Lineback
NFL
5* - tease - Green Bay -1/2, Indianapolis -2.5
4* - Jacksonville/New England OVER 50
4* - NY Giants +7 1/2
4* - NY Giants/Dallas OVER 46 1/2
NBA
4* - Washington/Boston UNDER 188 1/2
NCAAB
4* - Texas -1
4* - Texas Tech +5.5
4* - Dayton -4.5
4* - Cincinnati +3
RAS Totals
All 1 Unit
Pepperdine Over 154.5
Montana Under 136
San Fran Under 134.5
Wright State Under 129
Wolkosky Milan
10* PACKERS -7½
10* SEA/GB OVER 43
10* JAC/NE OVER 49½
10* MILWAUKEE +13½
10* IND/SAC UNDER 209
10* ORL/UTA UNDER 212
10* BOS/WAS OVER 189
Docs CBB
6 Unit Play. #527 Take Texas -1 ½ over Missouri (1:45 ESPN Fullcourt) Big XII Game of the Year. The Longhorns have been dominate in Big XII openers winning ten straight games under Coach Rick Barnes and today will be no different. They have won these games by an average of 17.6 points and also have had great success against Missouri. The Tigers have lost nine straight games to Texas and will no answer for D.J. Augustin. This guy gets it done scoring and dishing and will be able to get to the paint whenever he so desires. The Tigers have alternated wins and losses in their last five games and this will be the toughest opponent they have faced all season. Texas gets the job done giving us yet another Conference GOY cash.
4 Unit Play. #542 Take Miami -6 over Georgia Tech (2:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Hurricanes play the type of defense to frustrate the impatient Yellow Jackets and have yet to lose a game @ the Convocation Center this year. Tech leading scorer averages just 15 points per game and they are coming off a hard fought loss to Georgia. They will bring nothing to the table on Saturday and Miami wins this by double-digits.
4 Unit Play. #622 Take Drake -5 over Missouri State (8:00 pm Mediacom) The Bulldogs have emerged to the top of the standing in a watered down MVC and are set to do battle with the Bear tonight at the Drake Knapp Center. The Bulldogs are 13-1 and have won 12 straight games. The Bears have just one victory on the road against five defeats and will be no match for the best the Missouri Valley Conference has to offer.
4 Unit Play. #624 Take Illinois Chicago -9 over Loyola Chicago (8:00 pm) Yes we are taking the ILLINOIS-CHICAGO FLAMES under Coach Jimmy Collins, as Loyola is just 1-6 on the road this season. The Flames won two of the three match-ups last season and today they will win by double-digits.
4 Unit Play. #639 Take Creighton -2 over Wichita State (8:00 pm) The Shockers are just a glimmer of what they were in the past and Creighton continues to get it done currently at 11-3 on the season. After a slow start to the season, the Blue Jays have gotten things going winning two straight including a remarkable victory against Missouri State on the road last Saturday. They blew out Evansville at home and now face Wichita State, who lost to Missouri State by 24 points on Tuesday. Creighton is used to winning big road games and will continue upon that success today, giving us a nice cash.
4 Unit Play. #658 Take Nebraska +10 ½ over Kansas (9:00 pm ESPN) Both teams have played soft schedules, but the Huskers will be a tough out at home, having already beat Arizona State this season. This will only be Kansas’s fourth road game of the season and they have failed to cover the number in two of those games. This will be a sellout for Big Red and they will take it down to the wire losing by just six points.
4 Unit Play. #660 Take Utah State -3 over New Mexico State (9:00 pm) Two of the top teams in the WAC Conference are set to do battle in Logan, UT at the Smith Spectrum. Both teams are undefeated in WAC Conference play but the Aggies have won six straight games and should be able to exploit a suspect NMS Aggies defense. This is the second straight road game for NMS and they have just one true road victory on the season. We end the late night with a big cash for the WAC, a conference we have owned of late.
The Killer Move's picks for Saturday
10* Orlando (NBA)
10* Boston (NBA)
10* Dallas/LA Clippers UNDER (NBA)
10* DePaul/St. Johns UNDER (CBB)
10* Loyola Marymount (CBB)
ICEMAN
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Atlanta Thrashers (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 116 Atlanta Thrashers Play Title: Inside Info Underdog Game of the Month
Pick on ATLANTA Ilya Kovalchuk the NHL leading scorer was pissed and ripped his team in their last game. Now facing Pittsburgh at home they will be pumped to put an end to the 8 game winning streak of the Penguins. Bobby Holik, was also pissed and grabbed some of the younger players in a closed door meeting. Still, Kovalchuk scored a goal for the third straight game and has seven goals and seven assists during a seven-game point streak. Kovalchuk and Marian Hossa, who has 16 goals and 22 assists, will represent the Thrashers at the All-Star game. Atlanta lost for only the second time in 11 overtime and shootout games. Play against a favorite against the money line that are off 2 consecutive road wins by 2 goals or more and with a winning record on the season playing a losing team in the second half of the season.
ATLANTA PULLS OFF THE WIN TONIGHT
Vernon Croy
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Atlanta Thrashers (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 120 Atlanta Thrashers Play Title: 20 Unit NHL Game of the Night
20 Units, Take Atlanta +120, This pick falls into one of my top NHL systems and the Penguins opponents are converting at over 19% against them on the powerplay this season on the road. The Penguins have won 8 games in a row but now they face an Atlanta team that is 3-1 against the in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Atlanta has lost 2 in a row at home and they have not lost more than 2 in a row at home this season. When a team has a streak going like the Penguins other team play even harder against them to try and end it and I really like Atlanta to stop the run tonight at home. This is a very solid Thrashers hockey team that just got off to a bad start to the season losing 6 straight. Make sure you get on my 71% NFL run today
Bullseye Seattle +8,Jags +13.5
Joe Nelson: Seattle +8
Matt Fargo: Jags +13.5
Paul Bovi: Jags +13
Chip Chirimbes: NE -13
Matt Moore: Jags/NE OVER 49
Brian Edwards: GB -7.5
Mark Fox: Seattle/GB UNDER 42
Mark Franco: Seattle +8
Atslocks.com
15 unit under 190 Boston/Washington
10 unit over 43 GB/Seattle
8 unit Bowling Green +15 vs Kent State
8 unit Wright State- 5 vs Cleveland State
8 unit Green Bay -7.5 vs Seattle
5 unit over 49.5 NE/JAX
FERRINGO FOOTBALL
8-Unit Play. Take #101 Seattle (+8) over Green Bay (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
Note: This is our NFL Playoff Game of the Year.
This is simply too many points in a game that pits one team with a load of playoff experience against one that is pretty short on it. The Seahawks have been a pathetic road team, but they are 3-1 ATS in their last four playoff games as an underdog and I think they can score and defend well enough to keep this one close. Brett Favre is amazing, but the guy is also a loose cannon and can single-handedly keep us in the game. I envision a game played in the 20’s and I think that Seattle comes up just short in this one. Gren Bay is 3-7-4 ATS in its last 14 games against teams with a winning record and are 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games. I think the Seahawks can win, so there’s a lot of value in these points in a game where the line should have been around 4.5.
3.5-Unit Play. Take #109 New York Giants (+7.5) over Dallas (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 12)
It’s pretty tough to beat a team twice in the same season – much less three times in a row. I do think that the Cowboys are at least a bit distracted by the whole Romo Situation. And I do think that they are overvalued because they are America’s team. The Giants were stride-for-stride with Dallas in their last meeting and I think that they perform well enough on the road (8-1 ATS) to be a threat in this game. Also, if T.O. is too injured to perform or is limited in any way then I think New York is in a perfect position. Yes, Eli is a mess. But Tony Romo really isn’t much more predictable and then there’s the Wade Philips Factor. The player to watch for is Terry Glenn. If he is healthy and can be effective then we are in trouble. But I think the Giants can win this game outright so I’m taking the points.
2-Unit Play. Take #108 San Diego (+9.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 12)
Only six of San Diego’s last 21 losses have come by more than a touchdown and I think the defending champions are giving away a few too many this weekend. San Diego is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games against AFC opponents and are 13-3-1 ATS as an underdog. Throw in the fact that they are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to the RCA Dome, and the fact that if you stopped anyone on the street and asked them who was going to win this game they would say Indy in a rout, and I think we have a solid against-the-grain pick.
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 50.0 Jacksonville at New England (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
1-Unit Play. Take #104 New England (-13) over Jacksonville (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 12)
The Patriots have been taking people’s best shots for the past month now and it’s starting to take a toll at the window. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six games but that has actually helped get the number back down into a playable range. the Jaguars struggled to stop a broken-down Steelers offense and now will be running up against Brady, Moss and Co. I know I'm not betting against the Patriots in January, especially not when the opposing quarterback has never seen this type of pressure. The Jaguars could be without John Henderson and/or Reggie Nelson. If they lose either they are in trouble. Foxboro will be rocking and I don't see a Florida team performing well in cold weather in back-to-back weeks.
INDAIN COWBOY
Delaware +1.5 (POD)
Winning 6 days in a row. Winningy 9 of 11 days in January. Winning 11 of 14 days. I want the Golden Week. Let's roll. Yet, another "unsexy" pick but I have been on Delaware of late and I am riding them again for good reason as the math supports it. Old Dominion gets love for the success their name reminds people of, but many fail to realize that this team is exactly the same in the powe rankings to Delaware in and around the top 150 - and in fact, Delaware is on the rise winning at Drexel, winning at William and Mary and the outright upset that I called with Delware beating George Mason at home. Well, Delaware I believe gets off to a fast start today rather than coming back in the second half against ODU. Can Delaware be in for a let down - sure. But, then again, this ODU team destroyed this Blue hen team by a score of 83-48 last year and this team undoubtedly remembers that game and people talk about the Patriots FU Tour - well the Delaware blue hens are on their on tour today and I will take a similarly ranked Deleware team, that is on the rise having won 5 of their last 6 ballgames, and looking for revenge today after already having beaten a very good George Mason team at home. Don't forget, ODU is 0-4 against teams that are top 200 in the nation - as their 2 road wins come against 2 teams outside the top 200. ODU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road ballgames and the Blue Hens are 4-0 ATS when facing the Colonial Conference of late.
Green Bay Packers -7.5
66% of the public continues to think the Seahawks cover, but as I have continued to fade public dogs, it is continuing to have success. I say it time and time again adamently that when the public rides an underdog of 66% or more, the dog fails. Look at the time when the Packers hit the road against the Cowboys - the world loved the Packers to continuing their winning ways and failed to cover. Look at the time twice when the Jazz faced the Mavs at home - the world is on the Mavs - the time when the Jazz faced the Suns at home and the public hounded the Suns early - I have been fading all of those public underdogs and today is no different. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in 7 of their last 9 ballgames and this team is destine to go to the NFC Championship as their defense is rock solid and continues to be very active. The Seahawks must be able to run the ball and I don't believe they will as the Pack have this offenses flowing very nicely and I think the Seahawks shot their wad recently against the Redskins and the last time the Sehawks hit the road - they gave up 40+ to the Falcons so this secondary can be exposed. The Pack are 6-1 ATS as a favorite and 4-0 ATS as a home favorite of late.
Ohio State +1
I have Ohio State as a top 25 power ranking team and hear me when I tell you that I would not be surprised if this team will be a top 25 team in the AP Polls at some point in the season. Why not? The Buckeyes have beat Purdue straight up for the past 8 years. The Buckeyes beat a decent Illinois team on the road who is top 125 and Ohio State's best victory on the road, and frankly, one of their most impressive wins this year that gets overlooked was when Ohio State went on the road to beat Cleveland State who is a top 75 team in the power rankings. Ohio State now faces Purdue who is a top 125 team on the road, a team that they have owned in years past, a team in which they have beaten better teams on the road and Ohio State's 1 road loss this year - granted they have played just 3 esesntially - was their road loss to 20 Butler which is understandable. Purdue has just 1 home loss this year as they are 8-1, but they have not beat a top 100 team at home which is the difference in my opinion. Purdue played admirably on the road at Michigan State and they will play admirably here today, but I'll take my chances with the Buckeyes on the road to win outright as they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games facing a team with a straight up record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 ballgames against the Big 10 as they typically do very well in conference ballgames as they still have an underdog chip that is frankly a bit uncalled for given how well they have played.
Jason Bell pay if win
5000* DIVISIONAL ROUND LOCKS
Green Bay -7.5 over Seattle
Jacksonville +14 over New England
1000* COLLEGE HOOPS LOCKS
Vanderbilt -1 over Kentucky
UCLA -6 over Washington State
Purdue -1 over Ohio State
Bobby Maxwell
800-Unit NFL Primetime Pushover - JAGUARS
This is the game everyone is looking forward to, the undefeated Patriots against the red-hot Jaguars. This game has been analyzed to death all week and we know the Jags need to control the ball with their running game and try to limit the touches the Pats' offense gets.
Jacksonville comes in off a dramatic 31-29 win in the wildcard game against Pittsburgh last week as they got a 25-yard FG in the final minute to advance. The Jags defense sacked QB Ben Roethlisberger six times, held the Steelers to 43 yards rushing and picked off three passes.
So the Jags' defense knows it can do it, but has to step up even more tonight. They've got to pressure New England QB Tom Brady and not let him stand back there and pick apart the secondary.
Jacksonville is on a 7-2 SU and ATS roll and on the road they are 7-2 ATS this season. And the Jags seem to thrive as an underdog, going 5-2 as a road 'dog and 15-6-1 ATS as an underdog.
And we know the Pats offense is the best in the league and all about the records set by Brady and WR Randy Moss. But let's focus on what this team did down the stretch. It seems like teams started to figure them out as the Patriots went just 1-5 ATS in its last six games, all as a double-digit favorite.
The Jags know how to run the ball and they do it well with Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew. The Patriots give up 4.5 yards per carry. I think the Jags will control the time of possession and keep the Patriots' offense off the field.
We don't expect the Jags to win and we don't need them to. Stay inside of two touchdowns and we're going to cash a ticket. Play Jacksonville.
200-Unit NFL No-Doubter - PACKERS
We weren't big believers in this Green Bay team early in the season, but when they developed a running game late in the season thanks to RB Ryan Grant, we became believers.
We also believe this team will rise up and beat old friend Mike Holmgren today. It'll be a close game as the Packers work out some kinks in the first half. But a key INT or two in the second half will make things easy for Favre & Co. on the offensive side of the ball as they score a 10-point win today.
The Green Bay offense is in the NFL's top five in total yards (370.7), passing yards (270.9) and scoring at 27.2 points per game. Favre completed 66.5 percent of his throws, the best percentage of his career, and Donald Driver had 1,048 receiving yards.
But it was the addition of Grant and his emergence late in the year that made this team a real Super Bowl threat. He finished the season with 956 rushing yards and eight TDs.
Now on the friendly turf of Lambeau field, the Packers went 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS this season. As a favorite this year the Packers were 7-2-1 ATS and 8-1-1 in non-division games. Dating back to last season, Green Bay is 13-3-1 ATS and 13-4-2 ATS in its last 19 against NFC teams.
And a major reason we are going against the Seahawks is their horrible road record. Seattle went just 3-5 SU and ATS on the highway this season and going back to 2005, the Seahawks are just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 road outings.
It'll be cold, we know that, but the Packers have the better all-around offense and a quick defense that will make life miserable for Seahawks QB Matt Hasselbeck. Look for a big second half as the Packers pull away for the 10-point win. Play Green Bay.
200-Unit College Marquee Matchup - WASHINGTON STATE
Washington State is for real. If the Cougars perfect 14-0 record hadn't proved that to you already, Thursday's win over Southern Cal should have.
Washington State is known for its defense and ability to milk the clock but when Thursday's game turned into a slugfest with the Trojans, the Cougars had no problem, scoring a 73-58 win as a 1 1/2-point underdog. Now we get all these points? We'll gladly take them.
Washington State has already proven they are road tested, beating rival Washington 56-52 as a 3 1/2-point chalk last Saturday. The Cougars are 9-0 on the road and have cashed tickets the last six times they've hit the highway. And in four of their last five trips to UCLA, the Cougars have covered the spread.
UCLA can play defense so look for this to be a low-scoring affair, and at Pauley Pavilion, the Bruins are just 4-4 ATS this season and 1-4 ATS in the last five.
In this series, the road team has gotten the ATS win in the last seven meetings.
Again, we don't need the Cougars to win the game to cash our bet, but we wouldn't be surprised if they pulled out a last-minute victory. Grab the points and play Washington State in this one.
100-Unit College Hoops Bonus Play - FULLERTON
Score, score, score - it's what Cal State Fullerton does well and it's why we have no problem laying the chalk with the Titans in this one.
Fullerton has scored 76 or more points in all but one of their last 10 games and are on a 5-0 ATS run that includes three straight home wins and covers.
And against Santa Barbara, Fullerton has won six of the last seven meetings and scored a 79-73 win at home last February. Fullerton is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven against the Gauchos and have gone 3-0-1 ATS in the last four home matchups.
Santa Barbara has struggled lately, losing two straight, including a 66-63 loss at UC Irvine as one-point underdogs.
Fullerton puts up 89.1 points a game at home and shoots an amazing 53.1 percent from the floor. They do give up 73.9 points per home game but that's because they like to get up and down the floor.
Santa Barbara is just 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine road games. They just don't perform well on the highway and will get run out of Titan Gym in this one. Play the home team Titans and don't worry about laying the chalk.
Tom Stryker's NFL Playoff Perfect System Play - 8-0 ATS Situation!
#102 GREEN BAY (-) over Seattle at 4:30 PM EST
Seattle looked good in its 35-14 home playoff win over Washington last weekend. Now let's see how the Seahawks can do on the road matched up against a solid Green Bay club.
If you take a look at Seattle's road record, you'll notice that the Seahawks posted a soft 3-5 SU and ATS mark. What bothers me the most about that performance is their game at Pittsburgh. The Steelers are the only playoff team Mike Holmgren's troops faced on foreign soil and they got pounded 21-0! Even at Cleveland, against a Browns club that was playoff worthy, Seattle got popped 33-30!
Technically speaking, this is NOT the spot for the Seahawks. Since 1980, NFL post season visitors are a soft 3-12 SU and ATS provided they enter off a straight up home playoff win of 21 points or more and scored 35 points or more in that victory. Even worse, if our guest carries a won/loss percentage of .750 or less, this system crashes to an ugly 0-8 SU and ATS. Please note: Those eight blemishes came by an average of 16.0 points per game!
On the road coming off a SU and ATS home win and carrying a won/loss percentage of .500 or better, Seattle is a miserable 6-19 SU and 5-16-4 ATS including a shocking 1-11-4 ATS in this role matched up against a division opponent. The Packers defense is one of the best in the league and Cheesehead QB Brett Favre is a seasoned veteran that knows how to win playoff games. Lay the lumber. Take Green Bay! Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Winners Inc.
Green Bay -7
Green Bay Over 44
Mavs -7
Alex Smart
Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers over 42 4 units
Jacksonville Jaguars +14.0 /3 units
Special K's plays for Saturday
20* Marquette (CBB) - #540
7* Mississippi State (CBB) - #546
7* Nebraska (CBB) - #658
20* Green Bay -7*
7* Jacksonville +13*