Al
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10* Goy - Rams
3* - Dallas - Miami - Oakland
NCSports:.Power Sweep
4*....Cincy
3*....Lions
2*....EAGLES
2*...Pro Stat.and Pro Angle 4....New England
System Selection.....Dallas
Totals:
POW Ari/Was....Under
3*....T.Bay/Det....Over
2*'s;...Bal/Buff...Under...K.C./Oak....Under....Chi/Phi....Over
Projected Score Leans;....NYG....KC....Sea
Matt Fargo
NFC Game of the Month
Dallas -9.5
Ron Jaworski
Jaws' Week 7 Picks:
Washington 20 Arizona 10
New Orleans 28 Atlanta 17
Baltimore 17 Buffalo 14
Dallas 24 Minnesota 14
New England 31 Miami 14
NY Giants 24 San Francisco 17
Tampa Bay 20 Detroit 17
Houston 21 Tennessee 20
Kansas City 24 Oakland 21
Cincinatti 30 NY Jets 20
Philadelphia 38 Chicago 24
Seatlle 27 St. Louis 21
Pittsburgh 27 Denver 24
Jaws went 10 - 3 in week 6 making him 60 - 29 for the season
DCI
NFL
Baltimore vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CINCINNATI 32, N.Y. Jets 26
DALLAS 33, Minnesota 21
Kansas City 22, OAKLAND 18
N.Y. GIANTS 27, San Francisco 13
New England 47, MIAMI 17
NEW ORLEANS 21, Atlanta 16
PHILADELPHIA 23, Chicago 17
Pittsburgh 27, DENVER 12
SEATTLE 22, St. Louis 12
Tampa Bay 27, DETROIT 19
Tennessee 22, HOUSTON 15
WASHINGTON 20, Arizona 16
MONDAY
Indianapolis 22, JACKSONVILLE 19
Norm Hitzges
Double Plays
Washington/Arizona Under 36
New Orleans -8 vs Atlanta
Dallas -10 vs Minnesota
Jacksonville +3 vs Indy
Single Plays
Washington -8.5 vs Arizona
Cincinnati -6 vs NY Jets
KC +2 vs Oakland
San Francisco +10 vs NY Giants
Baltimore/Buffalo Under 34.5
New England/Miami over 52
EZ winners
Sunday's NFL 10/21 - 5 STAR
Guys,
This is my top play for Sunday.....
5 STAR: (410) BUFFALO (+3) over Baltimore
(Risking $550 to win $500)
Line from BetJamacia
The Ravens have to be the worst 4-2 team that I can remember in recent history and their 1-5 record against the spread helps to support that statement. They have played the easiest schedule in the league so far this year and the best team they have played this season is Cleveland, a game in which they lost. Their offense is horrible. They have a make shift offensive line and neither of their quarterbacks are accurate passers. They lead the league in field goals, but struggle to punch it in for touchdowns and on the road the Ravens have only scored two offensive touchdowns and have turned ball over eight times so far this season. Their defense is also over-rated and is not as dominating as they have been in the past. They have feasted on teams that have been forced to play backup quarterbacks the past two weeks in San Francisco and St. Louis, but don't forget the 27 points that the Browns and Derrick Anderson were able to put on them. Buffalo is ranked near the bottom of the league in most offensive and defensive catagories, but I like the way they have been playing with Trent Edwards at quarterback and they are always tough in the role of a home underdog where they are 5-0 against the spread in their last five chances. The Bills have had two weeks to rest and get over the last second loss to the Cowboys on Monday night, while this is the Ravens’ third road game in four weeks. There will also be a little extra motivation for the Bills’ defense that will be fired up to stop former teammate Willis McGahee, who trashed the team and the city after he left for Baltimore. As a road favorite, the Ravens are 0-7 against the spread the last three years. Take the points!
Rocketman Sports TOP RATED 5* NFL play Sunday! 9-2 82% last 2 years!
Former NFL Hilton SuperContest runner up Rocketman Sports has a TOP RATED 5* NFL play, two TOP 4* NFL plays and a 3* NFL play for Sunday guaranteed to win or you don't pay! Rocketman is now 45-22 67% last 67 NFL plays overall. Rocketman is now 9-2 82% with his TOP RATED 5* NFL plays past 2 years combined.
We finished last years NFL season 38-12 last 17 weeks including 19-4 last 23 plays last season. 45-22 67% last 67 NFL plays overall!
Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units!
Pittsburgh @ Denver 8:15 PM EST
Play On: (#430) 5* Denver +3 1/2
Denver is 12-1 SU and 11-1 ATS since 1992 when playing with two weeks or more rest. Denver is 16-4 SU and 15-4 ATS since 1992 after a bye week. Denver is 12-2 ATS vs opponent off a straight up and ATS win with rest. Denver is 10-2 ATS off a double digit ATS loss vs opponent off a double digit SU win. Denver is 13-5 ATS off a straight up loss vs division opponent. Shanahan is 15-4 ATS with rest including 12-1 ATS vs non division opponents. We'll play Denver for 5 units tonight!
New England @ Miami 1:00 PM EST
Play On: (#414) 4* Miami +17
Miami is 11-4 SU at home vs New England since 1992. Home team is 12-3 ATS last 15 meetings. New England is 2-7 ATS at Miami last 9 meetings. Miami is 9-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or more points. Miami is 8-2 ATS as home dogs off back to back SU losses. New England is 1-7 ATS vs division opponent off back to back SU losses in October. New England is 1-6 ATS off a SU and ATS win vs opponent off a Double digit straight up loss in October. We'll play Miami for 4 units today!
NY Jets @ Cincinnati 4:05 PM EST
Play On: (#423) 4* NY Jets +7
Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS last 3 years in October. Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS last 3 years in a home game where the total is between 45 1/2 and 49 points. Cincinnati defense is allowing 31.2 points per game overall this year and 27 points per game at home this season. NY Jets are 5-0 SU overall vs Cincinnati since 1992. NY Jets are 11-4 ATS last 15 against a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is 5-12 ATS last 17 home games. Eric Mangini is 5-0 ATS off a straight up loss. Mangini is 5-1 ATS vs < .500 opponent off a SU and ATS loss. Mangini is 5-1 ATS off a SU loss. Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS vs AFC East. Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS as non division favorites in October. Cincinnati is 2-8 ATS as home favorites in October. Marvin Lewis is 1-5 ATS at home off back to back SU losses. We'll play NY Jets for 4 units today!
Atlanta @ New Orleans 1:00 PM EST
Play On: (# 407) 3* Atlanta +9 1/2
New Orleans is 1-6 ATS last 3 years as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points. New Orleans is 3-10 ATS last 3 years as a favorite. New Orleans is scoring only 15.8 points per game overall this year and 13.5 points per game at home this season. New Orleans is allowing 27.2 points per game overall this year. New Orleans is 1-7 ATS last 8 games overall. Atlanta is 7-1 ATS with revenge vs opponent off a straight up win. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS as division road dogs of 7 or more points. Atlanta is 7-2 ATS as dogs off a straight up loss. New Orleans is 2-18 ATS as Home favorites vs Atlanta. New Orleans is 2-17 ATS as division home favorites of more than 5 points. New Orleans is 1-10 ATS at home vs .500 < opponent if over/under is 42 or more points. New Orleans is 0-8 ATS as home favorites vs opponent off a straight up and ATS loss in October. New Orleans is 1-9 ATS at home vs < .500 division opponent in October. New Orleans is 1-6 ATS off non division SU dog win in October. Sean Payton is 1-5 ATS vs opponent off back to back SU losses. Sean Payton is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite. We'll play Atlanta for 3 units today!
Thanks and good luck, Rocky
CappersAccess Picks
(Sun) NFL Saints Falcons +8- Falcons
(Sun) NFL Ravens Bills +3- Bills
(Sun) NFL Raiders Chiefs +3- Raiders
(Sun) NFL Steelers Broncos +3 1/2 - Broncos
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, October 21, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: WE HAVE NEVER IN ALL OUR YEARS OF HANDICAPPING SEEN A STRONGER NFL SELECTION! Today you can get our PERFECT 500* NFC GAME OF THE YEAR for just $35 and as always you are a winner or your not charged! ALL FIVE of our football handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our play a 90% chance of covering for us! THIS PLAY WILL WIN AND WIN VERY BIG!!! 9-1 GUARANTEED 10/20/2007
PERFECT 500* NFC GAME OF THE YEAR
407 Atlanta +9 1:00 EST
Dr. CHAD
5 units on TAMPA, San Fransisco, and Philadelphia. 3 units on NEW ENGLAND and Baltimore UNDER.
Dr. CHAD. BAD SATURDAY. His Sunday plays are 5 units on TAMPA, San Fransisco, and Philadelphia. 3 units on NEW ENGLAND and Baltimore UNDER.
Brandon Lang
SUNDAY
IMPORTANT NOTE
I made a MAJOR mistake when entering my selections today.
When I originally posted my plays, I had as my second 20 Dime teaser the following:
Bengals - Reduce the price of the favorite
Eagles - Reduce the price of the favorite
Now, that is what I wanted you to play.
But, when I returned and later put in my analysis, for some stupid, stupid reason, I told you to use the 6 points and reduce the total of the Cincy-Jets game and then play the over. Truth be told, that was going to be the original part of the teaser but more I thought about the game, I just thought there was no way that Cincy loses at home to a Jets team that has no pass defense and that Carson Palmer just shreds a NY defense that has six sacks the entire season.
My problem is that some of you returned to the site and saw two different teasers. Being stupid and making a careless mistake is one thing but I cannot foresake my integrity.
If you're reading this for the FIRST time, I want you to play the teaser as follows:
Bengals - Reduce the price of the favorite
Eagles - Reduce the price of the favorite
But, understand this - to maintain my integrity, and since some customers so both the correct and incorrect versions, I'm going to force myself to win both the right and wrong teasers in order to collect the 20 dimes of profit. Anything less and I'm taking a loss.
30 DIME
EAGLES
20 DIME 6-POINT TEASERS
NUMBER 1
Giants - Reduce the price of the favorite
Redskins - Reduce the price of the favorite
NUMBER 2
Bengals - Reduce the price of the favorite
Eagles - Reduce the price of the favorite
15 DIME
Bucs/Lions OVER
10 DIME
Bills
Dolphins
Chiefs
5 DIME
Chiefs/Raiders UNDER
Steelers
Free Pick - Steelers/Broncos OVER - (For analysis see Daily video)
Note:
Nothing matters in my life but having a winning day today.
By winning today, it will be a winning week, it will be my 6th winning Sunday the first 7 NFL Sundays of the 2007 season.
You see, I live for this. Another opportunity to hit the big play and once again show the world I am the best big game handicapper in the world.
Once again, this week has shown great calls and horrible calls with a few heartbreakers thrown in the mix.
Giants Monday night was a solid call. Thursday South Florida was a heartbreaker. Friday Uconn was a great call.
Saturday I cash 2 out of my 3 top plays courtesy of Air Force and Lousiana Tech but drop all three of my 10 dimers and all three of my 5 dimers.
However, all that doesn't matter today. All that matters is winning and that is exactly what I plan on delivering.
This is as good as it gets. My chance to justify the movie. To justify myself and what I do. To make people the winner they always wanted to be over a long period of time and make them a few extra dollars along the way.
To put it bluntly, I have owned Sunday's this year so far. Flat out owned to the tune of 26-13-3 good for +91 dimes.
I have hit my top play 5 out of the 6 weeks this year and today it becomes 6 out of 7. Love the sound of that.
All that winning in the NFL brings us to today. Fact of the matter is I wouldn't release this many games unless I loved all 9 games, which is without question the case right here today.
I pride myself on hitting the big game. I love it more than life itself.
So without further delay, here is why the Eagles are going to hammer the Bears by at least double digits.
EAGLES
When you start allowing rookie running backs to come into your house and shredd you for over 300 yards by himself, you have problems.
Now you must take those problems on the road and face an Eagles squad that is just looking to explode in front of the home crowd.
You know how bad this Bears team is playing?
They are on a 1-10 ATS run going back to last year during the regular season with the only cover coming against the Packers and that was gifi wrapped by James Jones.
Now, after facing a Minnesota offense that doesn't scare anybody, yet they figured out a way to put up 34 on the Bears, here comes the Eagles, who are just waiting to bust out.
Despite all their shortcomings so far, the Eagles have still managed to be the #8 offense in the NFL.
You dig a bit and you will see that in their last 4 games the Bears have been torched for over 30 points per game. When are people going to start realizing that there is a reason this Bears defense is ranked #27 for a reason.
They are banged up. They miss Tank Johnson. They just flat out stink.
Offensively, the Bears have been outgained in 5 of their 6 games this year and only outgained the Vikings by 14 last week.
Folks, I have this game getting ugly early, just like the Lions game and for Griese to have a horrific day against this Eagle defensive pressure.
Eagles win this one going away by 17 points or more.
20 DIME TEASER #1
I want you to get all over the Giants in this teas because I flat out don't see them losing this game at home. Not to the 49ers. Simple as that.
They are playing the best ball in the NFC and their is no way they lose this game today. Take that number down by subtracting 6 points and watch the Giants win by at least 7.
Same with the Redskins. Defensively they are playing tremendous ball and I will subtract 6 from their number and watch them win by at least 7.
20 DIME TEASER #2
Same situation here. I want you to hammer the Eagles down to a near pickem ame where all they need to do is basically win this game to get the cover with this 6 point teaser.
As for the Bengals - see above - but bottom line, you're taking them down to a near pick at home as well.
Get all over this teaser.
TAMPA/DETROIT OVER
I really love this Total.
Bucs offense is really starting to play much better and indoors on turf with Jeff Garcia is the perfect spot for points.
I am not a believer in this Lions defense and truly believe Gruden will get some favorable match ups.
Conversley, I see the Lions at home scoring some points as well They have gone Over in 3 of 5 games this year
This is an easy Over on the card if I have ever seen one.
Jump on this Over tonight.
MIAMI
Just can't pass up a double digit home dog in conference play no matter how bad they are playing.
Seriously, the linemaker inflates numbers on certain teams fully knowing that whatever that number is, the public will still lay it.
Well, I personally feel this is as inflated a number as you will see the rest of the year. Trust me on that.
First of all, I really feel the Dolphins will be able to run the football and control the clock. That will be a huge key to them keeping this game close.
Let me also remind the world that last year, the Patriots were again the better team and they lost 21-0. They don't play well here folks.
I don't know if the Dolphins defense can get enough stops to actually pull off the outright win but I am confident they can just enough stops to cover.
I will gladly take one of the biggest home dogs I have seen in 10 years and call for the Dolphins to have a chance to shock the world. Just a small chance but you never know.
Miami plus the points is the play.
BILLS
This one is easy.
Ravens are just 1-5 ATS this year and 0-6 their last 6 shots as a road favorite.
Furthermore, they haven't been great on the road either with losses to the Bengals and the Browns.
If the Bills defense could make Tony Romo look that bad, what do you think they are going to do to Kyle Boller with two weeks to prepare?
Lastly, Bills are 5-0-1 as a home dog the last 6 and I will gladly call for them to bark loudly and get the money this afternoon.
Bills rally with another great game tonight.
CHIEFS
Raiders could be one of the worst home favorites right now.
They are 0-2 ATS this year as a home favorite and 0-6 their last 6. Not exactly making people money now are they.
No matter how bad the Chiefs looked on HBO during training camp, their defense has come to play every week.
Now they travel to Oakland to face a team they have won and covered against the last 4 times they have played in Oakland.
Bottom line, they will not be intimadated today and they will figure out a way to cover this game and probably win it ouright, just like the last 4 times they have come here.
The river card is the fact that Daunte Culpepper is 3-18 ATS his last 21 starts n the NFL.
Kansas City is my 3rd dog play.
CHIEFS/RAIDERS UNDER
Just don't see either offense being a realy big factor facing both these defenses.
This Chiefs defense is ranked #9 in the NFL and hasn't allowed 20 points or more in any one game this year and it won't be the Raiders and their 19th ranked offense that will do it today.
There is a reason they have gone UNDER 4 of 6 weeks this year.
Defense is the name of the game here and in a low scoring game, I not only like the game to go UNDER but pretty darn easily.
Get the UNDER in this one.
STEELERS
Let me make this one short and sweet.
Broncos are 1-11 ATS last 12 at home and 5-17 ATS last 22 on the vegas card. Not exactly numbers you can count on.
Steelers have won and coverd 4 of their 5 games this year and pretty much nothing Denver will be able to do will stop the Steelers.
This isn't a very good Bronco team and I just don't see Jay Cutler being the answer and I think you are seeing the fact he shouldn't. covered
I trust the Steelers, who know they are going to the playoffs and not wishing, like this Broncos team.
People, you don't go 1-11 ATS last 12 at home unless you have flat out lost it. I would say getting beat 41-3 your last home game would define lost.
Steelers romp by double digits.
Gamblersdata members
PRESENT BALANCE for 2007:
Soccer: +19.98 units
RECOMMENDATION
1.5 units South Africa (-8) over England @ +100..this is what he sent out to us for saturday have no clue what happened
Boxing: -7.00 units
Rugby: -1.09 units
PGA Golf: -7.975 units
Formula 1: +11.50 units
-----------------------------
Formula One
Brazilian GP (Sunday 21, Oct 12:00 noon ET)
The season comes to a finale this weekend in Brazil and members who have followed all the F1 recommendations this year have made a very nice 11.5 units of profit.
After nine months of superb quality racing between the finest quartet of drivers since Prost, Mansell, Piquet and Senna 20 of years ago, it's the first multi-driver title contest to come down to the wire since 1986.
Raikkonen (5 wins), Hamilton and Alonso (4 wins each) are still locked in the championship battle, Hamilton now heading Alonso by four points and Raikkonen by seven. But it could have been over had McLaren not left Hamilton out for lap after lap on rapidly-shredding tyres in Shanghai two weekends ago.
Nevertheless Hamilton will still clinch the title if he finishes in the top two at Interlagos on Sunday - or anywhere in the top four will do providing Alonso does not win the race.
Alonso has become more and more paranoid as the season progressed and only last week he suggested with apparent indignance that he thought the team did not want to retain his services for next season. Despite doing his best to alienate his own team this season, the Spaniard has driven brilliantly over the last half dozen races and it is testament to his talent and mental strength that he still finds himself in contention.
But a Formula One season wouldn't be the same without backbiting, recriminations, alleged sabotage, deceit and what like. And this season has been no different being marred by politics and paranoia. And in true F1 tradition it continues right through to the end as the FIA plummets to new depths after a ruling that the McLaren garage will be overseen by FIA officials to insure that Alonso gets the same treatment as Hamilton. I don't recall the same treatment being dished out to Ferrari by Mr. Mosley when Ferrari regularly shafted Schumacher's team mates. It would be interesting to hear what Rubens Barrichello, for instance, makes of the situation, after years of driving as a contractually-subservient number two to Michael Schumacher. Team orders are banned in F1 are they not? But as I have said over the years here at Gamblersdata, F1 is being run by Mr Mosely and Ferrari and if the others don't like it, they can go elsewhere. Further illustration of this fact this season is that the FIA let Ferrari run an illegal car in Australia, yet they disqualified McLarens constructors points in Hungary for a matter that was purely a matter between two McLaren drivers.
Team orders no doubt at Ferrari will be to get Massa to help Raikkonen win the race and possibly the title. This will start on Saturday’s qualifying session when Massa will have to compromise his race strategy by qualifying on low fuel, to ensure he can get on the front row of the grid, hopefully to act as a cushion between Raikkonen and the two McLarens. But that is no guarantee as Ferrari have had their problems with the super soft tyre that will be used for Q3.
Interlagos is a track that features two fast and flowing sectors which should suit Ferrari, but the slow twisty middle sector makes up around half the total lap time and the longer wheelbase Ferrari will struggle there. Ferrari have struggled with the super soft tyres on the three occasions that Bridgestone have used them, Canada, Monaco and Hungary. All races won by McLaren. They say they have done some work on sorting out the problem, but some doubts have to remain.
But the super soft tyres may not even come into play because of rain. Yes the wet stuff looks like making an appearance for the third race weekend in a row. Did you know that the nickname for the city of Sao Paulo is ‘land of drizzle? So the crucial qualifying session looks to be wide open and a good argument can be made for any of the ‘big 4’.
I expect a Ferrari masterclass on Sunday, but one which will be ultimately overshadowed by a fairytale ending as Hamilton clinches the F1 World Championship in his maiden season.
The fact that the last two races have been wet races means that the most recent form is muddied. The improvement in the pace of Red Bull and more so their sister team Torro Rosso has been eye catching. Torro Rosso have put their improvement down to new parts designed for next years car being put on this years car. Whether they can do it in a dry race remains to be seen.
Nico Rosberg has not enjoyed the last two wet races, but he should be able to end his year in the points on a track on which Williams have a good record. His odds to finish in the points look to have some value now as he was in the top 7 for four consecutive races before the rainy season hit F1 and anything above +120 looks backable.
RECOMMENDATION
2 units Rosberg to finish in the points @ +130
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UNDER of 52 in NE @ MIAMI