TOM SCOTT'S BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR!
Texas A&M at TEXAS TECH - 13:30 PM EST
Play ON: #184 - TEXAS TECH minus the points
In addition to the sweet angles on the Red Raiders, consider these astounding numbers: Tech has won 29 of its last 34 games here (17-6 ATS when laying more than three points) and has averaged 47 points per game in those 34 games. The Raiders have won and covered six in a row against the Aggies on this field, including blowouts by 39 and 31 points in the last two here. Texas A&M is 4-36 ATS in its last 40 road games in which the Aggies allowed at least 28 points. Here's the motivation. Jorvorskie Lane, A&M's oversized FB, guaranteed a victory for his team. Old navy adage - Loose lips sink ships and Aggies. PREDICTION: TEXAS TECH 47 - Texas A&M 16
Rocketman Sports
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COLORADO ST. -3.5
- Air Force is only scoring 15.3 points per game on the road this year. Colorado State is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS at home vs Air Force since 1992. Colorado State is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings with Air Force. Air Force is 2-10 ATS last 12 on grass. This is one of those games where you say why in the world would Vegas put an 0-5 team as a favorite against a 4-2 team. We'll play Colorado State for 1 unit today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Docs Sports
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5* Oklahoma -10.5 BIG 12 goy
4* Penn St -7
4* Buffalo -3
4* Central Michigan -13.5
4* Central Florida +11.5
4* Louisville +10
Tom Luicci
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Pretty good capper only does tv games
Illinois over IOWA, giving 3 1/2 (ESPN, noon)Did you notice how Penn State rushed for 256 yards against the reeling Hawkeyes last week? Juice Williams and Rashard Mendenhall did.
Texas over IOWA STATE, giving 16 1/2 (FSN, 12:30)Losing WR Limas Sweed for the year won't help Colt McCoy, but this is exactly the kind of punchless opponent Texas usually steamrolls.
Boston College over NOTRE DAME, giving 14 (Ch. 4, 3:30)Irish beat a team with no QB last week. That won't be the case here. Matt Ryan is having a Heisman year that ND can't keep pace with
. KENTUCKY over LSU, taking 10 (Ch. 2, 3:30)Tigers play their first real road game and should face adversity for the first time. QB Andre Woodson can keep Kentucky in this with his feet
. Wisconsin over PENN STATE, taking 7 (Ch. 7, 3:30)Badgers had been begging to get beat, and finally were, but Penn State's team is a mess. This has all the makings of a drab, low-scoring game.
Louisville over CINCINNATI, taking 10 (ESPNU, 7)As good as Cincy's defense is, it does give up a lot of yardage -- something Brian Brohm can exploit, especially if WR Harry Douglas is back.
Auburn over ARKANSAS, taking 3 (ESPN, 7:45)Tigers are now playing up to expectations, with QB Brandon Cox finally avoiding errors. Hogs can run but can't pass and their defense is suspect.
KANSAS STATE over Colorado, giving 5 (ESPN2, 9:15)Someone tell KSU coach Ron Prince that playing not to lose isn't the same as playing to win. Wildcats produce a big bounce-back effort at home.
Northcoast comp lines this week:
Early bird 4-2 YTD is on ASU -11
Underdog POW 3-3 YTD is on Toledo +3
PowerPlays 4* POW 4-2 YTD is on Penn St-6
Economy POW 4-2 YTD is on Miami Florida -2
NFL Total POW 4-2 YTD is on over 44 Browns/Dolphins
BIG 10 POW is 4-2 YTD is also on Penn St -6
Big 12 POW 5-1 YTD is on Oaklahoma -12
AAA~Sports
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NCAAF: Air Force Falcons at Colorado State Rams - Under 47.5 -110
Game Date: 10/13/2007
Note: Air Force comes into this contest with visions of Sugarplums dancing in their head and a clear chance of going Bowling after a 4-2 start. This team is being successful with a great ground game as usual, ranked eighth in the country in that department. They do, however have a serious problem passing and are in the bottom 10% of all Division 1A Schools. With Colorado State not too adepth at stopping the run, the Falcons are concentrating on doing exactly what they have done all year, and that is ball control, utilizing their great running game skills. I do think that they will have some success. What they do have as well is a defense that is #20 overall in this great land of ours and they have been able to accomplish that verses the likes of TCU, Navy, BYU, Utah, and UNLV. Certainly that is nothing to scoff at. The most impressive game as far as I am concerned is the one they had at BYU, holding the explosive Cougars to 31 points while have great difficulty scoring themselves. Thirty One points impressed me? It does, simply because despite that, we saw just 37 points overall in that game and the defense was asked to perform all game with little help from the Air Force offensive scheme. That has been the case all year with all but the last game going UNDER the total and that one was over by one point on a 17 point fourth quarter. Air Force games can be summed up very easily. They run the clock and they play very good D. That makes for a short game and we will more than likely have one of those Saturday. There is nothing impressive about the Rams when they have the ball, they have yet to hit the 30 mark this year, and they are consistantly being out-offensed. At just 360 total yards per game, they are not likely to hit their average Saturday against the aggressive AF defense. Playing Houston, Cal, and Colorado have skewed their numbers greatly both on offense and D with wide open type games in each of those contests. That has given us a very optimistic total for Saturday, and one that has been achieved just once in 6 Falcon games. Air Force does not want to, nor will they let this game get out of hand because they know that they are not a catchup team. Forty seven point five is going to be hard to reach considering the AF mindset in this one..
ACE-ACE
record 14-11 +$447.00
C.MICH -13.5 +101.........................$500
S.CAR-7-105..................................$400
TULSA UNDER 71 -105......................$300
TEXAS AM OVER 70 -105...................$200
Brandon Lang
SATURDAY
30 DIME
CINCINNATI BEARCATS
10 DIME
Boston College
Miami/Florida
5 DIME
Missouri
Indiana
Kentucky
Oregon
Free Pick - Colorado - (For analysis see Daily video)
BIG Al
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4* Kentucky
3* Smu, Utep, Oregon St
Non Conf Favorite Of The Year: Tcu
Mac Goy: Akron
Big East Goy: Louisville
GoldSheet
Top: South Florida
Regular: Central Michigan, Wisconsin, Air Force, Missouri & Louisiana-Lafayette
A-Play Chip Chrimbes
Chip Shot Best Bets
Kentucky
Arkansas
He has two other best bets on South Carolina/North Carolina and Georgia/Vanderbilt
Maddux
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5 units on UTEP -2.5
4 units on Indiana +4.5
3 units on Central Michigan -13
3 units on Eastern Michigan +4.5
3 units on Georgia Tech +3 -120 (Buy 1/2 point)
3 units on Mississippi +7 -120 (Buy 1/2 point)
3 units on Colorado +5.5
3 units on Duke +14.5
3 units on Virginia -3
Cappers Access--
(Sat) CFB Miami-Fla Georgia Tech 2- Georgia Tech
(Sat) CFB Penn St Wisconsin 7 Wisconsin
(Sat) CFB Boston College Notre Dame 13- Boston College
(Sat) CFB Kansas St Colorado 5 Colorado
Strike Points
5 Illinios ( money line)
4 Virginia (money line)
3 Bay/Kan over 61
4 Wisc
2 Wash St
3 Stanford
3 Missouri
2 Indiana
3 Louisville
2 Aub
3 Colo
LineCrusher
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3*Miami-Florida -2.5 over Georgia Tech (12:00 Eastern)
Have to go with Miami as short home chalk off of a road loss and playing with double revenge having lost the last two seasons vs Georgia Tech. Regardless of the state of the Miami program few teams beat the Hurricanes twice in a row let alone 3 straight games and few invaders beat Miami in the Orange Bowl. Over the last 8+ seasons Miami is 44-7 at home and you know this is a conference home game the Hurricanes want.
3*Georgia -7 over Vanderbilt (time change, 6:00 Eastern)
The Bulldogs will come to play off of last weeks ugly 14-35 loss at Tennessee, having already lost 2 games, going into a bye next week with Florida on deck and playing with revenge for a 2 point 22-24 home loss vs Vanderbilt last season. Vandy has a -0.8 net yards per play differential while Georgia has a 0.0 net yards per play differential giving the Bulldogs a +0.8 net yards per play edge in this match-up.
4*Oregon -19 over Washington State (3:30 Eastern)
Have to lay the wood with Oregon (4-1) off of a 24-31 home loss vs Cal, being home off of a home loss coming out of a bye week off that loss and playing with revenge for an 11 point 23-34 loss at Washington State last season. Washington State played their best game of the season last week losing 20-23 at home on a last minute field goal vs Arizona State which should leave the Cougars flat here. WSU is 0-3 on the road losing 21-42 at Wisconsin, 14-47 at USC and 20-48 at Arizona. Washington State has a -0.2 net yards per play differential while Oregon has a +2.8 net yards per play differential giving the Ducks a huge +3.0 net yards per play edge in this match-up which spells blowout.
4*TCU -6 over Stanford (5:00 Eastern)
This is basically a fade play fading Stanford who should be totally flat this week coming off of last weeks monster last second 24-23 win at USC as a +40 road underdog in what was arguably the biggest upset in college football history and the Cardinal have a conference revenge game at Arizona next week. Coming into this season TCU was 22-3 the last two seasons and TCU (3-3) is off a loss, has yet to win a road game (0-3) so will come to play knowing Stanford upset USC last week. TCU has a +0.1 net yards per play differential while Stanford has a -1.6 net yards per play differential giving the Horned Frogs a +1.7 net yards per play edge in this match-up. Stanford is 1-3 at home losing 17-45 vs UCLA, 31-55 vs Oregon and 3-41 vs Arizona State with their lone home win being vs San Jose State. Funny, Stanford plays 1 road game so far this season and it is a 24-23 win at USC last week as a +40 road underdog. Hmmm...
4*Michigan State -3.5 over Indiana (7:00 Eastern)
What a disastrous loss last week for Michigan State (now 4-2) losing 41-48 in OT at home vs Northwestern. You can only figure the Spartans were flat coming off of a road win at Notre Dame and then a disappointing hard fought 34-37 loss at Wisconsin. Have to go with Michigan State as short home chalk off of an immediate home loss and back to back losses playing with revenge for an embarrassing 25 point 21-46 loss at Indiana last season. Indiana has a +0.4 net yards per play differential while Michigan State has a +1.1 net yards per play differential giving the Spartans a +0.7 net yards per play edge in this match-up. 4-2, off of back to back losses this is a must win for Michigan State with Ohio State, Iowa, Michigan, Purdue and Penn State left on the schedule. It takes 6 wins to be bowl eligible so this is a huge game for the Spartans.