Notifications
Clear all

SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

129 Posts
11 Users
0 Reactions
9,839 Views
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

JEFF BENTON

25 DIME PITTSBURGH

10 DIME GREEN BAY

10 DIME REDSKINS

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:12 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

PickLogic

Portland Trailblazers at Detroit Pistons
UNDER 187.5 2 units

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:12 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tony George

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cleveland Browns
Pick: Indy -4.5

Yes..it looks like and smells like a set up line. But the Colts are surging and the Browns are going backwards. A serious issue in man to man matchups at the DB and WR's for the Browns here as Peyton Manning can ands will dissect this zone coverage. Indy also back to running the ball better and the defense is far better with Bob Sanders back wreaking havoc. QB Quinn now gone, QB Anderson back in as he has issues with turnovers and forcing it into coverage. Look for the Colts pass rush to disrupt things. Colts are at LEAST a TD better than the Browns, even on the road.

Play 2 Units on Indianapolis

2 TEAM 6 POINT TEASER- Tease Baltimore down to -1 and Tease the Bears to +9.5 and play 2 Units

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:35 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Vernon Croy

NFL NFC Game of the Year

Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers
Pick: Green Bay -3

The Packers are the better overall team here and they couldn't have had worst luck on Monday night with all of the turnovers and misfortunes that happened. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite this season and they have out-scored their opponents by an average of 9 ppg at home this season while averaging 27 ppg. The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against an NFC North division opponent and they are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played in November. The Packers have completed over 69% of their passes at home this season while their opponents have a completion percentage of just 52% against them and the Packers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after a SU loss. The Packers are actually a lot better defensively then it appeared in Monday’s loss and I look for them to come up big in this home game Sunday. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 passing yards and this pick falls into one of my top NFL systems so take the Packers as my NFL NFC Game of the Year.

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:36 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Craig Trapp

New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins
Pick: New York Giants -3.5

Love this game should be very good early game but expect NYG to pull away late. NYG just go win no matter who is in or out!! Last week NYG went w/o best 2 offensive players but still put up over 40 pts. Expect the same this week will run, run, run the ball with the best offensive line in football!! WASH can't score 40 so will not win this one!! SCORE NYG 38 - WAS 28

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:36 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

JEFFERSONSPORTS

TAMPA BAY-3 -130

Buy the point down to three if you can. Play for 1 unit if you can buy down to 3. If you cant get 3 play it for half a unit at 4 or 4.5. We have the good psychological edge with revenge here. We also have a very good home team with Tampa Bay. Garcia has been solid and I really like his mobility in the pocket. The Saints have a banged up secondary as well. Lastly, I really like the Tampa 2 defense going against Brees. If they can get pressure with the front 4 and put 7 in coverage it could slow Brees down. Some good matchups and a short week for the Saints puts us on Tampa.

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:38 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATS LOCK

12 Giants -3
This play is reduced from 25 unit play!
6 Indy -4
4 Pitt +1 1/2
4 Minn -3

BB
3 Wake Forest

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:52 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

ATS FINANCIAL

4 N O +4 1/2
4 Over 47 Den/Jets

BB
3 Fresno St -7 1/2

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 8:53 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tony Karpinski

10* College Hoops Game of the Month

Cornell vs. Indiana U
Pick: Cornell -2.5

Indiana is very bad this year and looked confused on offense. Normally they would bury an Ivy school, but this is not a good match up against this silent DARK HORSE from the IVY league.

Cornell has all of its starters back that returned from making the NCAA Tournament. Ryan Wittman, Louis Dale and Alex Tyler all return to spark a deadly shooting 44% and FT 88% team. Wittman is a sharp shooter that is hard to guard and this team plays great together as a unit. Indiana will have to show some majot intensity to keep this game close, but they just dont have the proper talent yet. I like Cornell to get a big win against the Big Ten

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 9:01 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

SIXTH SENSE

NY JETS –7.5 Denver 47.5

The Jets really took it to Tennessee last week in their easy 34-13 win. They rushed for 4.9ypr against a good Tennessee rush defense and passed for 6.4yps. For the game they gained 5.6yppl to 5.5yppl for Tennessee but those numbers are a bit misleading seeing the Jets ran the ball 39 times or 28 more times than Tennessee to skew the final yards per play numbers. Denver was beaten up badly at home against Oakland, losing 31-10 and getting out gained 6.0yppl to 4.9yppl. Oakland only threw the ball 12 times but averaged 13.3yps when they did. They held Denver to 5.5yps. For the season Denver averages just 4.4ypr against 4.4ypr but 7.2yps against 6.5yps for a total of 6.1yppl against 5.5yppl. The defense is the real problem, allowing 4.7ypr against 4.2ypr, 7.1yps against 6.3yps and 6.0yppl against 5.3yppl. The Jets offense averages 4.5ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.2yps against 6.5yps (which is below average but is getting better each week) and 5.4yppl against 5.5yppl overall. They allow just 3.4ypr against 4.0ypr and 5.1yppl against 5.2yppl. The Jets apply to a very good scheduling situation, which is 48-13-1. Denver also applies to a negative 97-51-2 situation based on their poor performance last week. The Jets also qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 88-51-7 and they would qualify in another very strong rushing situation if this line were –7 or less. Numbers favor NY by 10.5 points and predict about 59 points. The Broncos defense is just slightly better than the Rams defense, which the Jets put 47 points on the board against. Denver’s offense is much better than the Rams offense and they should be able to score some points in this game but I like the Jets to steamroll the Broncos in this game and for this game to go over the total. NY has scored at least 34 points in each of their last three games and at least 26 points in each of their last four home games. Denver has allowed at least 30 points in three of their last four road games (20 points in the other game) so NY should get to 30 in this game. I would expect Denver to be able to get to 17 on their own as well, which gets us in the neighborhood of the over. NY JETS 38 DENVER 23

BUFFALO –6 San Francisco 43

Buffalo won easily at KC last week in their 54-31 win and their offense finally showed up against a poor KC defense. The Bills averaged 4.5ypr, 8.5yps and 6.3yppl. But, they allowed KC 12.2ypr on just 13 rushing attempts, 7.2yps and 8.4yppl. The biggest problem for the Chiefs was five turnovers to none for Buffalo. SF went to Dallas and got blown out in their 35-22 loss, that wasn’t as close as the final score. SF had chances early on but couldn’t put the ball into the end zone. They were out gained only 5.9yppl to 5.8yppl and did hold a good Dallas rushing attack to just 2.6ypr but gained just 1.7ypr themselves. They did throw for 7.4yps but allowed Dallas to gain 8.4yps, including some long bombs to Owens. For the season SF averages 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl and allows just 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr but also 6.6yps against 6.3yps for a total of 5.2yppl against 5.4yppl. Buffalo is averaging just 3.9ypr against 4.3ypr and 5.4yppl against 5.6yppl. They allow 5.3yppl against 5.2yppl. Those numbers suggest SF actually has better numbers from the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. SF qualifies in a negative situation based on their poor performance last week, which is 97-51-2 and plays against them here. But they also qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 662-531-42 but they don’t qualify in the better subset of that situation. Numbers actually favor Buffalo by nine points and predict about 53 points. The 49ers have averaged at least 5.0yppl in every road game this year and they’ve also allowed at least 29 points in each of their five road games. Other than their games against lowly Detroit and St. Louis, SF has allowed at least 23 points in every game. Buffalo has scored at least 23 points in four of their five home games this year. Weather doesn’t appear to be a problem for this game. I’ll side with the numbers and lean Buffalo’s way but I also like the over in this game. BUFFALO 31 SAN FRANCISCO 24

TAMPA BAY –4 New Orleans 47

The Saints tore apart a good Packer secondary last week in their 51-29 win. They averaged 7.7yppl, including 11.4yps and they held a decent Packer offense to 4.6yppl, including just 5.4yps. TB fell behind early at Detroit, 17-0 before coming back to score 38 of the games final 41 points. They out gained Detroit 4.6yppl to 4.0yppl, including holding Detroit to just 3.3yps while averaging 5.7yps themselves. Those numbers are below what a good team should be averaging against a terrible Detroit defense. They did allow Detroit to rush for 4.9ypr and only averaged 3.7ypr. TB has struggled a little on the road this year but been much better at home. NO averages just 3.7ypr against 4.3ypr but is averaging 8.1yps against 6.2yps and 6.4yppl against 5.4yppl. They are allowing 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl. TB averages just 4.1ypr against 4.3ypr, 6.1yps against 6.3yps and 5.2yppl against 5.5yppl. But, their defense is allowing just 3.9ypr against 4.3ypr, 5.4yps against 6.2yps and 4.7yppl against 5.4yppl. The Saints qualify in a letdown situation, which is 32-11-4 and plays against them here. TB also qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 285-196-21 as long as the line is –4 or less. Numbers favor TB by 3.5 points before the situations and predict about 47 points. The highest these two have totaled here in the past six years is 46 points so this total may be set a little too high. TB has been very tough at home this year winning every game by at least six points. Only one of those games have totaled more than 33 points. The Saints have lost all four of their road games against .500 or better teams, with the closest game being a two point loss at Denver but failing to come closer than five points in the other three games. Two of those other three were double digit losses. They have allowed at least 29 points in each of their four road games against .500 or better teams. A solid TB pass defense should be able to limit the success of the NO offense and with a short number at home, this is a winnable game that TB can cover. TB hasn’t allowed more than 21 points at home. That game was against GB and they returned an interception for a touchdown so the TB defense hasn’t allowed more than 14 points in a home game this year. And the situations are in their favor. TAMPA BAY 29 NEW ORLEANS 17

GREEN BAY –3 Carolina 42.5

GB didn’t know what hit them after last weeks 51-29 drubbing at the hands of the Saints Monday night. The Packers supposedly great secondary allowed Drew Brees and company to throw for 11.4yps and 7.7yppl overall. They gained just 4.6yppl, including just 5.4yps. Carolina didn’t fare much better in their loss at Atlanta, 28-45. The Panthers did gain 6.4yppl just as Atlanta did. And, they rushed for 5.2ypr and passed for 7.2yps. But they allowed Atlanta to throw for 9.3yps while holding a good Atlanta rush attack to just 4.0ypr. Carolina averages 4.4ypr against 4.3ypr and 6.5yps against 6.4yps for a total of 5.5yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow just 5.5yps against 6.4yps and 4.8yppl against 5.4yppl overall. GB is also just average on offense, gaining 6.3yps against 6.1yps and 5.3yppl against 5.2yppl. Their defense has struggled stopping the rush allowing 4.8ypr against 4.1ypr but have played the pass well, with the exception of last week, allowing just 5.5yps against 6.2yps. Overall they allow 5.2yppl against 5.2yppl, making them average. The Packers qualify in a negative 75-28-2 situation based on their poor play last week. Carolina also qualifies in a negative situation, which is 97-51-2 based on their poor defensive performance last week. But, Carolina qualifies in a solid fundamental rushing situation, which is 662-531-42, including a subset, which is 531-402-30. GB also qualifies in a negative rushing situation, which is 115-48-8 and plays against the Packers here. Final numbers favor Carolina by one point and predict 48 points. This is a solid spot for Carolina. They rush the ball and stop the rush better than GB. And they play very good pass defense, which is the strength of the Packers offense. Add solid situations and value and this makes for a perfect upset for Carolina. CAROLINA 27 GREEN BAY 20

NY Giants –3.5 WASHINGTON 41.5

The Giants just continue to roll. Last week it was a 37-29 win over Arizona. In that game they were out gained 5.5yppl to 5.3yppl but those numbers are a little skewed because the Giants ran the ball 12 more times than Arizona and Arizona passed the ball 19 more times. The Giants averaged just 3.2ypr but threw for 6.9yps without Plaxico Burress and Brandon Jacobs in the lineup. The Redskins managed a win at Seattle, 20-17 and they out gained Seattle 5.1yppl to 5.0yppl. They held Seattle to just 3.4yps while averaging 5.7yps and averaged 4.6ypr but allowed Seattle to rush for 7.0ypr. For the season, the Giants average 5.1ypr against 3.9ypr, 6.4yps against 6.0yps and 5.7yppl against 5.1yppl. They allow just 3.8ypr against 4.0ypr, 5.4yps against 5.8yps and 4.8yppl against 5.0yppl overall. Washington is averaging 4.6ypr against 4.1ypr but just 5.8yps against 6.1yps and 5.3yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow just 3.9ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.5yps against 6.3yps and 4.9yppl against 5.3yppl. The Giants qualify in a letdown situation, which is 75-32-7 and plays against them here. Washington also qualifies in rushing situations, which are 72-25-3 and 285-196-21. Numbers favor the Giants by 5.5 points before accounting for the situations and predict about 40 points. Hard to make an argument against the Giants here. This is a game where I simply have to trust the situations and they are strong situations going against the Giants in this game. WASHINGTON 21 NY GIANTS 20

Miami –8 ST LOUIS 44.5

NE took it to Miami pretty good last week in their 48-28 win over the Dolphins. Miami struggled to stop NE on a consistent basis. Miami was out gained 7.6yppl to 6.3yppl, including 9.1yps to 7.7yps and 4.9ypr to 3.3ypr. The Rams were throttled by the Bears last week, losing 27-3. They were out gained 5.4yppl to 3.5yppl and 6.3ypr to 0.7ypr. They only passed for 4.7yps but did hold Chicago to 4.4yps. Miami averages 7.2yps against 6.5yps and 5.8yppl against 5.4yppl. They allow 6.8yps against 6.4yps and 5.6yppl against 5.4yppl. The Rams average just 5.1yps against 6.0yps and 5.2yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 4.9ypr against 4.3ypr, 7.5yps against 6.3yps and 6.1yppl against 5.4yppl. I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Miami by 12 points and predict about 40 points. Other than a 19 point out burst against Washington (returned a fumble for a touchdown) and a 34 point out burst against Dallas (with Brad Johnson), the Rams have yet to score more than 16 points in any one game. Knowing the Rams have given up at least 23 points in every game but those two listed above, there isn’t a lot of room for the Rams to cover if they can’t score more than 16 points and are giving up at least 23 points. I’ll side with the numbers. MIAMI 24 ST LOUIS 14

Baltimore –7 CINCINNATI 35.5

The Ravens won big over Philly last week, 36-7 but they only out gained Philadelphia 3.6yppl to 3.2yppl. They did hold Philly to just 2.8yps while gaining 4.8yps themselves. They allowed Philly to average 4.1ypr and gained just 2.8ypr themselves. The biggest asset for the Ravens last week was five Philly turnovers that aided their win. Cincinnati lost at Pittsburgh on Thursday night, getting out gained 5.4yppl to 3.6yppl. They were out passed 8.1yps to 4.3yps and held to 2.2ypr. Baltimore averages just 4.7yppl against 5.1yppl and they will face a Cincinnati defense allowing 5.2yppl against 5.2yppl. The Cincinnati offense has struggled, gaining just 3.4ypr against 3.8ypr, 4.2yps against 5.6yps and 3.9yppl against 4.8yppl. They will face a Ravens defense allowing just 3.5ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.4yps against 5.9yps and 4.6yppl against 5.1yppl. I don’t see how Cincinnati will be able to move the ball in this game. I do have situations going both ways on this game. Numbers favor Baltimore by 10.5 points and predict about 39 points. I’ll lean towards the numbers in this game. BALTIMORE 24 CINCINNATI 13

Indianapolis –4.5 CLEVELAND 45

Indy won at SD last week 23-20 but they were badly out gained in that game. They allowed SD to rush for 4.8ypr, throw for 8.3yps and 6.8yppl. Meanwhile, Indy averaged just 4.0ypr, 5.6yps and 5.0yppl. Cleveland was just plain old Cleveland again as they were beaten at home 16-6 and out gained 5.6yppl to 4.6yppl. They allowed Houston to throw for 8.2yps while throwing for just 4.5yps against a poor Houston secondary. They did rush for 4.8ypr against a bad Houston rush defense. Indy averages just 3.5ypr against 3.9ypr but 6.3yps against 5.9yps and 5.3yppl against 5.1yppl. They allow 4.3ypr against 4.1ypr and 5.3yppl against 5.3yppl. Cleveland is running the ball better as they average 4.2ypr against 4.0ypr but average just 5.4yps against 5.8yps and 4.9yppl against 5.0yppl. They allow 4.5ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.2yps against 6.1yps and 5.8yppl against 5.2yppl. I don’t have any situations on this game. Numbers favor Indy by just 1.5 points and predict about 44 points. Indy hasn’t won a road game by more than four points this year. For the most part those games have been against teams better than Cleveland. Indy just seems like a much better team than Cleveland but the numbers don’t support them. INDIANAPOLIS 24 CLEVELAND 20

SAN DIEGO –5 Atlanta 48.5

Atlanta rolled over Carolina last week 45-28 but the yards from scrimmage were the same, 6.4yppl to 6.4yppl. Atlanta was out rushed 5.2ypr to 4.0ypr but out passed Carolina 9.3yps to 7.2yps. SD lost at home to Indy in a close game, 23-20 but out gained Indy 6.8yppl to 5.0yppl, including out rushing them 4.8ypr against 4.0ypr and out passing them 8.3yps to 5.6yps. The biggest trouble for SD last week was they began a lot of drives deep in their own territory so even a lot of yards gained didn’t lead to points because they had so far to go. Atlanta averages 4.4ypr against 4.3ypr, 7.2yps against 6.1yps and 5.7yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 4.9ypr against 4.2ypr, 6.3yps against 6.2yps and 5.7yppl against 5.3yppl. SD averages just 3.9ypr against 4.2ypr but they average 7.9yps against 6.3yps and 6.1yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl. So, SD is better from both, the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Atlanta qualifies in a negative situation, which is 97-51-2 based on their poor performance last week on defense. SD qualifies in a terrific home favorite situation, which is 63-17-4. Numbers, however, only favor SD by 1.5 points before accounting for the situations and predict 50 points. I think this game has an excellent chance to go over the total but they’ve set the line too high for me to take the over. Atlanta has struggled on the road this year, losing by 15 at both Carolina and Tampa Bay and losing by 13 at Philadelphia. The numbers don’t support it but the situations are too strong to ignore. Against any team not named the Oakland Raiders, Atlanta is being out scored 25-15 on the road this year. SAN DIEGO 33 ATLANTA 17

NEW ENGLAND –1 Pittsburgh 40

NE did a great job rebounding against Miami last week after being beaten badly by the Dolphins earlier this year. NE out gained Miami 7.6yppl to 6.3yppl, including out rushing them 4.9ypr to 3.3ypr and out passing them 9.1yps to 7.7yps. Pittsburgh dominated Cincinnati on Thursday, out gaining them 5.6yppl to 3.4yppl and out passing them 8.1yps to 4.3yps. Pittsburgh averages 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr and 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow just 2.9ypr against 4.1ypr, 4.4yps against 5.9yps and 3.8yppl against 5.1yppl. NE is averaging 6.2yps against 6.6yps, which is below average but those numbers are starting to improve. Overall on offense they average 5.3yppl against 5.6yppl. They allow 6.9yps against 6.5yps and 5.6yppl against 5.5yppl. NE qualifies in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 285-196-21. Numbers favor Pittsburgh by two points and predict about 37 points. I’ll lean with the situation but it’s a weak lean towards NE. NEW ENGLAND 20 PITTSBURGH 17

OAKLAND –3 Kansas City 41.5

The Raiders were in a very good situation last week and they came through big time with a 31-10 win over Denver on the road. They out gained the Broncos 6.0yppl to 4.9yppl, including out passing them 13.3yps to 5.5yps. They only threw 12 passes but made the most of them when they did. KC lost at home to Buffalo, 31-54 but actually out gained the Bills 8.4yppl to 6.3yppl, including out rushing them 12.2ypr to 4.5ypr. They threw for 7.2yps but allowed 8.5yps as well. The offense played great but unfortunately the defense continued to let teams move the ball at will against them. They also were –5 in turnover ratio, which didn’t help either. KC averages 4.9ypr against 4.2ypr but just 5.1yps against 6.1yps and 5.1yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow 5.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 7.6yps against 6.7yps and 6.3yppl against 5.5yppl. If there ever is a time for the Oakland offense to be able to move the ball it is this week against the Chiefs defense. Oakland averages just 4.9yps against 6.4yps and 4.6yppl against 5.5yppl. They allow 4.7ypr against 4.2ypr but just 6.1yps against 6.8yps and 5.4yppl against 5.7yppl. KC qualifies in a contrary 133-87-5 situation. That situation isn’t strong enough for me to make KC a best bet but it will get me leaning their way. Numbers favor Oakland by two points and predict about 38 points. I’ll lean with the situation and the numbers. KANSAS CITY 21 OAKLAND 20

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 9:06 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

MINNESOTA –3.5 Chicago 42
Minnesota jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week thanks to a couple of fumbles and never looked back on their way to a 30-12 win. They were out gained 5.1yppl to 4.0yppl, rushing for just 3.6ryp and throwing for just 4.5yps. They allowed Jacksonville to average 5.8yps. The yards per play numbers are skewed a bit because Minnesota ran the ball 20 more times while Jacksonville passed the ball 26 more times to help get those yppl numbers up. The Bears rolled over the Rams but who doesn’t roll over the Rams these days. Chicago averaged 5.4yppl to just 3.5yppl for the Rams. They rushed for 6.3ypr and allowed the Rams just 0.7ypr. They only threw for 4.4yps, while limiting the Rams to 4.7yps. Chicago averages just 4.0ypr against 4.3ypr and 5.8yps against 6.1yps for a total of 5.0yppl against 5.3yppl. They allow just 3.3ypr against 4.1ypr and 5.8yps against 6.0yps for a total of 4.9yppl against 5.1yppl. Minnesota averages just 4.4ypr against 4.3ypr so they have been just above average running the ball. They also average just 5.6yps against 6.0yps for a total of 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl. They allow just 3.1ypr against 4.0ypr and 5.0yppl against 5.3yppl. Minnesota qualifies in a 285-196-21 fundamental rushing situation as long as this line is –4 or better. Numbers favor Minnesota by two points and predict about 45 points. The Vikings have won five of the last six played here between these two by at least five points. Minnesota should be able to stop the Bears from rushing the ball and when that happens it makes it that much tougher for Chicago to score points. MINNESOTA 24 CHICAGO 20

HOUSTON –3 Jacksonville 48.5

Jacksonville fumbled their first snap from the line of scrimmage last week and that fumble was picked up and ran into the end zone for a touchdown. They fumbled the following kick off and the Vikings soon took that into the end zone as well. Before you knew it Minnesota was up 14-0. While Jacksonville lost the game 30-12 they did out gain Minnesota 5.1yppl to 4.0yppl. They passed for 5.8yps and held Minnesota to just 4.5yps and 3.6ypr. Those yards per play numbers are a little skewed because Minnesota ran the ball 20 times more and Jacksonville passed the ball 26 times more. Houston went to Cleveland and played a very solid game in their 16-6 win. They out gained the Browns 5.6yppl to 4.6yppl, including out passing them 8.2yps to 4.5yps. They only rushed for 3.1ypr and allowed Cleveland to rush for 4.8ypr. Jacksonville averages just 5.7yps against 6.1yps and 5.0yppl against 5.2yppl but they will face a Houston defense allowing 4.5ypr against 3.9ypr, 6.9yps against 5.8yps and 5.7yppl against 5.0yppl. Jacksonville allows 4.2ypr against 4.0ypr, 6.7yps against 6.0yps and 5.5yppl against 5.1yppl and they will face a very good Houston offense. Houston averages 4.4ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.0yps against 6.1yps and 5.9yppl against 5.2yppl. Jacksonville qualifies in a contrary situation, which is 133-87-5. That situation isn’t quite strong enough for me to make this game a best bet. Numbers favor Houston by four points and predict about 53 points. Houston has won four of the last five played here by at least four points. Two of the last three have totaled at least 58 points scored. I would look to play the over here but the total is fairly high and Jacksonville hasn’t demonstrated a history of high scoring games on the road this year. HOUSTON 27 JACKSONVILLE 27

BEST BETS

YTD 44-22-1 +53.40%

3% SEATTLE +12.5 L
3% NY JETS –7.5
3% TAMPA BAY –4 No worse than –4
3% CAROLINA +3
3% WASHINGTON +3.5
3% SAN DIEGO –4.5 I would wait on this line. It should come down to –4 or better
3% ARIZONA/PHILADELPHIA OVER 46.5 W
3% DENVER/NY JETS OVER 47.5
3% SAN FRANCISCO/BUFFALO OVER 43

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 9:06 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Frank Patron

10000 Unit Lock - Broncos-Jets Under 47

5000 Unit Lock - San Diego Chargers -5

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 9:26 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Youngstown Connection

NFL Hammer

Indianapolis -4

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 9:27 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

RON RAYMOND

4-GAME NFL SUPER PICK PACK

Denver Broncos +9

Buffalo Bills -7

Washington Redskins +3.5

San Diego Chargers -5.5

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 10:14 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Youngstown Connection

NFL Special

NY Giants -3

If your line is -3.5 buy it down to 3

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 10:15 am
Page 2 / 9
Share: