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(@jimmythegreek)
Posts: 966
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Tulane-Tulsa Under 58.5 to 55.5

Temple-Houston Under 53.5 to 52.5

Old Dominion-Florida Atlantic Under 49.5 to 48.5

Appalachian State-South Alabama Under 54 to 52

12 p.m. ET: Oklahoma at Baylor

These Big 12 rivals are fighting for the top spot in the conference. Oklahoma (9-0 SU, 4-5 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 4th in the country. The Sooners just beat Texas Tech 52-21, easily covering as 19-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Baylor (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) is ranked 18th but just fell to TCU 30-28, losing outright as 7.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Oklahoma listed as a 6-point road favorite. The public is happy to lay the points with the Sooners, yet we've seen this line fall from 6 to 5.5, with some shops even down to 5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on home dog Baylor. The Bears have value as a contrarian home conference dog with a line move in their favor. We've also seen some over money show up, driving the total from 62 to 63. Both teams are 6-3 to the over this season.

Lean Baylor

12 p.m. ET: Mississippi State at Auburn

Both of these SEC rivals are looking to bounce back from tough losses. Mississippi State (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) is unranked and just fell to Arkansas 31-28, although the Bulldogs covered as a 4-point road dogs. Meanwhile, Auburn (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) is ranked 16h but just lost to Texas A&M 20-3, failing to cover as 4.5-point road dogs. This line opened with Auburn listed as a 5.5-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with Auburn. However, despite this lopsided betting the line has fallen from 5.5 to 5. This indicates some wiseguy action on Mississippi State plus the points. The Bulldogs have value as a buy-low road unranked conference dog vs a ranked opponent.

Lean Miss St

12 p.m. ET: Michigan at Penn State

This Big Ten clash features two teams in the hunt for the conference title. Michigan (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) is ranked 9th and just dismissed Indiana 29-7, covering as 20.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Penn State (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS) is unranked but just beat Maryald 31-14, easily covering as 10-point road favorites. This line opened at a pick'em. Pros and Joes both seem to be backing the Wolverines as we've seen Michigan move from a pick'em to a 1.5-point road favorite. When two ranked teams face off, the favorite is roughly 55% ATS over the past decade. The total has fallen from 48.5 to 48, signaling some respected under money. The forecast calls for cold mid 30s temperatures with 10-15 MPH winds. Michigan is 5-4 to the under and Penn State is 7-2 to the under.

Lean Mich

 
Posted : November 13, 2021 10:57 am
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