Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers
Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys listed as 3-point favorites versus the Packers, while the game's total is sitting at 51½.
Marion Barber's 1-yard touchdown run with 4:35 remaining lifted the Cowboys to a 41-37 win over the Eagles in Week 2 action on Monday night.
Dallas failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites as the teams played over the 48-point total set by oddsmakers.
The Packers defeated Detroit 48-25 as a 3-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (47).
Aaron Rodgers passed for 328 yards with three touchdowns for Green Bay, while Charles Woodson and Nick Collins both ran back an interception for a touchdown in the win.
Current streak:
Dallas has won 2 straight games.
Green Bay has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Dallas: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
Green Bay: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Dallas most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 9-1
Green Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Green Bay
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Green Bay's last 12 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Next up:
Dallas home to Washington, Sunday, September 28
Green Bay at Tampa Bay, Sunday, September 28
Cowboys at Packers
By Judd Hall
The public has a habit of hyping up teams and games early in the season. Although, this week’s showdown between the Packers and Cowboys in Lambeau Field looks like it will live up to the hype.
Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened this game up with Dallas as a three-point road “chalk,” with the total holding steady at 51. Sportsbook.com reports that 69 percent of the bettors on their website are backing the Packers for a plus-135 return (bet $100 to win $135).
Green Bay was in a no-win situation during the offseason with Brett Favre deciding he wanted to come back after a tearful farewell. The Pack decided they wanted to keep moving forward with Aaron Rodgers under center. We all know how well the Cheeseheads took that news.
Rodgers has answered those critics by winning his first two games as the Packers’ starting quarterback. His 70.0 completion percentage is among the Top 8 passers in the league. He has yet to throw an interception this year, while tossing four touchdowns.
While the former Cal gunslinger has had success so far this season, he’s going to need better production from the Green Bay running game to pull out a win against the Cowboys…particularly out of Ryan Grant.
The undrafted runner from Notre Dame opened the year with a nice 12 carry, 92 yard performance in Green Bay’s 24-19 victory over the Vikings. Grant (hamstring) is listed as “probable” due to an injury that has nagged him since the preseason. Packers head coach Mike McCarthy has said the running back looked good during practice.
Dallas has fired on all cylinders when it comes to its offense. Tony Romo has connected on 45 of his 62 passes this season for 632 yards for four touchdowns and a pair of picks. Needless to say that his favorite target to reach the end zone has been Terrell Owens, picking up three of those scores amongst his eight receptions for 176 yards. While “T.O.” is getting much of the attention, Green Bay must be careful about tight end Jason Witten as he leads the club with 13 catches for 206 yards.
As good as the Cowboys are when passing the ball, they’ll win this game on the ground. Marion Barber has logged 143 rushing yards on 34 attempts for three scores this season. Then you have Darren McFadden’s old backup, Felix Jones, has been playing well this year. The rookie from Arkansas has carried the ball 12 times for 72 yards and a touchdown. Yet he’s averaging 38.1 yards per kickoff/punt return this season to go along with another score.
The Packers will have a lot of issues in trying to stop both runners as they did against Minnesota to start the year. Adrian Peterson was able to run 103 yards on just 19 carries en route to one touchdown. And it just wasn’t him as the Vikings had 10 first downs gained on the ground. The ‘Boys should have no problem putting up the same numbers.
It is rare for Green Bay to be a home pup in the regular season…it’s even more rare for them to win as they’ve gone 2-7 SU and 3-5-1 the past nine times as an underdog at Lambeau.
If you fancy total plays, then take a look at the ‘over’ for this Sunday Night Football showdown on NBC. Nine of the last 10 meetings between Dallas and the Packers have seen the combined score soar over the closing total.
vegasinsider.com