Kelso Sat FB
Bowl Picks
10 units Central Florida -3
10 units Texas A&M +5
10 units Parlay on both above
Chairmans Club
5 units New England -13.5
5 units UNDER 46.5
5 units Parlay on both above
2-1 on bowl picks yesterday
OC DOOLEY COMP
"1 UNIT" on Central Florida -3 against Mississippi State in the Liberty Bowl
This is one of those wagers where I feel the oddsmakers have made a loud statement. Why is a team from Conference USA favored against an opponent from arguably the best conference in the land?! Miss State is a dreadful 0-12 SU/2-10 ATS playing with rest, against an opponent who has won at least 70% of their games. Central Florida charged to a 7-0 finish and that is why they are laying points against a school that is NOT used to the pressure of playing in the postseason
gamblers world
TIP OF THE DAY Sport: NCAA Bowl Series Game: 8:00PM, Alamo Bowl: Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction: Penn State Nittany Lions Current Line: -5.5 Over/Under: 51.5 Reason: Texas A&M limped to the finish in the Big 12 and get another tough challenge from Joe Paterno's Penn State Nittany Lions. Fans at Alamodome should witness a good one December 29 at the Alamo Bowl. Oddsmakers currently have the Nittany Lions listed as 5.5-point favorites versus the Aggies, while the game's total is sitting at 51.5. The Nittany Lions were upset 35-31 by the Michigan State Spartans last time out. The Nittany Lions were favored by 2.5 points in that contest, while the combined 66 points sailed OVER the posted total of 51. Rodney Kinlaw carried the ball 28 times for 125 yards with two touchdowns in a losing effort. Texas A&M were up 38-17 in the fourth quarter last time out, and had to withstand a late Texas rally to win 38-30 as 7-point home underdogs. The 68 points scored were OVER the posted total of 60. Stephen McGee was 24-for-35 for 364 yards, three touchdowns and two picks, while Earvin Taylor caught seven passes for 113 yards and a score for the Aggies. Team records: Penn State: 8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS Texas A&M: 7-5 SU, 5-6 ATS Penn State most recently: When playing in December are 1-1 When playing on turf are 4-6 After being outgained are 7-3 When playing outside the conference are 9-1 Texas A&M most recently: When playing in December are 3-5 When playing on turf are 5-5 After outgaining opponent are 5-5 When playing outside the conference are 8-2 A few trends to consider: Penn State is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games Texas A&M is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
NORTHCOAST
Late Phone Selections:
4* Miss St +3 vs UCF (Liberty Bowl) @ 4:30 pm ET Top College Play of the Week
(System 1: Miss St 80 pt play #12 of 32 and System #2 Miss St 65 pt play #3 of 32)
Other Star Rated Selections:
No selections at this time
Top Opinions
Penn St -5 vs Texas A&M (Alamo Bowl) @8:00 pm ET
(System 1: Tex A&M 68 pt play #131 of 32 and System #2 Tex A&M 37 pt play #37 of 32)
Under 52 Penn St/Texas A&M (Triple Play) Marquee Totals Play
Wake Forest -2 vs UConn (Meineke Care Care Bowl) @1:00 pm ET
(System 1: UConn 54 pt play #18 of 32 and System #2 UConn 24 pt play #16 of 32)
Regular Opinions
Under 54.5 Miss St/UCF (Single Play) Marquee Totals Play
Under 46.5 Wake ForestUConn (Single Play) Marquee Totals Play
Bob Balfe
0-3 last night
College Football
Wake Forest -2.5 over UConn
Wake was last years Cinderella story. This year they have played decent and flew under the radar. UConn played well in a very weak Big East and when they are on the road just do not play under the same fire as they did at home. Most of the fans will be from Wake and they should get the win today
Central Florida -3 over Mississippi State
Both teams had great years and played well against some very good teams. UCF is on a seven game winning streak with all of their losses this year coming to bowl teams, two in which already have bowl victories. Mississippi State had a good year, but if they didn't go in and beat Kentucky as a big dog nobody would be talking about them at all.
Texas A&M +5.5 over Penn State
Teams who's coaches have left before the bowl game have not done to well, but they have covered. Texas A&M is playing in front of a Texas crowd and will be playing against a Penn State team that was not that good on the road and will not be able to keep up with the track guys of A&M on the road. Take the Aggie's.
(All hoops wagers should be 1/3 of your average football wager)
NBA Basketball
Raptors +2.5 over Rockets
College Basketball
Kentucky -12 over San Diego
Dr Bob
**Marist (-6 ½) over Hofstra
I wrote yesterday about how the absence of scoring star Antoine Agudio would affect Marist more than expected and that was certainly the case as the Pride were pounded by Virginia Tech 59-84 (down by 22 at the half). Agudio has averaged 26.8 points per game while scoring at a high efficiency while his teammates have been very inefficient with their shooting. Hofstra shot just 34% from the field last night and the players other than Agudio combine to shoot just 39% from the field and 25.3% on 3-point shots for the season. I’d favor Marist by 6 ½ points in this game if Agudio were playing, but he’s listed as doubtful for this game and I’d favor the Red Foxes by 11 points without Agudio in the lineup for Hofstra. I’ll take Marist in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.
Saturday Daytime College Opinions
TEXAS (-7 ½) over Wisconsin
Wisconsin has a history under coach Bo Ryan of playing well at home and beating up on bad teams home or road. However, the Badgers have struggled against other good teams over the years, especially away from Madison. This year’s Badgers have played two good teams and were beaten by 24 points at Duke and lost at home by 5 points to Marquette. Wisconsin is just 8-31 straight up and 13-25-1 ATS away from home when playing a team with a win percentage of greater than .700, including 9-23-1 ATS if not getting more than 9 points (5-21-1 ATS after a win). Texas, meanwhile, has played well against good teams, whipping Tennessee by 19 points and winning at UCLA. Their only blemish was a not so bad 72-78 loss to Michigan State in Detroit. Texas is also 40-21-2 ATS at home when not laying more than 13 points, although just 7-9 ATS in non-conference games. My ratings favor Texas by 8 points and I’ll lean with Texas at -8 or less based on the negative Wisconsin team trend. I’ll take Texas in a 2-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less.
Samford (+23) over CLEMSON
Clemson applies to a very negative 40-136-4 ATS situation and the Tigers are just 3-9 ATS as a favorite of 15 points or more under coach Oliver Purnell, but my ratings favor Clemson by 25 points in this game with James Mays back in the lineup. I’ll consider Samford an opinion at +23 points and I’d take Samford in a 2-Star Best Bet at +24 points or more.
LT's Lock Of The Day
The LOCK: Mississippi St. +3' bought
The STREAK: 3 wins
The RECORD: 536-433-21
Cal Sports
4*tcu
4*ill. St.
4*byu
3*wash U.
3*miami Ohio
3*memphis U.
Ted Sevransky
CBB - Arizona +9
20* Bowl Total of year
Over 54 Air Force
Keith Martin sports (17-9-1 college hoops totals)
UCLA Over 129 (-105) CBB
Penn St. -5 (-105) CFB
UAB Over 126 (-105) CBB
New York Giants Over 46.5 (-105) NFL
NORTHCOAST NFL
Under 46.5 New England/NY Giants
The Lock Line
Saturday, December 29, 2007
NCAABB
Texas
Alex Smarts
Mississippi State +3.0 / 1 units
8:00p Alex Smartso
Texas A&M+6.0 / 1 units
Malinsky - NCAAB
4* Texas (-8)
4* LaSalle (+18)
4* Cleveland St (+12)
4* Maimi (OH) (-3)
NCAAF
Penn St.
Under Wake Forest (Top Opinion)
Mississippi St. (Top Opinion)
Brandon Lang
SATURDAY'S EARLY PICK
25 DIME - Wake Forest
Still have a lot of work to do.
Yes, the perfect Friday was nice but trust me, still have a long way to go.
It was nice to get the 15 dimer on Tcu under our belt but when I tell you the best is yet to come, take heed in that.
I can't stress to you enough the biggest key to this business is making sure your winning days make more than your losing days take away.
It's called money management and lately it's been rock solid.
Last Sunday +28.5 dimes, Monday +40 dimes, losing days Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday cost me did little damage leading to the +40 dime Friday.
I told you I was going to finish December strong and roll that into 2008 leading to my 16th straight Super bowl winner.
The tough run is over and the good times are rolling now.
Jump on. Stay put. Evaluate where you are at after my 16th straight Super bowl winner and I truly believe you will be more than happy with where this thing ends
So here we go. An even bigger bowl winner. Another winning day and setting ourselves up for the 2nd straight winning week.
Now to your analysis:
25 DIME - Wake Forest - This will be one of those weird, tough-to-comprehend, distracting type of football games that will have you wondering why in the heck the coordinators from each program have jobs. And what it'll come down to is which program – which one member of a particular coaching staff – can produce the unsuspecting 'big play' to swing the momentum in his team's behalf. And with all due respect the BCS Bowl teams, there may not be a more dangerous team than Wake Forest, when considering all units except the offense. It sounds crazy, but may I remind you of Boise State's heroics last season, when a hook-and-ladder and Statue of Liberty plays kicked off 2007's highlights. The Deacons will have it's hands full with a spunky Huskies team, but in the end, we're going to see a defensive highlight reel, or something out of the ordinary to help Wake get it done.
Saturday Night Picks
10 DIME - Patriots
5 DIME - Penn State
5 DIME - Pitt
10 Dime PATRIOTS – I'll be honest with ya, I never understood why – since the Dallas win – everyone kept mentioning tonight's game as the one contest the favorites to win the Super Bowl had to worry about, as far as the hurdle toward the undefeated achievement. I was more concerned with Pittsburgh and Miami, and that's the God's honest truth, than I was with this game. I sat on the set of one Internet-based television show roughly four months back, and told everyone this was the team to beat in the AFC, and that I expected it to be there in February. Now, 16 weeks in, I have no problem backing this team in this one, as it's the Giants everyone should be worried about, in terms of which starters will rest; and for how long. Seriously, if the Pats were ever in a situation where they were risking injuries, it was at Dallas, at Indianapolis and at home against Pittsburgh. New England is going to break out early and often in this one, and will coast to a 3-TD win!
5 Dime - PENN STATE – Texas A&M's biggest problem tonight is that it comes out of the high-profile Big 12, and what most teams did to frustrate the Aggies this season was clog the trenches to stifle the rushing tandem of Jorvorskie Lane and Mike Goodson, while coincidentally forcing Stephen McGee to move the chains through the air. It's apparent the ploy worked, as A&M ranked 98th in the nation with its passing offense, and forced the rushing game to keep it games. Inefficient play calling led to the defense wearing itself out, ranking 84th overall with its stop unit, while the passing D ranked 106th. Since the turn of the century I haven't necessarily been that inspired by legendary coach Joe Paterno, but when the time is right, you come to appreciate – and understand – why he's won 22 bowl games during his illustrious career. The game may be in the Alamo Dome – about 170 miles Southwest of College Station – but Joe Pa will have his team fully prepared for what could be his final Bowl appearance.
5 Dime PITTSBURGH – I swear that everywhere I've turned the Flyers are being picked in this clash; but there's something about the Panthers that has me keeping in touch with their whereabouts early on this season. I admit I was skeptical about this team, since it came into the campaign sans Aaron Gray. But with all due respect to how he found a way to get his teammates involved last season, despite being the star, the Panthers' chemistry is much better without a big-star name in the starting rotation, and that matters in a conference like the Big East. Coach Jamie Dixon is smart enough to make his players understand the Flyers are nothing to look past, a trait that can be attributed to the reason he is first Pitt coach to reach the Big Dance four straight seasons. Dayton will suffer from the loss of freshman star Chris Wright, who is nursing an ankle injury, while the Panthers will make another statement.
Brandon Lang
Saturday
25 Dime
Wake Forrest
10 Dime
New England Patriots
5 Dime
Pittsburg
Penn State
25 DIME - Wake Forest - This will be one of those weird, tough-to-comprehend, distracting type of football games that will have you wondering why in the heck the coordinators from each program have jobs. And what it'll come down to is which program – which one member of a particular coaching staff – can produce the unsuspecting 'big play' to swing the momentum in his team's behalf. And with all due respect the BCS Bowl teams, there may not be a more dangerous team than Wake Forest, when considering all units except the offense. It sounds crazy, but may I remind you of Boise State's heroics last season, when a hook-and-ladder and Statue of Liberty plays kicked off 2007's highlights. The Deacons will have it's hands full with a spunky Huskies team, but in the end, we're going to see a defensive highlight reel, or something out of the ordinary to help Wake get it done.
10 Dime PATRIOTS – I'll be honest with ya, I never understood why – since the Dallas win – everyone kept mentioning tonight's game as the one contest the favorites to win the Super Bowl had to worry about, as far as the hurdle toward the undefeated achievement. I was more concerned with Pittsburgh and Miami, and that's the God's honest truth, than I was with this game. I sat on the set of one Internet-based television show roughly four months back, and told everyone this was the team to beat in the AFC, and that I expected it to be there in February. Now, 16 weeks in, I have no problem backing this team in this one, as it's the Giants everyone should be worried about, in terms of which starters will rest; and for how long. Seriously, if the Pats were ever in a situation where they were risking injuries, it was at Dallas, at Indianapolis and at home against Pittsburgh. New England is going to break out early and often in this one, and will coast to a 3-TD win!
5 Dime - PENN STATE – Texas A&M's biggest problem tonight is that it comes out of the high-profile Big 12, and what most teams did to frustrate the Aggies this season was clog the trenches to stifle the rushing tandem of Jorvorskie Lane and Mike Goodson, while coincidentally forcing Stephen McGee to move the chains through the air. It's apparent the ploy worked, as A&M ranked 98th in the nation with its passing offense, and forced the rushing game to keep it games. Inefficient play calling led to the defense wearing itself out, ranking 84th overall with its stop unit, while the passing D ranked 106th. Since the turn of the century I haven't necessarily been that inspired by legendary coach Joe Paterno, but when the time is right, you come to appreciate – and understand – why he's won 22 bowl games during his illustrious career. The game may be in the Alamo Dome – about 170 miles Southwest of College Station – but Joe Pa will have his team fully prepared for what could be his final Bowl appearance.
5 Dime PITTSBURGH – I swear that everywhere I've turned the Flyers are being picked in this clash; but there's something about the Panthers that has me keeping in touch with their whereabouts early on this season. I admit I was skeptical about this team, since it came into the campaign sans Aaron Gray. But with all due respect to how he found a way to get his teammates involved last season, despite being the star, the Panthers' chemistry is much better without a big-star name in the starting rotation, and that matters in a conference like the Big East. Coach Jamie Dixon is smart enough to make his players understand the Flyers are nothing to look past, a trait that can be attributed to the reason he is first Pitt coach to reach the Big Dance four straight seasons. Dayton will suffer from the loss of freshman star Chris Wright, who is nursing an ankle injury, while the Panthers will make another statement.
Stan Sharp
Sat, 12/29/07 - 8:00 PMStan Sharp | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet779 Indiana St. 3.0 vs 780 Evansville
Analysis: All 3 of Stan's contacts agree that the INDIANA ST should of been a Favorite in this Game. Both teams are 5-5 but Evansville hasn't beat anyone. Stan expects Indiana St to post a wire to wire win by 6-9 Points. TAKE INDIANA ST. as STAN'S OPENING MISSOURI VALLEY CONF BIG BET OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY
Doc's Enterprises
5* Miss State
4* Wake Forest
Gameday
3* Miss State
2* A&M
JB Sports
2* NY Giants
Doc's Enterprises
6* WICHITA STATE
4*'s on Wisconsin-Green Bay, LSU, Wyoming, Colorado , Fresno State, Temple, Creighton
Gameday HOOPS:
3* Wyoming, Dayton
2* Texas,
2* Illinois State
Dr. Bob: 2* Marist
Doc's NHL: 8* GAME OF THE YEAR
NEW JERSEY DEVILS -120.
Teddy June’s College Basketball ESPN 2 TV Winner
My 10* College Basketball ESPN 2 TV Winner is the Wisconsin Badgers plus the points over the Texas Longhorns. The Badgers are 9-2 SU this year and the 9th ranked Longhorns are 11-1 SU. Wisconsin comes in off 3 straight wins against Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Wisconsin-GB and a decent Valparaiso team. Their two losses on the year were at home against Marquette in a very close game and at Duke in relative blowout. While their offense has struggled at times their defense has been stellar ranking 2nd in the nation in points allowed at 53 per game, 10th in the nation in FG% against at 36.6 and only allowing a shooting percentage from 3 point range of 31.2%. Sophomore guard Trevon Huges leads them in scoring this year with 15.1ppg. Texas enters off their first loss on the year as they dropped a big contest last week to Michigan State in a game I backed the Spartans. The real concern for this Texas team is the lack of scoring depth lately. Outside of Abrams, Augustin and James there has not been much scoring support. Wisconsin will follow Michigan State’s blueprint from last week which is to pressure the ball and force Abrams and Augustine into tough outside jumpers. Both guards have a tendency to settle for extremely difficult fade away shots from the perimeter something Michigan State forced them into last week and I expect the same from Wisconsin today. I currently have this line at 8 and expect it will stick around the number heading into game time. I have this rated at 10* down to 7. My 10* College Basketball ESPN 2 TV Winner is the Wisconsin Badgers plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Teddy June’s 15* College Football Meineke Bowl Winner (15* Bowl Selections: 3-0 100%)
My 15* College Football Meineke Bowl Winner is the Connecticut Huskies plus the points over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The Huskies were 9-3 SU, 7-3 ATS and the Demon Deacons were 8-4 SU, 8-4 ATS on the year. The Huskies ended the season with an embarrassing loss at West Virginia in which they lost 21-66 as 21 point underdogs, a game which decided the Big-East title. This loss has now sat with UConn for a little over a month and after a terrific year which included big wins against Rutgers, South Florida and Louisville that bad taste for the last month has had this team absolutely fired up for this game. Offensively, Connecticut is led by a strong rushing attack with Andre Dixon (810 rushing yards) and Donald Brown (620 rushing yards). Defensively besides their last game hiccup against West Virginia they have been very strong overall on the year. They rank 16th in the nation in passing yards against at 187.8 and 12th in the nation in points allowed at 18.6. Wake Forest has also been a team that has been fairly strong defensively, especially against the run. UConn holds the advantage with turnovers as they have been very good at turning other teams over while they take care of the ball. I expect this along with their ability to shut down the Wake Forest passing game to be the difference in the game. It is noteworthy that there has been 5 times in which a team gave up 65 or more points in their last regular season game and went on to play in a bowl game, those teams bounce back well as they are 4-1 ATS/SU. Another stat to support that as teams that lost their last regular season game by more than 38 points are 11-2 ATS in bowl games. Also it is important to note Huskies are incredible 27-10-1 their last 38 non-conference games. Expect the Huskies to come into this one with a lot of intensity and get the big bowl win. My 15* College Football Meineke Bowl Winner is the Connecticut Huskies plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Teddy June’s College Football Liberty Bowl Winner (CFB Bowls: 5-3 62.5%)
My 10* College Football Liberty Bowl Winner is the Mississippi State Bulldogs plus the points over the Central Florida Golden Knights. The Bulldogs come into this game with a full head of steam after beating inner-state rival Mississippi to close out the regular season. Central Florida enters winning its last 8, all in which they played inferior teams. The Bulldogs are a battle tested after playing a grueling schedule where they competed against some of the best teams in the country. They are lead by sophomore Anthony Dixon as he poses a huge threat both running the ball and receiving out of the back field. Freshman Wesley Carroll will lead the passing attack as he had arguably his best game of the season against Arkansas, throwing for 421yds and 4 touchdowns. Carroll will have his eyes down the field on junior receiver Jamayel Smith. Smith is averaging 16.2 yards per catch and will pose a problem for this untested Central Florida Secondary. The Bulldogs have been very strong on defense this year ranking 28th in the nation in yards allowed including 10th in the nation in passing yards against. Strength of schedule will be the determining factor in this game. Carroll and Mississippi State come into this game as 3 point underdogs against a CF team that played in a very weak Conference USA. I expect the SEC school to get it done here as they have not been getting any respect leading up to this game. Expect an inspired effort on both sides of the ball as all the talk leading into this game is about Central Florida’s Kevin Smith and whether he’ll break Barry Sanders’ record. It is also noteworthy that the Knights are a dismal 9-24-1 their last 34 non-conference games. My 10* College Football Liberty Bowl Winner is the Mississippi State Bulldogs plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let's make some money.
Teddy June’s 15* College Basketball Game of the Week (10-3 Last 13 CBB Selections)
My 15* College Basketball Game of the Week is the Dayton Flyers plus the points over the Pittsburgh Panthers. The Flyers enter tonight’s matchup 10-1 SU, 4-2 ATS while the Panthers enter 11-0 SU, 5-2 ATS. Pittsburgh is in a bit of a letdown entering this game. Last week I backed them in an incredible game against Duke in which they were able pull out an overtime win with a Lavance Fields 3 pointer. They won the game outright as 6 point underdogs but lost a key component in senior Mike Cook to a knee injury. Cook provided strong veteran leadership, scoring and terrific defense at the guard position and will certainly be missed by this Panther team. The key for this Flyer team has been terrific shooting early in this season especially in their friendly confines. They are shooting 47.6% from the field including 40.9% from 3 point land. Offensively they are led by St. Johns transfer Brian Roberts who can really light it up from deep (3 Pointers: 32-67 47.8%), he is averaging 18.2ppg and 4.5apg. The atmosphere will be absolutely electric for this huge game and I expect the Flyers to be dancing at the end of this one as the Panthers have a letdown off the Duke win and the Flyers enact some revenge from last year’s 30 point loss. I currently have this line at +3/+3.5 and expect to waiver around the number for most of the day, with some steam closing it around 2.5 before tip. I have it rated at 10* down to 2. My 15* College Basketball Game of the Week is the Dayton Flyers plus the points. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Recap:
College Football Bowl Games:
15* Connecticut Huskies
10* Mississippi State Bulldogs
College Basketball:
15* Dayton Flyers
10* Wisconsin Badgers