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Saturday Service Picks and Free Consensus Reports:

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(@the-hog)
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Selective Sports for Sat

West- Virginia -6 for 7 units
Dont lay more than 7

Nebraska/Texas Over 58 for 5 units
Dont play if this goes more than 59

Cal/Arizona St Over 60 for 4 units
Dont play if this goes more than 62

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:09 am
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Ben Burns
Today's Pick: WASHINGTON STATE (Saturday)
NFL
UCLA vs. Washington St
6:30 EST

While they've managed to remain perfect in Pac-10 play, the Bruins have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the country. Back in September, they looked impressive in beating BYU by double-digits, only to get crushed 44-6 at Utah, the following the week. After getting back on track, the Bruins were dominant at Oregon State, winning by a score of 40-14. Instead of building off that effort, they lost by double-digits vs. a previously winless Notre Dame squad. They followed that up with an important victory vs. California last week. Off that big win, it certainly won't be a surprise if they experience a letdown this week.
While it's hard to know what to expect from UCLA, I'm expecting a massive effort from home underdog Washington State. The Cougars had last week off to recover from an embarrassing loss vs. a strong Oregon squad. That's worth noting as the Cougars are a solid 15-9 the last 24 times that they played when coming off a bye. The Cougars are also a profitable 12-4 ATS the last 16 times they were listed as underdogs of eight points or less. That includes a perfect 5-0 ATS the last five times that they were home underdogs in that range. The Cougars crushed the Bruins 37-15 at UCLA last season, after losing by only three points the previous year. QB Brink threw for more than 400 yards in last season's game and the defense blanked the Bruins for the entire second half. In fact, the Cougars are a perfect 6-0 ATS in six series meetings this millennium, winning five of those games outright. Consider taking the points.

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About the Author:
Ben Burns is documented #1 all-time in both NFL and NHL!

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:09 am
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mac parlay of the century early release

buffalo
central michigan

paid and confirmed

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:10 am
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Bryan Leonard GOM

Your pick will be graded at: 79 5Dimes
EXPERT: Bryan Leonard
TITLE: Total Domination Game of the Month (8-1 89% on the Season)
REASON FOR PICK: New Mexico State at Hawaii Over
Aggies received a boost last week with Chase Holbrook returning to action behind center. He produced 404 passing yards and 3 touchdowns against Idaho. This offense is night and day when he’s healthy, and his absence earlier this season really hurt this team. With Holbrook starting and playing the majority of the game, the Aggies have put up point totals of 45 against Idaho, 20 at Auburn, 29 hosting UTEP, and 34 at New Mexico. With JJ McDermott at quarterback the Aggies managed 21 at Louisiana Tech and were shutout at Boise State. Holbrook has a career touchdown to interception ratio of 51 to 20 with a completion percentage of 71%. The Aggies average 7.93 yards per pass attempt with Holbrook behind center over the course of his career. The posted total on this game seems to be a combination of the two quarterbacks instead of using Holbrook’s stats as the basis. New Mexico did suffer a blow to their scoring unit as leading receiver Chris Williams will be out 6 to 8 weeks. He was their leading receiver averaging 96 yards per game. But this team is loaded with talented pass catchers, so if an injury had to happen this is one position where they can withstand the attrition.
Hawaii simply put is a scoring machine. They have produced at least 41 points in 16 of their last 17 games. The Warriors are averaging 52.1 points per game this season while ranking 31st in total defense. Those defensive numbers are a complete fraud when you consider that they have played very weak scoring units. Louisiana Tech is ranked 100th in scoring offense, UNLV’s ranking is 111th, Idaho comes in at 86th, Utah State ranks 108th and San Jose State comes in at #113. The Aggies of New Mexico State are ranked 68th in the country in scoring and that includes the games started by McDermott. The Warriors allow 24 points per game despite playing those weak offenses along with powerhouses such as Northern Colorado and Charleston Southern.
The last two years these clubs combined for 79 and 77 points. Keep in mind that last year’s 49-30 Hawaii victory was played under the old time rules which eliminated 9% of the game’s plays. The new kickoff rules also increase scoring and we expect the kickoff specialists to be very busy. Hawaii hasn’t faced an offense with this much talent and the Warriors always get their points. This one should be a shootout.

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:11 am
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NCAAF Chicks clients = -37.75 units (23-31-1)
NCAAF Chicks fade = +20.85 units (31-22)

Thursday:
5 units ~ 102 Virginia Tech -3----LOST -5.50 units
3 units ~ 103 Air Force +6----WON +3.00 units

Friday:
1 unit ~ 106 Fresno State +3

Saturday:
6 units ~ 139 UNLV +11
4 units ~ 198 Florida Atlantic -6.5
3 units ~ 160 Maryland Over 48.5
2 units ~ 114 Wake Forest -5.5
1 unit ~ 139 UNLV moneyline +350
1 unit ~ 160 Maryland moneyline +140

NFL Chicks clients = -43.85 units (45-51)
NFL Chicks fade = +0.25 units (51-45)

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:11 am
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feist
nfl goy pats
big12 goy kanst
sec goy goeg

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:11 am
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Jose Gonzalez gives out a pick in the Reno Gazette-Journal every Thursday. We posted his writeup the last two weeks as he was on a run. That run ended last week. He is now 7-1, which for this college football season is very decent.

Here is his writeup:

Afther Week 8, the gap narrows; Manos picks WAC game

LAS VEGAS
FAU -6
Louisiana-Monroe at Florida Atlantic, Saturday at 1 p.m. (pacific time)

The Florida Atlantic Owls will look to keep a perfect record in the Sun Belt Conference when they take on the War Hawks of La.-Monroe.
The Owls are 3-0 in conference play, winning by an average of 10 points per game. At home, FAU has covered the spread in all three games, including a win over Minnesota.
The Owls are led by the charismatic head coach Howard Schnellenberger, who is known for taking distraught programs into the national spotlight. He was responsible for transforming a dismal Miami Hurricane program in 1979 to a national-championship team in just four seasons.
He then took the Louisville program in 1985 that had been perennial losers for a period of six years to a national ranking of No. 11 in 1995. In 1998, Schnellenberger started a program from scratch at FAU, and now the Owls are on the verge of a conference championship and bowl game appearance.
The Owls are led by one of the best unknown quarterbacks in the country in sophomore Rusty Smith. He has thrown for 16 touchdowns and just three interceptions. FAU is a perfect 6-0 against the spread when it scores 28 or more points, over the last three seasons.
At home, Smith is guiding the Owls to 32 points a game and will be facing a War Hawk defense that is surrendering 39.5 points a game on the road.
Defensively, the Owls are led by freshman defensive back Tavious Polo, who leads the country with seven interceptions. As a team, FAU leads the country with a +18 in turnover margin, taking the ball away an amazing 25 times. Senior linebacker Cecil Sincere also leads the conference with 70 tackles. If the Owls get an early lead, LA-Monroe will be playing right into the hands of the Owls' ball-hawk defense.

Jorge Gonzalez
Listen to Gonzalez, "The Leader in Sports Handicapping," on the Good Sports Radio Show on 720 AM, Saturday and Sunday form midnight-2 a.m. (Google KDWN Las Vegas AM Radio for the internet streaming audio)

Standings Week 8
Jorge Gonzalez: 7-1
James Manos: 5-2-1
Lee Sterling: 4-3-1
Casino Sports books: 4-4-0

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:11 am
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Ferringo

COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
6-Unit Play. Take #177 South Carolina (+3) over Tennessee (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 27)
Note: This is our SEC Game of the Year.

The dogs have been barking for weeks in the SEC and I think this is a great value opportunity on the Gamecocks. I believe that USC is a better team here, with a tougher defense and better coach, so to see them getting three points screams out for a wager. The Gamecocks are 8-0 ATS against a team with a winning record and 9-1 ATS on the road. Tennessee is 11-28 ATS in Knoxville and just 8-24 ATS as a home favorite. Further, the road team is a stellar 9-0-1 ATS and South Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five trips to Tennessee. This game is going to be a battle, from start to finish, but I think that South Carolina pulls away late and earns yet another tough SEC road win.

5-Unit Play. Take #183 West Virginia (-6) over Rutgers (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 27)
How did everyone forget about WVU? Well, they’re about to be reminded. West Virginia has beaten Rutgers 12 straight times and I think they catch the Scarlet Knights in a letdown spot after that huge primetime win over South Florida. WVU is fifth in the country in defense and if they can get an early lead in this game they’ll put the game in the hands of an injured Mike Teel. Rutgers pulled out all the stops – fake punts, fake FGs, etc. – and they barely beat USF. I don’t think they can do it twice in a row and I think the Mountaineers make a statement that they’re back in national title contention.

4-Unit Play. Take #200 Arkansas State (+4.5) over Troy (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 27)
Note: This is our Sun Belt Game of the Year.

We have a heavy reverse line movement in this game as nearly 75 percent of the bets have come in on Troy but the line has dropped from 6.0 to 4.5. This play may have been rated as a 6-Unit game at 6.0 or higher. ASU is 11-1 SU at home over the past three years and they are 5-1 both SU and ATS against Troy. We have two of the conference's best offenses and best defenses, with not much separation between the two. I'll take the points, and the home team, in a seres where ASU has won two straight at home and the last three have been decided by a TD or less.

3-Unit Play. Take #107 South Florida (-4) over Connecticut (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 25)
South Florida has banged heads with Auburn, West Virginia, and Rutgers this season and are 2-1 against them. Those three teams are better than any two teams that the Huskies have matched up with. UConn’s toughest tests were a one-point loss to a decent Virginia squad and a lucky win over a Louisville team that may miss a bowl game. I’m laying the points and backing the better team here as I don’t think USF losses two in a row.

3-Unit Play. Take #186 Penn State (+4) over Ohio State (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 27)
I hate to go against Jim Tressel at any time, but I simply do not think that this Buckeyes team is the best team in the country. Penn State has been spectacular at home and have all of the value, getting points in Happy Valley. Anthony Morrelli is definitely shaky, but he plays much better at home than he does on the road. OSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four trips to Penn State and the home team is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Look for another White Out and another emotional Penn victory in what should be an extremely tight game.

3-Unit Play. Take #191 California (+3) over Arizona State (10 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 27)
I think people are underestimating what the loss of Ryan Torrain means to this Arizona State offense. I also think that the odds are against the Golden Bears losing three straight games more than they are for the Sun Devils winning eight in a row. Remember, ASU trailed by double digits in games against Oregon State and Washington State, and they were losing to Washington at halftime as well. If Cal gets up big in this one they will turn the lights out quickly.

3-Unit Play. Take #110 Wisconsin (-7.5) over Indiana (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 27)
I think that Wisconsin is back and I think that this is a horrible matchup for Indiana. The Hoosiers are one of the worst teams against the rush in the country and they are facing a team that will absolutely maul them up front. I know that the Badgers have been one of the worst teams in the nation ATS this year but I saw enough fire out of them against Northern Illinois this week to think that they can put a hurtin' on a team that has played very poorly against top-notch running games.

1-Unit Play. Take #106 Fresno State (+3) over Boise State (9 p.m., Friday, Oct. 26)
Fresno State has been playing great ball lately and now catch Boise State without star running back Ian Johnson. Boise struggled at Louisiana Tech without Johnson last week and are now facing a hot WAC team. Boise State is 0-2 ATS in its two road games this year, 2-5 ATS in their L7 away, and 1-6 ATS as a road favorite.

1-Unit Play. Take #155 Georgia (+8) over Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 26)
I just have too much respect for Mark Richt, who has proven himself as a solid bet as a road underdog in SEC play. Throw in an extra week of preparation, Florida coming off a rivalry game, the fact that the last five games in this series have been decided by a touchdown, and that the underdog has peformed exceptionally well and I think you have a solid play.

1-Unit Play. Take #146 Oregon (-3) over USC (3 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 27)
In what I feel is the marquee matchup of the day my money is going with who I feel is just the better team. Oregon is 26-0 ATS after rushing for 200 or more yards and have been the more impressive club to me over the past two months. Eugene is a very difficult place to play, and after getting slapped around by the Trojans over the past few years I think that the Ducks have the upper hand. This is a game I tabbed as a "play on" when the schedules came out so I'm going to trust my instincts in this one.

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:12 am
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kodiak

5 fresno st
5 mich st
5 wash
5 psu
5 nc
5 ga

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:13 am
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ace-ace / allan eastman

4 Geo +7'
3 W Vir -6
5 New Mex -5'
3 Fresno M/l +137

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:14 am
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Power Sweep

Key Selections

College

4* Byu over SAN DIEGO ST 41 17

3* EAST CAROLINA over Uab 41 17

3* West Virginia over RUTGERS 37 20

2* FLORIDA ATL over Ulm 33 23

2* UTAH ST ( + ) over Louisiana Tech 23(+) L Tech 17 Utah ST winning straight up

2* IOWA ( + ) over Michigan State 20 17 Iowa winning straight up

Underdog Play of the Week

Washington St ( +6.5 ) over Ucla

Score W St 27 Ucla 26

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:14 am
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Power Plays 4*'s

4* Louisville
4* Auburn
4* Missouri
4* Kansas State
4* Oregon
4* Utah State
4* NC State
4* Nevada
4* West Virginia
4* Penn State
4* Arizona State
4* Middle Tennessee

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:15 am
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Dave Cokin Early Releases:

15 - 9 on the year ( 0-3 last week )

Boston College -- thursday

Michigan ST.

Kansas

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:15 am
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Ben Burns

Situational Game of the Year-Saturday

UTAH STATE

Blowout Game of the Year

LOUISVILLE

3-Game Executive Report Saturday

TEXAS A&M
MISSISSIPPI STATE
IOWA

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:15 am
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Northcoast - all together in one post:

Northcoast Infomercial

Monday

Early Bird POW -----> 7-1 This year ....16-5 last 2 years ..../ 94-47 over 11 years

Louisville -10.5

Tuesday

Underdog POW ----> 6 -2 this year

4* Penn St.

Northcoast Comp Underdog POW (not the powersweep UPOW!) ----> (didnt give a record so i'm assuming it's not that great)

UNC +6

Wednesday

Economy Club----------------> 14-8 last 2 years (no record this year so I'm guessing it's not doing so well

North Carolina St.

Thursday

Totals POW-------------> no record given so I assume not that good

New Orleans under 40.5

Conference USA/Independent POW --------> 5-2 this year

Memphis

Northcoast Big Dogs

Georgia
Mississippi State

 
Posted : October 27, 2007 12:17 am
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