LT Profits
NFL 2* Arizona Cardinals (3.0 / +105) vs San Francisco 49ers
Bobby Maxwell
Baltimore at CINCINNATI (-3)
Had to settle for a push with our NFL FREE play Sunday as the Dolphins fell by three points at Washington. Tonight we're heading to Cincinnati for a complimentary play on the Bengals as they host the Ravens.
Sure, Baltimore went 13-3 last season and won the AFC North but when the Ravens went to Cincinnati last year they fell 13-7 as a three-point underdog. Baltimore has trouble with the Bengals because they spread the ball around so much.
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings and at home the Bengals have won and covered three of the last four years. The home team in this series is a whopping 11-5 ATS in the last 16.
Look for big things from Cincy QB Carson Palmer and WR Chad Johnson. Palmer is completely recovered from his knee injury two seasons ago and Johnson has vowed to find the end zone more than last season. Johnson already led the league with 1,369 yards receiving.
Paul Brown Stadium is going to be a happy place tonight as the Bengals get a big win in the division. Play Cincinnati.
3♦ CINCINNATI
Keith Line (Wagering Sports) Monday Selections:
Baltimore Ravens
Arizona Cardinals
SCI Sports
last 23 days: 46-21
nine days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
2-1 saturday
2-1 yesterday...
MAC SCI - Tb/Bos u9½
JON REIL SCI - Cards +128
(Pineiro, Lilly)
TUL SCI - Tigers +1½ -154
(Halladay, Rogers)
BIG AL'S FULL SERVICE CLIENTS
5* NL GOY - SAN FRAN
OPINIONS - BRAVES - BJ'S
5* kentucky
3* ga tech - washington
OPINIONS - kansas - notre dame - tulsa
Monday/Saturday
At 10:15pm our National League Game of the Year is on the San Francisco Giants over Arizona. These two division rivals haven't met since July 1st and they played a bunch of games between April and then (twelve to be exact). A lot has changed since that time. Arizona is on a 5-game winning streak, and is ensconced in first place in the NL West. Brandon Webb has put himself back in contention for a second consecutive Cy Young award, and outfielder Chris Young has put up Rookie of the Year-type power numbers, although his batting average (and a guy named Braun in Milwaukee) ensure that he won't win it. Not all the news is good however. The D-Backs just found out that they are going to lose shortstop Orlando Hudson for the rest of the season after thumb surgery. Arizona has also seen its relief pitching get knocked around quite a bit lately, which led to the signing of Bob Wickman off the scrap heap. Now they also must face one of the best young strikeout pitchers in the league, Tim Lincecum, a guy who shut them out earlier this season when he pitched seven innings and struck out twelve in what was probably his best Major League outing. And going for Arizona will be Livan Hernandez, who is on the downslope of his career. He's only struck out a total of eight batters in his last six starts covering 39 innings, which shows that he can't fool anybody anymore. And, we also have a strong technical angle against Arizona tonight, as underdogs that have won exactly five straight games have lost 10 straight times since June. Take the Giants.
Saturday:
Our college football selections include Kentucky, Notre Dame, Washington, Tulsa, Kansas, and Georgia Tech.
Kentucky -- At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats plus the points over Louisville. Steve Kragthorpe's Cardinals struggled last Thursday against Middle Tennessee State. The Cards won, but surrendered 42 points in the process. That does not bode well for Saturday night's game against rival Kentucky, whose offense is clicking on all cylinders. The Wildcats own blowout wins over Kent State (56-20) and Eastern Kentucky (50-10) and fall into a super system that is a perfect 15-0 ATS since 1981. What we want to do is play on any home dog getting 2+ points that scored 43+ points in its previous 2 games, provided it did not give up 35 or more points in its previous game. Take Kentucky plus the points.
Notre Dame -- At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Michigan. Of course the storyline of this game will be the fall from grace of College Football's two most storied programs. Notre Dame has been embarassed by both Georgia Tech and Penn State, and has rushed for negative yardage on the season (67 rushes for -8 yards). And offensive guru Charlie Weis' men have yet to score an offensive touchdown. But Michigan's performance has been even worse (if that's possible). The Wolves lost 34-32 to Appalachian State, and then were destroyed 39-7 by Oregon, as the Ducks rushed for 331 yards on 51 carries. Clearly, Ron English's defense resembles swiss cheese more than the impenetrable unit that took the field for much of last season. But regardless of the storylines, one thing has remained constant in this rivalry over the last 27 years: the underdog covers! And if the underdog is NOT going into revenge, it's a perfect 14-0 ATS since 1980. Last year, Michigan blasted Notre Dame 47-21. Look for the Irish to avenge that defeat on Saturday. Take the points.
Washington -- At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies plus the points over Ohio State. Last week, we used Washington as a home dog over Boise State, and Tyrone Willingham's men snapped Boise's 15-game win streak. Can Washington win back-to-back big games? My database indicates that the Huskies will do just that. Consider that, since 1980, road teams are a horrific 5-25 ATS in their 3rd game of the season, if they enter off two home wins, and their foe is off back to back SU/ATS wins, provided our road team did not score more than 37 points in its previous game (Ohio State scored just 20). And if our home team is off an upset win, then our 25-5 stat zooms to an almost perfect 11-1 ATS. Take Washington.
Georgia Tech -- At 8 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Boston College. Ga Tech has two blowout wins thus far in 2007: 33-3 over Notre Dame, and 69-14 over Samford. Now, Chan Gailey's men fall into a terrific system that's cashed 100% since 1980. What we want to do is play on any unrested, single-digit home favorite that scored 60+ points, if it's matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. With Boston College indeed off two SU/ATS wins (over NC State and Wake Forest), we'll fade Jeff Jagodzinski's men and lay the points with Georgia Tech.
Tulsa -- At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane plus the points over BYU, as Tulsa falls into a Game 2 System of mine that has cashed 60% since 1980. What we want to do is play on any rested home dog off a win in Game 1. And Tulsa also falls into a 2nd system of mine that is 69-29 ATS which also involves playing on rested teams in Game 2. After leaving his assistant coaching position at Tulsa for the head coach job at Rice, Todd Graham returned this season to take the top job (following Steve Kragthorpe's departure for Louisville). Graham did a super job last year at Rice (the Owls won and covered their final six regular season games), and led that school to its first bowl bid in 45 years. Look for Graham to have a super year at Tulsa. Take the Golden Hurricane plus the points.
Kansas -- At 7 pm, our selection is on Kansas, as the Jayhawks fall into several 'momentum' systems of mine following their 52-7 and 60-0 wins over Central Michigan and SE Louisiana. Now, the Jayhawks will try to avenge their 37-31 loss at Toledo in Week 3 last season. And home favorites priced from -2 to -33 points off a shutout win of 40+ points are a super 79% ATS since 1980 vs. an opponent off a loss. With the Rockets off a 52-31 blowout loss at Central Michigan, we'll fade Toledo and lay the big number with Kansas. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
Today's Free Selection is Provided by: Teddy Covers
Selection: Colorado +120
Let’s not sell the Rockies short, like the betting marketplace has done all season. Colorado ranks fourth in the majors in overall profitability this season. They’ve been hot lately, taking two out of three from the Padres over the weekend; seven of their last ten overall. And Colorado has been performing adequately in hostile environments, a profitable 13-15 on the highway since the All Star break.
Colorado’s rookie starter, Ubaldo Jiminez, has pitched way underneath the radar screen since his insertion into the starting lineup back in July. Jiminez has only had two bad starts during that span. His current form is stellar – eight runs and 19 hits allowed in his last five starts, lasting 31.2 innings. Look for the Phillies lineup to have their fair share of trouble against Jiminez and the surprisingly strong bullpen behind him.
It’s not hard to make a case betting against Kyle Lohse. Lohse has not exactly been a savior since coming over at the trading deadline, particularly at Citizens Bank Ballpark where he has only one quality start this season. And the Phillies bullpen behind him isn’t exactly the most dependable unit either, making the Rockies a clear plus price choice on Monday Night in Philadelphia.
Kiki Sports
2 units - MNF Cincy Under
Z play.... balt-cincy under (1-0) yesterday
The Sports Firm
$3750 Club
MLB: Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals - Twins -110
Handicapper: Baseball Clubs
Larry Ness' 15* AL Game of the Week (28-9 since Aug 7 / 111-39 since Opening Day!)
Larry closed a so-so week in MLB with a 2-0 Sunday sweep. However, there's been nothing "so-so" about his record with 15* GOW plays this year, as he's gone 28-9 since Aug 7 and is 111-39 since Opening Day. His "assault on MLB's moneyline" continues tonight with his 15* AL Game of the Week.
15* AL GOW Toronto Blue Jays
Larry Ness' 15* Monday Night Opener (
It was not a great Week 1, although Larry did cash with his Week One 20* (Seattle), making him a perfect 7-0 with 20* plays in FB '07 (4-0 in NFLX, now 1-0 in the regular season .
15* Arizona Cardinals
Brandon Lang
MONDAY
20 DIME
RAVENS
5 DIME
Ravens/Bengals OVER
Cardinals
Free Pick - Cardinals/Niners OVER -
SCI Sports
last 23 days: 46-21
nine days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
three days winning streak!
2-1 saturday
2-1 yesterday...
MAC SCI - Tb/Bos u9½
JON REIL SCI - Cards +128
(Pineiro, Lilly)
TUL SCI - Tigers +1½ -154
(Halladay, Rogers)
Lenny Del Genio's Oddsmaker's Blowout (3-0 Sun sweep / 3-0 with Oddsmaker's Blowouts in '07!)
Play on the 49ers at 10:15 ET. I realize the 49ers have lost four straight to this team burt the Cards are perennial underachievers, having failed to make the playoffs for eight straight seasons, the longest active streak of any team in the league. In fact, that 1998 playoff appearance, was the franchise's only one in the last 24 years! Leinart looked pretty good for a rookie last year and he unquestionably has a great pair of wideouts in Boldin and Fitzgerald. However, even with Edgerrin James, the Cards ranked 30th of 32 teams in rushing in '06 (83.6 ypg). New head coach Whisenhunt (a former Steeler) says he wants an improved running attack but we saw little of it in an 0-4 preseason. I believe the 49ers can be 8-8 or better, this year. They have the NFL's leading rusher from LY in Frank Gore (1,695 / 5.4), a young QB that's just as talented as Leinart (Alex Smith) and a MUCH superior OL! The 49ers also added WRs Darrell Jackson (Sea) and Ashley Lelie (former No. 1 pick of the Broncos). Defensively, the team's biggest weakness was against the pass in '06 but with the signings of Buffalo CB Nate Clements plus Philadelphia safety Michael Lewis, the 2ndy will be greatly improved TY. KC went 0-4 in the preseason and opened yesterday with a 20-3 loss at Houston (my Oddsmaker's Blowout). Expect a similar fate for Arizona. Revenge works here! San Francisco is my Oddsmaker's Blowout.
Good luck, Lenny
Oink Oink buddy thanks for the posts
Brian Hansen's False Fav of the year
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Guaranteed Pick: Brian Hansen
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants Sep 10 2007 10:15PM
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks
Reason: This is the 1st game of a 3 game series and I expect the home team to stumble today against the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks. Livan Hernandez gets the call for the D-Backs; Hernandez’s record is not indicative of his overall performance against the Giants; he is 3-4 with a great 2.88 ERA in 11 career starts against his former team but has not received a decision in 2 starts against them this season while posting a respectable 3.60 ERA. Tim Lincecum toes the rubber for the home team; the right-hander lasted just 3 innings on Tuesday, allowing 3 runs without getting a decision in San Francisco's 6-5 loss in Colorado. There is 1 very significant trend that does not bode well for Giants backers today; Arizona is a superb 16-11 (+8 units) their last 27 when playing on the road with a total of either 8 or 8.5! Indeed, when we look at the D-Backs a little closer we see they are a perfect 5-0 their last 5 overall! When you take into account all of these factors, the sharp money and great value is on the DIAMONDBACKS!