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Saturday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

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(@the-hog)
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Football Chicks released some games early in order for clients to take advantage before any line movement.

6 units - 363 New Mexico St +17
5 units - 355 Maryland +3
4 units - 314 Akron +3.5
2 units - 325 Georgia +3.5
1 unit - 335 Michigan St -14

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:53 pm
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power sweep

4* Fl Atlantic
3* BYU
3* Purdue
2* Arizona St
2* Auburn

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:53 pm
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nflpicks.com-COLLEGE

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College:

IND +3
Houston -6
Ohio +4
usc -25
stanford +17

8-2 last 2 saturday college..6-0 nfl last 2 sundays from another site

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:53 pm
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ace-ace / allan eastman +20.25 units ncaa fb

5 Boston -27
4 Wis Vs Iowa Under 44.5
3 Oregon -17

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:53 pm
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Red Sheet Plays

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89's--Navy 38-14 over Duke
NEB 48-14 over Ball St
88's--BYU 45-20 over Air Force
ORE 47-13 over Stanford
KANSAS 59-10 over Fla Int
87's--CINN,LSU,TCU,OKLA

NFL 88--PITT 34-13 over S Fran
87's--N ENG,CAR,TENN

Greg Roberts Roast of Week--LOUISVILLE
Dog of Week---TOLEDO

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:53 pm
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PPP Steamrollers

5% NEBRASKA

With only Iowa St on deck, Nebraska will be in an ornery mood following their 31-49 loss to USC on this field on National TV LW. History indicates Ball St is in trouble. Nebraska is 10-3 ATS -10+, 10-5 ATS / Loss and beat Troy 56-0 on this field LY after losing to USC. In week 1 the ever improving Huskers rang up 413 RY in pummeling Nevada. Last week Ball allowed Navy 521 yards overland. Expect an overland Steamrolling output somewhere between the 2 numbers as Nebraska cruises to a 30+ point victory against a Ball St team traveling for the 3rd consecutive week who is 0-7 ATS against Big 12 opponents. Wrong place, wrong time for the Pay Day team.

3% NAVY

LW we used Navy as a 5* Big East Game of the Week in their 31-34 loss to Ball St. When was the last time you saw a 7 point favorite rush for 521 yards and lose the game? NEVER!!! Further west Duke ended their 23 game losing streak by defeating Northwestern as +17. There were out gained by the Wild Cats 507-309 despite the Wild Cats not having their best offensive player, RB Sutton. It sets up the biggest “inverted stat play of the week” with at least 7 points of line value as a result. Navy has won and covered the last 3 in this series including LY when they out rushed Duke 435-113. Not much has changed as the Middies are #1 in the Nation in rushing at 379 RYPG on 6.5 YPR. Duke is still allowing 4.0 YPR while their pitiful offense is averaging just 16 PPG. Navy QB Kaipo who suffered 2nd half ankle injuries vs. Ball has been upgraded to probable for this weeks action. A true Steamroller.

3% KANSAS

Jay Hawks are new to this early season menu of devouring cupcakes. But they have clearly learned from the best in copying in state rival Kansas St who built their program in the 90’s with the same MO. To date, the Jay Hawks are 3-0 SU, 2-0 ATS beating C. Mich, SELA, and Toledo by a margin of 46 PPG. Now comes the worst team in D1, Florida Intl who is 0-15 SU L2Y and is averaging just 6 PPG. With Mangino a bankroll bulging 15-5 ATS at home and with a week off to follow, look for another Steamrolling effort by Kansas this week against a Florida Intl team sandwiched bet

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:54 pm
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Pure Lock College Football Member Play

VIRGINIA (confirmed)

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:54 pm
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doc's college

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5 buffalo +3.5
5 purdue +3.5
4 ohio st -22.5
4 army +27.5
4 colorado -14
4 s carolina +16.5
4 Iowa +8
4 iowa under 44.5

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:54 pm
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Spylock 5* Indiana

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:54 pm
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doc sports

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he 0 8 in nfl

5 Unit Play. #11 Take Purdue -13 ½ over Minnesota (Saturday 9:00 pm ESPN 2) Two weeks ago, I was ready to mortgage the house on this one. Expected the Boilers to come in here as a touchdown favorite, but last week’s loss to Florida Atlantic, exposed how bad this Gopher team actually is. Minnesota has given up more then 400 passing yards in each of their first three games. Can you imagine what QB Painter & Co. will produce with that high octane passing attack? Purdue has owned this series winning seven of the last eight games between the programs. True, we are dealing with an inflated line; however, the odds makers still have not corrected how bad the Gophers actually are.

Minnesota has been producing some offense of their own; however, this will be the best defense they have faced in 2007. Purdue has nine starters back and they are strong and fast. This is a must win game for Purdue, as their next four opponents are Notre Dame, Ohio State, Michigan, & Iowa. The dome and weather will not be a factor, as the Boilers pass right through Minnesota. Purdue 48, Minnesota 20.

4 Unit Play. #20 Take Ohio State -22 ½ over Northwestern (Saturday 3:30 pm ESPN) Went against these Buckeyes last week and had it shoved up you know what! I felt this Buckeye outfit would take some time to develop chemistry on offense, but that is not the case. QB Boeckman looked very impressive and they once again have a balanced attack. They went 263 on the ground and 218 through the air last week @ Washington. Since 1964 the Buckeyes are 31-2 in this series and have won every game in Columbus by over 18 points.

This is the first road game for the Cats, as they have had three straight games @ Ryan Field against Northeastern, Nevada, and Duke. Defense has been a real concern and will be a major factor in Columbus. Last week they lost to Duke, thus ending the Blue Devils 22-game losing streak and that is not what you want to have happen going into the Horseshoe. Would take a larger unit value in this one; however, line is steep and fear a little letdown after a big victory in Seattle, but still not enough. Ohio State 48, Northwestern 10.

4 Unit Play. #24 Take Army +27 ½ over Boston College (Saturday 1:00 pm ESPN Classic) One of the big factor’s in successful handicapping is a big letdown, or a major meltdown. The spot is perfect here for that to occur for Boston College. The Eagles are 3-0, but have had three tough games in Wake Forest, NC State, and Georgia Tech. All three are conference games and high emotion was involved in each of them. A flat spot playing Army if you have ever seen one.

As for Army, still not a power and probably never will be again; however, the defense has been outstanding, led by nine seniors. The Demon Deacons toke the Cadets lightly last Saturday and were out gained by them and won just 21-10. Army will come to play and they always play hard for 60 minutes, making this number look very attractive. The Eagles suffer a letdown and a scare. Boston College 28, Army 10.

4 Unit Play. #40 Take Colorado -14 over Miami (OH) (Saturday 3:30 pm) Another visitor stepping into a tough spot. The Red Hawks will have their third road game out of four total games in 2007. They were pounded last week by rival Cincinnati, 47-10 and suffered injuries and now must go into the high altitude of Boulder, CO. Colorado is no superpower, but has played a brutal schedule in Arizona State and Florida State. They are stepping down in class and the Buffs should give the home folks something to cheer about. The Red Hawks get shot down. Colorado 41, Miami 10.

5 Unit Play. #60 Take Buffalo +3 ½ over Baylor (Saturday 6:00 pm) Maybe the real sleeper of this week’s college card. First home game for the Bulls after playing Rutgers and Penn State in hostile environments. Buffalo did defeat Temple despite being an underdog in Philadelphia. Former Husker QB Turner Gill is the head coach and he certainly has the program going in the right direction with nine starters back on both sides of the ball. The Bulls record may not display this, but they could be one of the most improved teams in the country.

Baylor won only four games in 2006 and no question they are in a rebuilding phase. They struggled last week to put away Texas State and now must make a long flight from Waco to Buffalo. The Bears fail to take the Bulls by the Horns, call the upset. Buffalo 35, Baylor 20.

4 Unit Play. #83 Take South Carolina +16 ½ over LSU (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) A lot of folks think this L.S.U team is No. 1 in the country; although, I certainly cannot give any argument against that statement after the Tigers big win over Virginia Tech on Sept. 8th. But one must remember, Virginia Tech was coming off an emotional home opener. Gamecocks have not fared well in Baton Rouge, as they are 1-9 in their last 10 games, but the difference is that Coach Spurrier was not there for those ten games. Spurrier loves the role of an underdog, in fact since he has been coaching he is 5-0 as a double-digit dog against any team that is undefeated. You can be sure he will have them ready. This Gamecock team is talented and already has a victory on the road in Athens, GA. These two programs have not played each other since 2004 and Spurrier will prove why he is one of the best coaches in the country and will give very little Tiger bait. LSU 28, USC 21.

4 Unit Play. #87 Take Iowa +8 over Wisconsin and Under 44 ½ in Iowa @ Wisconsin (Saturday 8:00 pm ABC Regional) We are taking 4-units on Iowa and 4-units on the under in this game. I maybe stepping on a limb here, but the Badgers are the most overrated team in the country since they are currently ranked in the top-10. With the Citadel having success last week, this proves that this Badger team can be scored upon. The Badgers play Iowa, followed by Michigan State, Illinois, and Penn State. What my point? They will lose at least two of these four games.

Traditionally these two clubs play tight conservative games. Hawkeyes may have an edge of defense, with Bucky taking the reigns on offense. With this in mind, taking the point is the only side to consider in a very physical match-up. Would boast the units, but must respect O.C. Chryst and his play calling ability. In a battle royale, the Badgers keep the Heartland Trophy, but if we cash both, keep an eye on the Michigan State game next week. Low and sweet, Wisconsin 20, Iowa 17.

4 Unit Play. #110 Take Philadelphia -6 over Detroit (Sunday 1:00 pm Fox) Many said last Monday’s game was a must win game for the Eagles at home against the Redskins. That did not occur, but we feel that the Lions coming to town is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. The last time these two squads battled, it was all Eagles by a score of 30-13. The Eagles have a bye coming and realize that this is a must win game if they have any visions of repeating as NFC East Champions. QB McNabb has too much ability to be kept down for long. Philly dominated a much better NFC North team in week one, yet lost because of special teams. Now they put a complete game together and win this game by double-digits. Philly 28, Detroit 17.

5 Unit Play. #120 Take Cincinnati +3 ½ over Seattle (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) Game of the Month. Both teams need this win after suffering loses last week to lesser opponents. Both teams also have strong offenses and bad defenses meaning the underdog looks very attractive. With New England on deck, this is a must win game for the Bengals or they are looking @ a possible 1-3 start to the season. The Seahawks have won games because they play in a terrible division that keeps getting with the fall of St. Louis. The Seahawks defense gave up 431 yards to Arizona last week. We all know how bad the Bengals played in week 2, but there defense will respond and has a knack of creating turnovers to stop opposing drives. The Bengals will reach 30 points and this is just too much to ask of the Seahawks offense. Cincy 30, Seattle 27.

4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -4 ½ over Tennessee (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Saints have yet to find the magic of last season, but that can happen in the NFL, especially opening up with two games on the road. This will be their first game in the Superdome and is a must win affair in order to save their season. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to Indy, a game in which they had a chance to win with under two minutes to play. The Titans weakness (passing game) plays right into the Saints weakness (pass defense) and thus this is a perfect match-up for New Orleans. QB Brees is too good and has too many weapons to not put it together. New Orleans earns the victory and we collect on the last game of week three.

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:55 pm
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rob ferringo

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Note: Couple extra plays this week. I've left too many winners off the board over the last three weeks (see: 9-1 on free plays), so anything that graded out according to my rating scale made it in this week. It was just too tough to have two games that rated out the same and have to decide which to leave and which to keep. I have about 3-4 more games than I normally would (from Oct. through Dec. I will have an average of 14 games per week) but I have scaled down the Unit rating across the board so it's actually the same bankroll exposure as last week. But hey, doesn't matter if you play five games or 50 games - as long as you end the weekend with more money than you started with it's all good. Anyway, you'll see that a lot of these are system plays and situational picks. I think we've found a lot of value and I'm excited about our opportunities. Good luck!!!

THURSDAY SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take First Half: ‘Under’ 23.0 Texas A&M at Miami (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 45.0 Texas A&M at Miami (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 22)
This is all about the Hurricanes. I have respect for both defenses, but the Miami offense is awful. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in Miami’s last eight Thursday games, 21-5 in their last 26 home games, 22-7 in their nonconference games, and 39-16 overall. Texas A&M is an ‘over’ team, but both teams are going to look to establish the run and in big nonconference games like this there’s always a little feeling out period in the first half. I see field goals, not touchdowns, and this will be a close game in the fourth quarter.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
3-Unit Play. Take #313 Kent State (-2) over Akron (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 22)
Believe me, I’m real hesitant to lay the points in a rivalry game like this. But just like with Penn State there’s no doubt who the better all-around team is here. The Flashes have most of the primaries back from the team that slapped the Zips by 22 last year and Kent State is 3-1 ATS in its last four at Akron. The Zips couldn’t handle the dual threat of Indiana’s Kellen Lewis last weekend, so I think they’ll have similar problems with Julian Edelman. In three games this year Akron isn’t running (256 yards for) nor stopping the run (592 against). I think that Kent State will control the line of scrimmage and control this game from jump, meaning the Wagon Wheel Trophy will reside in Kent for another year.

3-Unit Play. Take #315 Army (+27.5) over Boston College (1 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
You have to wonder when the emotional bubble will burst for the Eagles. They opened up with a big win over last year’s ACC champion, followed it up with a big win over their former coach, and followed that up with a big win on the road over their chief competition for the league title. Whew. Could be a letdown spot here against a team that has played great defense up to this point. Army is 3-1 ATS at B.C. over the past several years.

3-Unit Play. Take #331 Penn State (-3, +100) over Michigan (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Note: I suggest waiting on this line. I believe it will drop to -2.5 before kickoff.

Right now there’s no doubt in my mind that the Lions are the better team. They have a stronger defense – one of the best in the nation – and they have the better quarterback. Michigan could get away with playing a freshman quarterback against the pathetic Irish last week, but since PSU should be able to contain Mike Hart I don’t see a greenhorn signal-caller leading the Wolverines to a victory. And even if Chad Henne does play, it’s questionable how effective he’ll be.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 73.5 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Old handicapper trick: when everyone expects one thing – bet the opposite. Everyone is expecting an Arena League-type shootout with two exceptional offenses and poor defenses. Well, we’re going to assume that the oddsmakers tabbed this total a bit high. These teams have stayed ‘under’ in three straight meetings, with the average number of points scored in those games at just 47 points. The average number of points scored in Tech games this year is 72 – but that’s against UTEP, Rice and SMU – while the average in OSU’s games is just 53 points. Further, the 10-year average between these two schools is just 58.4 points per meeting with 73 or more points scored just twice.

3-Unit Play. Take #341 Colorado State (+6.5) over Houston (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Houston still has some instability at the quarterback position and Colorado State is 13-3 following a bye week under Sonny Lubick. The Rams have been a pretty live dog, covering in 59.8 percent of all games as an underdog since 2000 and cashing 60.8 percent of all games as a road dog since 2000. Colorado State can score with the Cougars, and I think their veteran secondary is better equipped to get a stop. I think CSU wins this one outright.

3-Unit Play. Take #352 Toledo (+3.5) over Iowa State (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
This is a perfect Letdown-Look Ahead Game for the Cyclones. They’re riding high after their upset win over Iowa last week and have a primetime matchup with Nebraska next week, so I see them looking past a wounded Toledo squad. Toledo is 5-0 ATS as a home dog over the past seven years and are 38-5 SU at the Glass Bowl. Toledo is 20-2 at home after two straight road games and Iowa State is 1-7 ATS on the road after a SU win as a dog.

3-Unit Play. Take #387 Oregon State (+12) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22).
Teams in their fourth straight home game after winning and being favored in the first three games are just 6-17 ATS. Oregon State brought back 16 starters from a team that beat the Sun Devils 44-10 last year, so I believe that this line is about five points heavy. Arizona State has played well, but their schedule hasn’t impressed me. They have a Sagarin Ranking of just 131 and their opponents are 1-7. I just don’t see where there is enough separation between these teams to warrant a double-digit spread.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #308 Indiana (+3) over Illinois (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 22)
These are two teams that are separated by a razor-thin margin. However, I think that Indiana is not only charmed, but they’re playing sound football on both sides. They are running the ball efficiently, as is the Illini, but the difference is that the Hoosiers can move the ball through the air if forced too. Illinois is 1-15 in its last 16 conference road games and the home team has won four of five in this series. Also, the Ron Zook Factor will come into play and mean an upset by IU.

2-Unit Play. Take #373 South Carolina (+16.5) over LSU (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
I think that Steve Spurrier is a good enough coach to keep this one within three touchdowns. I didn’t really like that LSU benched Matt Flynn last week. I know it was important to get Ryan Perrilloux some work, but they’re just opening up the door for controversy. I think Flynn gets off to a slow start and USC , which is 8-0 ATS on the road and 5-1 ATS overall lately, will get some confidence.

2-Unit Play. Take #325 Georgia (+3.5) over Alabama (7:45 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
Mark Richt is one of the best coaches in the country and is 9-5-1 ATS as an underdog over the past six years (6-2 as a road dog). The Bulldogs don’t play well in Tuscaloosa, but they’ve won the last two in the series and they have all the value. Alabama is in a prime letdown spot and you can bet that Richt will have his team ready to play. West Carolina played both clubs and its coaching staff said that UGA was the better team.

2-Unit Play. Take First Half: ‘Under’ 31 Florida at Mississippi (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 59.5 Florida at Mississippi (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
This game has an early start (11:30 a.m. local) and I get the sense that the atmosphere will be a little different than last week’s blowout win over Tennessee. Florida coaches have said that they plan on waking up the team at 6 a.m., and then they’ll be taking a 60-minute bus ride to Oxford. I’m looking for a slow, uninspired start out of the Gators, who are 3-7 against the total after a win by 20 or more points. The ‘under’ is 21-9 in Ole Miss’ last 30 as a dog and 4-1 in their last five SEC games.

1-Unit Play. Take #324 UCLA (-6) over Washington (10 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 22)
The Bruins have won eight of ten in this series, but have revenge on their side after a brutal 29-19 loss last year in which they led 16-0. The Bruins are 7-2 ATS in this series, 9-1 in Pac-10 home openers, including four straight wins by an average of 21 points. The Bruins have the No. 14 rush defense in the country and that will force Jake Locker to make plays through the air. I think the Bruins - no matter who is QB'ing - are in crisis mode after the blowout loss at Utah, but I think they're the better team and that they'll prove it against the Huskies.

NFL SELECTIONS
5.5-Unit Play. Take #397 Indianapolis (-6) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
Note: This is our Gridiron Game of the Week.

No Andre Johnson means no chance for the Texans. Houston’s value will never be greater - thanks to a pair of blowouts over shaky opponents - but the Colts are still the class of the division. Indianapolis is 10-3 ATS as a September road favorite and 9-1 ATS as a road favorite with revenge. We’re below a key betting number and with 60 percent of Houston’s pass offense on the sideline with a sprained knee I think the Texans will be outmanned. Houston’s weakness is its safeties and I think Manning and Co. will take advantage en route to a statement victory. Indy is 13-3-1 ATS when they win SU on the road dating back to 2004, and 23-5-2 ATS dating back to 2002 (14-5-2 ATS as a favorite).

3-Unit Play. Take #399 San Diego (-5.5) over Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
I think it’s time for the Chargers to put up or shut up. They have faced two of the best five or six teams in the league (Chicago, New England) this year and now they get a crack at a Green Bay that, while it is up-and-coming, has less talent. Green Bay has been very inefficient on offense and defense and they are 3-9-2 ATS at home. San Diego is 16-7-2 ATS on the road. Further, the Packers are 1-7 ATS at home against the AFC recently and 2-9-1 ATS against the AFC since 2004. Green Bay is also 1-8 ATS as a home dog over the past five years. The Packers have a ton of injured players, including five defensive starters. Brett Favre has struggled against teams in the 3-4 and I think that the Chargers defense is able to hold down the Pack en route to a 17-3 win.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 35.5 Jacksonville at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
There is a very solid totals system at work there that has at 61.1 percent over the last 11 years and 71.2 percent in the last four seasons. Beyond that, the Jaguars are 11-1 against the total on the road with a total at 35.5 or less. The ‘over’ is 5-2 in the last meeting (4-0 in Denver) between these clubs and is 8-2 after back-to-back ATS losses by the Broncos. Both teams are in the top half of the league in terms of yards per play, and Denver is No. 1 in total offense. In terms of what’s the least likely thing people are expecting to happen in Week 3 I think that a shootout between the Jags and Broncos is near the top of the list. That’s why I like the play.

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 43.0 San Diego at Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
The Chargers offense has struggled this year mainly because A) they’ve faced two of the best defenses in the league and B) they don’t have any receivers. It’s not going to get any easier on either count this weekend. Each team has seen an average of just 34.5 and 38.5 points, respectively, in their first two games. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in Green Bay’s last five home games, 8-2 following an ATS win by the Pack, and 10-4 in San Diego’s last 14 games against a team with a winning record.

2-Unit Play. Take #402 Kansas City (-2.5) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
I really liked the way that the Chiefs looked in the second half against Chicago last week and I think they are excited about playing at home, where they are 11-3 ATS. The Chiefs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and are facing a Vikings team that is 7-15 ATS on grass. Minnesota has three guys taking snaps at QB with the No. 1 offense this week and no one is batting an eye; to me that’s a serious problem. Jared Allen is back to give the K.C. defense a lift and I think that they can muster just enough offense to squeeze out a low-scoring victory.

1-Unit Play. Take #426 Chicago (-3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)
This was one of those games I circled when the schedule was released, believing that the Bears would devastate the Cowboys on national TV. Dallas has beaten up on two pathetic opponents, but they’ll face a much stiffer task from the Bears defense. Chicago has gone 3-1 ATS against Dallas at home and is 17-9-1 ATS against the NFC over the past two seasons. Dallas is 8-20-3 after a win by 14 or more points (3-14 away), 0-10 on the road off a DD win against an opponent off a DD win, and 2-9 off a DD ATS win in September. The Cowboys are in a spot to be faded after two blowout wins and I think their weaknesses play into Chicago’s strength. Of course, all of this is predicated on Rex not melting down – again.

That's it for this week. Good luck.

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:55 pm
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Pointwise Newsletter

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Rating:1 Cincinatti 48 Marshall 14

Rating:1 BYU 47 AirForce 22

Rating:2 Ohio St 41 Northwestern 10

Rating:3 Navy 38 Duke 14

Rating:4 Georgia 27 Alabama 24

Rating:4 Pittsburgh 27 Uconn 13

Rating:5 Wisconsin 31 Iowa 10

Rating:5 Louisville 57 Syracuse 13

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:55 pm
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Goldsheet Confidential Kick-Off

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10* Nebraska 41 Ball St 10

10* Uconn 24 Pittsburgh 21

10* East Carolina 19 West Virginia 31

10* UNLV 26 Utah 24

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:55 pm
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Gator Report

Big 10 GOW (0-0 0.00)(Saturday): Purdue -13.5

Steamroller GOW (0-2 -2.2)(Saturday): Oregon -17

NCAA System GOW: Connecticut vs. Pittsburgh

System:

Play AGAINST a home/neutral site favorite of more than 1 point with less than 13 days rest seeking revenge for a 1-point SU loss as a favorite of 7+ points in the previous matchup the last 2 seasons 0-23 ATS since 1982

Selection: Connecticut +9.5

NFL "Tech" Total GOW: Jacksonville vs. Denver

Technical Set: Game 3 road teams off back to back "Unders" are 5-16 Under since 1996 and a perfect 0-8 Under as underdogs of 8 points or less. NFL Home Favorites off back to back SU wins but off back to back ATS losses are 1-9 Under since 1986. Game 3 road teams who began the year with two straight home games are 1-7 Under since 1999. Jacksonville is 1-4 Under in their first road game of the season and 0-2 Under versus Denver the last two meetings. Denver is 0-13-1 Under off a division home game and 3-10 Under after facing the Raiders. Play Under NFL teams when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points after allowing 9 points or less last game facing an opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. 12-38 Under the last 10 years.

Selection: UNDER 35

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:56 pm
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Norm Hitzges

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Weekend of 9/22/2007

NCAA

Double Play--Arizona St -11.5 vs Oregon St.
Double Play--Purdue -13.5 vs Minnesota
Double Play--Florida Atlantic -6.5 vs North Texas
Louisville -36.5 vs Syracuse
Navy -13.5 vs Duke
Buffalo +3 vs Baylor
BYU -11 vs Air Force
Penn State -2.5 vs Michigan
Central Florida -7 vs Memphis
California -13.5 vs Arizona
Bowling Green -21 vs Temple
Toledo +3.5 vs Iowa St
Arkansas -7 vs Kentucky
Wyoming -4 vs Ohio
Texas -37.5 vs Rice
Oregon -17.5 vs Stanford

NFL

Pittsburgh -9.5 vs San Francisco
Washington -4 vs NY Giants
Cleveland +3 vs Oakland
Indianapolis -6 vs Houston
NY Jets -3 vs Miami
St. Louis +3.5 vs Tampa Bay
KC/Minnesota Under 33.5
Seattle/Cincy Over 50
Dallas/Chicago Over 41
KC -3 vs Minnesota
Cincinnati +3.5 vs Seattle

 
Posted : September 21, 2007 10:56 pm
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