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(@mvbski)
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Frank Patron

30,000 units

V TECH + 3.5

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 10:52 am
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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Mississippi

PAC 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Arizona

COLLEGE FOOTBALL NON-CON GAME OF THE YEAR
Tulsa

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
Fresno St and Toledo OVER 51

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:04 am
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Oscarxena Sports

Notre Dame +8 1/2 (3 Unit Play)

Akron/Army Over 47 1/2 (3 Unit Play)

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:06 am
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BIG AL

At 7 pm, our selection is on Tulsa minus the points over New Mexico, as Tulsa falls into a super 33-11 ATS system. What we want to do is play against any college football team in the regular season off an upset win as a 10-point (or greater) underdog, if it's matched up against an .801 (or better) non-conference foe off a straight-up win. Last week, New Mexico pulled a stunning upset when it defeated Arizona 36-28 as a 10-point dog, while Tulsa checks into its home opener tonight off two road wins to start its season. Still, New Mexico didn't impress in its first two games this season -- a 26-3 loss to TCU and a 28-22 loss to Texas A&M. And Tulsa is ranked 3rd in the nation in total offense with 578 yards; fourth in pass offense with 391 yards; and seventh in scoring with 50.5 points per game. Look for QB David Johnson, the nation's leader in passing efficiency (241.5 rating) to lead Tulsa to an easy win at H.A. Chapman Stadium tonight. Lay the points. Favorite of the Month on Tulsa.

At 7 pm (time change) on ESPN 2, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles over Wake Forest. Bobby Bowden's team took the easy route to open its season, and wiped out two cream puffs (Western Carolina and UT-Chattanooga) by scores of 69-0 and 46-7. Though some may question this approach, from my perspective it was necessary, given the suspensions and attrition the team had to overcome. Now, of course, Florida State will get all it can handle with the 18th-ranked Demon Deacons, who surely won't sneak up on the Seminoles given Wake Forest's wins against Florida State the past two seasons. And, as a result of those two losses to Wake, the Seminoles have had this game circled on their calendar for months, and QB Christian Ponder admitted as much this past week. The Seminoles' offense certainly has been proficient in its two wins, and scored touchdowns in 12 straight possessions over those games. But just as impressive has been FSU's defense which has allowed just one score this year (on a 62-yard TD pass). And the Seminoles' defensive momentum qualifies FSU in a 26-0-3 ATS system. What we want to do is play on any home favorite of less than 5 points (or PK) that's off back-to-back games in which it allowed 7 points or less, provided it does not check in off an upset win, and its opponent has a .500 (or better) record. Look for a blowout win by FSU in Tallahassee. Lay it.

At 8 pm, on ABC TV, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils plus the points over the Georgia Bulldogs. Last week, UNLV shocked Dennis Erickson's then-15th-ranked Sun Devils, 23-20 in overtime (as 23-point underdogs), so there's no doubt that ASU was looking ahead to this showdown vs. the #3 ranked Bulldogs. When teams lose as huge favorites, I don't like to back them the following week if they're installed as a favorite, but here, ASU is a mid-priced home underdog, and this situation is a perfect time to step in and grab the points with a very strong, and now underrated team. Moreover, the Pac 10 Conference has been extremely strong over the years at home, or at neutral sites vs. non-conference opposition when priced as an underdog of less than 10 points (or PK), if our Pac 10 team is not off a straight-up win, and its foe won by 6 or more points in its previous game. Indeed, in this situation, Pac 10 teams are an incredible 19-0 ATS provided they don't have a losing record. Look for the Sun Devils to shock Georgia on Saturday night. Take the points.

At 9 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones plus the points over UNLV. Last week, the Rebels pulled the upset of the year (so far) with a 23-20 overtime win in Tempe vs. Arizona State. UNLV was a 23-point underdog in that game, and now finds itself installed as a small favorite vs. Iowa State, which lost 17-5 to Iowa as a two-touchdown underdog last week. Even though ISU lost to the rival Hawkeyes, it still outgained Iowa in yardage, but wasn't able to find the endzone. Look for the UNLV to suffer a letdown this Saturday night, as the Rebels are not only off that big win, but they have a date with cross-state rival Nevada next weekend. For technical support, UNLV is in a nasty 33-96 ATS system which goes against certain unrested home teams off an upset win as a road dog of +7 or more points. We used this system earlier this season and faded Bowling Green off its upset win at Pitt, and the Falcons then got blown out 42-17 as a small home favorite vs. Minnesota. Watch ISU do the same to UNLV. Non-Conference Game of the Month on the Cyclones.

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:11 am
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Yankee Capper

3 Units - Air Force +9.5
3 Units - Army +10
3 Units - Iowa/Pitt Over 41.5

2 Units - Tigers -105
2 Units - Braves +115

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:14 am
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Scott Landau

Missouri

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:23 am
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The Hammer Guaranteed Selections

P.I.C. MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Utah -9

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:25 am
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Tom Stryker

5* Tulsa

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:37 am
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Vegas Runner

AUBURN +10 & ARIZONA +4 (2*) Teaser

Mississippi -6.5 (-120) vsVanderbilt 3* BEST BET of the DAY

Utah -9.0 (-110) vs Air Force 3*

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:38 am
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Andy Iskoe

Arizona

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:44 am
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Wildcat

10* Utah
7* Tennessee

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:46 am
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Lenny Stevens

20* Underdog GOM Ball State
10* Mississippi
10* Utah
10* Ueorgia

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:50 am
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Dave Malinsky

6* Army

6* Rutgers

5* Utah Under
4* Michigan State
4* Georgia
4* Boston College
4* Mississippi State Under
4* Arizona Under

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 11:53 am
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Alatex

Superplay North Carolina

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 12:00 pm
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Dave Cokin

3* Miami Fla

Big Gun Colorado St

 
Posted : September 20, 2008 12:44 pm
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