TCU-Kansas Under 66.5 to 64.5
Northwestern-Purdue Under 48.5 to 47.5
Akron-Kent Under 75 to 73
FIU-North Texas Under 59.5 to 57.5
Notre Dame-Georgia Tech Under 59.5 to 58
12 p.m. ET: Iowa State at Oklahoma
Both of these Big 12 rivals are looking to bounce back from tough losses. Iowa State (6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) has lost two of their last three games and just fell to Texas Tech 41-38, losing outright as 13-point road favorites. Similarly, Oklahoma (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS, ranked 13th) just lost their first game of the season last week, falling to Baylor 27-14 as 4-point home favorites. This line opened with Oklahoma listed as a 5-point home favorite. The public is all over the Sooners laying the short number, expecting a "get right" win for Oklahoma. However, this line has dipped from 5 to 3.5, signaling some sharp reverse line movement on road dog Iowa State. Short road dogs 4 or less are roughly 54% ATS the past decade. Iowa State also has value as a road unranked conference dog against a ranked opponent.
Lean Iowa st
3:30 p.m. ET: SMU at Cincinnati
This American Athletic grudge match features two of the top teams in the conference facing off. SMU (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) just took down Central Florida 55-28, easily covering as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Cincinnati (10-0 SU, 5-5 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 5th in the nation. The Bearcat just beat South Florida 45-28, but failed to cover as 23.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Cincinnati listed as a 12.5-point home favorite. Respected money has pounced on SMU plus the points, dropping the line down from 12.5 to 10. SMU has value as a unranked conference dog against a ranked opponent. The Mustangs also have value as a conference dog who can score (41.6 PPG), which is critical to hang tough or back door cover. Cincinnati is 4-0 over their last four games but 0-4 ATS, failing to cover as double-digit favorites each time.
Lean smu
7:30 p.m. ET: Oregon at Utah
This primetime Pac 12 showdown features a pair of ranked teams fighting for the conference title. Oregon (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS) has won five straight and is ranked 3rd in the nation. The Ducks just dismissed Washington State 38-24, covering as 13.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Utah (7-3 SU, 4-6 ATS) has won three straight and is ranked 23rd. The Utes just beat Arizona 38-29, although they failed to cover as 24-point road favorites. This line opened with Utah listed as a 3-point home favorite. The public can't believe the Ducks are a dog and they're rushing to the window to grab the points. However, this line has remained frozen at 3 and even hinted at a move up to -3.5. This signals sharp "Fade the Trendy Dog" action on Utah. The Utes also have value as a rare contrarian home favorite in a heavily bet game. When two ranked teams face off, the favorite is roughly 55% ATS over the past decade
Lean Utah
Good luck everyone let’s have a great day !
More Sharp movement on UCLA / usc under down to 65.5 I’m buying up to 66.5 and taking under
Sounds good to me. Thank you
Welp that one went south. Damn- lots of points in ucla game! All good. Always appreciate insight
UCLA fucking rolled them I was not expecting that but ucla could not be stoped I think chip Kelly ran up the score for his bosses lol
We went 6-3 on the day unders saved us and Utah came through.