Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

LENNY DEL GENIO
25* Division GOY Minnesota Vikings

HUDDLE UP SPORTS
500,000* Lock Carolina -6

Best Bets:
Cincinnati -6'
New Orleans -3'
Green Bay +1'
Green Bay/NY Giants over 37

DR. BOB

2-Star UNDER
**UNDER - DENVER (-9.5) 19 Oakland 12

Strong Opinion
San Francisco 23 ST. LOUIS (-3.0) 21

Strong Opinion
ARIZONA 23 Seattle (-3.0) 21

Strong Opinion
Kansas City 14 CHICAGO (-12.0) 20

Strong Opinion
NY Jets 13 BALTIMORE (-10.0) 19

Strong Opinion
UNDER - JACKSONVILLE (-10.0) 21 Atlanta 7

Strong Opinion
UNDER - Dallas (-3.5) 19 MIAMI 16

Bill Lee
San Ffransico
Chicago
Arizona

Gold Sheet
1½* San Francisco
1* Cincinnati
1* Tennessee
1* Chicago

Players Choice
Carolina

Player's Group
Pittsburgh

Rocky Mountain
3 Carolina

Rogers
Kansas City

SCSC
2 Kansas City
1 Atlanta
1 Denver
1 New England
1 New England Over

Ed Slick
Houston
Tampa Bay
Chicago
New England

Insider Sports Report
4* New Orleans
4* Cincinnati
3* Dallas
3* Minnesota OVER

Elite Sports Picks
Chicago

Discount Sports Picks
10* San Diego OVER
5* Seattle

Guaranteed Pick: Lenny Del Genio

Game: Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Sep 16 2007 4:05PM
Prediction: Minnesota Vikings
Reason: Play on the Vikings at 4:05 ET. Jon Kitna may have predicted a 10-win season but lets' not call him a seer after Detroit opened the '07 season with a 36-21 win at Oakland. The Lions jumped out to a 17-0 lead but actually trailed 21-20 in the 4th, before scoring the game's final 16 points. Kitna threw three TDs and passed for 289 yards but he's always had trouble in the red zone. With RB Kevin Jones out, Tatum Bell had 87 YR but here he'll face the team which led the NFL in rushing D last year (Minnesota), allowing 61.6 ypg. The Vikings did a nice job stopping Atlanta's running game in Week 1, holding the Falcons to 96 yards (3.4 ypc). The Minnesota D also returned two interceptions for TDs and let's remember that Kitna threw 22 INTs in '06 and two last week. The Vikings are far from a complete team, as QB Tarvaris Jackson is surely a "work in progress" but the Vikings have to be thrilled with their No. 1 pick, RB Adrian Peterson. A.P. ran for 103 yards in his first career game plus caught a short pass and turned it into a 60-yard TD. The Vikings shouldn't have too much trouble with the Detroit D, which ranked 28th in ypg in '06 and 30th in points allowed. Detroit was favored three times in its 3-13 season last year and not only failed to cover anyone of those games but lost all three SU, as well. One of those losses as a favorite was a 30-20 Week 14 at home to the Vikings (30-20), Detroit's 10th straight loss to Minnesota! The Vikings have beaten the Lions in 14 of the last 15 meetings. So what's different here? Nothing! Minnesota is my NFC 25* North GOY.

View Lines and Log Out

Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose

Game: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sep 16 2007 1:00PM
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Reason: The Saints offense is too good to repeat their week 1 performance. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played in week 2. In their last 8 games as a road favorite the Saints are 6-2 ATS. New Orleans has is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games overall. TB is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a dog. In their last 5 games played in September the Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS. The Bucs are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games. In their last 9 games vs. NFC opponents TB is 1-7-1 ATS. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 visits to Tampa. Expect a big game from the Saints and their first win of the season. Play on the Saints -.

Goodfella Sports

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NFL
ATLANTA/JACKSONVILLE UNDER 34.5 (-105) 1PM
TENNESSEE +7 OVER INDY (1PM)
BUFFALO/PITT UNDER 37.5 (+100) 1PM
CAROLINA -6.5 (-105) over HOUSTON (1PM)
MIAMI +3.5 (-102) OVER DALLAS (4PM)

MLB
FLORIDA/CAROLINA OVER 11-110 (3PM)

EZ Winners

1 STAR: (907) PITTSBURGH (-$104) over Houston
(Listing Maholm only)
(Risking $104 to win $100)

YESTERDAY'S RECAP - We were 1-1 on Saturday. A $100 player won $13. We made a small profit, splitting our two dogs.
BOSTON (+$113) WON +$113
PITTSBURGH (+$135) LOST -$100

Larry Ness

Larry Ness' 20* Division GOY (perfect 5-0 start with NFL 20* plays in '07!)
My 20* play is on the NO Saints at 1:00 ET. Let's not overreact to the Saints' opening season loss at Indy. Last time I checked, the Colts were a pretty good team. The Saints have had a few extra days to get "their act together" and in the Bucs, they'll meet the perfect opponent (patsy?). Tampa Bay managed just two FGs in losing at Seattle last Sunday and Cadillac Williams was forced out after injuring his ribs. He says he'll play but so what? He was nowhere near the player LY that he was in his rookie season, topping 100 yards just twice, while gaining a total of only 101 yards in his last three games of '06 (2.4 YPC). Tampa Bay's OL is no bargain and unlike last year, when he stepped in to lead a playoff-ready team like the Eagles, 37-year-old QB Jeff Garcia now leads a team "hardly ready for prime time!" The Saints' D allowed 452 yards to the Colts (288 passing) but will have no such problems with Tampa's offense (NFC-low 211 points scored in '06). While Tampa can still play some D (far from great these days, as LY's 22.1 PPG attests), expect the Saints to bounce back from their Week 1 disaster. New Orleans led the NFL in total offense LY but did not score a single offensive TD vs the Colts. A team known for its "big plays," had just one play for more than 13 yards. Bress was terrible (28-41 for 192 YP with two INTs) , while Bush (12-38) and Deuce (10-38), did nothing! Tampa went 0-6 in its division last year, with the Saints winning 31-14 here in Tampa. Brees had 314 YP in that game and I look for a "return to form" for New Orleans in this game, against a very beatable foe. NFC South GOY 20* NO Saints.

Good Luck...Larry

Rob Ferringo

NFL SELECTIONS
7-Unit Play. Take #215 New Orleans (-3.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Note: This is our NFL Game of the Month. I do endorse this play up to -4.0. It is pretty stable at -3.5 in Vegas but is -3.0 at a majority of the top nine online sportsbooks and that is our basis. Believe me, this will be a double-digit win so an extra half-point shouldn't factor in.

Since 1997, teams that started the year with two straight road games are 20-13 ATS (60.6) in Week 2. Favorites in that role (as in, favored in the second game) are 9-4-1 ATS (69 percent). Those road teams are 13-6 ATS off a loss in Week 1, and 5-1 when instilled as a favorite after that loss. New Orleans is devalued after that undressing on the Thursday night opener, but they were actually winning that game early and were tied, with the ball, to start the second half. Their talent puts them in the top one-third of teams in this league while Tampa is still a bottom-third club. The Tampa offense can’t put the type of pressure on a team that the Colts can and I think that the Saints are just itching to show that their defense is actually better this season than last. Also, if Brian Kelly doesn’t play the Bucs are short one of their best corners. That’s not a place you want to be when Drew Brees comes to town. Sean Payton is 7-3 ATS on the road and New Orleans has covered four of five against the Bucs. Finally, the moneyline on this game is anywhere from 25 to 50 cents heavy, and that's a strong indicator.

4-Unit Play. Take #221 Seattle (-2.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
This line is baffling. Until the Cardinals actually win some games they don’t deserve the respect that they get from the public, who is in love with them as a perpetual “sleeper team”. They aren’t. The Cardinals are 6-18 ATS (25 percent) in September home games and 12-19 ATS in September divisional games. They are 0-4 ATS since 2003 in divisional home games in September. The Cardinals are 3-16 straight up and 2-10 ATS in home openers, they are coming off a short week, and they are facing a team with superior talent. Arizona will start two rookie offensive linemen against a veteran Seattle front seven. I simply don’t see how they will be able to withstand the pressure, and I don’t see them stopping an offense that is very familiar with their personnel.

4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 37.0 Buffalo at Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Over the past two years the Steelers are an astounding 13-1-2 against the total when playing at home. Buffalo’s defense is decimated – I mean completely decimated – and will be without as many as five starters. The Steelers have been throwing the ball more with Bruce Arians and I see them completely devastating the Bills. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS over the past five years with a line between 36.0 and 38.0. Further, the ‘over’ is 36-15-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 53 home games, 46-22-2 with them as a favorite, and 10-1-1 when they allow less than 15 points in the previous game. Buy onto 37 if you have to because it’s such a key number, but if the Bills can chip in 9-13 points this one won’t be in doubt at all.

4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 34.5 Kansas City at Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Note: I endorse this play at 35.0 because that merely brings the push into play.

Chicago went 9-1 against the number last year at home and is 9-3 in Soldier Field when the total is between 33.5 and 35.5. The ‘over’ is 10-2 in Chicago’s last 12 home games, 16-6-1 in their last 23 overall, and 14-3-1 as a favorite. The Bears lost two starters on defense last week and the Chiefs will be without two of their better defenders (Jared Allen and Patrick Surtain). These two teams combined for six points last week so there’s a naturally overreaction toward the ‘under’. But there’s a system at work here that’s hit at nearly 73 percent ‘over’ for the past six years. Chicago’s first four home games last year saw an average of 45.5 combined points and four of the Bears’ last five home openers have gone ‘over’. Rex Grossman is notorious for this – answering critics with a 250-yard, 4 TD eruption when everyone is calling for his head.

3-Unit Play. Take #206 Tennessee (+7.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Two very good systems at work here. First, play on a home dog that won its last game outright vs. an opponent who was playing at home. This system hit at roughly 61 percent over the past 15 years. Next, play on a division home dog that won straight up on as an away dog the previous week. This system has hit at 66 percent over the past 15 years. I couldn’t have been more impressed with how physical Tennessee was last week and I think they can make the Colts uncomfortable with their style. Also, road teams favored by 7.5 or more were 38-63 ATS (37.6 percent) between 1997 and 2006.

2-Unit Play. Take #207 Houston (+7) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
If the Panthers are an automatic play as an underdog (20-3-1 ATS) then they are also an automatic play against as a favorite. The Jake Delhomme-John Fox combo is 9-17-1 ATS as a home favorite, 3-7 ATS at home, and 3-12 ATS as a favorite between 4.0 and 7.0. Remember, the Panthers were on the verge of losing in St. Louis before two Steven Jackson fumbles handed them 14 points. I don’t see Carolina running the ball they way they did against an awful Rams defense, and this is play blends two basic tenets that have been very successful recently – playing the underdogs (58 percent ATS in 2006) and playing the AFC vs. the NFC.

2-Unit Play. Take #232 Philadelphia (-6.5) over Washington (8 p.m., Monday, Sept. 16)
Andy Reid is 10-1 ATS off a straight up loss as a favorite and Donovan McNabb is 16-7 ATS following a loss. The Eagles are 17-10 ATS playing at home as a favorite after a loss and - the coup de grace - they are 11-3 ATS as home chalk on Monday Night Football. Is this line about 1-3 points to much? Yes. But you can't argue with results. Washington is 3-7 ATS on MNF and have a young quarterback making his first road start. In Philly. The 'Skins lost Jon Jansen and I think their offensive line will suffer, especially against the blitz-happy Eagles. Finally, Washington is 10-5 ATS when scoring 21 or more points and 12-22 ATS when they don't. I don't see it happening for them this week.

BONUS SELECTION
3-Unit Play. TEASER: Take Chicago (-1.5), Jacksonville (-0.5), and Pittsburgh (-0.5).
Note: This is a 3-team sweetheart teaser which just about all online books offer. However, since all customers that use "local guys" may not be able to play this game it's simply a bonus play. I initially liked all three teams to cover their normal lines, and favorites of 8.0 or higher in Week 2 went 5-1 last year. However, over the past 10 years faves of -8.0 or higher this early in the year are just 13-18 ATS (41.9 percent) and if you throw out last year they were just 8-17 ATS (32 percent). For this bet to lose, one of these three teams would have to lose outright, basically, and I simply do not see that happening. I see Chicago 34-10, Jacksonville 24-13, and Pittsburgh 38-9. It's 10-cent juice on this bet and I like it as an online bonus for those of you that like the action.

MIKE ROSE

Indianapolis Colts -7.0 (-105)
Sun Sep 16 '07 1:00p
Different year, same number. The Colts shockingly lost by a 20-17 count in this venue last season, as the Titans came back from a 14-point deficit to hand Indy one of its four losses on the season. Tennessee gave this team fits last year as the Colts went 0-2 ATS, and they were one of only two teams to give Peyton and company a major run for their money in the RCA Dome.
So, why then are the Colts seven-point favorites once again in this spot considering Tennessee gave them so much trouble a season ago? I’ll tell you why!!! It’s because Tennessee lost a number of impact players from a year ago, and the Colts won’t overlook them and take them lightly this time around. Indy figured they could just show up a year ago and cruise to a victory, but that just wasn’t the case. Tennessee showed they weren’t intimidated by them whatsoever in their first match-up, and the Colts almost paid for it dearly. When they met up again, the Titans were playing their best football of the season and pulled off the stunning victory.
I was amazed at how well the Colts dissected the Saints defense in the second half of their game last week. New Orleans has a better defense than the Titans, and Peyton made them look like absolute garbage. Sure, the Colts attack isn’t as lethal outdoors on a grass field, but this unit is so in rhythm with one another that nobody can stop them now. Especially the Titans!!!
Tennessee grinded out a win vs. the Jaguars last week, and QB Vince Young did a fine job managing the game. However, I feel the Jags are headed south after peaking the last couple seasons, and they by no means have the offense that strikes fear into anyone. Tennessee will have to do a better job in the passing game this week to have any shot of winning this game let alone covering the number. Indy simply shut down the Saints solid 1-2 punch in their backfield, and it looks as if the run “D” that showed up in the post-season last year isn’t an aberration. VY will have to beat them through the air, and I just don’t see it happening.
Peyton and the Colts have feasted upon this Tennessee team for years (7-1 SU / 6-2 ATS), and I’m expecting more of the same this afternoon. The Titans have covered 8 of their L/9 overall, but I just don’t think their ready to handle the game Indy will bring with them to Nashville. Lay the tuddy as the Colts pick up the road win and cover.

Chicago Bears -12.0 (-110)
Sun Sep 16 '07 4:15p
The 2007 season didn’t start out too well for either of these teams. Kansas City went into Houston and got steamrolled allowing the Texans to pick up an opening day win for the first time since 2003. The Bears locked horns with a very good San Diego club and dominated for a half, but a couple injuries cropped up in the second half and LT and company were able to pull away and grab the 14-3 victory.
To make matters worse for both of these clubs, neither was able to find the endzone in their Week 1 contests. The Chiefs managed just three points against Houston, while the Bears suffered the same fate against a stout Charger defense. Turnovers were mainly the key as both clubs combined for eight of them, and that’s just not going to get it done in the National Football league.
Oddsmakers expect the Bears to bounce back nicely this week as they’ve installed them as 13-point favorites with a ‘total’ of 35. Obviously, they’re expecting the Bears to put forth another dominating effort at Soldier Field where they beat opponents by a combined 229-131 in their Super Bowl year a season ago.
The city of Chicago is up in arms about last week’s performance out west, and they’re expecting nothing less than an impressive home debut from the Bears this week. With KC proving to be an offensive sieve thus far, and the fact that the Bears defense is amongst the best in the league, it’s highly conceivable that this one turns into another laugher that the city of Chicago got to see a number of times last season.
With all the smack talk coming out of San Diego this week targeting a number of Bears key offensive players, look for the home team to come out very determined offensively and put this game away early. KC once had one of the better offensive units in the entire league, but much has changed over the years, and its numbers have slowly eroded over that time. Look for the Bears “D” to force a number of KC TO’s, and for them to limit the effectiveness of RB Johnson.
One of these teams will find the endzone a number of times this afternoon, and they’ll be wearing blue and orange. The Chiefs will play the role of sacrificial lamb as the Bears take their frustrations out on them and pick up their first SU win and cover of the season.

Washington Redskins +7.0 (-115)
Mon Sep 17 '07 8:30p
This weeks Monday night match-up pits a couple of NFC East representatives who don’t like one another very much. Washington picked up a hard fought victory in OT last week at home over Miami, while the Eagles fumbled away their game in Lambeau Field against the GB Packers.
After sweeping the season series back in 2005, the Eagles returned the favor last season by beating the Skins in Washington 21-19 and at home by a 27-3 final count. Except for their success in 2005, the Redskins haven’t had much to boast about after playing the Eagles. Philly has dominated them throughout the L/5 years, but Washington will put forth a good showing tonight and let the rest of the conference know they will be a major player this season.
Washington was a team just killed with injuries a season ago. They hampered them in every facet of the game, and that’s the main reason their season win total dropped dramatically from 2005. Things look to be much different this time around though as the defense has looked much quicker, and the offense much more efficient. They churned out 400 yards of offense against a very good Miami defense last week, and only limited them to 273 total yards of offense on the other side of the ball. K Shaun Suisham also nailed all three of his FG attempts including the game winner in OT.
Washington HC Joe Gibbs’ formula for success in this league might be a bit outdated, but when you can hold onto the ball longer than your opponent and out gain them offensively, a win is most likely to follow provided you don’t turn the ball over. This is the type of attack we’ll see from the Skins all season long, as I believe they own a very underrated defense that they’ll be able to rely on more now that its healthy. Many only remember their poor play from a year ago when injuries crippled them, but keep in mind; they led the league in total defense in 2005 and won a game in the playoffs as well.
I respect Philly HC Andy Reid immensely since he’s a proven winner, but this is an awful lot of chalk for his club to lay in a crucial divisional game to kick-off the season. Grab the points with Washington as they keep this one a lot closer than the experts think.

DOCTOR BOB

2-Star UNDER
**UNDER - DENVER (-9.5) 19 Oakland 12
01:15 PM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
Oakland played pretty well offensively last week against a bad Lions’ defense, but the Raiders will have a tougher time against a Denver defense with two great cornerbacks. Daunte Culpepper takes over for an injured Josh McCown, but I rated those two quarterbacks the same heading into the season. Denver’s offense moved the ball well last week in Buffalo while the Raiders’ defense was abused by the Lions. Those results may reverse this week as the Broncos have averaged 5.3 yards per play or less in 5 of Jay Cutler’s 6 career starts and Oakland is still a good defensive team regardless of what happened last week. In fact, Oakland’s bad defensive effort in week 1 sets them up in a solid 102-50-5 UNDER situation this week and the Raiders have still gone Under in 11 of their last 13 games. My ratings predict a total of 38 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll go UNDER 38 points or higher in a 2-Star Best Bet. I’ll also lean with Oakland plus the points, as my ratings favor Denver by just 7 ½ points and the Broncos are only 5-21 ATS under coach Shanahan when favored by more than 5 points in the regular season following a victory.

Strong Opinion
San Francisco 23 ST. LOUIS (-3.0) 21
10:00 AM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
The 49ers didn’t play well offensively last week, but their new defense looks very good. San Francisco held a decent Arizona attack to just 3.9 yards per play and only 3.4 yards per pass play as All-Pro cornerbacks Nate Clements and Walt Harris shut down the Cardinals receiving tandem while rookie LB Patrick Willis logged 11 tackles in his debut. San Francisco rebuilt their defense in the off-season and it looks like a better than average unit. The Rams offense is in trouble without big LT Orlando Pace protecting Marc Bulger and Pace appears to be out for the season after getting hurt last week. Pace missed some time last season and Rams’ quarterback Marc Bulger went from averaging 6.9 yards per pass play in 8 games with Pace protecting his back to just 5.6 yppp in the final 8 games of the season without Pace. Bulger averaged just 3.8 yppp last week and he’ll have a tough time finding open receivers this week against one of the best sets of corners in the league. The Rams’ defense was horrible last week against both the run (4.9 ypr) and the pass (7.4 yppp), so expect the 49ers to look much better offensively this week. My ratings favor St. Louis by just 1 point and the Rams are just 6-15-1 ATS the last 3 seasons as a favorite of 3 points or more, including 1-4-1 ATS last season in coach Linehan’s first year. San Francisco applies to a solid 52-20-1 statistical match- up indicator that is 10-1 ATS in week 2. I’ll consider San Francisco a Strong Opinion at +3 points or more.

Strong Opinion
ARIZONA 23 Seattle (-3.0) 21
01:05 PM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
Arizona had a tough time throwing the ball against the 49ers but their defense looked very good and the offensive is likely to bounce back with a better effort. Seattle looked better than I expected against the Bucs, but my ratings only favor the Seahawks by 2 points in this game. Arizona applies to a solid 187-106-10 ATS statistical indicator and that is certainly enough to get me favoring the upset. I’ll consider Arizona a Strong Opinion at +1 or more and I’d make Arizona a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 ½ points or more (-115 odds or better).

Strong Opinion
Kansas City 14 CHICAGO (-12.0) 20
01:15 PM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
Chicago is just 1-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 10 points under coach Lovie Smith and the Bears apply to a negative 32-72-3 ATS game 2 situation. Kansas City, meanwhile, applies to a solid 69-23-1 ATS situation. My ratings favor Chicago by 12 points, so the line is fair, but I’m going to resist making the Chiefs a Best Bet since the Bears are a perfect 5-0 ATS the week following a loss the last 2 seasons. That team trend is not nearly enough to cancel out the general situations so I’ll consider Kansas City a Strong Opinion at +11 points or more and I’d take KC in a 2-Star Best Bet at +13 points or more.

Strong Opinion
NY Jets 13 BALTIMORE (-10.0) 19
01:15 PM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
Both teams will likely be without their starting quarterbacks, as Baltimore’s Steve McNair is expected to miss with groin injury while the Jets’ Chad Pennington is doubtful with an ankle sprain. Baltimore has the more experienced backup in Kyle Boller and Boller looked very good off the bench last season (9.8 yards per pass play on 58 pass plays) and was improving as starter before McNair replaced him last season. Kellen Clemens will get the start for the Jets if Pennington doesn’t play and Clemens has had no success in very limited action in his career. However, Clemens looked good in the preseason and many think he could be an improvement over Pennington (I’ll reserve judgment). New York applies to a very strong 63-10 ATS bounce back situation and the line appears to be fair (my ratings favor Baltimore by 10 ½ points). The Ravens, meanwhile, qualify in a negative 32-72-3 ATS game 2 situation but I’m not going to make the Jets a Best Bet since Baltimore is 33-14-2 ATS as a home favorite under Brian Billick, including 19-4-1 ATS hosting non-division teams. The team trend is not as strong as the general situations favoring Baltimore so I will consider New York a Strong Opinion at +10 points or more.

Strong Opinion
UNDER - JACKSONVILLE (-10.0) 21 Atlanta 7
10:00 AM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
The Falcons managed just 4.0 yards per play and 3 points in their first regular season game with Michael Vick and today they face a Jaguars’ team that will be fired up defensively after allowing 284 rushing yards to the Titans last week. Jacksonville is traditionally one of the best teams in the league at defending the run and their defense allowed just 13 points despite the uncharacteristically poor run defense. Teams that score 7 points or less in their opener are not good bets in game 2, especially when facing teams that allowed 13 points or less in week 1 (6-21 ATS). My ratings favor Jacksonville by 13 points with a total of 36 points. I mention the projected points based on my ratings because this game applies to a 102-50-5 ATS early season UNDER angle. The total is only 34 ½ points, so some of the value of that angle is lost due to negative line value. I’ll consider the UNDER a Strong Opinion at 34 points or higher.

Strong Opinion
UNDER - Dallas (-3.5) 19 MIAMI 16
01:05 PM Pacific, 16-Sep-07
Cowboys coach Wade Wilson can’t be too excited about how his defense performed in last week’s 45-35 win over the Giants, so I expect a better effort from that unit this week. Miami always has a solid defense and they tend to play their best at home. In fact, Miami is 57-34 UNDER at home since 1996, including 6-2 UNDER last season and 24-8 UNDER when the total is 40 points or higher. This game also applies to a solid 102-50-5 UNDER angle. Unfortunately my math projects a total of 42 points (and favors Dallas by 3 points) so I’ll resist playing the UNDER as a Best Bet at the current line of 40 ½ points. I’ll consider the UNDER a Strong Opinion at 40 points or higher and I’d make the UNDER a 2-Star Best Bet at 42 points or higher.

ultra spts

4 ny jets
3 sf 49ers
3 tb buccaneers

ace-ace / alan eastman

22 sf u 44
21 cinc -7
8 no -3'
6 hou +6'
5 cinc u 41'
4 gb u 38
2 kc +22/kc u 44'/hou +16' (10 pt tease)

kodiak

5 cinc -7 -115
5 det -3 -115
5 dall -3' -115
5 giants o 38 -110
5 sd o 46 -110
5 no -3 -135