CTO Sunday
11* Green Bay
10 * St. Louis
Baskets
11* V. Tech
SUNDAY'S PICKS
50 DIME PLAY
PHILADELPHIA
50 DIME 3-TEAM TEASER
JACKSONVILLE
INDIANAPOLIS
NEW ENGLAND
Reduce the points you are laying with Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and New England.
Note from buttin:
These are two SEPARATE 50 Dime selections.
Let's address the play on PHILADELPHIA first:
Guys, since we're up 772 dimes with these releases I want you to spend a little extra coin and buy down the 1/2 point in the following scenarios: This line has been a solid 3 all week long. So if you've got Philadelphia at -3 I want you to buy them down to -2 1/2 so you still win if they prevail by a field goal. And if you get stuck with Philadelphia at -3 1/2, buy down to -3 so you get a push with a field goal.
Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our profit of 772 dimes - against the bookmaker in this case.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
Next, let's address the THREE-TEAM TEASER on Jacksonville, Indianapolis, and New England:
Using the traditional 10 points you get in a three-team teaser, this Laughlin, Nevada-based group wants you to reduce the points you are laying with Jacksonville at home versus Carolina, reduce the points you are laying with Indianapolis at Baltimore, and reduce the number of points you are laying with New England at home versus Pittsburgh.
BIG AL's NFL MONSTER BLOWOUT WINNER.
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bengals minus the points over St. Louis. The Rams season has been a nightmare due to injuries. Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson, and a host of offensive linemen have all missed significant time this year. Now, on Sunday, it looks like St. Louis will not only be without Bulger (concussion), but also its #2 quarterback, Gus Frerotte. So, Scott Linehan will be forced to play the Rams' 3rd-stringer, Brock Berlin. That just won't cut it against an offensive-minded Bengals squad that should put up a lot of points. Berlin has never attempted a pass in a regular-season game, and behind a makeshift offensive line, he will be in a lot of trouble vs. a Bengals defense that has forced 13 turnovers in its last five games. The Rams like to blitz a lot, but Carson Palmer is good at getting his passes away, so Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh could have big days. Look for a breakout offensive performance by the Bengals on Sunday. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
BIG AL's 81-38 ATS NFL DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH -- Sunday
At 1 pm, our AFC East Game of the Month is on the Miami Dolphins plus the points over Buffalo. Miami's winless on the year, but fall into an 81-38 ATS system of mine that plays on certain winless teams at Game 5 of the season or later vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .250. These two teams met earlier this year, and Buffalo eked out a 3-point win, 13-10. Miami is 11-6 ATS vs. the Bills since 1980 off a SU/ATS loss, including 6-1 ATS with revenge. The weather is expected to be miserable, with a temperature around 32 degrees, and possible freezing rain. That will especially hamper offenses, and getting this large of an underdog is a solid play under these circumstances. Miami's defense is better than Buffalo's, to the extent the Bills' defense doesn't get much pressure on the QB (the Bills have managed just 5 sacks and 2 interceptions over the last 5 games). And Buffy allows a league-worst 49 percent conversion rate on third down. Miami's defense is a lot more active, with 11 sacks, 2 interceptions, a fumble recovery and a TD in just its last 2 games, so look for Trent Edwards to be in trouble somewhat in these poor weather conditions, and to be pressured into some bad decisions. Take the points with the Dolphins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Jimmy The Moose
Game: Cleveland Browns at New York Jets Dec 9 2007 4:15PM
Prediction: Cleveland Browns
Reason: The Browns are 7-5 SU and 9-3 at the window this season. On the road they are averaging 25 PPG, 9 more than the Jets average at home. The Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. On the year they are 4-2 ATS on the road. In their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record the Browns are 2-9 ATS. The Jets are 2-3-1 ATS at home this season. New York is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Browns are 2-1 SU ans ATS in the last 3 meetings. New York won't be able to keep up with the Browns offensively. Play on the Browns -.
Tom Freese
Game: Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers Dec 9 2007 4:05PM
Prediction: San Francisco 49ers
Reason: Minnesota is 0-6 ATS their last 6 games as road favorites of 4 or more points and they are 3-11 ATS off a win by 14 or more points. The Vikings are 2-8 ATS after scoring 30 or ore points in their last game. San Francisco is 5-2-1 ATS in Week 14. The home team in this series is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Play On SAN FRANCISCO +
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Robert Ross
Game: Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers Dec 9 2007 1:00PM
Prediction: Green Bay Packers
Reason: Possibility of bad weather won't help the Oakland cause. It is 1-10 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons. It has won its last two over a six-game losing streak but those were against sub-.500 division rivals Denver and Kansas City. Green Bay looking to bounce back off a Thursday loss at Dallas that snapped a six-game winning streak so has extra time to prepare for this one. Home favorites of 3.5-10 points which have won four of their last five games are 37-11 ATS when playing teams that have lost four or five of their previous six games.
BEN POWERS NFL DOG PLAYS
dolphins +7
giants +3
rams+ 10'
texans + 3
niners +9'
ravens +9'
System Sports Guaranteed Selections
From Mike Neri's site 17-4 in the NFL TY
Date: Sunday, December 09, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are now on a 209-84 guaranteed winning run including 18-5 in College Football and 17-4 in the NFL this year! Today is a HUGE DAY as we are releasing a 22-0 ATS NFC SYSTEM PLAY OF THE YEAR! You can get this ONCE A YEAR WINNER for just $35 and you will pay only after you win! This is by far our STRONGEST SYSTEM in our library so make sure you join us for this HUGE WINNER IN THE NFL today! 12/8/2007
124 San Francisco +9 4:05 EST
In games 2-14, play on a non Monday Night home dog of 7 points or more with an OVER & UNDER line greater than 35 if they are off a STRAIGHT UP and suffered a 3+ turnover margin. Th 49'ers cover or you do not pay!
Sports Gambling Hotline
Minnesota (-8') at SAN FRANCISCO
We are having a hard time finding a reason to go with the San Francisco 49ers these days, and we are also having a hard time finding a reason to go against the Minnesota Vikings these days.
That being the case, we suggest laying the chalk on the road this afternoon in the Bay Area. Minnesota did lose at San Francisco 9-3 last season, but a lot has changed since then. The Vikes are actually in the playoff picture in the NFC, and have won and covered 3 in a row, and 4 of their last 5.
Last week they welcomed rookie sensation Adrian Peterson back on the field, as Minny trounced Detroit 42-10. Right now the Vikings are getting solid quarterbacking from 2nd year man Tarvaris Jackson, and excellent play from the special teams, and emerging WR Sidney Rice.
Can't see the Niners doing much damage with Trent Dilfer at the helm, as Dilfer was picked off 4 times last week at Carolina, and sacked 6 times to boot.
The Vikings are hungry for a wild card spot, and this road game while tricky, will pose no stumbling block.
Take Minnesota minus the points.
MINNESOTA
Tony Mathew's Free NFL Selection for Decmeber 9, 2007.
Matchup: Carolina Panthers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Selection: Carolina Panthers +11 (-110)
Explanation: We will side with the Carolina Panthers +11 as they face-off against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Sunday's NFL contest.
While the Panthers haven't done well this season it would be erroneous (particularly in the month of December) to dismiss their role as a big road underdog. Historically when Carolina has been a road underdog for December they have covered 13 out of 15 times. This season on the road, the Panthers have won 4 games against St. Louis, Arizona, New Orleans, and Atlanta.
Conversely, the Jaguars are horrible when playing as a favorite. When laying at least ten points, Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS. Additionally, the Jaguars are coming off a close game against the Indianapolis Colts and are slated for another big game versus the Steelers which makes for little ambition in regard to the Panthers.
Last week the Panthers played really great against the 49ers. Even though it was only San Francisco, it served to provide a big confidence boost for Carolina and faith in their game with Vinny Testaverde as QB.
Even though Testaverde is 44, the team is more responsive to him than the disliked David Carr, and despite his age, still has a strong arm. With Testaverde under center, wide receiver Steve Smith will be an integral component. Making things even smoother for the Panthers is the absence of 2 of the Jaguars key defensive players; pass rusher Reggie Hayward and MLB Mike Peterson.
Take the Carolina Panthers +11!
Bryan Leonard's Free Selection: Browns
The Jets like to run the football to keep the pressure off young QB Kellen Clemens (4 TDs, 7 INTs), though their offensive line isn't very good. A problem here is that their defense is terrible (25th) and they face a quick-strike Browns' offense that is ranked sixth in the NFL. The Browns are motivated, battling for a Wild Card slot, and could easily jump out to an early lead in this game. That will force the Jets to throw more, which is not their game. The Browns are 4-2 ATS on the road while the Jets (3-9 SU/4-7-1 ATS) are going nowhere. PLAY THE BROWNS
Seabass
300* Indy (-9)
100* Phila - 3
20* Tenn + 1
50* Minn Sf Under 40
20* Oak Gb Under 40
greg shaker ( total of year)
Analysis:
NFL: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks - Over 44 -110 | Unit Value: 3 DIME "Total of the Year"
Game Date: 12/9/2007
Note: We can look at this game in a lot of ways, but the only way we can look at the total is that it is going OVER in a big way. The Seahawks have their full class of players back for this contest and they have been scoring at will even when they did not. That changed when Alexander went down and the Head Coach, who we all love and adore, decided it was time to stop being conservative and start thowing the ball. They have scored at least 24 points in their 6 games and they have done that playing much better D's than they will face Sunday. This team has a lot of weapons and they are finally realizing that again. Hasselbeck has been the best QB in the league during this timeframe, and with AZ's best pass rusher out, and with injuries in the AZ secondary, the home boys might get this number all by themselves. The Cardinals will score some points as well though, despite their injuries on offense. They have averaged over 30 per contest their last 4 times on the field. Unfortunate for them, they have allowed close to that number too. We have a poor D coming to Seattle. We have one of the most potent offenses in Seattle. We also have a quick strike offense in Seattle and one that is going to utilize the pass to get those points. That is going to make for a long clock. That is going to give AZ the time needed to get some points of their own. That is going to give us the OVER.
ron raymond (5* underdog game of the month)
San Francisco 49ers
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stan sharp triple- dime
Stan Sharp | NFL Total
triple-dime bet
Analysis: Today all 3 of Stan's Top NFL Total Bettors and Stan all agree that PITTSBURGH/NEW ENGLAND will GO OVER. Fact is Pittsburgh hasn't faced an offensive as good as New England's all year. Yes Pittsburgh has the NFL's #1 Ranked defense but folks look at their schedule of who they have played. Also consider that 2 of they games were played in monsoon like conditions which make the defensive numbers look better than they are. Moss will hurt the Steelers today. When Pittsburgh has the ball look for them to score as well as New England's defense has been banged up and it's started to show as they are giving up points the last 2 weeks. TAKE PITTSBURGH/ NEW ENGLAND OVER as STAN'S AFC INSIDER TOTAL BIG BET OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY