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SUNDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

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(@michael-cash)
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Also, please stop posting questions asking for plays. It's a drain on the system.

Everything Blade gets, he posts unless it's something we have been asked not to.

Posting, got this, seen this, what about this does nothing but use resources unnecessarily and ends up taking the site offline with the combination of constant refreshing.

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:27 am
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Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Broncos/Jets Under 47.5
When Denver is on offense they will be going against a good and experienced Jets defense. When the Jets go on offense they will be going against two of the best cover corners in the league. Bly and Bailey have not played too well this season, but they still are two of the best and I would take the both of them any day. Denver does not have much of a running game and it finally is catching up with them as Oakland crushed them last week. Speaking of last week, we had one of the highest point productions in NFL history. Vegas is clearly adding a few points to the totals to get some of these Unders to start cashing in. Weather will also be a factor today. Take the Under.

49ers +6.5 over Bills
Here we have a west coast team flying all the way to the east coast to play a Buffalo team in cold weather, but Vegas keeps this line just under a TD. At first glance you would say that the Bills are used too the cold while the 49ers are not. Trent Edwards is not a cold weather QB while 49ers Shaun Hill grew up in cold conditions playing in Kansas. The Bills started off hot due to weak competition and I do not think they are much better than the 49ers. This line value seems like a good bargain. Take the 49ers.

Bucs -4 over Saints
New Orleans won the earlier meeting at home so its crucial for the Bucs to win this game. The Saints might be Reggie Bush back, but it will be tough to run on the Bucs who play great home defense. The Saints will be without their starting fullback Mike Karney which will hurt the running game and give Brees less time to throw the ball when the blitz is on. Tampa has two great cover corners which should slow down Brees today. Look for the Bucs on offense to stick it too this Saints defense which is really not that good. Take Tampa.

Panthers/Packers Under 42
The Panthers have a huge defensive line and big physical cornerbacks. On offense the Panthers do not seem to be as sharp when they are away from home. Green Bay also has two physical corners and the Panthers might have a hard time scoring in the cold. I think both defenses will really step it up today. Look for a low scoring game. Take the Under.

Rams +9 over Dolphins
First off the Dolphins should not be a 9pt favorite to anybody in this league especially when they just let Matt Cassel of the Patriots throw for 400+ yards on them. The Rams cornerbacks matchup well against the smaller Dolphins receivers and on turf Miami might not be able to catch up with the pace of the game as they are not used to playing on it. St.Louis matches up well on offense and should put up some points. If you are feeling up to it this is a moneyline play which would be about a 3/1 hit. Take the Rams.

Browns +4.5 over Colts
Payton Manning and the Colts have hit their groove, but conditions will be very cold today and Manning is not the same QB when in the cold. The Browns should give the Colts a big strong dosage of Jamaal Lewis to keep the clock moving and keep Manning off the field. The Browns matchup well and have the Physical advantage on both sides of the ball. Derrick Anderson will get the start today and will have a chance to take back the starting roll in Cleveland. This team has the ability to put up a ton of points just like the Colts. Look for a close game. Take the Browns.

Chargers -5 over Falcons
We have all seen how impressive Matt Ryan has been for the Falcons this season, but they are making a long trip to the west coast and are banged up while the Chargers are pretty much healthy. Look for the Chargers to run the ball well against an Atlanta defensive that is hurting right now. The oddsmakers made the Chargers a decent size favorite for a reason. In the AFC West anything is possible and the Chargers are not out of the race yet. Look for San Diego to get a big home win. Take the Chargers.

Vikings -3.5 over Bears
The Vikings have a huge offensive line that should spring Adrian Peterson to a huge day and on defense the Vikings front four is also big and should stop the run making Chicago one dimensional. The Bears won the earlier meeting this year in a 48-41 shootout. I don't expect as many points from Chicago today. Take the Vikings.

NBA Basketball
Bulls +6 over Sixers

NCAA Basketball
Siena PK over Oklahoma State

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:27 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Heisman Trophy Club

10* Washington
10* Carolina
10* St Louis

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:28 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Westcoast Sports

San Francisco
Cleveland
Denver

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:31 am
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Savannah Sports

5 Units on Green Bay -3

Steve Merril

Washington
Carolina
Wash under

JEFFERSONSPORTS

ADDING

COLTS -4.5
NY GIANTS -3 -125

Teddy June

NFL Two Game Package

My 10* NFL Package Selection #1 is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over the New Orleans Saints. I currently have this line at -3.5. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
My 10* NFL Package Selection #2 is the New England Patriots minus the points over the Pittsburgh Steelers. I currently have this line at -1. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.

Teddy June’s NFL Game of the Week
My 10* NFL Game of the Week is the Minnesota Vikings minus the points over the Chicago Bears. I currently have this line at -3 (-120). As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.

Executive

400 pit
300 sf
300 car
150 nyg
100 no
100 clev

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:38 am
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Trace Adams

2000* - Buffalo Bills, 1000* - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It is not that I am "sold" on the Bills being back after snapping a 4 game slide with a 54-31 win at Kansas City, it is just that I am "sold" on the fact west coast teams CANNOT come east and deliver a solid showing.

Arizona showed on Thanksgiving night in their loss at Philadelphia that teams from the left coast just cannot come east, and hang for the full 4 quarters.

San Francisco is no exception! 1st of all, this is the Niners 3rd road game in the last 4 weeks. Frisco is 0-4 straight up their last 4 road games, and just 1-3 against the spread in those roadies.

The 49ers are also a woeful 3-27 straight up, and 8-24-1 against the spread in games starting at 1pm eastern their last 31!

Buffalo and Trent Edwards got a huge shot of confidence in last week's win, as Edwards ran for 2 TDs, and threw for another pair. The defense also scored in the victory, and being back at home where they have dropped their last pair of games should give the Bills the added boost they need in this spot.

Buffalo to roll in this one!

2000♦ - Buffalo Bills

Tampa in a real good spot at home today, as the Bucs are already 5-0 straight up on their gridiron, and 4-1 against the math in those 5. Their only non-cover was by a hook in their 20-10 win over Seattle, as the Seahawks got a late TD to back-door the Bucs.

New Orleans is playing this one on the road off a short week, and they are likely to be a little flat here after a supreme Monday night effort that saw them thrash the Packers 51-29.

The Saints, and the road have not been a good mix, as New Orleans is just 1-4 on the road this year, and 2-3 against the spread in those road contests.

New Orleans did win a 24-20 decision at home on the opening Sunday of the season over Tampa, but the Saints secondary is still very much injured, and the fact remains New Orleans has surrendered 30 or more points in 5 of their last 9 games.

Tampa earns the split with New Orleans, as the Bucs make it 6-0 at home, and 5-1 against the spread.

1000♦ - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:39 am
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Indian Cowboy

TB-3.5 (POD)
Nets +9
Montana +2

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:49 am
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Matt Fargo

10** One and Only NFL Game of the Year

The Chargers are coming off yet another tough setback this weekend, this time against the Colts. San Diego could have closed within a game of the Broncos with five left by winning. If there is any good in this, it is the fact that the Chargers are still alive in the AFC West thanks to Denver losing. A Broncos win over the Raiders would have likely nailed the coffin but San Diego has air left. Quarterback Philip Rivers summed it up perfectly, “There isn't another 4-7 team in the league that still has a chance,”

It was the fourth time this season San Diego forked over the lead in the final 24 seconds, and the second time an opponent won on the final play of the game. Those four losses have been by a total of seven points. It can be put into perspective this way. Instead of 60 minutes, if the game were fifty-nine minutes and thirty-five seconds, the Chargers would be 8-2. San Diego is the highest ranked four-win team and is actually ranked ahead of some six-win teams (Buffalo and Denver).

The Chargers are 1-3 against teams ranked within the top ten in the league. The win came against the Jets at home and it was a blowout victory. The three losses came against Pittsburgh, Carolina and Indianapolis by one, two and three points respectively. This week’s opponent is not part of that grouping and the Falcons come into this game in a tough spot. They defeated the Panthers in a division game and have a division game on deck next week at New Orleans.

Atlanta has had the luxury of three straight home games making this its first road game in 28 days. The Falcons are 2-3 on the road with the wins coming against Green Bay where Aaron Rodgers got hurt and then against the 3-8 Oakland Raiders. The Falcons offense has picked things up of late but again, that occurred at home on the turf. They are averaging just 16.6 ppg on the road from 332 ypg. This compares to 32.2 ppg and 390.7 ypg at home. That is a huge disparity.

San Diego is averaging 24.9 ppg on the season including 28.4 ppg at home. The numbers are positive across the board for the offense in home games as the Chargers are averaging 374 ypg, 6.5 yppl and Rivers is completing 71.9 percent of his passes. They managed just 20 points against Indianapolis but they put up 394 yards including 120 yards rushing on 25 carries (4.8 ypc). Rivers had a 126.8 passer rating which was his third highest of the season and his rating now is at 103.3, best in the NFL.

On the other side, Matt Ryan has been the talk of the league as he has transformed the Falcons from a rebuilding team to a possible playoff team. However, he is an average 13th in the league in passer rating and while his numbers are impressive for a rookie, most of that success has come in the dome. He has had only one really good game on the road, against Oakland and while the Chargers defense is last in the NFL in passing yards allowed, they are allowing just 6.9 ypa which is 14th in the league.

Atlanta’s passing defense 23rd in yards allowed and 16th in ypa so Rivers should be able to have another big game. This past Sunday, Jake Delhomme threw for a season high 295 yards. The Falcons rushing defense is 21st in the league, allowing 120.9 ypg but they are giving it up at a 4.9 ypc clip which is tied for 2nd to last in the NFL. LaDanian Tomlinson is having a down year but he has looked better of late as he is averaging 4.05 ypc over his last four games while Darren Sproles is averaging 5.1 ypg.

Denver is heading east this week to face the Jets so a win by San Diego could very well put it a game back. The best thing is that the Denver game is being played at the same time so the Chargers won’t know one way or the other like they did this past week against Indianapolis and possibly got a little lax when it shouldn’t have. San Diego is running out of time and even though the remaining schedule isn’t tough and it still get to host Denver at home, this could be the last shot making it a true must win game.

San Diego also has some great situations in its favor. Play against road underdogs that are winning between 60 and 75 percent of their games on the season and are coming off an upset win by 14 points or more. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983 with the average point differential being +10.2 ppg. It is 1-0 this season with the victory being with the Giants over the Ravens by 20 points. The Chargers also fall into another solid situation based on their recent play.

Play on home teams that are coming off two or more consecutive unders in a game involving two teams that are averaging between 23 and 27 ppg in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1983 with the average point differential being +8.7 ppg. The logic is simple as it implies that a strong offensive team can be held back for only so long. San Diego has not been held to 20 points or less in four straight games since December of 2001. The Chargers come out strong and take their frustrations out on the Falcons. 10* San Diego Chargers

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:55 am
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Donn Wagner

4* Kansas City
4* San Diego

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:57 am
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Dr. Guru

12* Oakland Raiders -3

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 11:59 am
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Sports Unlimited

15* Grand Gobbler

Pittsburgh

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 12:00 pm
(@samors)
Posts: 91
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Stu Feiner - 500 Dimer
Buccaneers

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 12:07 pm
(@samors)
Posts: 91
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Steve Budin
SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME

MINNESOTA

Note:

This price is primarily -3 1/2 as of Saturday evening, although I see a few locations in Vegas and offshore where it is priced at -3.

If you have Minnesota -3 1/2, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to make it -3 so you get the push should Minnesota prevail by only a field goal.

If you shop around and get Minnesota at -3, buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 so you get a win with a field goal victory

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 12:23 pm
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kbhoops

5* Pitt/NE OVER 39.5
4* KC Chiefs +3
4* Denver +9

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 1:09 pm
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Gameday

3* San Diego

 
Posted : November 30, 2008 1:10 pm
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