NY JETS (1 - 1) at MIAMI (2 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Miami is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
NY JETS at MIAMI
NY JETS: 6-0 ATS as road dog of 7 pts or less
MIAMI: 0-6 ATS at home off BB SU/ATS wins
NY JETS at MIAMI... Miami has won and covered last 3 meetings after Jets were 9-0-1 vs. line previous ten in series! Jets had covered 6 straight in Miami before LY. Sparano chalk mark (2-7 since ‘08) not nearly as good as some of his dog numbers. Tech edge-Jets, based on extended series and team trends.
NY Jets are 30-12-2 vs. Miami since 1988
Miami is 5-13 in the last 18 as home underdogs
NY Jets 5-0 RD's vs div opp off SU dog win… 14-2 .500 > div RD's (9-0 off SU win)… 5-1 off SU dog win… 5-0 O/U Game Three
MIAMI SERIES: 3-0 L31-6 L7 H… 0-5 bef HG vs Pats… 1-7 H off SU dog win
Tips and Trends
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
JETS: New York has shown 2 completely performances this season. In their season opener, the Jets were terrible against Baltimore. Last week, the Jets dominated the Patriots 28-14 SU as the listed underdog. That win over New England was a statement game for the Jets, as they needed to silence their critics. QB Mark Sanchez showed great improvement from the opener, and will need to continue that maturation as the season progresses. Sanchez and the Jets will be playing their first road game of the season tonight. Making matters worse is the fact that the Jets are likely to be without the services of star WR Braylon Edwards. RB Ladanian Tomlinson has looked very fresh for the Jets, far better than he looked in the past few seasons in San Diego. The Jets have revenge tonight, as they lost both meetings last season to the Dolphins. Defensively, the Jets will have to maintain their sturdy defense, especially when it comes to stopping the run. New York is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against AFC opponents.
Jets are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog.
Over is 8-3-1 last 12 games against the AFC.
Key Injuries - CB Darrelle Revis (hamstring) is out.
Projected Score: 13
DOLPHINS: (-1.5, O/U 35) Miami is looking to start 3-0 SU for the first time since 2002. The Dolphins have been one of the most impressive teams in the NFL, considering they won both their games both SU and ATS while on the road. The Dolphins are likely to have a huge homefield edge tonight, considering this game is the season opener and is being played under the national spotlight. Miami is winning with their defense, as they have limited each of their opponents to only 10 PTS. The Dolphins are tied with the Steelers for the best scoring defense in the NFL. Miami has been playing some aggressive defense this year, and that's led to both of their games going far under the posted total. Offensively, the Dolphins have struggled far more. Miami is ranked only 27th in the NFL in total yards. Not only is this offense struggling to move the ball, they are also fumbling the football. In their last game, both Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown fumbled the ball. QB Chad Henne hasn't thrown for many yards, but he has completed better than 60% of his passes in each game this year. Against the tough Jets defense, Henne is going to have to make plays with his arms for the Dolphins to win tonight.
Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC East.
Under is 20-8 in Dolphins last 28 games following a S.U. win.
Key Injuries - LB Channing Crowder (groin) is doubtful.
Projected Score: 17 (UNDER-Total of the Day)
NY Jets at Miami Dolphins: What Bettors Need to Know
By RICKY DIMON
The undefeated Dolphins sit atop the AFC East at 2-0 and have a chance to separate themselves in the division from the preseason division favorite Jets.
Mainly thanks to phenomenal defensive performances, Miami's record is unblemished through two weeks and the team is coming off close victories over Buffalo (15-10) and Minnesota (14-10). The Jets endured a similar contest in Week 1, losing to Baltimore 10-9, before the offense got going in a 28-14 win over New England last Sunday.
LINE MOVEMENT
The line opened at a pick or Miami -1 but multiple books are offering Jets +2.5 as of Saturday afternoon. The total is moving slightly, mostly dancing between 34.5 and 36. Either way, most expect a low-scoring contest Sunday night.
INJURY REPORT
The Jets had health problems right from the start this season. Nose tackle Kris Jenkins was lost for the year in Week 1 and now star cornerback Darrelle Revis is licking his wounds. Revis tweaked his hamstring while trying to stay in stride with Randy Moss on a deep TD pass last weekend.
Revis is out for Sunday's game against Miami, so expect Antonio Cromartie to matchup against Fins star receiver Brandon Marshall. Marshall had the best day of his career with the Denver Broncos in 2008, ripping down 18 receptions for 166 yards against a San Diego secondary that included Cromartie.
Jets linebacker Calvin Pace (foot) is also out, but defensive end Jason Taylor and center Nick Manggold were upgraded from questionable to probable on Friday.
The Dolphins are in pretty good shape, although they are not without issues. Inside linebacker Channing Crowder is doubtful with a groin problem and rookie defensive end Jared Odrick will miss a second straight game due to a hairline fracture in his right leg. Offensive guard John Jerry missed his third consecutive practice on Friday because of illness and he is listed as doubtful.
PRIOR ENGAGEMENTS
The Jets won five in a row starting with a 2006 sweep of Miami, but the Dolphins ended the drought by winning the second encounter in 2008 and now they are on a three-game streak.
Miami was 2-0 last year against the Jets, even though Miami was an underdog in each game.
THE ROYAL TANNENBAUM
In addition to their injury problems, the Jets are mired in a controversy surrounding wide receiver Braylon Edwards. Recently arrested for driving under the influence, Edwards will not start Sunday night's game. It's not clear exactly if he will take the field, but the punishment is not expected to be a whole lot more than "not starting."
General manager Mike Tannenbaum says the decision will be made sometime before kickoff, it won't be announced, and it will not depend on how the game is progressing.
While some outsiders have called for a suspension, Tannenbaum pointed out that deactivating Edwards would be a violation of the labor agreement. Edwards said he would waive his rights if the team wanted to punish him further, but Tannenbaum told the New Jersey Star-Ledger, "A player cannot waive his collectively-bargained rights."
"Our reputation is important," Tannenbaum continued. "We take it seriously. We want to be known as a first-class organization."
It’s a tough call for Tannenbaum. The Jets don’t have many receiving weapons, and Edwards has five touchdown catches in just three career games against the Dolphins.
It's pretty clear that by not inflicting more punishment, the Jets also want to be a first-place organization.
IT'S ELECTRIC
The Dolphins are pumped up for primetime, a slot they were all too unfamiliar with prior to last season.
"Electric," fullback Lousaka Polite told the Miami Herald. "No other way to put it. It's electric. Two teams, everyone's watching. You can't hide from that. So you play your hardest."
"Of course, it's a different atmosphere," added defensive end Kendall Langford. "It's a great feeling, everyone's energized. The lights bring it out. It's just more exciting. I guess it kind of goes back to your high school days when you played with the lights on...Friday night lights."
The Dolphins were relegated exclusively to Sunday afternoons in 2008, but a strong season garnered them three primetime slots in 2009. They did not disappoint. Miami fell to Indianapolis--the AFC Champion--27-23, edged the Jets 31-27, and beat Carolina 27-23.
Miami may want to test the Jets through the air on Sunday due to Revis' absence, but the team dominated on the ground in last year's three night games. Tony Sporano's club ate up 45:07 of clock against the Colts, ran for 151 yards against the Jets before Brown scored the game-winner with six seconds left, and Ricky Williams ran for 119 yards and scored three times against the Panthers.
"I just think that this team has done well in some of those situations on those kinds of stages, and I think they'll be excited," Sparano told the Herald. "I don't think, I know they'll be excited."
TRENDING TOPICS
The Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last six on the road and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six against teams with winning records.
The Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against AFC East rivals.
The over is 6-1-1 in Miami's last eight home games.
Gridiron Angles - Week 3
By Vince Akins
Jets at Dolphins - The Jets are 7-0-1 ATS (17.1 ppg) since November 29, 1998 after a double digit win in which they did not score in the first quarter. The Jets are 7-0 ATS (11.9 ppg) since September 24, 2006 as a dog when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30. The Dolphins are 8-0 ATS (12.6 ppg) since October 08, 2000 within 3 of pick the week after a win in which they were outgained. The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since November 16, 2003 at home when their dps was negative in their last two games. The Jets are 0-7 OU (-8.4 ppg) since December 31, 2006 after a straight up win when the line was within 3 of pick'em.
NFL Poolies Cheat Sheet: Week 3
By Shawn Hartlen
N.Y. Jets at Miami (-1)
Why Jets cover: Jets are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 meetings and 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Miami. Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. Road team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
Why Dolphins cover: Darrelle Revis is out with a hamstring injury so Brandon Marshall won't have to matchup against the shutdown cornerback. Center Nick Mangold is also questionable for New York with a shoulder injury.
Total (34.5): Both offenses have been inconsistent and both defenses are good. Looks like a low-scoring affair.
NFL Week 3 Analysis
Jets (1-1) @ Dolphins (2-0) - Home opener for Miami squad that is 2-0 so far this year, allowing two TDs on foes' 23 drives, holding Edwards/Favre to 3.1/ 5.3 yards/attempt, but Fish are 5-24 as a home favorite since '03. Miami won last three series games, with home side losing four of last five. Jets won three of last four visits here- their WR Edwards is expected to play despite his DUI arrest earlier this week. First road game for Gang Green squad that is 14-8 as road dog since '06; in two games this year, Jets outscored opponents 21-3 and have outrushed opponents 252-101. Can Sanchez hit big plays on the road?
Sixth Sense
3% NY JETS +2.5
Ben Burns
Div Top Play - Dolphins
Boston Blackie
New York Jets / Miami Over 35.5
Brett Atkins
Miami Dolphins
Derek Mancini
Dolphins
LPW Sports Forecast
Perfect Situation - NY Jets/Miami Under 35.5
David Banks
Jets/Dolphins Under 35.5
Bob Valentino
Miami
Totals 4 U
NYJ Under 35.5
Rockey Sheridan
Miami Dolphins -1
ATS Lock Club
Jets +2.5
Pro Picks Weekly
Miami -1
Wayne Root
TV Game - Miami