LT PROFITS
Buffalo Bills @ Pittsburgh Steelers o37.5 (-110)
Sun Sep 16 '07 1:00p
Buffalo Bills, Pitt Steelers Over 37.5
While we understand why the total in this game between the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers is rather low, we feel that the Steelers may put up around 28 points themselves here.
The Bills gave it their all in a tough 15-14 home loss to Denver on opening week, but truth be told, they actually allowed the Broncos to march up and down the field. Buffalo allowed 470 total yards in that contest, and they were equally bad against the run (5.3 yards per rush) and the pass (7.7 yards per attempt).
That is bad news against a Steelers offense that looked crisp with a healthy Roethlisberger last week, as Pittsburgh piled up 365 yards vs. the Cleveland Browns in a 34-7 rout. We would not be surprised if the Steelers actually topped that already impressive yardage total here, and they should be able to score with relative ease.
All that said, we are not fond with the idea of laying close to double digits in the NFL. However, if the Steelers are as effective as we expect offensively, the Bills may only need to score 10 points or mort to push this game Over, which is certainly attainable.
Steelers Over 37.5
Tennessee Titans +7.0 (-110)
Sun Sep 16 '07 1:00p
Tennessee Titans +7 vs. Colts
The Indianapolis Colts exploded in the second half of their season opener vs. New Orleans, but we feel they will have their hands full as road favorites vs. the young Tennessee Titans here.
The Titans went into Jacksonville and upset the Jaguars in Week 1, amassing an amazing 282 yards on the ground! They will no doubt employ that same strategy here in an attempt to keep Peyton Manning and Co. off the field for as long as possible. Remember also that the Titans nearly beat the Colts twice last year, losing just 14-13 at Indianapolis after leading 13-0 before pulling off the 20-17 upset in this stadium.
Now the Colts allowed over 100 yards rushing in every single regular season game last season, but they looked better in the 2007 opener, although they still extended that streak by allowing the Saints 106 rushing yards. This assignment is tougher though, as not only do they have to content with running back Chris Brown, but they also must chase one of the most mobile quarterbacks in football in Vince Young.
We expect this matchup to be a carbon copy of the two meetings last season, with the Titans controlling the clock with their ground game, and with the winner on the field not determined until the very late stages.
Titans +7
Pure Lock NFL
Baltimore (confirmed)
Ats Lock Club
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4 units on the NY Yankees (pk) over the Boston Red Sox, 8:00
3 units on the Chicago Cubs (-120) over the St Louis Cardinals, 2:00
northcoast power sweep plays for sunday
4* carolina
3* detroit
2* chicago
2* oakland
Burns Non-Conf GOY - Miami +3
Burns Shocker of the Year - Cleveland +6
Burns Total of Month - Pats/SD Under 44
3 Game Total Package:
Oak/Denv Under 37
Det/Minn Under 41
StL/SF Under 43
Psychic Sports Picks
Members Area
NFL
2 units Miami +3.5
2 units San Francisco +3
2 units Tampa Bay +3.5
3 units Minnesota +3
3 units Houston +6.5
3 units San Diego +3.5
3 units Min/Det over 42
4 units Indi/Ten under 45.5
MAJOR
MLB
4 units Ny Mets -165
MAJOR
Brandon Lovell
Sunday, September 16, 2007
Sport: NFL
Game: Sf - STL
5* Stl -3
THE MOOSE'S NFL "GAME OF THE WEEK"
Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose
Game: New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sep 16 2007 1:00PM
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Reason: The Saints offense is too good to repeat their week 1 performance. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played in week 2. In their last 8 games as a road favorite the Saints are 6-2 ATS. New Orleans has is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games overall. TB is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a dog. In their last 5 games played in September the Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS. The Bucs are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games. In their last 9 games vs. NFC opponents TB is 1-7-1 ATS. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 visits to Tampa. Expect a big game from the Saints and their first win of the season. Play on the Saints -.
Pure Lock - Baltimore
Cappersaccess
(Sun) NFL Saints Buccaneers 3 Buccaneers
(Sun) NFL Bengals Browns 7 Browns
(Sun) NFL Cowboys Dolphins 3- Dolphins
(Sun-Night) NFL Patriots Chargers 3 Check Back
Michael Cannon
Money Train...........
Sunday's Early NFL Action...
30 Dime –
BENGALS ( Buy the ½ point if your line is -7 ½ )
Lay the points with the Bengals today on the road against the Browns.
Cincinnati has dominated this series recently, winning five straight (4-1 ATS) and six of the last eight meetings.
Cleveland looked terrible in last week’s loss to Pittsburgh, and although I doubt they’ll be as bad this week they still don’t have the firepower to stay within a touchdown of the Bengals today.
Cincinnati quarterback Carson Palmer didn’t look like he was on in last Monday’s win over the Ravens, but he still managed to complete 20-of-32 passes for 194 yards and two touchdowns. He did, however, look like he was completely back from his knee injury suffered in January 2006, so I expect him to pick it up even more this week against the Browns.
With Cleveland’s quarterback situation in disarray right now, Cincinnati should be able to come up with some turnovers which could put this game out of reach in a hurry.
The Bengals won and covered both games against the Browns last year by a combined score of 64-17. Coach Marvin Lewis has Cincinnati on a 15-4-1 ATS run in its last 20 road games.
The Browns are just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games against AFC North opponents and 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 as a home dog.
Lay the points with Cincinnati and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -7 ½.
5 Dime –
STEELERS
Lay the points with the Steelers today at home over the Bills.
Buffalo limps into this game with several key defensive players out due to injuries. They lost linebackers Keith Ellison and Coy Wire, safety Ko Simpson and cornerback Jason Webster in last week’s loss to the Broncos.
That is going to put them at a severe disadvantage against the Steelers today.
Pittsburgh’s new offensive coordinator Bruce Ariens promised to open things up this year and it showed in last week’s win over the Browns. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger threw for four TDs and he may very well duplicate that effort today.
That’s because the Bills were gouged for 171 yards on the ground last week against Denver and the Steelers will try to do the same thing with Willie Parker.
If Buffalo decides to stack it in to stop the run, that’s going to leave Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes one-on-one and Big Ben could have a field day going deep against a depleted Buffalo secondary.
Of course, if Buffalo decides to play it aggressive against the pass by rushing upfield, that will leave gaping holes for Parker to run through and he’s a threat to take it the distance against such a strategy.
On defense, the Steelers picked up in Game One where they left off in the preseason, namely pressuring the quarterback and forcing turnovers.
Since J.P. Losman still hasn’t figured out this whole NFL quarterback thing yet, look for him to make some mistakes against the Steelers pressure. The Steelers are one of the best teams in the league at stopping the run which forces teams to turn one-dimensional against them. When that happens, they can make life miserable for opposing QB’s.
This is a big number for the Steelers to cover, but considering the injuries to Buffalo’s defense they should be able to dictate the tempo of the game.
Lay the points as the Steelers grab the home win and cover.
VIKINGS
Take the points with the Vikings today on the road over the Lions.
The linemaker must have bought into Jon Kitna’s prediction of a 10-win season for Detroit, otherwise history would indicate this line would be reversed, even with the Lions playing at home.
That’s because Minnesota has absolutely owned Detroit, having won 10 straight meetings over the last five years. Minnesota is also 4-0 ATS in the last four.
The Vikings already know the Lions will be throwing all game, due to the fact that Kevin Jones is still recovering from a foot injury sustained last year. It probably wouldn’t matter much if Jones were healthy for this contest because the Vikes own one of the best run defenses in the league.
Kitna still has a tendency to turn the ball over and struggles inside the red zone, so Minnesota should be able to keep their offense in check today.
On offense, the Vikings have a stud in rookie running back Adrian Peterson, who ran for 103 yards in his NFL debut and added 60 yards receiving.
Detroit has one of the worst defenses in the league, so Minnesota should be able to dictate the pace of this game, relying on Peterson running behind a physical offensive line and quarterback Tarvaris Jackson hitting plays downfield with play action.
The Vikings are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against NFC North opponents and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 within the NFC.
Detroit is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 against NFC foes.
Take the points with Minnesota and don’t be shocked if they stretch their winning streak to 11 games against Detroit today.
Sunday's Late NFL Action...
10 Dime –
CHARGERS
Take the points with the Chargers tonight on the road over the Patriots.
New England has had plenty of distractions this week with the controversy surrounding coach Bill Belichick and the “Spygate” incident against the Jets in Week 1.
Don’t be surprised if they are a little sluggish against a San Diego team hellbent on exacting revenge for last season’s playoff loss.
The Patriots are shorthanded on defense with Rodney Harrison out with a suspension and Richard Seymour injured. They are two of the Pats’ best defensive players and it’s going to be difficult for them to stop LaDainian Tomlinson and company.
The Chargers are 12-1-2 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog and 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 as a road dog. Their only three losses last year (including playoffs) were by three points each.
New England went 2-5-1 ATS last season at home.
Take the points with the Chargers as they get their revenge for last season’s playoff loss to the Patriots.
Bookie Crusher
BILLIONAIRE CLUB
Cleveland Browns +7
Dallas Cowboys -3.5
MILLIONAIRES LOUNGE
KC Chiefs +12
STL Rams -3
ATL Falcons +10
TRUST FUND BABIES
Jets +9.5
NYG -1
COLTS -7
Hank Goldberg
San Diego
Cincinnati
New Orleans
SFran
Seattle
the wunderdog
Game: San Diego at New England (Sunday 9/16 8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Diego +3.5
Can you say REVENGE? The Chargers are a hungry team that still thinks they belonged in the SuperBowl last year. But the Pats had something to say about that, erasing a 21-13 fourth quarter Chargers lead in last year's playoffs to send the Chargers packing. After New England upset San Diego, ending their 14-2 season, Patroits players danced on the logo at midfield after the game. The normally stoic and controlled LaDanian Tomlinson was incensed and refused to shake hands with Pats players after the game. He called the Pats "disrespectful" and said that "it showed no class at all and maybe that comes from their coach." Ouch. This will be a fired up Chargers team, putting forth it's best effort in this one. And this team's best effort is something you don't want to face. The one thing the Pats won't have here, given the early scheduled date, is their ice cold New England weather as their 12th man. It will be great football weather with game-time temperatures in the high 50s to low 60s. The Pats have this mystique of being a very dominant team at home. That is because they have dominated at home in the playoffs. The assumption by many however is that they are always a great play at home. It is actually quite the contrary! They are just 6-10 ATS during the regular season at home over the last two years! San Diego is the more talented team overall and they have a key motivational edge at work here. They no longer have Schottenheimer at the helm, who was known for somehow turning wins into losses. Instead they have Norv Turner who, despite a weak overall head coaching record, is 15-3 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 points. We think the motivational edge (San Diego up and New England possibly down after the embarrassing cheating revelations this week) plus 3.5 points makes the Chargers a great play. While our comptuter matchup of this ga me has the Pats winning a close one, we think the Chargers have a shot at winning the game outright. At a minimum, we like them to keep it within a field goal.
Pointwise Late Service
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3 Chicago
3 San Francisco
2 Buffalo
2 Dallas
2 Philadelphia