John Ryan
Florida Atlantic at Kentucky
Prediction: Florida Atlantic
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Florida Atlantic ? AiS shows a 73% probability that FA will lose this game by 22 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 49-21 ATS for 70% since 2002. Play on dogs of 10 or more points after a loss by 15 points or more facing an opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. Here is a second system that has gone 96-46 for 68% since 1997. Play on road dogs of 10 or more points that is not a good shooting team hitting =45% on the season and after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse. Kentucky many times overlooks an inferior opponent and does not cover well against these types of teams. Kentucky is just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams allowing a shooting pct defense of >=45% since 1997. Moreover, Kentucky is just 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after 2 straight blowout wins by 20 points or more since 1997. Take Florida Atlantic
NCAAB DUNKEL
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 27
Game 717-718: Miami (FL) at St. John's
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 69.049; St. John's 64.104
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 719-720: Washington State at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 66.771; LSU 70.702
Dunkel Line: LSU by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 721-722: Florida Atlantic at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 47.173; Kentucky 72.428
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 723-724: UAB at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 62.255; Louisville 79.278
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 17
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 725-726: West Virginia at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 71.444; Ohio State 74.725
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 727-728: Utah at UC Irvine
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 63.797; UC Irvine 49.264
Dunkel Line: Utah by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 729-730: San Jose State at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 50.588; St. Mary's (CA) 68.121
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 731-732: Portland vs. Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 52.465; Air Force 54.575
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 733-734: Dartmouth at California
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 42.838; California 70.079
Dunkel Line: California by 27
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 735-736: Vermont vs. George Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 55.935; George Washington 55.793
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 737-738: Colorado State at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 51.230; Hawaii 55.962
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 739-740: Drexel at Rider
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 48.486; Rider 56.195
Dunkel Line: Rider by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 741-742: Tennessee Martin at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Martin 46.099; Florida International 49.415
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 743-744: Iona at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 51.516; South Florida 58.049
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 745-746: Idaho State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 50.910; Nevada 62.077
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
LT Profits
St John's +5.0
The Miami Hurricanes are off to a 7-3 start while facing a touch schedule, but it is never easy to go into Madison Square Garden and laying this many points vs. the St. Johns Red Storm.
This is especially true this season, as the Red Storm are 9-2 in their own right, albeit vs. a much softer schedule than Miami. The Johnnies also have revenge on their minds after getting blown out 66-47 by the Hurricanes in Miami last season. They are also 8-1 straight up at home this year, with those games split between the Garden and Carneseca Arena, making them dangerous as home underdogs.
Now while the Canes have faced a tougher slate, they did lose to probably the three best teams they have faced (Connecticut, Ohio State, Clemson), while their most notable win was probably over Kentucky, which is not really substantially better than St. Johns this season. They have also had some defensive breakdowns this year, such as in their 91-72 home loss to Clemson on Sunday, so the Red Storm could exploit them while feeding off the energy of the Garden crowd.
All things considered, we give St. Johns a nice chance to win the game straight up.
3DAILY WINNERS
Bowls
2* West Virginia
NBA
2* Chicago (+10)
2* New Jersey (+3)
CBB
2* Kentucky (-23)
2* Rider (-6.5)
Wunderdog
Oklahoma City at Washington
Pick: OVER 196
Someone will pick up the win here tonight as these teams don't find the win column often with just seven wins between them. Oklahoma has been punchless offensively, but that is because they can't play or defend teams that are simply on a higher level than they are right now. Their games have been quite different when they get a shot at a team with a losing record, as eight of their last 11 in that situation have produced OVERs. The Wizards are in the same boat - overmatched on both sides of the ball against the good teams, but can put some points up against the bad teams. They too have played predominately to the OVER against bad teams, where they are 7-2 to the OVER when paired with a team with a losing record. That brings the combined tally to 15 of 20 in this situation that has played OVER. I expect this one to follow suit, so I will back the OVER here.
Game Time Sports Advisors
Miami Florida vs. California
Play: California -10
More Miami suspensions will cause havok here. Cal already had a clear edge and it will grow. This is basically a home game for Cal, and they will use it as a recruiting tool to show the fans.. hey watch us beat up on big bag Miami U. The U still can ride this out, but with a new HC, and focus clearly lacking in the time leading up to this bowl game, the Bears will take the wind out of this Hurricane team in a hurry. FREE PLAY on CALIFORNIA BEARS
Frank Jordan
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: San Antonio Spurs -12.5
Memphis is 10-19, have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games and are in last place in the Southwest division. San Antonio is 19-10, have won 4 in a row, 8 of 10, and are in first place in the Southwest division. Look for the Spurs, who are 11-5 at home, to run all over the Grizzlies and win by 15 to 20 points as Duncan and Parker go wild. Play San Antonio
RJ Robbins
Drexel vs. Rider
Play: Rider-6
We are taking Rider-6. Last year Drexel defeated Rider 73-66. Look for Rider to avenge last years lost. Drexel is 0-4 on the road and Rider is 4-0 at home. DREXEL is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. RIDER-6
Andre Gomes
WAS -7 vs OKL
The Thunder are now more competitive and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and it's curious that during the season, the Thunder with always huge spreads on the road are 12-3 ATS away from home this season. Today they will face a team from their level, the Wizards who are 4-23 right now and suddenly the Thunder are listed as a 7 points underdog, which is their shortest spread on the road this season for them. They lost yesterday at Detroit by 88-90 in a ballgame and I think they will pay the price for that effort today. I remember this is the last game of their road trip and it will be a back to back game against the hungry team of the Wizards.
Washington is in a 8-game losing streak, but in their last game at Christmas they were extremely competitive on the road against the Cavs and just some them questionable calls of the referees against them prevented the Wizards to cause a major upset. They are better balanced right now, as during the whole season with Deshawn Stevenson in the starting lineup, the Wizards were lacking the contribution of the backcourt and now with Mike James, they have a capable PG of creating his own shots, as James is specially a scorer and in 4 of the team's last 5 games he scored 16pts or more. On the other side, the Wizards were struggling down the post in protecting the paint and in grabbing rebounds. They seem to have solved that problem too, as big man Andray Blatche is having big minutes right now and with Caron Butler in the SG position, Dominic McGuire is starting in the SF position and he is a 6'9'' player. For some reason, the Wizards who were one of the worst teams of the league in rebound margin were able to have as many rebounds as the Cavs in their last game and we are talking about the second best rebounding team in the league.
So, we can say that the Wizards are now a better team, as they are better balanced and they will make a big effort tonight, as this is the most winnable game that they have in the near future, as after this game they will play on the road against Houston, New Orleans and Boston, then host the Cavs and then going again on the road to face Orlando. So, Washington can't really let this opportunity of winning a game going away tonight. The only risk I could see in here is that the Wizards would relaxed because they are facing the Thunder, but hey! They are 4-23! They can't feel relaxed against anybody right now. Veterans Butler and Jamison are also reliable players down the stretch, something the Thunder lack: experienced players to decide games down the stretch.
Today we have the Thunder in a bad spot after an intense game last night and who will face a hungry team. Last season the Wizards both games between these two teams (the Thunder were still in Seattle) and I expect the Wizards to come really hungry and get a nice win tonight. Take the Wizards in here.