psychic sports picks
2 units Indiana +2
2 units North Texas +7
2 units Washington +6
3 units West Virginia -24
3 units Michigan +2.5
3 units Kentucky +7
3 units Georgia +3.5
Lenny stevens
TV GOM 20 Arky
20 Oreg
10 UNLV
10 Mich
10 Aub
John Ryan--
Wake Forest -3½
Looking briefly at the Maryland at Wake Forest game there is a strong system that supports Wake. Maryland now knows that they are just not that good a team as they lost SU and ATS at home to West Virginia in front of a National TV audience. Sure they have had a week and a half to prepare, but it takes far longer to overcome that highly emotional and physical loss. This 10-year winning system has gone 30-7 ATS. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are poor passing teams scoring 5.6-6.4 PY/Att. And is now facing an excellent passing defense yielding <=5.6 PY/Att. It could be that simple as I think Wake will win this game by 7 or more points.
Mississippi +23
Let’s take a look at a very intriguing play that has been graded as a 3* LIVE MAJOR DOG by the Ai Simulator. Florida had a huge win at home versus Tennessee ( 1 5* MONSTER loss by the way) and now Florida takes on Mississippi with the line opening at 23 and quickly moving to 21 points. Let’s first take a look at a supporting system that has hit 82% ATS going 27-6 since 202. Play against a road team that is an excellent rushing team averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in 2 straight games. Clearly you could call this a let down system knowing that the play against opponent dominated the LOS in their last 2 games. What is most impressive is that 20 of these games covered the spread by 7 or more points. Here is another system that I like just as much and has gone 76-34 ATS since 1992. Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points in conference games, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. Looking at the matchups I think Mississippi will be able to score points on the Florida defense, but they will have to gain 75 or more rushing yards to do so. Here are two supporting angles as well that show this game could be far closer than anyone would imagine right now. OLE MISS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992. FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Last, but certainly not least is that the AiS shows a 75% probability that Mississippi will lose this game by 21 or fewer points. This is a SEC game and anything can and will happen in this conference.
Leroy's Money Talks Invitational
Mike Corrigan vs. Connie Webber
Mike Corrigan
BI TEAM LINE
308 Indiana +2.5
326 Alabama -3.5
382 Minn +14
373 S. Car. +17
352 Toledo +3.5
384 UNLV +8
Best Bet:
402 Chiefs -3
Connie Webber
BI TEAM LINE
403 Lions +6
408 Jets -3
416 Broncos -3
307 Illinois -2.5
336 Notre Dame +11
352 Toledo +3.5
Best Bet:
402 Chiefs -3
LT Profits
Northwestern @ Ohio State
Both the Ohio State Buckeyes and Northwestern Wildcats have had strong Under tendencies lately, and we expect that to continue this week.
The Under is now 8-3 in the last 11 Northwestern road games, as well as 20-8-1 in their last Big Ten Conference games overall. More importantly, if the Wildcats could only manage 14 points vs. a dreadful Duke team last week, how are they going to generate any offense vs. this stout Ohio State defensive unit? Northwestern has only scored 10 and 7 points respectively in their last two meetings with the Buckeyes, and that was with a better offense than they have this year.
The Under is also 10-2 in the last 12 Ohio State home games, and the Buckeyes have allowed a total of 22 points in three games this season. Granted, shutting down Akron and Youngstown State does not mean a thing, but holding Washington to 14 points in their own stadium is a valid indicator of just how good the Ohio State defense is.
Now sure, the Buckeyes will get their share of points here, but considering that they may be the only team scoring, we do not expect them to push this game Over by themselves.
Northwestern/Ohio State Under 47
U Connecticut +9.5 (-110)
Sat Sep 22 '07 7:00p
This line between the Pittsburgh Panthers and Connecticut Huskies seems inflated to us, due to the combination of the facts that Connecticut almost lost to Temple last week while Pittsburgh almost upset Michigan State on the road.
The way we see things though, Connecticut got caught looking ahead to this game, knowing that they could sleepwalk their way to a win over the Owls. On the flip side, we feel that the Big Ten is grossly overrated, so we do not put much stock in Pittsburgh’s effort last week.
The bottom line is that Connecticut is 3-0, and we feel they will be able to control the clock with their running game here. Remember that the Huskies were in the top 20 in the country in rushing last season at 182.9 rushing yards per game, and based on the breakout game by sophomore Andre Dixon last week (129 yards on 21 carries), we look for them to have success on the ground here vs. an overrated Pittsburgh defense.
Yes, the Panthers are currently ninth in the nation in scoring defense (10 points per game) and 11th in total defense (237 yards per game), but keep in mind that before their encounter with Michigan State, their firs two games were vs. Grambling and Eastern Michigan! This assignment is significantly tougher.
When these teams hooked up in Connecticut last season, the Huskies came away with a wild 46-45 overtime victory. While we do not anticipate another shootout here, we do expect another tight contest that will not be decided until the closing minutes.
Connecticut +9
SEBASTIAN
Seabastian
No baseball
10* Army +28
10* UNLV +8
10* UL Lafyette +8
20* S. Carolina +17
20* Iowa +8
20* Indiana +3
20* Alabama -3
50* Ok St. +6
50* UConn +9
100* BYU -11.5
Cash Pomer
25% of Bankroll on these three plays :
Penn State (over Michigan)
Georgia (over Alabama) consider the money-line on this one.
B.Y.U. (over Air Force)
75 % of Bankroll Play :Arkansas (over kentuky)
Russ Culver +8.15u ytd ncaa fb
310) Navy -13 1/2
313) Kent -2
315) Army +27
322) BYU -11 1/2
328) Mississippi +23
329) Northwestern 23 1/2
334) Oklahoma State +6
337) Memphis +7
355) Maryland +3 1/2
358) North Carolina State +7
359) Marshall +24
367) Wyoming -4
373) South Carolina +17 1/2
384) UNLV +7 1/2
388) Arizona State -11
392) UL-Lafayette +9
326) Georgia-Alabama UNDER 46 1/2
340) Georgia Tech-Virginia UNDER 40 1/2
354) North Carolina-South Florida UNDER 50 1/2
374) South Carolina-LSU UNDER 45 1/2
376) Iowa-Wisconsin UNDER 43 1/2
NC
Small Colleges...
2 1/2* Florida Atlantic (-6 1/2) over North Texas
2* Toledo (+ 3 1/2) over Iowa State
2* College Totals...
2* Georgia Tech/Virginia UNDER 40 1/2
2* Army/Boston College UNDER 45 1/2
Hank Green...
Big Ten G.o.m. Ohio St
6* Buff. U.
5* S. Car.
5* Wisc
5* Byu
3* Nebr
3* Ucla
3* Idaho
3* E. Car.
__________________
Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio
Game: Ball St. at Nebraska Sep 22 2007 12:30PM
Prediction: Nebraska
Reason: Play on Nebraska at 12:30 ET. The last thing Ball St. needed was Nebraska getting embarrassed by USC, the week before the Cardinals visited Lincoln. Unfortunately for Ball St, that's exactly what happened! After opening with a 14-13 home loss to Miami-Ohio, Ball St. has won two straight on the road, including last week's draining 34-31 OT win at Navy. The Cardinals won despite allowing 521 rushing yards and now get a Nebrska team looking to "make up" for its non-competitive performance against USC. Making matters worse, this will be Ball St's third straight road game. Ball St. QB Nate Davis has not been quite as sharp completion-wise as LY (61.2%), connecting on just 53.3% so far, but he does have eight TDs versus just one interception. The problem though, is that the Ball St. defense (allowing 268.7 ypg on the ground and 6.2 ypc), will have to face a solid Nebraska running game (186.3 ypg) plus face a QB in Sam Keller, looking for a breakout game. Expectations were high entering the USC game and all Nebraska can do now is "take it out" on Ball ST. Expect just that to happen! Since losing to Southern Miss in Lincoln in his first year at Nebraska ('04), Callahan has won all five of his home games versus non-conference opponents, going 4-1 ATS. In the four ATS wins, the Cornhuskers have 'covered' by a combined total of 91 points, winning the last three games by the combined score of 157-20! Fill in the blanks here. Nebraska is my 25* Blowout GOY.
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Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio
Game: East Carolina at West Virginia Sep 22 2007 12:00PM
Prediction: East Carolina
Reason: Play on East Carolina at 12:00 ET. West Va's dynamic duo of RB Steve Slaton (392 yards / 5.9 ypc / 8 TDs) and QB Pat White (244 yards / 6.4 ypc plus 63.3 % with a 4-0 ratio) have been joined by freshman RB noel Devine (256 yards / 15.1 ypc)! West Va. has averaged 343.7 ypg and 7.1 ypc with 16 rushing TDs in '07. In comparison, East Carolina averages just 101.0 ypg on the ground (2.9 ypc). The Pirates' leading rusher is QB Patrick Pinkney, who has only 109 yards. Pinkney has however, proven to be an effective passer (65.7%), who has made few mistakes (five TDs and just one INT). On paper it's all Mountaineers but just as we saw on September 1 in Blacksburg, East Carolina is better on the field than on paper. Va. Tech, a 27 1/2-point favorite, escaped with just a 17-7 win at home that day. So what else is new? East Carolina is now 10-1 as a road dog under Skip Holtz! Last year, West Va. came to Greenville and beat East Carolina 27-10 (East Carolina covered as a 21-point dog) and it's hard to imagine any team playing any better against the West Va. rushing attack than the Pirates, who held the Mountaineers to 153 yards and 3.6 ypc. East Carolina's rush D has allowed only 86.0 ypg in '07 and 2.5 ypc. Take the points! 15* East Carolina.
Game: Air Force at BYU Sep 22 2007 3:00PM
Prediction: BYU
Reason: Play on BYU at 3:00 ET. BYU has handled Air Force easily in each of the last three years, winning by an average margin of 19 ppg. The Cougars won't take the Falcons lightly though, as Air Force, under first-year head coach Troy Calhoun, has opened 3-0. The Falcons are already 2-0 in MWC play (beat Utah and TCU), while the Cougars will be playing their conference opener, here. Air Force may been lucky to beat both Utah and TCU (especially the Horned Frogs, who basically gave the game to Air Force) but none the less, Air Force is 3-0. The Cougars have had problems with turnovers and penalties in losses to UCLA and Tulsa but QB Max Hall, a question mark at the beginning of the season, keeps getting better. He threw for 537 yards and four TDs in the 55-47 loss at Tulsa and there is no way the Air Force secondary can effectively stop the Cougars' passing game. The UCLA loss ended a BYU 11-game winning streak and now, after back-to-back losses, the Cougars will be focused and ready. How about this pointspread stat? The SU winner of this series has gone 19-1 ATS the last 20 meetings! 15* BYU.
Game: Miami Ohio at Colorado Sep 22 2007 3:30PM
Prediction: Colorado
Reason: Play on Colorado at 3:30 ET. Miami-Ohio got lucky back on August 30, edging Ball St, 14-13. The RedHawks have since lost back-to-back games, a three-OT affair at Minnesota, before getting crushed by rival Cincinnati last Saturday, 47-10. Miami's OL has been banged up all season but the expected return to health of RB Brandon Murphy gave Miami hope its running game (under 100 ypg in '06) would take some pressure of its two QBs. Neither Kokal nor Raudabaugh figured to remind anyone of Roethlisbeger and they haven't. Kokal's been benched and Raudabaugh will start. However, the bigger news is that Murphy is done for the year (injured again) and his backup (Bratton), will sit out this week out as well. Miami has allowed 451 ypg and 33.7 ppg after three games and this trip to Boulder is the team's third road game in its first four! Colorado QB Cody Hawkins had 306 passing yards versus Florida St last Saturday night and RB Hugh Charles could be ready to contribute again to a running game that really misses him. Dan Hawkins was a big winner at Boise State but after a 2-10 mark in his first year at Boulder, sees no win is insignificant these days. The Buffs have seven teams on their schedule which played in bowl games last year and Miami is NOT one of them. Like, Colorado, Miami has fallen on hard times (also 2-10 in '06) but all the scheduling edges favor Colorado is this one. Plus, Hawkins' team owns the talent edge on both sides of the ball. 15* Colorado.
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Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Indians Sep 22 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: The Indians (91-62) beat Oakland 4-3 on Friday to lower their magic number to win the division to two. Cleveland, which is 21-5 since Aug 25 and now owns MLB's best record (91-62), remained 7 1/2 games ahead of the Detroit Tigers, who won 5-4 over Kansas City on Friday. With a win on Saturday and a loss by the Tigers to the Royals, the Indians would capture the division title for the first time since 2001. Cleveland will turn to Paul Byrd (15-6, 4.36 ERA) on Saturday, who is 5-1 with a 3.83 ERA over his last seven outings. Byrd's having a career season and he's 8-2 since the break with the Indians going 10-3 in his 13 starts. Oakland, which has lost five straight and 17 of 26, will turn to Dan Haren (14-8, 3.12 ERA), who is NOT the same pitcher these days. Haren was 10-3 with a 2.30 ERA before the All-Star break (he got the start for the AL!), but since has gone 4-5 with a 4.43 ERA. However, that doesn't tell the whole story. Since picking up his 14th win of the season on Aug 21 (he's also won exactly 14 games each of the previous two seasons), he's 0-4 with a 5.74 ERA over his last five starts (5.74 ERA). He's allowed 10-plus hits over each of his last FOUR starts, allowing a total of 45 hits in just 25.1 innings! Friday, the Indians opened at minus-$1.70 vs the A's but this game opened at just minus-$1.35. Why? My guess is because Haren is on the mound but that makes little sense considering the way he's pitched. This line is 35-cents "too low!" Oddsmaker's Error on the Cle Indians.
BIG AL's #1 NCAA GAME OF THE WEEK (100% THIS YEAR)
At 8 pm, on ABC TV, our College Football Game of the Week is on the Iowa Hawkeyes plus the points over Wisconsin. The Badgers are 3-0 and have the nation's longest win streak (at 15 games), yet were tied with The Citadel at 21 last week, early in the 3rd quarter, before finally winning 45-31. Wisconsin also struggled against UNLV the previous week, winning 20-13 as a 25 point favorite. Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes have NOT allowed a touchdown all season, and have given up just 18 points (on six field goals), ranking third in scoring defense and fifth in total defense (at 212.7 yards per game). Even though Kirk Ferentz' men didn't give up a touchdown last week, they were upset by Iowa State 15-13, and the Hawkeyes now fall into two systems of mine that are 62-15 and 27-2 ATS that involve playing on conference teams to rebound off outright losses as a favorite. Take the Hawkeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big College Winners: my 3-game package including our SEC Game of the Month; a Conference Game of the Year out of a 15-0 System; and a play out of a super 18-0 System.
BIG AL's 100% (15-0) CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR!
At 10 pm, our Mountain West Game of the Year is on the UNLV Rebels plus the points over Utah. Last week, the Utes upset UCLA 44-6 as a 15-point home dog for their first win of the season (after losing to Air Force and Oregon State in their first two games). But conference single- road favorites have covered just 17 of 61 games off an upset win as a 6-point (or greater) underdog, if they're matched up against a foe with a win percentage from .100 to .730. UNLV is 1-2 this season. The Rebels opened with a road win at Utah State, but have dropped back-to-back home games vs. Wisconsin and Hawaii to fall to 1-2. However, since 1980, teams are 15-0 ATS as conference home dogs of 3+ points, if they are off two straight home losses, and have a win percentage between .200 and .400. Take UNLV. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big College Winners: my Game of the Week (100% this year on our #1 Weekly play); my 3-game package including our SEC Game of the Month; and a play out of a super 18-0 System.
BIG AL'S EYE-POPPING 100% (18-0 ATS) TV WINNER.
At 10:15 pm, on FOX Sports Net, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over UCLA. Last week, Karl Dorrell's Bruins inexplicably lost 44-6 to Utah as a 15-point road favorite. A lot of gamblers will be on UCLA to bounce back from that loss, but teams rarely do when matched up against a conference opponent that is also off a loss. Consider that, since November 2, 1991, .230 (or better) road dogs off a SU loss are a perfect 18-0 ATS vs. conference foes who lost outright as a 14-point (or greater) favorite the previous week. With Washington checking in off a loss to Ohio State last week, we'll play on Tyrone Willingham's men as conference road dogs on Saturday night. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie. And don't miss my other big College Winners: my 3-game package including our SEC Game of the Month; a Conference Game of the Year out of a 15-0 System; and my #1 Game of the Week (3-0 this year on my Top Weekly Play).
MADDUX Sports Football
#332 - NCAA - 3 units on Michigan +3
#337 - NCAA - 3 units on Memphis +7
#340 - NCAA - 3 units on Virginia +3.5
#343 - NCAA - 5 units on Arizona +16
#365 - NCAA - 3 units on Connecticut +10
#374 - NCAA - 3 units on LSU -17.5
#394 - NCAA - 3 units on North Texas +7