PPP
3% L Tech
Jr Tips
5,000,000 Miami
Heisman Trophy Club
10* Arizona
Big Al
3* N Carolina Tar Heels
3* Evansville
1* Az
1* SF
BEN BURNS
I'm playing on NORTHERN ILLINOIS. The Huskies opened as small favorites but now find themselves as underdogs. I disagree with that move. It's true that the Bulldogs (7-5) bring a slightly better record to the table and also that they are playing closer to home. However, I believe that the Huskies are the better team and that their superior talent on defense will prove to be the difference. Both teams are happy to be here, so lack of motivation won't be a problem either way. However, with many questioning Northern Illinois' berth at 6-6, I expect the Huskies to play with an added chip on their shoulder. We all saw what (6-6) Florida Atlantic did to Central Michigan a few nights ago. Note that while I played against the Chippewas in that game, I still believe that the MAC was an extremely competitive conference this year and also that it was stronger, overall, than the WAC. LA Tech had to face four 'good' conference opponents, Boise State, Fresno State, Hawaii and Nevada. To their credit, the Bulldogs did manage to beat Fresno - although Fresno had a very disappointing season. However, they lost by double-digits vs. both Hawaii and Boise State and closed out the season with a loss vs. Nevada in their home finale, despite the fact that they were catching the Wolfpack off a big loss at Boise the previous week. The Bulldogs did beat Mississipi State but that was way back in August. They were crushed by Kansas and lost vs. Army. Northern Illinois lost to a much better Navy team, 16-0. Other than that, the Huskies were competitive in every game, except one bad loss vs. a really strong Ball State team. That includes a 3-point loss vs. Central Michigan and four point losses vs. Big Ten and SEC teams, Minnesota and Tennessee. Granted, the Vols had a bad year but playing at Tennessee is still a very tough venue for a team from the MAC. The Huskies beat both Miami Ohio and Bowling Green, two teams which were considered preseason favorites in the MAC. When facing weaker tier opponents, the Huskies proved capable of dominating. Indeed, they defeated Toledo, Eastern Michigan, Kent State and Indiana State by a combined score of 165-24. The Huskies are 11-5-1 ATS the last 16 times they played a game with a line in the +3 to -3 range. During the same stretch, the Bulldogs were 6-10 ATS when playing a game with a line in that range. Both teams scored an equal amount of points but the Huskies allowed just 18 and 299 yards per game while the Bulldogs allowed 24.8 points and 380 total yards. The Huskies were 5-1 ATS away from home this season. I expect them to improve on those numbers here as Larry English and co. shutdown the relatively one-dimensional Bulldogs en route to scoring the minor 'upset.' *Main Event
I'm playing on the Chargers and Broncos to finish UNDER the total. These teams were involved in a wild shootout earlier in the season in a game which sailed above the total. That result has helped cause the majority of bettors to favor the 'over' here which in turn has created an extremely high number. I feel that its too high. The Chargers' defense has been much better in the final few months of the season than it was during the first few weeks, when these teams met earlier. In fact, San Diego has held 11 of its last 12 opponents to 24 points or less with six of those teams finishing below the 20 mark. In their most recent home game, the Chargers limited Oakland to a mere seven points and just 163 total yards. In fact, the Raiders only points of the entire game came on a 92 yard kickoff return. Granted, the Raiders are one of the worst teams in the league. However, it's also worth noting that the Chargers have seen the UNDER go 5-1 the last six times that they faced a team with a winning record and 11-6-1 their last 18 against teams with a winning record. Its true that the Broncos have played a lot of high-scoring games, including last week's 30-23 loss vs. the Bills. However, even including that result, they've still seen nine of their last 11 games finished with 51 or less combined points. Not surprisingly, seven of those 11 games stayed below the total. The Broncos have played only two games (vs. Miami and vs. Atlanta) since November which had over/under lines of 50 or more points. Both those games also stayed below the total. Including those results, the UNDER is 3-1 the last four times that the Broncos played a game with a total of 49.5 or greater. As for the Chargers, they've seen the UNDER go 4-1 their last five home games with a total of 49.5 or greater. Look for the defenses to be better than expected and for the final combined score to stay below the generous number once again. *AFC TOY
BIG TICKET GAME OF YEAR
I'm laying the points with SAN FRANCISCO. Last week, I successfully played on the Redskins while also successfully played against the 49ers. However, based partly on last week's results, this week, I feel that its the 49ers which are providing us with excellent line value. Last week, the 49ers were playing an early road game against a revenge-minded St. Louis team. Although they did manage to win that game by a single point (didn't cover) it was no surprise that they didn't play particularly well. Off that less than stellar performance and now playing their home finale, I expect an extremely motivated effort from the 49ers this week. Note that they can take some positive momentum from that game, as they rallied for a comeback win, after quarterback Hill talked Singletary out of benching him. Conversely, playing their home finale, the Redskins went all out last week and left everything on the field, upsetting the Eagles. Off that huge performance and now traveling across the country for a relatively meaningless non-divisional road game, I expect them to suffer a letdown this week. Note that the Redskins are 2-4 SU/ATS the last six times they were coming off a win vs. a divisional opponent. Additionally, note that the Skins have gone 1-3-1 ATS against teams with a losing record this season and that they're now a money-burning 2-11-2 ATS their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. Yes, they played great defensively last week. However, they'd struggled so much in prior weeks that Coach Zorn was quoted as saying he "felt like the worst coach in the world." This is being designated as a "throwback game" for the 49'ers and they'll be wearing their old style uniforms. Additionally, in the spirit of the event, many of the players are growing mustaches. Obviously, growing facial hair isn't going to have an effect on the way the game plays out. However, I do feel that its a good indicator of "team camaraderie" and of the current positive morale of the team. Many non-playoff teams wouldn't be in such a "festive" mood and would really be hanging their heads by now. I really like the fact that the 49'ers are feeling good enough about themselves that they're still capable of having some fun. Of course, its aways a lot more "fun" when winning and the 49ers have been much better since Singletary took over as head coach. A win here will give them a winning (SU) record with him as coach and would be their fifth victory in their last seven games. Despite not covering last week, the 49'ers are a profitable 5-2 ATS their last seven games. Their last two home games have both resulted in double-digit victories, most recently a 24-14 win over the Jets. Singletary said of his team: "When you look at the way these guys have been pushing, there's an emotional investment for these guys, and I couldn't be prouder of them the way they've been responding..." With the Redskins at 0-6-1 ATS (0-7 SU) the last seven times they were underdogs of four points or less, I'm laying the small number with what I expect to be the more motivated team. Wearing their throwback uniforms, look for the 49ers to play like the 49ers of old, en route to a solid win and cover.
Score
400 San Diego
300 NY Jets
Coglye West
Nash/Edm Under 5.5
RON RAYMOND
5* Anaheim Ducks -130
Denver Broncos
Tony George
MIAMI HEAT
I ended up doing great on my New Orleans over bet what are everyones thoughts on the denver/san diego game going over 49.5 points?
Wait if you like the over you will get 49 I think
that is what i was thinking as well that it might go down a hair by kick-off, playing in San Diego the conditions should be favorable for running and gunning as opposed to the 40 mph wind gusts we saw in the New England game.
I am also thinking about playing Louisiana Tech -2 and the over of 46 pts...any thoughts on that play?
Better grab the 49.5 starting to go up now.
No Opinion on the bowl game L Tech goes from +2 to -2 no thanks
LARRY NESS
25-Club Play (3-0 TY in NFL!)
There is no Super Bowl in the future for Phoenix but an easy win over Seattle, a team which played its 'game' last week at home vs the Jets, is in the 'CARDS!'
Las Vegas Insider
Washington is traveling for the third time in four games and must go all the way to San Francisco for this totally meaningless game. Las Vegas Insider on the SF 49ers
FROM HIS MOUTH TO OUR FOOTBALL G_D'S EARS -
THESE ARE TWO OF MY FIVE LEROY'S PLAYS !!STARTED OFF GETTING CLIPPED BY 1/2 POINT ON THE OVER IN THE PITT/CLEVE GAME AS I HAD 31 1/2 AND IT ENDED AT 31. LOSS
THEN HAD THE UNDER IN ST LOUIS / ATLANTA - LOSS ...EARLY GAMES 0-2 AND IN A STATE OF DEEP DEPRESSION. THE JUMP OFF THE BALCONY WAS LOOKING GOOD BUT WASN'T ON A FLOOR HIGH ENOUGH TO DO THE TRICK................
THEN CAME THE LATE GAMES... SANF FRAN HUNG IN AND CAME THROUGH TO COVER THE - 21/2 I HAD ON THE LEROY'S CONTEST. THEN ARIZONA CHALKED UP A FEW AND COVERED AND ALSO HAD THE GAME OVER AND ENDED UP WITH THE OXYGEN MASK AND A 3-2 FINISH. 4TH BEST RECORD ...53W-32L FOR THE SEASON CONTEST ATS. SHARING THE 5TH AND 6TH PLACE PRIZE MONEY AS THE GUY BENEATH ME CAME OUT 4-1 ON THE DAY. IF SAN DIEGO COVERS TONIGHT..I MAY SQUEAK IN A FOR A SHARE OF THE FINAL 4 WEEKS BEST RECORD CONTEST WHICH IS bonus very good $$ too !!
EAGERLY AWAIT THE END OF THE PLAYOFFS FOR SOME RELAXING WEEKENDS.BIMMER ( BIMMERCANDO )