AJ APOLLO
12:00p
Duke r322
+16.5 (-110) / 5 units
5* CFB BEST Duke +16.5 vs. Clemson
3:30p
Michigan State r356
+4.0 (-110) / 3 units
3* CFB Action Michigan State +4 vs. Michigan
6:30p
Colorado r376
+3.5 (-110) / 3 units
3* CFB Action Colorado +3.5 vs. Missouri
7:15p
Rutgers r311
(110) / 3 units
3* CFB Action Rutgers ML +110 vs. Connecticut
ROBERT FERRINGO
4 Unit Play WAKE -1
4 Unit Play Teaser NAVY +10.5 / CINCINNATI +12
3.5 Unit Play COLORADO +4
3 Unit Play OKLAHOMA ST +3
2.5 Unit PLay 1st Half OREGON -4
2 Unit Play MICHIGAN ST +4.5
1.5 Unit Play INDIANA -6.5
DR CHAD
5 units on NAVY, Minnesota, and Texas A&M.
3 units on Boston College and Nebraska.
Jim Feist
Mountain West GOY - BYU
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Glenn McGrew
SEC Game of Year ALABAMA
Charlie Sports
saturday november 3, 2007.
college football. wisconsin+16 (500* )
college football. penn state-8 (30*)
college football. florida-14' (20*)
college football. indiana-7 (20*)
college football. miami fl-10' (10*)
college football. nebraska+20 (10*)
Northcoast 2* totals and small colleges
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These are not his official late phone selections...a 2* is considered a Top Opinion (3* and up are official selections)
Small College plays
2* Miami, OH (-6 1/2) over Buffalo
2* Indiana (-7) over Ball State
Totals Plays
2* Ball State/Indiana OVER 62 1/2
2* Florida Int'l/Arkansas State UNDER 52
2* South Carolina/Arkansas UNDER 50
ATS Lock Club
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25 units on Oregon (-7 1/2) over Arizona State, 6:45 - Lock of the year
8 units on Miami-Ohio (-6 1/2) over Buffalo, 3:00
6 units on Iowa State (+15 1/2) over Kansas State, 12:30
5 units on Rutgers (+1 1/2) over Connecticut, 7:00
5 units on Penn State (-8) over Purdue, 12:00
Big Al's Plays
At 3:30 pm, our Big 12 Revenge Game of the Year is on Oklahoma State, as the Cowboys look to snap a nine-game losing streak to the Longhorns. Okie State falls into several of my best systems, with records of 104-51, 47-13, 77-30, 40-10, 62-25, 33-9, and 26-0 ATS. Let's take a look at our 33-9 ATS system. Here, we want to play on any rested home underdog (or Pk) off back-to-back wins, at Game 6 of the season or later, that's matched up against an unrested foe. Two weeks ago, Oklahoma State beat then-No. 25 Kansas State 41-39 for its fourth win in five games, and the Cowboys won 45-14 two games back vs. Nebraska. Also, Texas struggles on the road vs. rested teams, as the 'Horns are a poor 18% ATS since 1980 in this role when priced from -20.5 to +2 points. Take Oklahoma State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 3-game TV package on Saturday, or my Big Chalk Blowout of the Month, or my 20-0 ATS System Winner.
Our 3 selections include Rutgers, California and Florida State.
At 7:15 pm, on ESPN-U, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights plus the points over UConn, as the Huskies are in a terrible situational spot following their last three games which they covered as an underdog (vs. Virginia, Louisville and South Florida), winning their last two outright. But winning College football teams off three straight pointspread wins as an underdog are 0-17 ATS since 1980 vs. conference foes if they're favored by less than 13 points (or Pk). Take Rutgers.
At 8 pm, on ABC TV, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles plus the points over Boston College. The BC Eagles are unbeaten, but now fall into a nasty 9-40 ATS situation, as unbeaten teams that start the season with 5+ wins, are horrid vs. revenging foes off a SU win, if our unbeaten team is priced from -5.5 to -20 points. Last year, BC went into Tallahassee and upset the Seminoles 24-19, but look for Bobby Bowden's men to avenge that loss with an upset here. Take the points.
At 10 pm, on Fox Sports Net, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Washington State. Jeff Tedford's team has dropped three straight, but should break out of its funk here vs. Wazzu. The Bears fall into a 55-31 ATS angle that plays on double digit home favorites, at Game 7 forward, off back to back ATS losses. And if our team is on a 3-game or worse losing streak, then our 55-31 stat moves to 11-2 ATS. Look for the Bears to rout the Cougars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my Big Chalk Blowout of the Month, or my Conference Revenge Game of the Year, or my 20-0 ATS System Winner.
At 5 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide plus the points over LSU, as Nick Saban's crew falls into a super 20-0 ATS system. What we want to do is play on any rested, revenging home team, at Game 9 of the season or later, if our home team is off a win, priced from +7 to +16.5 points, and matched up against a foe whose win percentage is .700 or better. Two weeks ago, Alabama upset Tennessee 41-17 as a home dog for its third straight win, and now Saban's men seek to snap their four-game losing streak to LSU. The Tigers have dropped five straight games to the spread and easily could be on a 3-game losing streak, had they not come back to win against Florida and Auburn at home. Alabama is a solid 7-3-1 ATS as home dogs since 1998 vs. a foe off a win, and we'll grab the points with the Crimson Tide on Saturday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my Conference Revenge Game of the Year, my Big Chalk Blowout of the Month, or my 3-Game TV Package on Saturday.
At 8 pm, our Big Chalk Blowout of the Month is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Texas A&M, as Bob Stoops men fall into a super 42-11 ATS system that pinpoints when certain big favorites will blowout their opponent. What we want to do is play on any home/neutral site favorite of -9 or more points, that's off back to back wins of 9+ points, if it failed to cover the spread in its previous game, and also did not register a pointspread win two games back. And, if our big favorite failed to cover its spread by 6 or more points the previous game, and is now favored by 13+ points, then our 42-11 system improves to an almost perfect 17-1 ATS since 1980. Also, Texas A&M is an awful 5-22 ATS since 1996 on the road off a home game, if they're playing a .500 or better foe. Take Oklahoma. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my 3-game NCAA Football package, or my 20-0 ATS System Winner, or my Conference Revenge Game of the Year.
At 8:35 pm, our Central Division Game of the Month is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Milwaukee. The Bulls have started 0-2, and now have to go on the road to take on their Central Division rival, the Milwaukee Bucks. This is a great spot for Scotty Skiles' men, as winless teams are 81.1% ATS on the division road in the first four games of a season, provided they i) won at least 34 regular season games the previous year, and ii) are not playing without rest vs. a rested foe. Look for Chicago to break into the win column this Saturday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Ethan Law
CFB Total
double-dime bet356 Michigan St. / 355 Michigan Under 51.0 Bodog
Analysis:
Note: Please do not post my plays on forums for free as this is the final warning. If you are caught posting my plays you will lose your access and will not get a refund. Thank you and best of luck today!
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THE NCAA TOTAL OF THE YEAR!
MICHIGAN (7-2) at MICHIGAN ST (5-4)
Here we golock and load! I absolutely love these rivalry contests and this one means the most to the home underdog so we know from the start we are going to get a very motivated effort from Michigan State this weekend. From the very start of the season I was a big supporter of the Michigan team (7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS) who has finally put things together after their terrible start of the season by winning 7 in a row. The shocking 34-32 home loss to two-time defending I-AA champion Appalachian State and a 39-7 loss at home to Oregon are in the past now. The loss to Oregon isnt as shocking now as we have been able to see just how dangerous that team really is this season. As a result of their recent streak, Michigan is now 5-0 in the Big 10. They are led by their senior quarterback Chad Henne who (although playing) is wearing a brace on his knee and is not 100%. As such, dont be surprised if freshman Ryan Mallett gets some playing time in as well. The main weapon of this balanced offense is their running back, Mike Hart who has missed 2 1/2 games since appearing to injure his right ankle. It should be noted that both Hart and Henne are expected to start in the contest, but at what capacity I am uncertain. Meanwhile, their opponent, Michigan State (5-4 SU & 5-4 ATS) is heading the opposite direction as they have now lost 4 of the last 5. Similar to Michigan, MSU uses a balanced attack to wear down its opponents as they are averaging over 200 yards rushing and passing per contest.
The posted total in this contest opened at 53 and has moved two points down to 51 despite a 70/30 betting ration on players playing the Over. Those who follow me know that I only use the technicals as a small amount of my overall handicapping ideology, but with that said we do have some good ones to start off this analysis. First we know that Michigan is 6-2 under the total this season and even more impressive 11-2 UNDER against conference opponents over the last two (2) seasons. The fact that Michigan has played under isnt all that surprising as they traditionally have a very good defense and this year is no exception as they come into this contest with the a defense ranked 21st in the nation in total and scoring defense. Since giving up 331 yards to Oregon, now one has gotten more than 137, including Illinois, Purdue, Penn State and Minnesota. Some experts believe that Michigan has a comparable defense to that of BCS No 1 Ohio State who held MSU too just 185 total yards of offense. Michigan also held arguably the best rushing attack in the conference in Illinois running attack to under 140 yards rushing so this is a team that is more then capable in stopping the run. One the season, they are allowing opponents 129 yards rushing on 3.6 yards per carry. The Michigan defense has also kept the passing attack in check as they are allowing under 190 yards passing. In contrast, MSU comes into this contest with a very under rated defense unit, one that ranks in the top 40 in the country in total defense. I have read several of my competitors takes on this game and they all say the same thingMSU will get torched by the Michigan rushing attack because they allowed four opponents to rush for more then 200 yards against them this season. Well although that statement is factually true, it is also misleading as all four of those teams primarily run the football. Yes Pittsburgh rushed for 207 yards, but they only managed 85 yards of passing. So in that contest they held them to under 300 yards of total offense, not bad. Against Iowa, they gave up a whopping 230 yards on the ground, but only gave up a meager 53 yards passingnow were talking. In the interest of fairness, both Ohio State and Wisconsin pretty much had their way with MSU but they caught Wisconsin after playing Notre Dame so it was a bad spot for the anyways. The point is, if you take away those 200+ yards yields against those 75% rushing teamswhat we have here is a very elite run stopping unit. Even when you factor in all four games where they gave up 200 rushing yards, this is still a MSU defense that is 130 yards on the ground per game on only 3.6 yards per carry! In fact, in terms of total yardage yielded this season, Michigans defense is only 19 yards better than MSUs! With both teams needing to establish the run, dont be surprised if the defensive front seven of both clubs control things early.
Michigan's offensive line has already given up 15 sacks so far this season, and that is not good news when matched up against a very physical MSU defensive front 7 who will try to go after the injured Henne who will be unable to get out of the way as he is more of a statue the a scrambling quarterback. If you recall, Ohio State also has a very immobile QB in Todd Boeckman, and it has a terrific offensive line. When MSU got into the Buckeye backfield, it forced two huge mistakes that changed the game around. The same could happen this week, and Michigan knows that. They also know that protecting Henne is critical if they wish to beat both Wisconsin (on deck) and Ohio State the flowing week. That means we will see a lot of rushes and a very face paced contest. The good news for the Wolverines is that MSU does not have a mobile QB (see App-State & Oregon) so they will be at their best when they get to take their licks against an MSU quarterback whos paying in this rivalry game for the first time in his career. Points will be at a premium as both teams look to play conservative to avoid the costly mistakes. This one should have little trouble staying well under the posted total.
Projected Score: Michigan 17, Michigan St 20
PLAY 2* UNITS ON MICHIGAN/MICHIGAN STATE UNDER 51
Mike Lee
Vandy+15
LSU-7
Missouri-4
Northcoast Late Phones
4* ND -3
4* USC -15
4* So Miss -10-1/2
3* Ohio St -16
3* USF -5
3* Virginia pk
3* UL Monroe +3-1/2
Wayne Root
Chairman - LSU
Millionaire - Ariz St
Money Maker - Colorado
No Limit - Mich St
Insider Circle - Purdue
Billionaire - Florida St
Kruuger- ALL 3 UNITS
NW-1
Bama +7 (this is the same call as Joe Wiz= CAUTION)
Colorado +4
Stanford +3
Rutgers +1
Welcome to All Star Selections
Your Football Selections for Saturday November 3rd is:
NCAA Football
5* Take Miami (-10.5) over N.C. State
3* Take Florida State (+6.5) over Boston College
3* Take Troy State (+16) over Georgia
Touthouse Tpc
Here's touthouse top play club for you fellas
NOTE: ALL "TOP PLAY" CLUB SELECTIONS ARE PLAYED AT 1.5X THE "TOP UNDERDOG" AND "TOP TOTAL" PLAYS. TOP OPINIONS ARE GRADED AT 1/2 UNIT
(Example: Top Play $150 Top Underdog $100 Top Total $100 Top Opinions $50)
Saturday, November 3rd 2007
TOP PLAY: NCAAF: BYU -21 (1.5 Units)
TOP UNDERDOG: NCAAF: Colorado +3.5 (1 Unit)
TOP TOTAL: NCAAF: Navy / Notre Dame Over 56.5 (1 Unit)
TOP OPINIONS:
NCAAF: North Carolina State +11 (1/2 Unit)
NCAAF: Oklahoma State +3 (1/2 Unit)
NCAAF: South Carolina +5.5 (1/2 Unit)
NCAAF: Troy State +15.5 (1/2 Unit)
NBA: Chicago Bulls -2.5 (1/2 Unit)
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Have a Great Winning Saturday!