Dave Cokin
S Miss
Hat Seattle
Arizona
Buffalo
Cinci
Carolina
Tom Stryker
Tenn
PPP
4% BUCS
3% VIKINGS
3% GIANTS
3% TROY
Lenny Stevens
20* PATS
10* Vikings
10* Chargers
BIG AL
10 DIME REDSKINS
Seabass
Steam 100* KC CHIEFS
North Coast
Marque NY Giants
Cajun-Sports Executive- Sunday
San Diego Chargers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Prediction: 5* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5
Raymond James Stadium will be the site of today’s matchup between the host Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the visiting San Diego Chargers. Pacific Time Zone Teams are 1-16 SU this season when playing in the Eastern Time Zone. Not only do the Chargers face the cross-country trip but the game has been moved to an early start instead of the Sunday night game on NBC.
The Chargers are coming in off a come from behind win over the Kansas City Chiefs last week. The Chargers were down 21 to 10 in the fourth quarter and actually scored the winning touchdown with thirty-six seconds left in the game.
Chargers QB Rivers threw for 346 yards on 71% completions with a 2-1 TD/INT ratio. That was the first time in five games he has gone over 300 yards passing but the lack of a rushing attack left their offense with few options.
RB Tomlinson only had 39 yards rushing in the Chiefs game with a 2.6 yards per carry average. This has been a consistent problem for this Chargers team this season. Their chances of improving their run game this week are slim as they face a Bucs “D” that only allows 60 yards rushing per game at home this season.
Tampa’s defense has been stingy at home this season only allowing a mere 13 points per game. With the Bucs coming home after two tough road losses we expect a very intense and focused effort out of the entire Bucs team on Sunday.
San Diego’s defense ranks near the bottom of the league in pass defense and rank 20th in sacks. The Bucs average outscoring opponents by more than 11 points per game at home this season and should have little problems scoring against this weak Chargers “D”.
The Chargers are 2-10 ATS versus a non-divisional opponent between divisional opponents. The Chargers are 4-11-1 ATS as a dog versus any team with more wins after playing on the road. The Buccaneers are 21-9-2 ATS at home after a game in which they allowed at least four sacks. The Buccaneers are 14-3-1 ATS at home after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average. The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS when they lost 1-3 points last week. The Buccaneers are 9-1-1 ATS at home after they scored at least 10 points fewer than their season-to-date average on the road.
Lay the short price with the better team at home and in need of a win.
GRADED PREDICTION: 5* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5
Carolina Panthers vs. New York Giants
Prediction: 4* New York Giants -3
Giants Stadium will be the site of tonight’s clash between NFC foes the host New York Giants and the visiting Carolina Panthers. Home-field advantage throughout the playoffs will be on the line as the Giants try to silence their doubters and potentially prevent the Panthers from even clinching a postseason berth.
Though both teams are 11-3 and could end the regular season with identical records regardless of Sunday's result, the one that wins will earn the tiebreaker and wrap up the No. 1 seed in the conference.
The Giants are the defending champs and are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS at home. They are also 21-7 ATS versus teams that average >=5.65 yards per play under Tom Coughlin. They are also 12-3 ATS when facing winning teams the last two seasons.
The Giants enter tonight’s game off back-to-back SU and ATS losses as a favorite. We know that the Giants are perfect in this situation when they were favorites of less than five points and facing a team with a winning percentage of 72% or higher, they are 4-0 SU and ATS their last four in this role.
New York averages scoring 27.7 points per game at home this season versus teams that allow 21.4 points per game. Their defense has been solid allowing opponents to score only 13.9 points per game when they would normally score 20.5 points per game.
The Panthers are 3-3 SU and ATS on the road this season. They only average 19.8 points per game against teams that allow 23.2 points per game. They allow 25.5 points per game to teams that would normally score 22.9 points per game.
The Panthers are 3-8 ATS versus a non-divisional opponent before playing against a divisional opponent. The Panthers are 2-7 ATS when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last week as a favorite.
Play AGAINST any NFL Team as a road dog versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road, 18-36-2 ATS. Play ON any NFL team as a favorite versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road, 72-49-3 ATS.
With the Number One seed on the line and a definite home-field advantage for the Giants we will lay the chalk with the G-Men on Sunday night as they get the win and cover against the Panthers.
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* New York Giants -3
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings
Prediction: 4* Minnesota Vikings -3
Ford Field will be the site of Sunday’s NFC clash between the host Minnesota Vikings and the visiting Atlanta Falcons. The Vikings will be looking to wrap up the NFC North with their fifth straight victory.
Minnesota has overcome a slow start in which the offense averaged just 17.8 points in the first four games to take a one-game lead over Chicago in the division. While the Vikings' offense has been vastly improved, averaging 29.8 points in their last four contests, their defense has also been strong, holding opponents to 18.0 points.
With a win Sunday or a Bears' loss on Monday to Green Bay, Minnesota would clinch a playoff spot for the first time since 2004 and a division title for the first time since 2000.
The Vikings have good reason to feel confident with Adrian Peterson the NFL's leading rusher on their side and a dominant 35-14 win over Arizona last Sunday to build on.
Minnesota rushed for a season-high 239 yards and backup quarterback Tarvaris Jackson threw for 163 yards and a career-high four touchdowns in place of injured starter Gus Frerotte. The Vikings announced Thursday that Jackson will start again this weekend, even though Frerotte, who is bothered by a sore back, returned to practice a day earlier.
The Vikings' Number One rushing defense has held opponents to 71.2 yards per game. The Cardinals managed just 43 yards last weekend and that was the fourth time this season Minnesota held a team below 50 yards rushing.
Atlanta has won three of its last four, including a 13-10 overtime victory over Tampa Bay last Sunday. The Falcons rushed for 175 yards their most in six games led by Michael Turner, who had 152 yards and one touchdown. Turner is second to Peterson for the league lead in rushing. Peterson is averaging 112.9 yards while Turner is at 101.5.
The Falcons have played much better at home than on the road this season posting a record of just 3-4 SU and ATS on the highway. They are only averaging 18.6 points per game and 5.2 yards per play on the road. Minnesota is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS their last three overall averaging 29.7 points per game and allowing only 14.7 points per game at home in the Dome.
The Falcons are 0-11 ATS as a dog when they won by 1-3 points last week against a divisional opponent. The Vikings are 15-2-1 ATS the week after on the road in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Vikings are 13-2-1 ATS the week after a straight up win in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Vikings are 12-3 ATS at home after a straight up win on the road as a dog.
Lay the short price with the better team playing at home as the Vikings clinch the NFC North Title and cash the winning ticket for us as well.
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Minnesota Vikings -3
New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions
4* New Orleans / Detroit OVER 50
Ford Field will be the site of today’s matchup between the winless host Detroit Lions and the visiting New Orleans Saints. The Lions are trying to end their season-long losing streak and the Saints appear to be on a path of missing the playoffs for the second straight season.
The fact they are playing in a dome stadium triggers an NFL system that tells us to Play OVER on Week 13 or later Dome Teams because they are 12-1 Over the last three seasons. We also note that if the home team is an underdog the record is 5-0 Over. Winless teams at Week 13 or later in the season are 6-1 Over.
Dan Orlovsky will get the start at QB for the Lions on Sunday in place of the injured Daunte Culpepper. Orlovsky had one of his best games of the season last Sunday in a 31 to 21 loss to the Colts; he completed 67.6 percent of his passes for 233 yards with a touchdown and no INT’s.
Orlovsky has played in eight games this season for the Lions five of those were actual starts. He has passed for 1,266 yards with six touchdowns and four interceptions.
If the Lions are outscored by six points Sunday, they'll set a league record for the worst home point differential. Detroit has been outscored by an average of 20.1 points at Ford Field, the worst such margin by a home team since the 1960 Dallas Cowboys fell by 20.8 per contest.
The Saints have alternated wins and losses in their last four games, dropping their most recent contest 27-24 in overtime at Chicago last Thursday. NFL Favorites off a Thursday contest have posted a record of 10-1 Over the last two seasons.
Saints QB Drew Brees is coming up on a milestone with a league-leading 4,332 passing yards, Brees needs 91 more to break his own single-season franchise record set in 2007. Brees, though, has had problems on the road this year. He's thrown nine touchdowns and 12 interceptions away from New Orleans, compared to 19 TDs and four picks at home.
Oddsmakers have made the Saints a seven-point road favorite for today’s game. We know that non-division road favorites of seven or more points and a total of 43 or more have gone Over at a rate of 17-6 Over the last four years. They are 8-1 Over if playing during the month of December.
The Saints are 16-1 Over as a favorite when facing a team with no wins after week 1. The Saints are 29-8-2 Over on the road after playing when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The Saints are 10-0 Over as a favorite when facing a team with no wins after week 3. The Saints are 19-4-1 Over on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25. The Saints are 13-3-1 Over as a road favorite. The Lions are 12-3-1 Over at home the week after on the road as a dog in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average. The Lions are 17-5 Over after a straight up loss as a dog. The Lions are 14-6 Over as a dog the week after a loss in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing.
With strong fundamental, situational and technical support for the “Over” in this contest we will make this our 4* NFL Total Game of the Week.
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* New Orleans / Detroit OVER 50
Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota Vikings
3* Atlanta / Minnesota Under 43
The Metrodome will be this site of today’s NFC clash between the host Minnesota Vikings and the visiting Atlanta Falcons. The Vikings are one win away from clinching their first division title since 2000.
The Vikings Number 1 rushing defense held the Arizona Cardinals to only 43 yards rushing last week in their 35 to 14 victory. This was the fourth time this season that Minnesota held a team below 50 yards rushing. Over their last four games they are only allowing 18 points per game and 256.3 yards of total offense this season at home.
Atlanta has been one of the surprise teams of the 2008 season after going 4-12 in 2007 they can clinch a playoff spot with a win and losses by Tampa Bay and either Dallas or Philadelphia.
The Falcons have struggled on the road this season posting a 3-4 record and scoring 10 points fewer per game. They average 18.6 points per game when playing on the road and their defense allows 20.6 points per game.
Both defenses have been playing well and we expect a low scoring tightly contested affair on Sunday in Minnesota.
The Falcons are 0-15 Under on the road after playing as a favorite. The Falcons are 1-18 Under on the road the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing. The Falcons are 5-24 Under on the road after playing at home. The Falcons are 0-13 Under on the road after playing at home as a favorite. The Falcons are 3-20 Under on the road after a straight up win. The Vikings are 1-14 Under as a favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing. The Vikings are 1-11 Under as a favorite the week after a win in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing. The Vikings are 2-14-1 Under when they covered by 10+ points last week. The Vikings are 4-16 Under when they covered by 10+ points last week against a non-divisional opponent. The Vikings are 2-12 Under after a straight up win on the road as a dog. The Vikings are 3-12 Under at home after a straight up win on the road.
With strong technical and fundamental support for the “Under” in this contest we will make this our 3* NFL Total Play of the Day.
GRADED PREDICTION: 3* Atlanta / Minnesota UNDER 43
Kelso
Private Players Club
200* NYG-3.5
Executive
400 Miami
400 NY Jets
Underdog
Seattle
EAST COAST SPORTS CONSULTANTS
WILLIE "D"
NFL Triple Elite GOY NY GIANTS
NFL Elite WASHINGTON
NFL Opposite Action ARIZONA OVER
NFL Blue Chip OAKLAND
CFB Blue Chip SOUTHERN MISS.
"LEGS" DIAMOND
BOOKIE MASSACRE TENNESSEE
Bookie Nightmare Oakland
Bookie Ball Buster Washington
RANDY MITCHEL
NFL Platinum MINNESOTA
NFL Platinum NY GIANTS
NFL Diamond CLEVELAND UNDER
BIG AL
3* Cleveland Cavs
3* Florida st
3* Maimi, FL
3* Detroit / New Orleans Under
3* Tennessee
3* NY Giants
1* Cleveland
1* Seattle
DISCOUNT SPORTS
10* Kansas City +3.5
5* Carolina +3
Teddy June
Seattle
NY Giants
Miami Fl
Heisman Trophy Club
20* Tenn
Regular
Cincy
Detroit
Buffalo
Real Animal
5* Philly -4.5