Saturday Sharp Action

Good Morning everyone over the past 24-48 hours we've seen steady buyback on the Bengals, who opened at 3.5, reached 4.5 and have since fallen back down to 4. There are no longer any books hanging the hook and it appears Bengals 4.5 was the preferred number for value-minded sharps. In fact, some shops are even juicing up the Bengals 4 slightly, signaling a possible further fall to 3.5. The total remains static at 48.5 after opening at 50.

6 p.m. ET: Ohio State at Michigan

Ohio State (14-6 SU, 10-10 ATS) is ranked 16th but has lost two of their last three games, most recently falling to Rutgers 66-64 and losing outright as 3-point road favorites. Meanwhile, Michigan (13-9 SU, 9-13 ATS) is unranked but has won three of their last four and just upset Purdue 82-58, winning outright as 3.5-point home dogs. This line opened with Michigan listed as a short 2-point home favorite. The public is happy to grab the points with trendy dog Ohio State, yet we've seen this line move further toward Michigan (-2 to -2.5). This signals pro money laying the points with the Wolverines, who also have value as a "fishy" unranked home favorite against a ranked opponent. Michigan is 8-2 at home this season. Ohio State is 3-5 on the road. Ken Pom has Michigan winning by two points (74-72). Michigan is -135 on the moneyline.
Lean Michigan

7 p.m. ET: Notre Dame at Clemson

These ACC foes are trending in opposite directions. Notre Dame (17-7 SU, 12-12 ATS) has won three straight games and just took down Louisville 63-57, failing to cover as 6.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, Clemson (12-12 SU, 13-10-1 ATS) has lost three straight and just got crushed by Duke 82-64, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs. This line opened with Clemson listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. The public thinks the wrong team is favored and is rushing to the window to back Notre Dame. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen Clemson move from -1.5 to -2.5. This indicates sharp money buying low on Clemson at home. Ken Pom has Clemson winning by three points (70-67).

Lean Clemson

7 p.m. ET: Charleston at UNC Wilmington

This CAA matchup features two of the best in the conference facing off. Charleston (13-9 SU, 11-11 ATS) is riding a three-game winning streak and just edged Elon 66-64, failing to cover as 3-point road favorites. Meanwhile, UNC Wilmington (16-7 SU, 14-6-1 ATS) sits atop the conference but is looking to get back on track after dropping two of their last three games, most recently falling to Hofstra 73-71 but covering as 6-point road dogs. This line opened with UNC Wilmington listed as a short 1.5-point home favorite. We've seen oddsmakers juice up UNC Wilmington -1.5 to -115 or -120, signaling liability on their side and a possible rise up to 2. Wilmington is 9-1 at home this season. Charleston is 5-5 on the road. Ken Pom has UNC Wilmington winning by two points (75-73).

Lean UNC Wilmington