Sunday Night Football Bengals vs. Patriots Week 5 Picks & Predictions
By Anthony Rome
NEW ENGLAND, MA (The Spread) – Will the Patriots rebound from their ugly loss to the Chiefs on Monday night when they host the Bengals on Sunday Night Football?
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Bengals are 1-point favorites over the host Patriots while the over/under total is currently sitting at 45.5 points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Patriots opened as 3-point favorites but with 65% of the betting public currently siding with Cincinnati for this game, the line has swung in favor of the Bengals, who are now 1-point favorites. As for the total, it opened at 47 and has been bet down to 45.5.
SEASON RECORDS: The Bengals enter tonight’s game with a 3-0 record and are a perfect 3-0 against the spread this season, while the Patriots are 2-2 on the year and just 1-3 at the betting window. While the under is a perfect 3-0 in Cincinnati's first three games, New England's over/under record is sitting at 2-2.
NFL FREE PICK: Take New England. According to latest NFL trends, the Patriots are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games in Week 5 and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games. They're also 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS loss, 34-16-1 against the number in their last 51 games following a straight up loss and 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous contest. The Patriots have always been a rock solid play for bettors coming off a loss. In fact, they're 34-5 straight up following a loss (87.2%) and their average margin of victory over that span is 13.4. Just when you want to bet against the Pats, Bill Belichick and Tom Brady right the ship.
2014 NFL WEEK 5 FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +1