Greg Shaker
COL (-135) vs FLA
Analysis: COLORADO ROCKIES -135 (Willis/Fogg) The only thing not making this a premium play is the line itself, as it is just a bit too pricey for me. We do have a lot of good reasons to play this game though and not the least of which is the fact that Marlins are going through the motions and getting this disapointing season over as quickly as possible. That is especially true when they are playing on the road, as they have won just 6 of their last 26. That is not too sporty, and perhaps it will get worse as they play a Colorado Team that is the #1 Moneymaking Home Team in the Big League's over the last 10 years, and winning money for us once again this year. They are 43-28 here at Coors, and they achieved the 4th best Home Money this year, only being outranked by Arizona, Texas and Seattle. The pitching matchup is in our favor as well with Fogg throwing very well of late and allowing just 4 runs over 17 innings. Willis has been pretty much like the team he plays for with most of his last 10 efforts being sub-par by any standard and the Marlins winning just once in those games. That was a 14-5 win over AZ and not a stellar effort by Dontelle. There is no doubt that Colorado hits lefties well and especially at this Park. Whether the Rockies have any chance of playing Post Season Ball is not as important as the fact that they are just 2.5 games behind from doing so. This is a good situation tonight for the Home Boys and I do expect as nice showing. Therefore, I will have a strong lean on Colorado...
WINNING POINTS
NCAA FOOTBALL
Oklahoma State over Troy* by 16
Troy has scored bigger points than anyone thought they would
against both Arkansas and Florida -- 26 and 31. But those two
teams were playing a lot of different combinations on defense,
and now Oklahoma State knows who Troy's big guns are and what
they need to do to contain them. Oklahoma State's defense is quick,
and turnover-minded. They aren't as deep as Arkansas and Florida
and therefore must leave their starters in for a longer period
of time.
Oklahoma State is one of the most balanced and explosive offenses
in the nation. They were more balanced and productive on a per-game
basis than either Florida or Arkansas last season, and most of the
playmakers are back. When they play on artificial turf -- like they
are tonight -- they can use their speed to their fullest advantage.
There is some question as to who will play QB for them -- #1 Bobby
Reid, or #2 Zac Robinson. Robinson came in last week and ran the
show beautifully against a better Sun Belt defense -- Florida
Atlantic's -- despite not having game-breaking RB Dantrell Savage
in the lineup.
Troy will be without defensive end Kenny Mainor -- DeMarcus Ware of
the Dallas Cowboys used to play his position at this school. Sherrod
Martin, a junior listed as #1 at the nickelback position, broke his
hand very early in the loss to Florida. OKLAHOMA STATE, 40-24.
Northcoast Friday Night Marquee play
Okla St/Troy OVER 62.5
Rob Veno
20* NYY
10* Tor-run line
10* LAD
Shawn Torrey line error
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Panthers -6.5 over Texans
Reason:Last season the Panthers were many people's preseason pick to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, however a slow start, combined with a four-game skid down the stretch ended all hope. That was then and this is now, and with many of the same pieces in place it appears as if Carolina is serious about making those predictions come true; even if it is a year later.
Jake Delhomme was very impressive in the season-opening road win at St. Louis, and the two-headed rush attack of Foster and Williams combined for 156 on the ground. A win here over the Texans could very well have the Panthers looking at a 4-0 start considering that a trip to Atlanta, followed by a home game against the Bucs is to follow. You might remember that last week I cashed a Free Play winner on this same Houston team, however as improved as I believe they are, winning at home and winning on the road are two entirely different things in this league. Especially when the home win came against a KC team that appears to be in shambles right now, and the road trip takes you to Carolina.
This line will surely hit a full TD later in the week so I suggest you jump now. Play on Carolina.
TONY WESTON
Brian Bannister may be the most underrated pitcher in the Major Leagues today simply because he plays for the Kansas City Royals. If he were playing for the Yankees or Red Sox or even the Dodgers, he would be a star. He’d be in the spotlight and would be recognized as one of the best in the game today.
Bannister is 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA and is all but a guaranteed win for the Royals as of late. He’ll get another win tonight.
Check this out, the Royals are 8-0 in Bannister’s last eight starts against the AL Central, are 4-0 in his last four starts in the first game of a series, are 5-0 in his last five road starts, are 4-0 in his last four starts when the Royals are a dog and 6-2 in the last eight as a dog and are 8-2 overall in his last 10 starts. Impressed yet?
In his only start against Cleveland on June 6, he pitched 7 innings, gave up only 5 hits and no earned runs in a win.
If that’s not enough for you, consider Cleveland’s C.C. Sabathia (17-7, 3.15). Cleveland is 1-5 in C.C.’s last five home starts, are 1-6 in his last seven starts as a favorite and are 0-4 his last four home starts as a favorite.
Go with the underrated virtual unknown and go with the Royals.
Following Thursday's action, we now stand at 14-6 our last 20 Comp Plays.
3♦ ROYALS (on a 1♦ to 5♦ scale)
Triple Crown GOY 5* NYY
4* Atl over 9
3* Stl under 8.5
3* Col (Fogg)
Calf Sports
3* Clev -1.5
3* Anaheim
3* Tex/Oakland over 9.5
LT Profits
pod Astros under
2* Baltimore
2* Arizona
The Sports Firm
$3750 Club
MLB: Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Seattle Mariners - Seattle -140
Handicapper: Baseball Clubs
Frank Patron
5000 Unit
Non Conference Lock
.. Oklahoma State
DONBEST STEAM PLAYS !! Plays for September, 14th 2007 record:
Time of Play Game Date Game # Team Line Result
11:34:22am 2007-09-15 198 Florida Atlantic Over 55
9:58:43am 2007-09-15 126 Iowa State Over 39
8:34:47am 2007-09-14 901 ATL -130
8:08:25am 2007-09-14 926 CWS +125
Northcoast Infomercial 15-4
Monday
Early Bird POW
Virigina Tech -18.5
Tuesday
Underdog POW
UTEP
Power Plays
4* Oregon
Wednesday
Economy Club #2 rated play
Houston -14.5
Thursday
Totals POW
Seattle over 42
ACC POW
Ga Tech
Friday
Big Twelve POW
Florida State -4