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Sunday NCAAF Trends

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(@mvbski)
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KENTUCKY (8 - 5) at LOUISVILLE (6 - 6) - 8/31/2008, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLORADO (6 - 7) vs. COLORADO ST (3 - 9) - 8/31/2008, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : August 31, 2008 8:18 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Kentucky at Louisville, 3:30 ET
Kentucky: 3-13 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Louisville: 6-1 Over when the total is between 56.5 and 63

Colorado vs. Colorado State, 7:30 ET (at Denver)
Colorado: 10-3 Over as a neutral field favorite
Colorado State: 9-2 Over as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

 
Posted : August 31, 2008 8:19 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Topic starter
 

3:30 PM KENTUCKY vs. LOUISVILLE
Kentucky is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Kentucky is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Louisville is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Kentucky
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

7:30 PM COLORADO vs. COLORADO STATE
Colorado is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Colorado is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Colorado State is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
Colorado State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado

 
Posted : August 31, 2008 8:19 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Topic starter
 

Tips and Trends

Kentucky at Louisville [ESPN | 3:30 PM ET]

Kentucky: Sophomore QB Mike Hartline won the starting job when senior Curtis Pulley was excused from the team in mid-August. Pulley would have likely been the starter for Kentucky in this game, so there are obvious question marks surrounding the Cats offense heading into the season. There are fewer concerns on defense, where Kentucky may have its most talent on that side of the ball in over a decade. Seven starters return from last year?s much improved defense, led by one of the top corners in the country, Trevard Lindley. Expect Kentucky to rely on a strong defense and formidable running game while Hartline gets up to speed.

Kentucky is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Key Injuries - OL Stuart Hines (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side Play of the Day)

Louisville (-3.5, O/U 58.5): Things can only get better for a Louisville defense that was gashed last season to the tune of 416 yards and 35.2 points per game. The pass defense was particularly awful, allowing 25 touchdowns compared to just seven interceptions. Former Michigan defensive coordinator Ron English was brought in to sure up the defense but he has an uphill battle on his hands. Seven opponents scored more than 30 points on Louisville last season. Offensively, the Cardinals lost quarterback Brian Brohm but highly touted NFL-prospect Hunter Cantwell is more than a viable replacement, despite only starting four games. The Cards are 7-2 SU in this series.

Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games.
The OVER is 3-0 in Louisville's last 3 games overall.

Key Injuries - WR Trent Guy (back) is doubtful.
WR Scott Long (foot) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28

 
Posted : August 31, 2008 8:20 am
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