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Sunday Service Picks and Consensus Reports:

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(@the-hog)
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Ats Lock Club

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4 units on the Atlanta Braves (-120) over the Milwaukee Brewers, 1:00
3 units on the Colorado Rockies (+115) over the San Diego Padres, 4:00

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:29 am
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Cappersaccess
(Sun) NFL Jets Dolphins 3 Jets
(Sun) NFL Seahawks Bengals 3 Seahawks
(Sun) NFL Panthers Falcons 4 Falcons

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:30 am
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HONDO

Redskins over Giants: Show up whenever you want (Strahan). Be as stupid as you want because “I’ve always played like that” (Shockey on committing another senseless penalty). Don’t even bother playing defense. It’s all part of the anything-goes era presided over by that great disciplinarian Tom Coughlin.

Jets over Dolphins: According to Perfesser Hip, the scholarly e-mailer, the Jets have been doing a better job of disguising signals since they’ve been working with Larry “The Cable Guy” Craig on his complex foot-tap code.

Texans over Colts: As a service to the Gang Green faithful, who seemed to get such a charge out of Pennington hurting his ankle, here’s the Gang Green Injury of the Week: KR/CB Justin Miller is on IR with a bum knee. Go nuts, Jet fans!

Packers over Chargers: Hondo’s Misread of the Week was the Chargers, who he felt might be able to dig deep and find it within themselves to avenge last year’s disgraceful playoff loss to the Belicheaters. Foolishly, Mr. Aitch underestimated the overwhelmingly uninspiring presence of Norvelous Norv Turner on the S.D. sideline.

Vikings over Chiefs: Jesse Jackson charges that Obama is “acting like he’s white.” If Hillary showed some cleavage earlier this year to rebuff charges she was acting manly, what can Barack show to prove to Jesse he’s black?

Eagles over Lions: McNabb says “black QBs have to do a little bit extra.” In that sense, they’re like the Odd Couple, who need to do a little extra this week and maybe win two games out of 16.

Patriots over Bills: Judging by last week’s rout, Belichick still has the cheating down Pat at Foxborough. Not only that, but the Odd Couple’s lone winner was the Patriots, so their opinion here must be respected.

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:30 am
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Brian Sherwood

Arizona +8 over BALTIMORE BOWMANS

Haven’t seen anything in the Ravens that suggest they warrant being better then a converted TD favorite over the Cardinals. They were sloppy in week one loss to the Bengals and they followed that up by hanging on for dear life against the Jets. As it turns out, the Brownies shredded the Bengals, which makes their first week loss look even worse. Steve McNair is back behind center and that makes this play even more appealing. McNair is getting older and less effective which each start and looked way out of sync vs the Bengals, going 20-34 for 203 unimpressive yards. He was also sacked twice and threw one pick. The Ravens scored 20 points in both games against two of the weaker defensive clubs in the game and they’ll be hard-pressed to match that against the Cardinals. Arizona is coming off a nice win over the Seahawks and should’ve beaten the 49ers in week one. They’ve allowed 40 points, also 20 in each game, against a couple of high-octane offenses and should find the pace much slower here. Matt Leinart was much better in week 2, throwing for 299 yards and as the season progresses he and the whole talented offense will just get better. The Cardinals are under the tutelage of a great offensive mind in ex-Charger offensive coordinator Cam Cameron and his impact was very evident in week 2. Should the Cardinals score first here, a distinct possibility indeed, the Ravens will be hard pressed to win, let alone cover. The Ravens could never be trusted laying significant wood and this one is no exception. Upset possibility. Play: Arizona +8 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Detroit +6 over PHILADELPHIA PINNACLE

Let’s see if we have this straight, shall we? The Eagles are 0-2 after losing to the Packers and Skins, the latter at home, plus, they’re on a short week after playing Monday night. Donovan McNab looks like a fraction of the QB he once was and to make matters worse he really doesn’t have any talent to throw the ball to. If there’s a worse group of receivers and TE’s in the business please point them out because we can’t find them. The Eagle defense looks very mediocre too. Remember, the Eagles were a 6½-point choice over Washington and couldn’t move five yards. Now they’ll play a team that’s superior to the Skins and that’s feeling great and playing with confidence. The Lions are stacked offensively and without doubt feature one of the top three receiving corps in the league. The Eagles were supposed to be contenders but you can throw that notion out the window because they’re not even close. They’re already under immense pressure by the fans and media and this is not the spot to be laying points with them. Hell, they’re having trouble scoring six points, let alone laying it. The Lions are pretty much free-rolling in this contest and will come in relaxed, confident, and with nothing to lose whatsoever. This has upset written all over it. Play: Detroit +6 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

St. Louis +4 over TAMPA BAY SPORTSINTERACTION

No doubt the Bucs have some appeal this week after annihilating the Saints last week. What makes that so much more interesting is the fact that the whole world was on the Saints meaning that plenty of folks not only ripped their ticket but watched it happen too. Very often that perception or vision of a specific team will carry over to the next week and that’s precisely what we have here. In other words, wagering on the Bucs in this one has danger written all over it. Remember, two weeks ago, some had the Bucs going 0-16. So, what we have here is a very average Bucs squad that caught a lethargic Saints team and ripped them apart. We also have the letdown factor after a huge win and that, too, could be a factor. What we do know is that the Rams have a prolific offense that racked up 392 yards against the 49ers but still lost. Marc Bulger has thrown for 535 yards and two TDs with no picks in two games this season. It’s also worth noting that the Rams led both their games at the half only to see turnovers do them in both games. So, give us points with the better QB and offense, throw in Tampa’s big win last week that has their stock too high and we’ll gladly accept it. Play: St. Louis +4 (No bets). (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

SAN FRANCISCO +9½ over Pittsburgh PINNACLE

We’ve always maintained that the best time to step in against a team is when they’re stock is high and after two convincing wins and barely breaking a sweat in doing so the Steelers stock is very high. Opportunity knocks. The first thing to note here is that the Steelers two convincing wins came against arguably the two worst squads in the league, Buffalo and Cleveland. The win over Buffalo was not as convincing as the score, although the stats suggest otherwise. The Steelers could not punch it in and after four FG’s they lead 12-0 at the half. They allowed the Bills to hang around and had it been any other team they might not have been so fortunate. The 49ers are also 2-0 and some will argue that they could just as easily be 0-2, which is true, they could be. However, the defense performed well against two good offenses, the Rams and Cards and the offense is only going to get better. Alex Smith is on the verge of something good and the rest of the team is right behind him. Frank Gore played with a heavy heart last week after the untimely death of his mom and he’s simply too good to be held in check for too long. Despite an offense that hasn’t gotten into gear yet the 49ers have found ways to win and that absolutely counts for something. The Steelers are untested and while we do acknowledge their strengths this is a far tougher opponent then the first two they played and 9½ big points is far too many to be spotting a quality team like the 49ers. Overlay. Play: San Francisco +9½ (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).

NY Giants +4 over WASHINGTON SPORTSINTERACTION

Once again we’re leaning to the team who’s stock is way down. The G-Men have been blown out twice, once by the Cowboys and last week in Green Bay. They’ve allowed an alarming 80 points in two games and that makes them a big target to wager against. Meanwhile, the Skins are 2-0 and the whole country watched as they disposed of the Eagles on Monday night. What we’ve learned over the years is that pride plays a big part in this league and the Giants defense is embarrassed about the outcome of two games. There is way too much pride, not to mention talent for anyone to expect them to not show up here. Eli Manning has good numbers (44-70 for 523 yards with 5 TD’s) and he has the weapons around him. The Giants will score points in this contest, count on it. Washington beat two stale offenses in the Eagles and Dolphins but the same fate does not await them here. The Skins defense has looked good but trust us, it’s not that good. This is the week that defense gets exposed. One of our favorite angles is playing against Monday night’s winner and this one definitely fits into that category. We’d still be on the Giants had Washington not played Monday but that fact just adds to the G-Mens appeal. We’re calling the Giants outright and are very tempted to play it that way. However, the four points could come into play and we’re suggesting that there’s no chance of the Giants not showing up for this one. Play: NY Giants +4 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).

Dallas +3 +1.06 over CHICAGO PINNACLE

Yeah, we know, defense wins over offense and you can double that sentiment when the game is at Soldier Field. However, after watching the Bears in the first two games of this season we were completely wrong about Rex Grossman. He’s actually worse then we thought and he’s not progressing. Aside from not having much talent, Grossman makes more bad decisions then Brittany Spears. His throws are way off, his reads are brutal and when he gets into trouble he’s a pick waiting to happen. Thus far, the Bears have one TD in eight quarters against the Chiefs and Chargers. The Bears defense is among the best but even the best wear down when the offense keeps going three and out. The Boys game plan should be simple and all they’ll need to do is avoid punting or kicking off to Devin Hester and the rest will take care of itself. Dallas has an offense that’s clicking on all cylinders and second year man Tony Romo has thrown six TD’s and just one interception. The Cowboys won’t go off like they did in the first two games but they won’t need to. To cash this ticket all we’ll need is for the Boys to hold on to the ball, score 14 to 17 points and then get in line. Frankly, the Bears have shown us nothing, as they looked pathetic against the anemic Chiefs and as it turns out their week one strong defensive performance against the Chargers is not looking as good, as the Chargers are way out of sync. Play: Dallas +3 +1.06 (Risking 2 units).

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:31 am
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DR. VEGAS

Baltimore -7.5 over Arizona

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:32 am
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Pure Lock's

Sunday
CINCINNATI @ SEATTLE 4:05 PM EST

PLAY ON: CINCINNATI (+) PTS

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:33 am
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Greg Shaker | NFL Side
triple-dime bet402 KAN -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 401 MIN
Analysis: NFL: Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs - Chiefs -2.5 -110 | Unit Value: 3 DIME "Smashmouth"
Game Date: 9/23/2007
Note: An 0-2 home team in the NFL is a dangerous animal and we have that Sunday with the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City has historically been one of the best Home NFL Teams and a good situation for them to get their first win of the season.They are 12-4 ATS last 16 at Arrowhead, and even though I am not high at all on their playoff chances, they will have the upperhand verses this NFC Team. Last week's loss at Chicago was not as bad as it looked with KC actually outgaining the Bears 281-239 on 4.7 yards per play. That certainly is not so bad verses the Bears D and the Vikings do not even come close to being as prolific. They will have Defensive End Jarod Allen back in the lineup after a 2 games suspension, and Larry Johnson should be even more sharp with 2 weeks under his belt following his preseason holdout. The Vikings QB is just not that seasoned and he is going to have problems playing this D Minded KC Team in their home stadium. The Vikes had 5 turnovers last week and perhaps we will see something similar again. This betting line is the way it is due to a couple of reasons. Certainly the Chiefs lack of success in their first 2 is one of them. They also struggled during preseason without Johnson. But, we have to remember that they have played at Houston, the surprise of the league, and at Chicago. This game is no comparison to those two. In addition with Minnesota's blowout win in week one against a nobody, we have recieved even more value. Considering the Chiefs current situation, their beefed up Defense with Allen back, the Young Minnesota QB traveling to a very tough NFL Venue, and the need to grab a win, this one looks very, very good to me. This line will rise, so get it now...

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:33 am
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Jeff Bonds | NFL Side Single-Dime Bet
405 BUF 17.0 (-110) Bodog vs 406 NEP
Analysis: The New England Patriots have come off two dominating performances against the Jets and Chargers and now welcome in the Buffalo Bills.

Easy cover for the Patriots right??? Wrong. The Bills

Buffalo has covered the last two games as a double- dog against New England and the Patriots will waltz through this contest with a Monday Night game on the horizon.

The road team has also covered four of the last five meetings and Buffalo head coach Dick Jauron excels in this situation as an underdog.

Sun, 09/23/07 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Side Single-Dime Bet
400 GBP 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 399 SDC
Analysis: Tough spot for the Chargers, after losing their #1 game of the year last week versus New England on Sunday night football....Now they HAVE TO TRAVEL back toward the Eastern Time Zone for the second straight week, against a Green Bay team that has a TON of confidence.

San Diego head coach Norv Turner is on the HOT SEAT already this season and IF the Chargers get out of this game with a win - it will be less than a touchdown.

Sun, 09/23/07 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Total Single-Dime Bet
400 GBP / 399 SDC Over 43.0 Bodog
Analysis: The Green Bay Packers get after the quarterback with their pass rush, BUT this isn't the best way to attack a sleeping giant in Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson. The Chargers excel against teams that can't stop the run and this is the perfect spot for them to get the league MVP going.

Green Bay's quarterback Brett Favre will get the ball in the air enough times to cause this game to sail over the total.

Sun, 09/23/07 - 8:15 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
426 CHI -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 425 DAL
Analysis: Terrible spot for the Cowboys for MANY REASONS - with the first one being quarterback Tony Romo. The Bears defense will get after him this week - especially considering the Cowboys lack a true running game so far this season. Plus - the Bears have the right secondary to contain Terrell Owens and the wideouts.

Dallas is also playing their second of back-to-back road games and may come in a bit OVER CONFIDENT after beating two bad football teams in the New York Giants and Miami Dolphins.

The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings against each other.

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:33 am
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Jeff Bonds | NFL Side Single-Dime Bet
405 BUF 17.0 (-110) Bodog vs 406 NEP
Analysis: The New England Patriots have come off two dominating performances against the Jets and Chargers and now welcome in the Buffalo Bills.

Easy cover for the Patriots right??? Wrong. The Bills

Buffalo has covered the last two games as a double- dog against New England and the Patriots will waltz through this contest with a Monday Night game on the horizon.

The road team has also covered four of the last five meetings and Buffalo head coach Dick Jauron excels in this situation as an underdog.

Sun, 09/23/07 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Side Single-Dime Bet
400 GBP 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 399 SDC
Analysis: Tough spot for the Chargers, after losing their #1 game of the year last week versus New England on Sunday night football....Now they HAVE TO TRAVEL back toward the Eastern Time Zone for the second straight week, against a Green Bay team that has a TON of confidence.

San Diego head coach Norv Turner is on the HOT SEAT already this season and IF the Chargers get out of this game with a win - it will be less than a touchdown.

Sun, 09/23/07 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Total Single-Dime Bet
400 GBP / 399 SDC Over 43.0 Bodog
Analysis: The Green Bay Packers get after the quarterback with their pass rush, BUT this isn't the best way to attack a sleeping giant in Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson. The Chargers excel against teams that can't stop the run and this is the perfect spot for them to get the league MVP going.

Green Bay's quarterback Brett Favre will get the ball in the air enough times to cause this game to sail over the total.

Sun, 09/23/07 - 8:15 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
426 CHI -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 425 DAL
Analysis: Terrible spot for the Cowboys for MANY REASONS - with the first one being quarterback Tony Romo. The Bears defense will get after him this week - especially considering the Cowboys lack a true running game so far this season. Plus - the Bears have the right secondary to contain Terrell Owens and the wideouts.

Dallas is also playing their second of back-to-back road games and may come in a bit OVER CONFIDENT after beating two bad football teams in the New York Giants and Miami Dolphins.

The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings against each other.

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 8:34 am
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Chuck Franklin

2500♦ CHICAGO BEARS
Back by 10am Eastern with analysis

1500♦ JACKSONVILLE
The Jags did not cover the spread in each of its first two home games. Now with Jacksonville on the road, I'll take the points and expect to cash this ticket. Game three road teams are 44-15-2 ATS if they were 0-2 ATS to start the season. (This also applies to the NY Giants.) If the 0-2 ATS road team is playing a non-division game this becomes a 31-10-1 ATS angle. The Jaguars are on a 19-8 ATS run as an underdog and 15-3 ATS when a dog against a non-division opponent. Take the points!

1500♦ NY GIANTS
It's a "do or die" type of game for the Giants. Playing at Washington works in their favor, as the Redskins are only 10-23 ATS when listed as a home favorite against a divisional opponent. New York is a solid 32-19-3 ATS the last 54 games against the Redskins, including 17-9-1 ATS when playing in Washington. Take the points in this one, but don't be surprised when the underachieving Giants get their first win against an overrated Redskins group.

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 10:01 am
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Randal the Handle

Arizona @ Baltimore
Ravens head coach Brian Billick’s clock management skills should be restricted to setting his alarm. Billick has ordained himself to be some sort of offensive guru but players have quietly expressed their displeasure with both his play calling and use of the clock. This Baltimore team’s trademark is still defence, which makes spotting this large number a rather tall order. Arizona’s new head man Ken Whisenhunt is quite familiar with this foe from his days in Pittsburgh and his Cardinals are an up and comer that are playing with more discipline than in past seasons. Cards compete here.

TAKING: Arizona +8

RISKING: 2.2 units to win 2 SPORTSINTERACTION

Indianapolis @ Houston
While the loss of Texans WR Andre Johnson is significant, we still believe there is great value with the home team here. In their three losses to AFC South opponents last season, the Colts allowed 375 yards rushing to Jacksonville, 219 to Tennessee and 191 to these Texans. Despite all of its success a year ago, Indianapolis is not quite the same when traveling, having gone 4-4 last year while being outscored on the road by a 212-190 count. Houston is off to its best start ever and will be well supported by a frenzied crowd.

TAKING: Houston +6

RISKING: 1.6 to win 1.5 PINNACLE

Cleveland @ Oakland
Lost in the astonishment of the Browns putting up 51 points last week is the fact that they’ve relinquished 79 points, 10 passing touchdowns and 896 total yards in just two games this season. Alarmingly, both of those contests took place at Browns Stadium. Cleveland must now travel to the west coast to face a Raiders team that is not quite the Steelers or Bengals but a team that is seeing some improvement on the offensive side of things. On their way back to respectability, Oakland must defeat visitors such as this one and we believe they are ready to take that step.

TAKING: Oakland –3

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 10:02 am
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HSW Early Telephone Service

5* Seattle

3 Team Parlay
Seattle, Kansas City, Atlanta

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 10:02 am
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Kelso 100 units Denver

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 10:03 am
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Lenny Stevens
20 Jax
20 GOM Phi Over
10 Pitt
10 Mia
10 Oak

4-1 yesterday

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 10:03 am
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Psychic Sports

9/23

NFL

1 unit Ny Jets -3
2 units San Diego -6
2 units Det/Phi over 44
3 units Carolina -4
3 units Washington -3.5
3 units Seattle -3
3 units Chicago -3
5 units Kansas City -3
Wiseguy

 
Posted : September 23, 2007 10:03 am
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