no momentum coming into this game. They were not playing good football since the Plaxico mess. This is NOT the same Giants team that won the Super Bowl last year. They've lost Manning's #1 safety valve in Burress, they lost the NFC's best DE early in the year, and now their others are still banged up. Philadelphia wins this game straight up and McNabb and Reid visit their record 5th NFC conference game.

PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA +4

50 unit- AFC DIVISIONAL ROUND REVENGE GAME CHARGERS @ STEELERS

Our selection is on the San Diego Chargers over the Steelers. I am the biggest believer in momentum...I thought it coming into this playoff season- the winner of the Colts / Chargers game is going to the Super Bowl. Yes I know, the Chargers have 8 losses...but they've also gotten the short end of the stick in a few games and could have EASILY been a 12 win team. I know close is only good in horseshoes and hand grenades, but trust me the Steelers want nothing to do with this Charger team. I expect San Diego to give Pittsburgh all they can handle- even without LT in the lineup. Rivers is playing fantastic right now, and I would take him any day of the week over Big Ben. The Steelers defense is everything impressive, but their offense will let them down in this game and it may not be enough for the win. Pittsburgh has found a way to win all year long in close games, but I'm afraid this time around the line does not come into play yet again.

PLAY ON SAN DIEGO +6

NFL PLAYOFF TOTALS OF THE WEEK

250 unit- Titans / Ravens UNDER
200 unit- Steelers / Chargers UNDER
100 unit- Giants / Eagles UNDER
50 unit- Panthers / Cardinals UNDER

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:05 pm
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Bob Balfe

Panthers -9.5 over Cardinals

In the earlier game this season the Panthers turned the ball over a bit and gave Arizona prime positioning to score. There is one thing that Kurt Warner isn't good at and that is playing in the cold weather. Also, in the last two cold weather games Arizona's Defense has gotten hammered for about 48 pt's in both. The Panthers are 8-0 at home and are a better team in every phase of the game. AZ will be without Boldin and if he does play he will not be a factor at all. The Panthers can key in on Fitzgerald and its going to be a long night. Look for the Panthers to dominate. Take Carolina.

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:07 pm
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SIXTH SENSE

CAROLINA –9.5 Arizona 48.5

This line is also very interesting seeing Carolina was just a –4.5 point favorite in their first match-up, which Carolina came from behind to win 27-23. In that game, Arizona out gained Carolina 6.3yppl to 6.1yppl, but were out gained in the passing yards, 8.2yps to 7.1yps and out rushed, 3.9ypr to 3.6ypr. But, Arizona threw the ball 53 times to just 29 for Carolina and that helped skew the final yppl numbers. Williams had a great game rushing the ball for Carolina, gaining 108 yards at 6.3ypr and one touchdown. Boldin, who probably doesn’t play, at least not effectively, caught nine passes for 63 yards and two touchdowns. The other interesting item in this game was Arizona was coming off their bye week so they had two weeks to prepare for Carolina. This time Carolina will be coming off a bye week and have two weeks to prepare for Arizona.

Arizona dominated Atlanta from the line of scrimmage last week, out gaining the Falcons 5.9yppl to 3.7yppl, including out passing them 8.5yps to 4.4yps. For the season, Arizona averages 7.1yps against 6.2yps and 5.9yppl against 5.3yppl. They only average 3.5ypr against 4.1ypr. Carolina averages 4.8ypr against 4.4ypr, 7.3yps against 6.3yps and 6.0yppl against 5.5yppl. While those numbers would appear that Arizona has the better offense, it is simply because they throw the ball more often than Carolina. The Carolina passing game is slightly better than Arizona but Carolina only averages 26 pass attempts per game while Arizona averages 39 pass attempts. On defense, Arizona allows 6.4yps against 5.9yps and 5.3yppl against 5.2yppl. Carolina allows 5.7yps against 6.5yps and 5.2yppl against 5.5yppl. Carolina qualifies in a playoff situation, which is 40-8-0 as long as this line is less than 10 points. They also qualify in a playoff fundamental rushing situation, which is 43-12-3 as long as this line is nine or less points. Numbers favor Carolina by 9.5 points and predict about 55 points. When I run a profile of each opponent, I get Carolina favored by a score of 33-17. As long as this line stays lower than –10 I will make Carolina a Best Bet in this game. I would consider the over in this game but I worry about Arizona being able to hold up their end of the bargain and the fact Carolina doesn’t mind running the ball, which will eat up clock time. I believe Carolina gets to 30 points but I just can’t trust Arizona to get to 20. If this total was less than 47 I would take a shot with the over. CAROLINA 33 ARIZONA 17

3% CAROLINA –9.5 or less

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:10 pm
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BRIAN GABRIELLE

CARDINALS at PANTHERS
PLAY: ARIZONA +10

The Cardinals won last week due to a real proficiency in two areas - running the football and playing good defense. That's exactly the recipe for success in the NFL playoffs and the Cardinals are led my a man who knows that maybe more than any other player still playing this season - Kurt warner.

That's three big reasons to grab the points in this NFC Playoff matchup.

Carolina 26, Arizona 23

Take Arizona

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:11 pm
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Thanks for all the hard work
Any chance will have northcoast sport
Thanks

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:28 pm
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The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections

NHL LATE STEAM MONEY LINE WINNER

Montreal -135

Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections

9000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER

Stanford +2.5

ATS Sports Club

NBA Total Winner

Knicks / Rockets Over 204

NHL Ice-Melter Winner

Maple Leafs / Flyers Over 6

NFL Divisional Playoffs Side Winner

Arizona Cardinals +10

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:35 pm
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Dr Bob

3 Star Selection
James Madison (+3) over WILLIAM & MARY

James Madison continues to be underrated and I will once again play the Dukes as a Best Bet. JMU struggled in 7 games without their best player Juwann James, who averages 16.3 points at 58% shooting while pulling a team leading 5.9 boards and playing good interior defense. James returned on December 14th and the Dukes are 6-2 straight up ns 5-1-1 ATS since then. My ratings favor James Madison by 3 ½ points in this game and William & Mary hasn’t beaten a team nearly as good as JMU. William & Mary’s victories have come against Norfolk State (18 points worse than JMU), Radford (7 points worse than JMU), South Carolina State (12 points worse than JMU), Haverford (a division 2 team), and Harvard (6 points worse than JMU). The Tribe is also just 17-29-1 ATS in conference home games under coach Tony Shaver and do not have a habit of beating superior teams here. I’ll take James Madison in a 2-Star Best Bet at +1 or more.3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars from +2 1/2 to +1.

3 Star Selection
BRADLEY (+2) over Creighton

It took Bradley some time to get used to playing without graduated 4 year starting pointguard Daniel Ruffin (remember how they struggled when he was injured for 9 games last season?), but the Braves are getting their act together and enter this game off 5 consecutive wins and 4 consecutive spread wins. Those last 4 wins in conference play have all been as -1 or dog and they’re a dog again today on a home floor where they are very tough to beat. Bradley has played much better at home under coach Jim Les (55-31-4 ATS) than they have on the road (39-45 ATS) and the Braves are especially tough to beat here when they are playing well, going 29-10-2 ATS at home following a victory (2-0 this season). Creighton, meanwhile, is coming off consecutive losses and the Bluejays are just 32-45-1 ATS as a road favorite or pick under coach Dana Altman, including 5-13 ATS after a loss. That road favorite/pick record is an even worse 10-22 ATS if Creighton is facing a team with a win percentage of .550 or higher (0-5 ATS after a loss). In addition to the team trends, Bradley applies to a 30-3 ATS subset of a 66-20 ATS home momentum situation and my ratings favor Creighton by just 1 point, so the line is more than fair. It’s also possible that Creighton’s top scorer Booker Woodfox may not play, as he is questionable due to a sprained ankle suffered in their loss to Northern Iowa. I’ll take Bradley in a 3-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more and for 2-Stars from +1 ½ to pick.3-Stars at +2 or more, 2-Stars from +1 1/2 to pick.

3 Star Selection
Florida International (+15 ½) over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE

Florida International has had more than their share of injuries this season, but the Panthers are as healthy as they’ve been all year now that top scorer Alex Galindo has joined the lineup after missing the first 14 games. FIU is 2-1 straight up and 2-1 ATS with Galindo and top post player Freddy Asprilla (12 ppg, 8 rpg) is now fully healthy after missing some time in late November and early December. Pointguard Tremayne Russell also missed 7 games, but he returned on Thursday night for the Panthers’ upset win over Western Kentucky, which is the only game that the entire starting lineup has all played together (Russell actually came off the bench in his first game back, but he is a starter). Florida International is an underrated team now that they have their core players healthy and all playing together and the Panthers apply to a very good 54-11-4 ATS big road underdog momentum situation tonight. My ratings favor Middle Tennessee by just 14 points and I’ll take Florida International in a 3-Star Best Bet at +15 points or more and for 2-Stars at +14 ½ or +14 points.3-Stars at +15 or more, 2-Stars down to +14.

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:36 pm
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Thanks for all the hard work
Any chance will have northcoast sport
Thanks

If it isn't in that big group in the first post I must have missed it and would take forever to try and find it this late in the day sorry.

 
Posted : January 10, 2009 6:38 pm
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