EAST COAST SPORTS CONSULTANTS
WILLIE "D"
Elite LOUISVILLE
Elite TENNESSEE
Blue Chip NEVADA
"LEGS" DIAMOND (Bookie Massacre Plays 11-2 last 13)
Bookie Massacre North Carolina
Bookie Nightmare Marshall
Bookie Ball Buster Cincinnati
RANDY MITCHEL
Double Platinum MISS. ST.
Platinum NORTH CAROLINA
Diamond SAN DIEGO ST.
TOM FREESE
RUTGERS
Texas Sportswire
Nevada
ND
Ark
Jim Hurley
ROI Virgina Tenn
Blue Ribbon Ole Miss Nevada
Northcoast
5* Ill -2
4* Purdue -11
4* Pn St -16
3* UTEP +17, Tulsa -28-, NMex St -6-
Mark Lawrence
10* GOY Nevada
Scott Rickenbach
TITLE: *GAME OF THE YEAR* 8-0 100%
Brigham Young Cougars (+) @ Utah
Who better to put an end to Utah’s undefeated season than rival Brigham Young. Of course the beauty here is that the Cougars can still fall short of the outright upset and yet we can still get the win here as a tight loss serves our purposes just fine. On that note, there are a number of books with +7.5 available as of late Friday afternoon and this is very significant as ten of the last eleven meetings have been decided by a touchdown or less. Although we’re not big on the “history” of match-ups that still doesn’t hurt our odds here either. This is a big rivalry game that, in the past, has had a tendency to come down to the last possession. This line was smaller earlier in the week and has been driven up and we certainly understand the move. What everyone is looking at here is likely to be the TCU match-up as that was when both of these teams were truly tested. The Utes came out with a win and the Cougars came out with an “ugly” loss…at least in terms of the scoreboard. What we will now proceed to do is tell you the real story behind those TCU games and why we feel Brigham Young has a great shot at the outright win here.
Before we take a closer look at the game where Utah matched up with TCU, let’s note that this was one of many close games for the Utes this season. Five of Utah’s 11 wins have come by seven points or less this season. They only beat Air Force by seven and they’ve had three wins by just three points and another victory came by just two points. One of the three point wins came against TCU and the Utes never should have won that game, it’s as simple as that. Beyond the fact that TCU had dominated all game long and yet didn’t have the points to show for it, the real “kicker” was that the Horned Frogs kicker missed not one, but two, fairly short field goals last in the game. Make them both and it would have been game over. Beyond that though TCU just was so dominant in that game and what people won’t understand is that BYU wasn’t nearly as dominated by the Horned Frogs as the final score shows. That is the lone blemish on the Cougars record this season and even though the final score was ugly, BYU marched down the field time and time again and got into TCU territory and then came up short. The point is that the Cougars did move the ball on the Horned Frogs and that TCU defense is one of the best in the nation so that’s saying a lot. Statistically it the Horned Frogs got big yardage on their final drive of the game, when it was already decided. If you take that out the stats were nearly equal in the game! The point is that, despite the scores, we more impressed with how BYU played against TCU than how Utah did against the Horned Frogs.
This week, the Utes will once again be exposed, just like they have in every game when they faced tougher competition. We knew we’d want to fade the Utes after their “miracle win” over the Horned Frogs but we knew last week, with a weak San Diego State team was not the time. This week, it IS the time! The Utes have seen five of their eleven wins come by an average margin of 3.6 points per game and, if they some how manage to “pull the rabbit out of the hat” with another tight win we’ll be just fine with the big points offered here. However, here are the keys to this victory. Big games like this can be won in the trenches and we feel that the Cougars are much stronger in the trenches on both sides of the ball in this match-up. Also, BYU has a prolific offense with a fantastic QB. We are well aware of the injury situation with the tight end but we do expect him to play. His brother-in-law (the Cougars QB!) said he expects him to play. This offense is a monster to slow down and we feel that the Utes can not keep up. We’ve seen them get bogged down in big games and the Cougars defense is better than many people think. Be careful looking at bigger points allowed against weaker opposition. Those are letdown games. When BYU faces a tough opponent they will bring their “A game” on defense and, again, they did a better job against TCU than the final score shows. In summary, the Utes are very over-rated in our opinion and the Cougars are under-rated and in this, the final game of the regular season for each team, we take full advantage of that. One final note too, we really like having head coach Bronco Mendenhall on OUR sidelines in a game like this. Play Brigham Young plus the points as a Top Play selection.
Opposite Action Plays
Arizona
JB Sports
Memphis
LT Profits
Virginia
Mike Rose
Colorado St
Pacific Star
Notre Dame
Rocketman
TCU
Alex Smart
Old Dominion
Greg Roberts
5* - PENN STATE -15'
5* - TCU -20
4* - PURDUE -11
3* - TULSA -28'