rossbenjamin
Minnesota @ Dallas 4:15 PM ET 10/21/2007
Play On: Dallas -9.0
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This is a typical game where the general public gets sucked in. The Vikings come off an upset win at Chicago while the Cowboys were hammered at home against New England. So why is the Cowboys more than a touchdown favorite here? Because they should be. The Dallas offense will torch the Vikings defense that gave up a ton of yards to an anemic Chicago offense last week. Look for the Cowboys to put 8 guys in the box on defense to neutralize Adrian Peterson. The run will not be a factor for Minnesota once they get down by a couple of touchdowns. Play on the dallas Cowboys minus the points as my NFL Free Selection Of The Week.
Any non-division home favorite off a non-division home underdog SU and ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 10 or more points, versus an opponent off a SU win, and has a win percentage of less than .600 is 5-0 SU and ATS since 1980.
ultra sports
5 eagles
4 falcons
3 chiefs
Preferred Picks
4* Denver
3* Miami
3* Jacksonville
Purelock
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5* Jets + points
Spylock
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Giants
Seattle
Steelers
Vegas Experts Tip Of The Day
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Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders
Sunday, October 21st, 4:05 P.M. EDT
Clubs have played four straight unders in the series. K.C. scoring just 14.3 per game on the road and allowing 18.7. Raiders haven't allowed any team to score more than 20 all season. KANSAS CITY is 20-9 UNDER against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 12-2 UNDER versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Play on: Under
JB Sports
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3* Detroit
3* Bengals
3* Houston
Matt Fargo
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NFC Game of the Month
Dallas -9.5
Advanatge Sports
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4**** Best Bet/ Broncos UNDER 39
Weather forecast for Denver, Colorado on Sunday night? Snow, temps in the low 30's and winds above 20 mph... not unusual conditions and both teams play in them regularly. The Steelers do get back Hines Ward, Troy Polamalu, Casey Hampton and Santonio Holmes this week and the Broncos are also getting healthier off the bye week, both teams having last week off. What can not be changed is the Denver defense or offense. Pitt plays a 3-4, which Jay Cutler has rarely seen in his young career. The Denver defense is learning a new gap scheme that isn't working and the linebacker depth is very poor. They had to bring in old D-Linemen hat knew the gap scheme and let go all of the old Browns from last year. They are getting killed against the run, ranking 31st. Teams throw fewer passes against Denver than any other team in the NFL, less than 20 per game. Why? THE RUN. The Broncos can't stop it. The Steelers are #2 in the NFL in defensive yards per point, at 25.1 while the Broncos are #32 and last in OFFENSIVE yards per point at 24.3, so what does this mean? Lots of long fields, bad weather and ticking clocks...
Steelers 20, Broncos 10.
Hondo (Ny Post)
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HONDO
Hondo may have struggled with the compulsories (3-8-2) last week, but he managed to achieve separation from the pack in the all-important Best Bet standings by going 2-0 with a push. It's all about cred, kids.
Giants over 49ers: There's nothing but dregs standing between Big Blue and 6-2. Give with confidence.
Jets over Bengals: Due to last week's mind-boggling play-calling, as well as the decision to stick with unarmed Chad Pennington, Mangini has forfeited his genius status. E-mailer BarkingMut says that when Chad Johnson catches a TD pass Sunday, he should celebrate by donning a bushy white wig, then running past Mangenius while holding up a sign that says e=mc2.
Cardinals over Redskins: Ellen DeGeneres' emotional meltdown over a dog had to be a phony ratings grab. Everyone knows she's strictly a cat person.
Saints over Falcons: The Vatican is probing a Monsignor Thomas Stenico, who was caught propositioning a young man for sex. Msgr. Stenico claims he's innocent but admits he is looking forward to being probed.
Bills over Ravens: Rudy Giuliani took so much well-deserved grief about answering his wife's call during a speech that he put his cell phone on vibrate. That way he won't run the risk of being interrupted when telling the next gathering all about his 9/11 heroism.
Dolphins over Patriots: Can you say “letdown game for the cheaters," boys and girls?
Bucs over Lions: Ex-Post editor Tom V may be retired, but the Tom V SuperSystem is still working - always take the visiting pooch getting less than three.
Titans over Texans: The blockage removed from Ted Kennedy's carotid artery last week was discovered during an examination of an old back injury. While the distinguished and bloated senator claims it stems from a plane crash in the '60s, Post part-timer Bill Gallagher figures it was caused by years and years of pressure on the lower back from carrying around those god awful super saggers
Dr~Chad
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5 units TAMPA
5 units San Fransisco
5 units Philadelphia
3 units NEW ENGLAND
3 units Baltimore UNDER
kelso Sunday
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Chairmans Club- 15 units Tampa Bay +2.5 @ Detroit
Best Bets=
10 units Jets/Bengals OVER 47.5
5 units Pitts -3.5 @ Denver
3 units Wash -8 v. Arizona
Greg Shaker | NFL Side
triple-dime bet425 CHI 6.0 (-110) Bodog vs 426 PHI
Analysis: NFL: Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles - Bears +6 -110 | Unit Value: 3 DIMES "Dog of the Month"
Game Date: 10/21/2007
Note: This line appears to be moving upward from an opening of 5.5 and already is at +6 at Bodog, which is generally a fore-warner of things to come. If you can't get the 6, do not buy it up as I don't think that it will be needed. Who would have thunk that Chicago would be 2-4 as we head into week 7 of the NFL? Their Defense has been the major problem, and has been so because of numerous injuries. They are much healthier this week though with Walker expected to play and other players not ailing as much and I do expect a much stronger performance from them. Philly has averaged 20 ppg but take away the 56 point effort verses the Lions and that figure goes downward...way downward. Neither one of these teams are lighting any fires this year and both need this game badly. The Bears are getting much more production from the offensive unit and have produced 27 or more points in their last 3 games. They certainly have the ability to stay in any game and with an Eagle team struggling to get the offense going, they should be able to win this game or stay very close. This line is an overeaction to what we have seen so far and I will gladly take the points, which will be huge in this contest.
More Plays coming Late Saturday and early Sunday Morning as I await reliable Injury Info.
Sun, 10/21/07 - 8:15 PMGreg Shaker | NFL Side
double-dime bet430 DEN 4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 429 PIT
Analysis: NFL: Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos - Broncos +4 -110 | Unit Value: 2 DIMES
Game Date: 10/21/2007
Note: This line is 4 at Bodog and 3.5 just about everywhere else but is probably heading toward the 4 mark at all books. It is a play at any line and in fact, I will putting a few dollars on the moneyline. When you give Mike Shanahan 2 weeks to prepare for game, good things happen. His teams are 12-1 ATS the last 13 times verses non-divisional opponents and 15-4 ATS overall when he has had a bye week. He is about as good as it gets in this situation. It is easy to look at the slaughter that Denver took 2 weeks ago to the Chargers and understand why this line is as high as it is. But this team has their back against the wall Sunday and they must perform. If they cannot, the certainly know that their season is all but over. I have a deep respect for the Bronco Head Coach and his ability to convey that fact to his players. This is going to be an all out effort, and there is no doubt that the Night Game at Mile High in front of the National Audience is going to be in our favor.
Winner's Circle....now lost two in a row on POD's
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Sunday Play of the Day is Denver +3.5
The Broncos are rested. The play of the day is Denver +3.5 over Pittsburgh
Play of the Day Record...........11-28-3
Other Plays:
Minnesota Vikings Under 46.0 5 STAR
Dallas Cowboys
Oakland Raiders (S: -1.0) 5 STAR
Hockey:
Minnesota Wild (ML -142) 5 STAR