ATS Lock Club
Triple Crown
8*W. MICH.
8*PENN.ST.
8*ARIZONA ST.
Wayne Root
Mill GOY-New Mexico
chairman -Utah
Bill-Nevada
No-limit-Wash u
inside circle-C mich
Money maker -E carolina
EZWINNERS
NCAA FOOTBALL
5 STAR: (364) TEMPLE (+7) over Connecticut
(Risking $550 to win $500)
3 STAR: (317) MINNESOTA (+5) over Bowling Green
(Risking $330 to win $300)
2 STAR: (307) AKRON (+4.5) over Syracuse
(Risking $220 to win $200)
2 STAR: (315) WEST VIRGINIA (-7.5) over East Carolina
(Risking $220 to win $200)
2 STAR: (348) NEW MEXICO (+2.5) over Texas A&M
(Risking $220 to win $200)
EZWINNERS MLB
2 STAR: (902) NY METS (-$128) over Philadelphia
(Action)
(Risking $256 to win $200)
2 STAR: (904) LA DODGERS (-$115) over Arizona
(Action)
(Risking $230 to win $200)
PlusLineSports
Detroit vs Minnesota
Minnesota -1.5
Dave Cokin
3* OH St -33.5
3* AL -29.5
System - E Mich +21.5
Hat - Wisc -20.5
Hat - Ariz -23
Total - Akron/Cuse ov 43
Total - C Mich/GA over 56
Big Gun - New Mex +3
Window - Nevada +10.5
PPP
4% Wisc -20.5
4% E Carolina +8
3% Ga Tech +7
3% Notre Dame -21.5
3% Miss +7.5
3% Pitt -13
Tommy Rider
Triple-Dime Bet
Arizona / Toledo Over 58.0 B
I wrote a blog post back in June where I declared that Arizona was the "Top OVER team in College Football this Season." I didn't take the OVER last week because I wanted to sit back and watch the Wildcats offense and see what happened. Well, what happened was 521 yards and 70 points.
Last year Sonny Dykes brought the Texas Tech-spread offense to Tucson. After a few early bumps in the road, the Wildcats were an offensive machine toward the end of the season. In winning three of their final four games, Arizona scored 48, 34 and 34 points respectively. They also topped forty points two other times last season. Now add in the 70-point outburst against Idaho last week and you are witnessing one of the most explosive offenses in CFB.
The thing I love about this offense is its continuity. The Cats return 10 starters on the offensive side of the ball, including QB Willie Tuitama, so virtually every player on the field is in their second year in Dykes' system. Arizona is loaded with quality receivers to team with Tuitama. Last week Tuitama was 17-of-21 for 169 yards and three scores in just over a half of work.
Don't be fooled by Arizona pitching a shutout last week either. Idaho is God-awful. This actually helps us because the young Wildcats defense has yet to be tested and it keeps the line down. Arizona is replacing its entire defensive line, both starting corners and two starting linebackers from a year ago. They have no proven pass rushers, which means the new corners will be tested early and often by Toledo.
Granted, this is the Rockets first game of the season but I believe they will have one of the top offenses in the country themselves this year. Led by quarterback Aaron Opelt, Toledo is going to put up a ton of points this season. Toledo has five starters returning on defense but they are returning to a unit that gave up almost 40 points a game in 2007. The Rockets ranked near the bottom in both rush and total defense last year. Toledo's defense is going to have a heck of a time slowing down Arizona's high-flying offense this week.
When taking an OVER, you need both teams to score. That should be no problem at all here. I expect this game to go well over 80 points and with the early line sitting at 58, I'm not only going to hit this hard, I'm making it my CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH! 3 UNIT PLAY
Double-Dime Bet
Oklahoma -21.0 vs Cincinnati
I think the Sooners are the best team in the country and they name their score in this game. A lot of people will take the points with Cincy because they have been a covering machine of late. However, the single biggest thing I learned from Bill Belichick when I worked for the Patriots is that every game is its own entity. No matter what trends or numbers say, the team that plays the best will win on Saturday. I think in this matchup, the Sonners are five touchdowns better than the Bearcats. I know it was just Chattanooga but the Sooners beat them in one of the most lopsided games I've ever seen. OU had a 27-1 edge in first downs and outgained Chattanooga in total yards 487-36! So you would think Bob Stoops would have been happy with such a dominant performance. Well, think again. Leading 50-2 at the half, Stoops put his starters back in because he said they needed to be sharp for this game. Bearcats quarterback Dustin Grutza had a strong outing last week but I've never been impressed with him. I expect the Sooners to control this game in the trenches on both sides of the ball by getting after Grutza on defense and wearing down a smallish Cincinnati front on offense. This game has blowout written all over it. The Sooners make a statement Saturday and win big.. 2 UNIT PLAY
Single-Dime Bet
West Virginia -7.0 vs East Carolina
East Carolina is a nice story but there's just too much line value for me to pass up here. I asked a guy out in Vegas what the line would be in this game if ECU didn't block that punt and he said around 15 or16 points. So we are getting nine points in value because of one blocked punt? Again, I can't pass that up. First of all, Virginia Tech sucks. They are so bad this year that Frank Beamer was going to redshirt Tyrod Taylor for the future. Why? Because the Hokies are young and will be loaded the next couple of years. But even as bad as the Hokies are this year, they still should have beaten ECU last week. Now the Pirates are taking on a Top 5 team and only getting a TD. Yet people like ECU. Why? West Virginia is far superior in every way to Va Tech and Pat White will have no trouble moving the ball on offense. Plus, all the pressure is on ECU now. They are at home coming off a huge win and people actually expect them to beat WV. I'm not one of those people. I like the Mountaineers by 17 points in this game and like I said, this line is too good for us not to throw a unit on it. I bought it down to 7 just to be safe and I would advise you to do the same. 1 UNIT PLAY
Single-Dime Bet
Stanford 14.0 vs 374 Arizona St.
I'm playing this game for 1 Unit because it came from my Pac 10 Insider. This is an old friend of mine who covers Pac 10 sports for a living. He gives me 15-20 plays a year in football and usually hits around 65 percent. Not many people know Pac 10 football better than this guy. He sent me a text message tonight that said, "Take Stanford plus the points. Could win outright." I play all of his games for 1 unit unless he tells me otherwise. Like I said, his information has been very strong over the years and if he likes Stanford to possibly win this game, the 14 points should be more than enough. He's not always right but he's right a lot more times than he's wrong and he really has a knack for hitting Pac 10 underdogs. 1 UNIT Play
Ethan Law
NOTRE DAME -21.5
Opposite Action Plays
AKRON +5
JB Sports
CENTRAL FLORIDA +14
Sunday Selections
NEVADA +10
LT Profits
AIR FORCE +3
Mike Lineback
E. CAROLINA +7.5
Mike Rose
ARIZONA -23
Pacific Star
MINNESOTA +5.5